Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Laurence Harbor, NJ
November 30, 2023 7:07 PM EST (00:07 UTC)
Sunrise 6:58AM Sunset 4:33PM Moonrise 8:16PM Moonset 11:22AM
ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 603 Pm Est Thu Nov 30 2023
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less. Rain likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Rain likely in the evening, then chance of light rain or drizzle after midnight.
Sat..SW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon. Slight chance of drizzle in the afternoon.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of rain in the evening, then rain likely after midnight.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sun night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Rain likely, mainly in the evening.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Mon night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less. Rain likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Rain likely in the evening, then chance of light rain or drizzle after midnight.
Sat..SW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon. Slight chance of drizzle in the afternoon.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of rain in the evening, then rain likely after midnight.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sun night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Rain likely, mainly in the evening.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Mon night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 603 Pm Est Thu Nov 30 2023
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters.. High pressure off the southeastern coast will remain in control through tonight and into early Friday. A weak wave of low pressure then passes slowly through the region late Friday through Friday night. A weak wave of low pressure moves across Saturday night, followed by another weak low being nearby later Sunday and Sunday night. A weak trough moves through on Monday. A clipper low moves south and offshore for mid week.
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters.. High pressure off the southeastern coast will remain in control through tonight and into early Friday. A weak wave of low pressure then passes slowly through the region late Friday through Friday night. A weak wave of low pressure moves across Saturday night, followed by another weak low being nearby later Sunday and Sunday night. A weak trough moves through on Monday. A clipper low moves south and offshore for mid week.
Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
(on/off) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KPHI 302103 AFDPHI
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 403 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will remain in control of the weather through tonight.
A low pressure system and cold front will pass through Friday and Friday night. The weekend will start out mostly dry on Saturday but will become increasingly more unsettled for Sunday and into the middle of next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
Surface high pressure centered to our south will continue to influence our region through tonight as it moves further eastward offshore. However, with time, surface low pressure currently centered over TX/OK will look to move northeastwards. With this low pressure system forecast to swing northeastwards through MO/IL tomorrow, some precipitation chances will be brought to region tomorrow afternoon onwards.
Conditions for the rest of today and tonight will continue to be quiet overall. Light SW/SSW flow will dominate with winds even looking to go calm/light and variable for some locations after midnight. Some high cloud cover will continue to build in this afternoon and evening before skies become clear for most areas after midnight. With clear skies and light/calm flow in the forecast, efficient radiational cooling is likely to occur for many areas tonight; brought forecast temperatures down a bit from much of guidance.
Cloud cover will build in tomorrow morning rather quickly, PoPs looking to be in the forecast by tomorrow afternoon. The overall trend from guidance (i.e., decreasing PoPs overall with higher chance PoPs occurring later) is continuing. Given this, will include mainly chance PoPs for much of the region after 1PM. Mainly likely PoPs for much of the region is included 4PM onwards. Precipitation experienced by the region overall during the period will not be impactful at all. At best, 0.10-0.15 inches of rainfall can be expected.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
Rain will continue Friday night into early Saturday as warm air advection and Gulf of Mexico moisture associated with a weakening shortwave moves through the area. It'll remain cloudy for the rest of Saturday with the low still to the north and a few weak fronts crossing the area. It will be mild with highs from the mid/upper 50s for the N/W areas and low 60s most other areas. A cold front will move through Sunday night but will be preceded by scattered showers and possible thunderstorms Sunday.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
The long term period of the forecast looks to be unsettled though there remains quite a bit of uncertainty beyond early next week.
Rain showers will gradually decrease across the region Sunday night into Monday as a cold front crosses the region. A rumble of thunder or two cannot be completely ruled out, particularly closer to the coast. However, model guidance generally depicts only a few hundred joules per kilogram of CAPE and any instability that does exist will drop off as we head through the overnight hours. Chances for showers increase again for Monday with the passage of a mid-level shortwave with high pressure building to the south of the region for Tuesday.
Heading into the mid-week, the upper-level pattern remains progressive. Latest model guidance generally forms a consensus that another upper-level trough begins to develop and dig out of the midwest and move eastward towards the Eastern Seaboard. Associated with this deepening trough is a surface clipper system that quickly progresses out of the Great Lakes region and into the Mid-Atlantic during the middle of next week. This low then passes offshore and model guidance suggests that it will rapidly strengthen once it does so. However, uncertainty remains in how quickly the upper-level trough deepens and therefore, model guidance differs in exactly where and when the surface low may strengthen. As a result, PoPs for most of the long term beyond Tuesday remain around 20 percent or less.
Temperatures will begin above normal (highs in the 50s/low in the 40s/30s) to start the long term period then fall back to near normal to slightly below normal (highs in the 40s/low in the 20s) for the middle of next week.
AVIATION /21Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
Rest of Today...VFR. SSW winds 5-10 kts with some high clouds. High confidence.
Tonight...VFR. Overall, light SSW winds around 5 kt. High cloud cover will look to move out before midnight for most sites. High confidence.
Details...Expecting winds to go light and variable, if not calm, at KRDG/KABE/KTTN after 2z tonight. Other sites may go light and variable for a period after 7-8z. Guidance indicates some LLWS may develop across the region tonight, particularly for areas northwest of the I-95 corridor. Have included LLWS for KABE/KRDG/KTTN. A brief period of LLWS for KPHL/KILG is possible around the 6z time frame tonight, but forecaster confidence on this is low. Moderate confidence in details overall.
Friday...Mainly VFR. Cloud cover building in during the morning, ceilings likely by 14-16z. Ceilings will then lower with time.
-SHRA for most sites by 21/22z with MVFR ceilings possible by that time. Moderate confidence.
Outlook...
Friday thru Saturday morning... sub-VFR at times with showers and patchy fog.
Saturday afternoon/night... VFR mostly. Patchy overnight fog possible
Sunday... More Low clouds/showers possible. MVFR/IFR expected.
Sunday night...Gradually improving to VFR as showers decrease but patchy fog remains possible. Winds becoming westerly around 15 knots. Moderate confidence.
Monday...Periods of sub-VFR conditions possible with chances for showers, particularly in the afternoon. Westerly winds around 15 knots with 20-25 knot gusts. Shower chances and wind gusts decrease overnight. Moderate confidence.
Tuesday...VFR. Westerly winds around 10 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Moderate confidence.
MARINE
SSW/SW flow 15-20 kts will continue until around 11PM tonight.
Thereafter, SSW/SW winds 10-15 kts can be expected through Friday.
Gusts near 20 kts are possible Friday.
2-3 foot seas this evening will build to around 3-4 feet tonight before returning to 2-3 feet for Friday.
Forecast gusts from guidance have trended a bit downwards from earlier. Still, an occasional gust of 25 kts may be observed in ANZ450/ANZ451 from around 10PM-1AM tonight. This is not enough to warrant issuance of an SCA; it is currently expected that an SCA will not be needed.
Outlook...
Sub-SCA for Friday and into the weekend. Rains and fog possible Friday/Friday night and again Sunday/Sunday night into Monday.
Small Craft Advisory conditions possibly develop early Monday morning as westerly winds begin to increase. SCA conditions are likely by Monday evening with gusts up to 30 knots possible. Winds decrease back below SCA criteria during the day on Tuesday. Seas of 2 to 4 feet throughout.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 403 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will remain in control of the weather through tonight.
A low pressure system and cold front will pass through Friday and Friday night. The weekend will start out mostly dry on Saturday but will become increasingly more unsettled for Sunday and into the middle of next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
Surface high pressure centered to our south will continue to influence our region through tonight as it moves further eastward offshore. However, with time, surface low pressure currently centered over TX/OK will look to move northeastwards. With this low pressure system forecast to swing northeastwards through MO/IL tomorrow, some precipitation chances will be brought to region tomorrow afternoon onwards.
Conditions for the rest of today and tonight will continue to be quiet overall. Light SW/SSW flow will dominate with winds even looking to go calm/light and variable for some locations after midnight. Some high cloud cover will continue to build in this afternoon and evening before skies become clear for most areas after midnight. With clear skies and light/calm flow in the forecast, efficient radiational cooling is likely to occur for many areas tonight; brought forecast temperatures down a bit from much of guidance.
Cloud cover will build in tomorrow morning rather quickly, PoPs looking to be in the forecast by tomorrow afternoon. The overall trend from guidance (i.e., decreasing PoPs overall with higher chance PoPs occurring later) is continuing. Given this, will include mainly chance PoPs for much of the region after 1PM. Mainly likely PoPs for much of the region is included 4PM onwards. Precipitation experienced by the region overall during the period will not be impactful at all. At best, 0.10-0.15 inches of rainfall can be expected.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
Rain will continue Friday night into early Saturday as warm air advection and Gulf of Mexico moisture associated with a weakening shortwave moves through the area. It'll remain cloudy for the rest of Saturday with the low still to the north and a few weak fronts crossing the area. It will be mild with highs from the mid/upper 50s for the N/W areas and low 60s most other areas. A cold front will move through Sunday night but will be preceded by scattered showers and possible thunderstorms Sunday.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
The long term period of the forecast looks to be unsettled though there remains quite a bit of uncertainty beyond early next week.
Rain showers will gradually decrease across the region Sunday night into Monday as a cold front crosses the region. A rumble of thunder or two cannot be completely ruled out, particularly closer to the coast. However, model guidance generally depicts only a few hundred joules per kilogram of CAPE and any instability that does exist will drop off as we head through the overnight hours. Chances for showers increase again for Monday with the passage of a mid-level shortwave with high pressure building to the south of the region for Tuesday.
Heading into the mid-week, the upper-level pattern remains progressive. Latest model guidance generally forms a consensus that another upper-level trough begins to develop and dig out of the midwest and move eastward towards the Eastern Seaboard. Associated with this deepening trough is a surface clipper system that quickly progresses out of the Great Lakes region and into the Mid-Atlantic during the middle of next week. This low then passes offshore and model guidance suggests that it will rapidly strengthen once it does so. However, uncertainty remains in how quickly the upper-level trough deepens and therefore, model guidance differs in exactly where and when the surface low may strengthen. As a result, PoPs for most of the long term beyond Tuesday remain around 20 percent or less.
Temperatures will begin above normal (highs in the 50s/low in the 40s/30s) to start the long term period then fall back to near normal to slightly below normal (highs in the 40s/low in the 20s) for the middle of next week.
AVIATION /21Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
Rest of Today...VFR. SSW winds 5-10 kts with some high clouds. High confidence.
Tonight...VFR. Overall, light SSW winds around 5 kt. High cloud cover will look to move out before midnight for most sites. High confidence.
Details...Expecting winds to go light and variable, if not calm, at KRDG/KABE/KTTN after 2z tonight. Other sites may go light and variable for a period after 7-8z. Guidance indicates some LLWS may develop across the region tonight, particularly for areas northwest of the I-95 corridor. Have included LLWS for KABE/KRDG/KTTN. A brief period of LLWS for KPHL/KILG is possible around the 6z time frame tonight, but forecaster confidence on this is low. Moderate confidence in details overall.
Friday...Mainly VFR. Cloud cover building in during the morning, ceilings likely by 14-16z. Ceilings will then lower with time.
-SHRA for most sites by 21/22z with MVFR ceilings possible by that time. Moderate confidence.
Outlook...
Friday thru Saturday morning... sub-VFR at times with showers and patchy fog.
Saturday afternoon/night... VFR mostly. Patchy overnight fog possible
Sunday... More Low clouds/showers possible. MVFR/IFR expected.
Sunday night...Gradually improving to VFR as showers decrease but patchy fog remains possible. Winds becoming westerly around 15 knots. Moderate confidence.
Monday...Periods of sub-VFR conditions possible with chances for showers, particularly in the afternoon. Westerly winds around 15 knots with 20-25 knot gusts. Shower chances and wind gusts decrease overnight. Moderate confidence.
Tuesday...VFR. Westerly winds around 10 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Moderate confidence.
MARINE
SSW/SW flow 15-20 kts will continue until around 11PM tonight.
Thereafter, SSW/SW winds 10-15 kts can be expected through Friday.
Gusts near 20 kts are possible Friday.
2-3 foot seas this evening will build to around 3-4 feet tonight before returning to 2-3 feet for Friday.
Forecast gusts from guidance have trended a bit downwards from earlier. Still, an occasional gust of 25 kts may be observed in ANZ450/ANZ451 from around 10PM-1AM tonight. This is not enough to warrant issuance of an SCA; it is currently expected that an SCA will not be needed.
Outlook...
Sub-SCA for Friday and into the weekend. Rains and fog possible Friday/Friday night and again Sunday/Sunday night into Monday.
Small Craft Advisory conditions possibly develop early Monday morning as westerly winds begin to increase. SCA conditions are likely by Monday evening with gusts up to 30 knots possible. Winds decrease back below SCA criteria during the day on Tuesday. Seas of 2 to 4 feet throughout.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| MHRN6 | 14 mi | 80 min | SSW 8.9G | |||||
| SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ | 14 mi | 80 min | SSW 8.9G | 44°F | 30.15 | |||
| BGNN6 | 15 mi | 80 min | 47°F | 30.11 | ||||
| ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ | 18 mi | 80 min | SW 11G | 30.12 | ||||
| BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY | 22 mi | 80 min | 49°F | 30.07 | ||||
| 44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor | 31 mi | 68 min | 21G | 54°F | 5 ft | 30.11 | ||
| NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA | 33 mi | 80 min | S 5.1G | 40°F | 30.15 | |||
| KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY | 37 mi | 80 min | S 8.9G | 48°F | 30.13 | |||
| 44022 - Execution Rocks | 41 mi | 68 min | S 9.7 | 49°F | 30.11 | 36°F | ||
| BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ | 41 mi | 92 min | S 2.9G | 49°F | 41°F | 30.13 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KLDJ LINDEN,NJ | 12 sm | 12 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 48°F | 28°F | 46% | 30.14 | |
| KEWR NEWARK LIBERTY INTL,NJ | 17 sm | 16 min | SSW 08 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 48°F | 30°F | 50% | 30.13 | |
| KBLM MONMOUTH EXECUTIVE,NJ | 20 sm | 11 min | SSW 08 | 10 sm | Clear | 46°F | 30°F | 53% | 30.16 | |
| KJRB DOWNTOWN MANHATTAN/WALL ST,NY | 22 sm | 11 min | W 08 | 10 sm | Clear | 48°F | 32°F | 53% | 30.15 |
Wind History from EWR
(wind in knots)Tide / Current for Cheesequake Creek, Garden State Parkway, New Jersey
EDIT Weekend mode (on/off) (on/off) Help
Cheesequake Creek
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:29 AM EST 0.17 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:59 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 09:40 AM EST 5.70 feet High Tide
Thu -- 10:22 AM EST Moonset
Thu -- 04:20 PM EST -0.03 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:31 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 07:15 PM EST Moonrise
Thu -- 10:22 PM EST 4.49 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:29 AM EST 0.17 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:59 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 09:40 AM EST 5.70 feet High Tide
Thu -- 10:22 AM EST Moonset
Thu -- 04:20 PM EST -0.03 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:31 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 07:15 PM EST Moonrise
Thu -- 10:22 PM EST 4.49 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Cheesequake Creek, Garden State Parkway, New Jersey, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2.9 |
| 1 am |
| 1.8 |
| 2 am |
| 0.9 |
| 3 am |
| 0.3 |
| 4 am |
| 0.3 |
| 5 am |
| 1.1 |
| 6 am |
| 2.4 |
| 7 am |
| 3.8 |
| 8 am |
| 4.9 |
| 9 am |
| 5.6 |
| 10 am |
| 5.7 |
| 11 am |
| 5.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 1 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 0 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 6 pm |
| 1 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 9 pm |
| 4 |
| 10 pm |
| 4.4 |
| 11 pm |
| 4.4 |
Bayonne Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:31 AM EST -1.32 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 03:55 AM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:14 AM EST 1.98 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:59 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 09:29 AM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 10:22 AM EST Moonset
Thu -- 12:50 PM EST -1.58 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:30 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 04:36 PM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:45 PM EST 1.77 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 07:14 PM EST Moonrise
Thu -- 10:31 PM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:31 AM EST -1.32 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 03:55 AM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:14 AM EST 1.98 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:59 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 09:29 AM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 10:22 AM EST Moonset
Thu -- 12:50 PM EST -1.58 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:30 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 04:36 PM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:45 PM EST 1.77 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 07:14 PM EST Moonrise
Thu -- 10:31 PM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Bayonne Bridge, Kill van Kull, New York Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -1.3 |
| 1 am |
| -1.3 |
| 2 am |
| -1 |
| 3 am |
| -0.6 |
| 4 am |
| 0.1 |
| 5 am |
| 1.2 |
| 6 am |
| 1.9 |
| 7 am |
| 1.7 |
| 8 am |
| 1 |
| 9 am |
| 0.3 |
| 10 am |
| -0.3 |
| 11 am |
| -1 |
| 12 pm |
| -1.5 |
| 1 pm |
| -1.6 |
| 2 pm |
| -1.4 |
| 3 pm |
| -1.1 |
| 4 pm |
| -0.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 11 pm |
| -0.3 |
Philadelphia, PA,
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