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Marine Weather and Tides Perth Amboy, NJ Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 5:29AM

Sunset 8:32PM

Thursday July 2, 2020 5:14 PM EDT (21:14 UTC)

Moonrise 6:11PM

Moonset 3:14AM

Illumination 92%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Perth Amboy, NJ

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Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY

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FXUS61 KOKX 021950 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 350 PM EDT Thu Jul 2 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weakening upper level low near Nantucket will gradually pull away from the area tonight. A back door cold frontal passage occurs on Friday, followed by weak high pressure for the weekend. A weak frontal system approaches early next week and remains in the vicinity through the middle of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/. About 1200 J/kg of SBCAPE have developed this aftn according to LAPS. There is some CIN near the immediate coasts, particularly ern CT and LI. There has been some initiation across wrn areas as a weak h7 wave approaches. There may also be some triggering over elevation in the nly component flow regime. All of the models suggest at least some isold coverage across the area over the next few hours. The fcst includes isold-scattered shwrs and tstms for the rest of this aftn and into this eve. An isold svr cannot be ruled out with 0-6kt bulk shear about 30-40kt per the NAM. Overnight convection is not expected attm with a different flow regime in place and the upr low of the past few days passing out to sea. The NBM was followed for temps tngt.

There is a moderate risk of rip currents at the Atlantic Ocean beaches this aftn and eve due to a continued SE swell.

SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. A backdoor cold front passes on Fri. At least sct shwrs and tstms are expected to develop along and ahead of the boundary aft 16Z or so. Little change was needed to previous fcst timing, although probabilities were increased across the board due to a good model consensus and favorable timing during the daytime. Across ern portions of the area, temps will likely fall in the aftn behind the front. Across wrn areas, temps may cool due to convection. However, temps ahead of the front have a tendency to warm greater than guidance, so areas from the Hudson River wwd may eclipse fcst highs. As the front tracks w of the fcst area Fri ngt, a more stable airmass will build in. This would normally end pcpn chances, but there is some potential shrtwv energy approaching from the nw which could spark some additional rain. As a result, low chances for shwrs have been kept in the fcst thru the ngt. The NBM was followed for temps.

There remains a moderate risk of rip currents at the Atlantic Ocean beaches on Friday due to a SE swell.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Tranquil conditions expected over the weekend with weak high pressure at the surface and seasonable temperatures as the area will be upper level shortwave off the mid-Atlantic coast and a building ridge over the middle of the country.

Another back door cold front approaches from the north Sunday night. There is uncertainty as to whether it actually will push south of the area. Regardless, the frontal boundary become stationary and remain in the vicinity through the middle of next week. This will bring chances for showers and thunderstorms starting Sunday night (only a slight chance for southeastern Connecticut) and continuing through next Thursday. This period will be characterized by typical summertime diurnal showers and thunderstorms as the frontal boundary appears to be weak with very Little forcing. Chances for precipitation are greatest during the day and lessen at night. In fact, Tuesday night may be dry for the entire forecast area as upper level ridging moves over the region and may provide enough subsidence to overcome the weak lift from the frontal boundary. However, a passing shower or thunderstorm could not be ruled out a this point during those time frames. Best chances for precipitation will occur away from the coast where the more unstable air will reside.

With ridging moving into the area and high pressure over the northern Atlantic at the surface, a warm and humid air mass will set up for at least Tuesday and Wednesday and possibly Thursday, setting up the first potential heat wave of the season. Highs will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s during this time frame, with the warmest readings expected across the New York City metro area and northeast New Jersey. Dew points will rise into the upper 60s to around 70 (and possibly even lower to middle 70s). This would translate to heat index values in the middle to upper 90s range, leading to possible Heat Advisories being issued. Wednesday and Thursday seem like the more likely days, with Tuesday possibly seeing more isolated heat index values of 95 to 99.

AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. An upper level low along the northeast coast will begin to weaken and drift east today. A cold front will pass through on Friday.

VFR through the TAF period. There is a slight chance for a developing afternoon shower or isolated thunderstorm mainly for KSWF.

NW winds under 10 kt. Afternoon sea breeze development is likely at coastal terminals after 18z. Winds turn west/northwest late tonight.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. Fri. Mainly VFR. Aftn/eve shwrs and tstms possible. Sat. Mainly VFR. Sun-Mon. Mainly VFR. Aftn/eve shwrs and tstms possible, especially wrn areas. Tuesday. Mainly VFR.

MARINE. Winds and seas will remain blw sca lvls thru Fri ngt. With a weak pressure gradient over the region through the weekend, winds and waves should remain below SCA criteria.

HYDROLOGY. Some urban and poor drainage flooding is possible on Fri with any stronger tstms that develop. Locally heavy rain is possible in any thunderstorms that develop Monday through Thursday.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. The combination of a SE swell and increasing astronomical tides will bring waters levels across western Long Island Sound and the south shore back bays of western Long Island close to minor coastal flood benchmarks during the evening high tide cycles through the upcoming weekend. Based on Steven's NYHOPS-E being overdone the last few high tide cycles and considering it's coarser SNAP-Ex being better, preference remains toward a blend with the lower ETSS and ESTOFS. This brings water levels close to minor coastal flood benchmarks along the south shore bays of Nassau county this evening. Thus, a statement has been issued to address this potential. That being said, guidance all indicates a gradual uptick through the weekend due to the approaching full moon. Thus, there is the potential for a statement and/or advisory level event Friday through Sunday. The south shore bays of western Nassau appear to be most susceptible.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is undergoing its final stages of testing, and is operating at full power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
MHRN6	10 mi	56 min	N 8.9 G 14
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ	11 mi	56 min		87°F	75°F		1008.2 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ	14 mi	56 min	SSE 8 G 12	84°F			1008.1 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ	14 mi	56 min	S 8.9 G 9.9	83°F	75°F		1008.9 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY	19 mi	56 min		85°F	71°F		1008.2 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor	31 mi	34 min	SSW 16 G 18		75°F		1008.1 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY	33 mi	56 min	NNE 2.9 G 2.9	87°F			1008.8 hPa
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA	37 mi	62 min	N 7 G 9.9	93°F	81°F		1009.4 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks	38 mi	44 min	SE 3.9 G 5.8	81°F				68°F
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ	44 mi	98 min	WNW 5.1 G 11	89°F	81°F		1009.1 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound	47 mi	164 min	SSW 3.9 G 5.8	80°F		1 ft		69°F

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY

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Last 24hr

1 day ago

2 days ago

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ	15 mi	24 min	W 14 G 20	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	94°F	61°F	33%	1007.7 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ	22 mi	22 min	NNW 10 G 17	10.00 mi	Clear	88°F	64°F	46%	1009.1 hPa
Somerville, Somerset Airport, NJ	23 mi	22 min	NNW 5	10.00 mi	Fair	90°F	64°F	42%	1008.2 hPa
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ	24 mi	19 min	S 6	10.00 mi	A Few Clouds	85°F	72°F	65%	1009 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY	24 mi	24 min	NE 8	10.00 mi	Fair	91°F	59°F	34%	1007.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWR

Wind History from EWR (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Perth Amboy, New Jersey

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Tide / Current Tables for Bayonne Bridge, Kill van Kull, New York Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (17,4,5,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA

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