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Marine Weather and Tides Perth Amboy, NJ Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 7:12AM

Sunset 5:05PM

Thursday January 23, 2020 2:21 AM EST (07:21 UTC)

Moonrise 7:26AM

Moonset 4:54PM

Illumination 4%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Perth Amboy, NJ

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Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY

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FXUS61 KOKX 230536 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1236 AM EST Thu Jan 23 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will remain across the area through Friday. Low pressure impacts the region this weekend. High pressure then builds back in early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. The forecast is on track. For this update adjusted temperatures a bit for the next few hours with ideal radiational conditions taking place. High level clouds are however pushing in from the west and this higher coverage in clouds will last about 3 or 4 hours for the first half of the overnight. Skies will actually go partly to mostly cloudy for some places with clouds at around 20 kft or so, before skies partially clear to a large degree. Therefore partly cloudy skies on average should do it for the overnight, with the majority of the high level cloudiness before 6z-7z, especially across western sections.

High pressure remains across the area overnight with nearly seasonable lows, ranging from the lower teens inland, to 25-30 across the NYC metro. A few of the colder spots will dip into the upper single digits due to good radiational cooling (intervals of mostly clear skies with any clouds being higher level, along with calm winds).

The higher level clouds working in from the west is a result of the upper ridge along the eastern seaboard translating slowly east ahead of an amplifying southern branch trough over the mid section of the country. Overall, have leaned towards a partly cloudy night on average.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/. Thus far this winter, the dominant southern branch of the polar jet has been in control. This will once again be the case as we head into the weekend with the approach of longwave trough and closed upper low. Before then though, there will be a gradual increase in upper level cloudiness as well as temperatures rising a few degrees above normal. Highs on Thursday will top out in the lower 40s, with lows generally in the 20s in outlying areas to around freezing NYC metro.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. High pressure will be centered to our northeast on Friday. This continues the dry weather pattern, but mid and high level clouds will probably filter the sunshine. High temperatures will be about 5 degrees above normal.

Models continue to be consistent regarding the upper and surface features for the storm that will impact us this weekend. A cutoff 500mb low moves through the Ohio Valley Friday night and eventually tracks over us late Saturday night. Associated surface low shifts NE from the Mid-Atlantic Saturday morning and passes through late Saturday night. Global models are in decent agreement with the track and timing of the storm and have converged on thermal profiles over the past 24 hours. The trend has been toward the warmer side of guidance regarding temperatures in an elevated warm layer. PCPN chances begin late Friday night with PCPN becoming likely for all areas by the end of Saturday morning. Chances then lower Saturday night into Sunday morning with chances still remaining into Sunday afternoon and evening with a cyclonic flow aloft.

PCPN type will be mainly rain for coastal areas with a wintry mix inland. Based on an average of model thermal profiles, it appears that even the coldest spots would see a complete changeover to rain at some point given forecast freezing level heights. NW Orange County could still receive around an inch of snow and sleet accumulation before this changeover. Additionally, a light ice accumulation is possible for some of the NW suburbs Saturday morning as the magnitude of the elevated warm layer would allow for it. Wintry PCPN types return Saturday night into Sunday as thermal profiles cool on the back side of the storm, but any additional snow/sleet accumulation would be very light and confined to mainly NW of NYC.

High pressure builds in behind the storm with dry weather for Monday through Wednesday. Highs all 3 days about 5 degrees above normal.

AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. High pressure will remain over the area through tonight.

VFR through the TAF period. Light and variable winds continue overnight. Winds become WSW this morning generally under 5 kts.

OUTLOOK FOR 0Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY. Thursday night-Friday night. VFR. Saturday-Saturday night. MVFR/IFR in rain at the coast, mixed precipitation across the interior likely changing to rain. E winds 10-20G20-25 kt during the day diminish at night. Sunday-Sunday night. MVFR/IFR possible in lingering showers. Rain/snow mix possible in any showers across the interior. Monday. VFR.

MARINE. Tranquil conditions will prevail through Thursday with high pressure in control. Winds and seas increase on Friday and Friday night in advance of a storm system that will approach from the SW. Seas on the ocean likely could build to 5 ft Friday night. SCA conds then likely on Saturday for all waters as the low passes through or nearby. Winds on the back side of this storm so far do not appear to be strong, but 25 kt gusts will still be possible Sunday morning on the ocean. Ocean seas will take some time to subside, so 5 ft or greater seas on the ocean through the day on Sunday and probably into Sunday night. Sub- sca conds on all waters are anticipated for most of Monday.

HYDROLOGY. Around an inch of liquid equivalent precipitation is expected Saturday through Saturday night. No adverse hydrologic impacts are anticipated at this point.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. An easterly flow of 15-25 kt with relatively high astronomical high tides following a new moon Friday will bring the threat of at least minor coastal flooding during the high tides cycles of Saturday morning and evening. A good portion of the south shore back bays of Long Island (including Queens and Brooklyn) could be impacted as well as lower NY Harbor and Western Long Island Sound. Other areas could be impacted if the track of the upcoming weekend storm changes.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . DW NEAR TERM . JE/DW SHORT TERM . DW LONG TERM . JC AVIATION . CB/JE MARINE . JC/DW HYDROLOGY . JC/DW TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . EQUIPMENT .

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
MHRN6	10 mi	63 min	SSW 5.1 G 6
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ	11 mi	51 min		30°F	40°F		1030 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ	14 mi	51 min		35°F			1029.6 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ	14 mi	51 min		33°F	36°F		1030.3 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY	19 mi	51 min		34°F	41°F		1029.9 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor	31 mi	31 min	W 5.8 G 9.7	38°F		1 ft	1030 hPa	25°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY	33 mi	51 min		32°F	38°F		1030.4 hPa
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA	37 mi	51 min		25°F	33°F		1030.4 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks	38 mi	21 min	Calm G 1.9	33°F	32°F			29°F
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ	44 mi	45 min	Calm G 1	25°F	35°F		1029.7 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound	47 mi	61 min	NW 3.9 G 3.9	33°F				28°F

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY

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Last 24hr

1 day ago

2 days ago

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ	15 mi	30 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	30°F	19°F	66%	1029.8 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ	22 mi	46 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Fair	19°F	19°F	100%	1029.8 hPa
Somerville, Somerset Airport, NJ	23 mi	28 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Fair	19°F	16°F	88%	1029.6 hPa
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ	24 mi	25 min	SSW 3	10.00 mi	Fair	26°F	19°F	78%	1030.4 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY	24 mi	30 min	no data	10.00 mi	Fair	35°F	19°F	52%	1029.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWR

Wind History from EWR (wind in knots)

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NW12 G18

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Tide / Current Tables for Perth Amboy, New Jersey

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Tide / Current Tables for Bayonne Bridge, Kill van Kull, New York Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (2,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA

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