Monday, February17, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
South Amboy, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 5:35PM Monday February 17, 2020 7:33 AM EST (12:33 UTC) Moonrise 3:23AMMoonset 1:08PM Illumination 37% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 529 Am Est Mon Feb 17 2020
Today..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less, then 2 to 3 ft after midnight.
Tue..SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Rain.
Tue night..W winds around 10 kt, becoming nw with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Rain likely in the evening.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Thu..NW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..W winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 529 Am Est Mon Feb 17 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds across new england today into tonight. A warm front will lift through Tuesday, followed by a cold frontal passage Tuesday night. A large area of high pressure builds in from the middle of the country for the second half of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near South Amboy, NJ
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location: 40.5, -74.27     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 171204 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 704 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure builds across New England today into tonight. A warm front will lift through Tuesday, followed by a cold frontal passage Tuesday night. Polar high pressure over the mid section of the country builds in through the end of week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Forecast is on track with only minor changes made for this update.

Tranquil conditions today as high pressure at the surface builds in, its center passing north of the region. Subsidence in association with the high will limit cloud coverage today, with a mostly sunny sky expected. Temperatures will be a few degrees above normal for this time of year, in the 40s region-wide.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/. Clouds increase, lower, and thicken tonight as a warm front approaches from the southwest, lifts north Tuesday afternoon, and the associated cold front will be quickly on its heels, just entering the forecast area Tuesday evening.

Precipitation in association with the warm front should generally hold off until Tuesday morning, especially with dry air in the middle layers to overcome. However, some scattered light precipitation is possible an hour or two before sunrise Tuesday.

Precipitation should be plain rain for the most part, as 1000-850mb thicknesses in most models show rain, along with ensemble forecasts only showing low chances for snow even for our most northern locations. However, that couple of hours before sunrise that scattered precipitation moves into the area, column cooling along with cold surface temperatures may allow for the precipitation to start off as all snow or wintry mix across portions of northeast New Jersey, Lower Hudson Valley and southern Connecticut. As the steadier precipitation moves in, snow will be limited to the far interior areas and will only last an hour or two as the rain/snow line lifts north rather quickly. By noon or sooner, precipitation will be all rain everywhere. Precipitation should start off as plain rain across New York City and Long Island, though a very brief wintry mix cannot be ruled out here as well.

Little to no snow accumulation is expected, with only a few tenths of an inch forecast.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. On the heels of a cold frontal passage Tuesday night, the forecast area will go through dry period marked with unseasonably cold air to end the week. The northern branch of the polar jet will make another brief appearance across the northeast quarter of the nation. Still though, no signs of a pattern change with the southern branch returning for the weekend with a return to above normal temperatures.

Polar high pressure over the northern plains at the onset of the period dives south and east and into the southern Mid Atlantic and Tennessee Valley states by the weekend. At the same time, a series of lows will pass well north of area across Canada. A NW flow through Friday will then veer around to the W/SW over the weekend.

Global models while varying with the intensity and location, keep a coastal low well south and east of the area on Friday as the northern branch upper trough moves off the eastern seaboard.

The coldest days of the week will be Thursday and Friday with highs generally in the 30s with lows in the teens to 20s. Readings will climb back up into the 40s for the weekend with a warmer southwest flow.

AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. A weak cold front has moved offshore early this morning as a high pressure builds overhead through this evening. Mostly clear skies expected by the late morning.

VFR through the majority of the TAF period. However MVFR conditions with light rain begin early Tuesday morning as a system nears the forecast area from the west.

Light NW winds around 5-10 kt and will continue through the afternoon. Winds gradually shift to the NE late in the evening. Southeast winds 12-15kts develop Tuesday morning.

. NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support .

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http://www.weather.gov/zny/n90

KJFK TAF Comments: no unscheduled amendments expected

The afternoon KJFK haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KLGA TAF Comments: no unscheduled amendments expected

The afternoon KLGA haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KEWR TAF Comments: no unscheduled amendments expected

The afternoon KEWR haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KTEB TAF Comments: no unscheduled amendments expected

KHPN TAF Comments: no unscheduled amendments expected

KISP TAF Comments: no unscheduled amendments expected

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. Tuesday. MVFR or lower in mainly rain. Light snow can not be ruled out across interior in the AM. SE-S winds G15-20kt. Tuesday night. MVFR or lower in rain in the evening, then VFR. Winds becoming W-NW G15-20kt, mainly along the coast. Wednesday. VFR. NW winds G15-20kt. Thursday-Friday. VFR.

MARINE. Sub SCA conditions expected across all waters through tonight. East to southeast winds will increase Tuesday as a warm front approaches from the southwest. Wind gusts of 25 to 30 kt are possible across the ocean zones (mainly the central and eastern ocean zones) Tuesday morning, with winds diminishing Tuesday afternoon.

Waves will increase tonight, but should remain below 5 ft until Tuesday morning, when waves build to 5 to 7 ft on ocean waters and remain elevated through the day Tuesday.

For the second half of the week, forecasting sub-SCA conditions as a large area of high pressure builds in from the mid section of the country. NW winds Wed through Fri will generally be 10 to 15 kt with gusts potential to around 20 kt. Seas on the ocean will generally be less than 5 ft.

HYDROLOGY. A quarter of an inch or less is expected Tuesday into Tuesday night. No hydrologic impacts are expected through Sunday.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . JP/DW NEAR TERM . JP SHORT TERM . JP LONG TERM . DW AVIATION . DJ MARINE . JP/DW HYDROLOGY . JP/DW EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MHRN6 11 mi64 min NNW 7 G 11
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 12 mi46 min 39°F 40°F1022.9 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 14 mi46 min 38°F 39°F1023 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 15 mi46 min 39°F 1022.5 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 19 mi46 min 39°F 40°F1022.6 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 31 mi24 min N 7.8 G 9.7 41°F 1023.2 hPa32°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 34 mi46 min 38°F 40°F1023.1 hPa
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 36 mi52 min 36°F 37°F1023.1 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 39 mi49 min WNW 3.9 G 5.8 37°F 32°F30°F
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 43 mi58 min 37°F 38°F1022.3 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 48 mi49 min NW 3.9 G 3.9 38°F 31°F

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ15 mi43 minN 710.00 miPartly Cloudy37°F27°F67%1022.6 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ22 mi49 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy28°F26°F93%1022.7 hPa
Somerville, Somerset Airport, NJ23 mi41 minN 010.00 miFair26°F23°F88%1022.5 hPa
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ23 mi38 minNW 410.00 miFair34°F26°F73%1023.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWR

Wind History from EWR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW8SW9SW8W9SW9W9W5W5W4W6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmW3CalmN5N7
1 day agoN6NE5Calm3SW6--SW9S9SE10SE7S4S6S10S9S13S10S9S9S8SW6SW8SW6SW6SW9
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Tide / Current Tables for Perth Amboy, New Jersey
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Perth Amboy
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:22 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:40 AM EST     5.42 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:48 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:32 AM EST     0.27 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:07 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 03:07 PM EST     4.37 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:33 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 09:42 PM EST     0.31 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.34.55.25.44.83.92.91.910.40.412.13.144.44.13.42.61.81.10.50.30.9

Tide / Current Tables for Bayonne Bridge, Kill van Kull, New York Current
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Bayonne Bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:22 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:49 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:25 AM EST     -1.31 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 06:48 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:38 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:51 AM EST     1.48 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 12:06 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 03:07 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:33 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 05:41 PM EST     -1.10 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 09:57 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.20.7-0.2-0.9-1.3-1.3-1.1-1-0.60.41.31.51.30.80.1-0.6-1-1.1-0.9-0.8-0.601

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.