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Marine Weather and Tides Port Monmouth, NJ Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:04AM

Sunset 7:56PM

Friday August 14, 2020 9:30 AM EDT (13:30 UTC)

Moonrise 1:20AM

Moonset 4:41PM

Illumination 19%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Port Monmouth, NJ

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Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY

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FXUS61 KOKX 141317 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 917 AM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020

SYNOPSIS. A frontal boundary remains nearly stationary south of Long Island today into this evening. High pressure then takes control on Saturday and weakens on Sunday as low pressure approaches from the Mid-Atlantic. The low passes to our south on Monday and is followed by a cold front late Monday night into Tuesday morning. High pressure regains control thereafter into the mid-week period.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. High pressure continues to build across New England. NE flow will usher in some drier low level air. At the same time, a wave of low pressure passes to our south along a stalled frontal boundary.

Have removed PoPs this morning as showers are remaining well to the south. Focus then shifts more towards areas west of NYC during the afternoon as an easterly flow provides some upslope convergence. This will aid in partly to mostly cloudy skies and a slight chance of showers.

High temperatures will be near seasonable in the low to mid 80s.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/. Drying in the low to mid levels will promote a dry night tonight as high pressure attempts to build in from the north, but is hampered by a wave of low pressure passing by to our south. The combination of these two features will lead to somewhat breezy conditions on Saturday, particularly for coastal areas. This NE-E flow and increasing afternoon clouds will also hold high temperatures into the 70s for some coastal spots. High temperatures otherwise near normal away from the coast. Models hint at a low chance of showers over SE CT and the Twin Forks area, so will include a slight chance of a shower here in the afternoon.

There is a moderate risk of rip currents on Saturday.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. Focus shifts towards an approaching shortwave trough exiting the Ohio River Valley. Mid-level moisture returns to southern New York as this system approaches. Winds veer slightly and precipitable water values increase to around 2 inches. Models are indicating possible enhanced isentropic lift along the warm front late Sunday. Total QPF from these showers and possible thunderstorms is hard to pin down as amounts will be highly contingent on the location of the heavy rainfall axis. At the moment models are keeping the heaviest rainfall south of Long Island. However if the system drifts north rain amounts ranging between 1 to 2 inches total across southern New York, northeast New Jersey and southern Connecticut are not out of the questions. This means isolated flash flooding will again be possible late this weekend. Areas not affected by rainfall will see cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper 70s.

The primary longwave trough over the Great Lakes Region pivots through New York early next week. This dynamic lift from this trough may induce additional showers to start the week, but precipitable water values hover around 1.4 to 1.5 inches. Any showers in this environment should be light to moderate. As the trough axis exits New England mid week, locally long range models are depicting some slight surface ridge from a possible 1017 mb high above Pennsylvania. Subsidence should keep rain chances to a minimum but uncertainty still exists whether or not this holds through Thursday. More confidence in high temperatures which should persist in the low 80s through the week.

AVIATION /13Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. VFR as easterly flow develops between weak low pressure passing to the south and high pressure starting to build into New England. Can't totally rule out a shower with brief MVFR conditions at the NYC metros, possibly KSWF too, from late AM into this afternoon.

Light N-NE flow to start will veer more NE-E by late morning, then increase to just under 10 kt at most inland sites, and around or just over 10 kt along the coast. Winds should back more NE and diminish to under 10 kt this evening.

. NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support .

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts, can be found at: http://weather.gov/zny/n90

KJFK TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

The afternoon KJFK haze potential forecast is GREEN, which implies slant range visibility P6SM outside of cloud.

KLGA TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

The afternoon KLGA haze potential forecast is GREEN, which implies slant range visibility P6SM outside of cloud.

KEWR TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

The afternoon KEWR haze potential forecast is GREEN, which implies slant range visibility P6SM outside of cloud.

KTEB TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

KHPN TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments.

KISP TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. Saturday. VFR. E winds 10-15G20kt. Saturday night through Monday. MVFR or lower in any showers/tstms. Tuesday and Wednesday. VFR.

MARINE. Increasing E flow should bring SCA conds to the ocean waters from late evening through at least Sat night as low pressure passes to the south and high pressure builds to the north. Wind gusts should peak just over 30 kt E of Fire Island Inlet daytime Sat, while sea peak at 6-8 ft.

Lingering marginal SCA conds likely on Sunday as E flow persists. Sub SCA conds may return Sunday night/Monday but this remains uncertain. Sub SCA conditions with light west winds 5-10 kts otherwise begin Tuesday before shifting south by the middle of the week.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts are expected through Saturday.

Precipitable water values could be around 2 inches Sunday into Monday as a warm front with heavy rain moves slowly over southern New York. QPF values between 1 to 2 inches with isolated higher amounts are not out of the question. Nuisance to minor flooding could be possible in any showers and thunderstorms, primarily in urban and other poor drainage areas.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ350-353-355.

SYNOPSIS . JC NEAR TERM . JC/DS SHORT TERM . JC LONG TERM . DJ AVIATION . MET MARINE . Goodman HYDROLOGY . JC/DJ

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ	5 mi	163 min	NE 4.1 G 5.1	74°F	79°F		1017.2 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ	9 mi	163 min	ENE 8 G 8.9	76°F			1016.7 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ	9 mi	163 min		75°F	78°F		1016.8 hPa
MHRN6	10 mi	163 min	NNE 5.1 G 7
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY	12 mi	163 min		76°F	77°F		1016.9 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor	21 mi	31 min	NE 9.7 G 12				1016 hPa (+0.6)
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY	24 mi	163 min	ENE 4.1 G 5.1	73°F			1017.5 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks	29 mi	46 min	NE 9.7 G 12	75°F				70°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound	38 mi	46 min	NE 9.7 G 14	75°F				66°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA	46 mi	163 min	ENE 2.9 G 5.1				1016.9 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

9 AM

10 AM

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4 PM

5 PM

6 PM

7 PM

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9 PM

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12 AM

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Last 24hr

N3

N4

NE7

N6 G11

NE4

NE4

NE5 G8

E6

E5

E4

SE2

E4

E4 G7

E6 G10

E4

E4

E5

E3

NE4

NE3 G6

NE5

NE5

NE6 G10

1 day ago

S4

N2 G5

SE6 G9

S5

SE8

S14

S7

S3 G6

SW8

S4

NW9

SW9

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S7

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W4

S1

S4

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W1

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NW2

NE2

2 days ago

S3

SE5 G8

SE6

SE9 G12

SE10 G14

SE14 G18

S17 G21

S7

S11

SE12

SE7

SE9

S8

S12

S11

SW12

SW11

SW9

SW10

SW8

NW8

W5 G9

SW4

S5

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ	14 mi	40 min	NNE 9	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	78°F	69°F	74%	1016.7 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY	16 mi	40 min	NNE 8	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	79°F	70°F	74%	1016.9 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY	18 mi	40 min	NE 7	10.00 mi		78°F	66°F	67%	1016.9 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY	19 mi	40 min	ENE 9	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	78°F	66°F	67%	1016.8 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ	23 mi	40 min	NNE 6	10.00 mi	Fair	78°F	66°F	69%	1016.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWR

Wind History from EWR (wind in knots)

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Last 24hr

4

NW7

NE6

N5

NE11

NE4

NE5

NE5

E4

N5

E4

NE4

E3

Calm

NE3

NE3

N6

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NE5

N6

N6

N6

N9

N9

1 day ago

Calm

4

Calm

4

3

S10

S12

SW6

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W7

SW4

W6

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W4

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N4

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N5

2 days ago

SW5

Calm

SE6

S7 G14

SE7

NE9

S5

S8

S8 G17

S8

SE7

S8

S6

S8

S9

S9

S9

SW7

W5

SW4

SW5

SW5

W4

N4

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Tide / Current Tables for New Dorp Beach, New York

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Tide / Current Tables for The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current (2)

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (9,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA

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