Saturday, December14, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Keansburg borough, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 4:32PM Saturday December 14, 2019 6:43 PM EST (23:43 UTC) Moonrise 8:03PMMoonset 10:25AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 356 Pm Est Sat Dec 14 2019
.dense fog advisory in effect until 6 pm est this evening...
.gale warning in effect through Sunday afternoon...
Tonight..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt, increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Slight chance of light rain early this evening.
Sun..W winds around 20 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves around 3 ft.
Sun night..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of snow in the morning, then snow likely in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Rain, sleet and snow in the evening, then rain after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the evening.
Tue..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then 2 to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
Tue night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 356 Pm Est Sat Dec 14 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds in tonight behind a storm departing to the north, and lasts over the region through Sunday night. A low pressure system will then impact the waters Monday through Tuesday. High pressure returns for Wednesday and Thursday, but with a cold front moving through Wednesday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Keansburg borough, NJ
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location: 40.53, -74.14     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 142051 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 351 PM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

SYNOPSIS. High pressure builds in tonight behind a storm departing to the north, and lasts over the region through Sunday night. A low pressure system impacts the region Monday through Tuesday, then departs to the northeast Tuesday night. High pressure builds into the region on Wednesday and remains over the area through the end of the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/. Low pressure continues to shift north of the forecast area. Drier air behind an associated frontal boundary will filter in from the west tonight, but there will still be perhaps enough moisture and lift this evening for low chances of light rainfall. There will probably be some areas of dense fog lingering before winds begin to pick up behind the front. Will allow the current SPS to handle the situation. The overnight hours will be dry and breezy with gusty west winds.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. High pressure slowly builds into the region Sunday. Continued breezy with high temperatures a couple of degrees above normal courtesy of a downsloping wind flow. As for PCPN, will go with a dry forecast, but might eventually need to add in sprinkles north and west of the city as shortwave lift interacts with some moisture arriving from the Great Lakes.

The ridge of high pressure reaches us late at night Sunday with winds becoming lighter. Dry weather continues through the period.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/.

. Storm System Monday - Tuesday Night .

A low pressure system will be the focus of this time period. Central low develops Mississippi River Valley towards Tennessee Monday and will be deepening with an associated warm front moving into the local region.

Monday afternoon into Monday evening, the region receives warm air advection aloft, isentropic lift, widespread stratiform precipitation. 850mb freezing line moves north of Long Island and perhaps some of the interior Monday evening and eventually north of the entire region by Tuesday morning. Onset of precip and first few hours, p-type likely snow, then a gradual changeover to wintry mix and then to rain slowly from south to north.

For Tuesday, the central low tracks directly across the local region. Precipitation continues through the day and tapers off behind the low late Tuesday afternoon into the start of Tuesday evening. For p-type, expecting all rain for coastal areas an a wintry mix for the interior. Precipitation tapers off late.

The low will be well east of the area, to North Atlantic waters offshore of Cape Cod by Tuesday night. Drying conditions are expected Tuesday night as the low deepens and accelerates northeast to eventually southeast of Nova Scotia by early Wednesday.

For specifics, CONSRaw heavily utilized with temperatures, dewpoints. More of an overall consensus weight for Monday. Temperatures will easily get to their wet bulb values once steady precip moves in Monday. Lowered ambient temperatures 1-2 degrees late Monday afternoon through Monday evening. Most snow accumulations will be Monday afternoon through Monday night, particularly between around 3pm and around 7pm for much of the coast. NYC and Long Island above freezing thereafter with slowly rising temperatures thereafter into early Tuesday. Mostly snow for interior from around 3pm until around midnight. Thereafter it is wintry mix interior to rain at coast. Overall, forecast has a 1-3 inch snow event, with around a tenth of an inch of ice across interior.

For the rest of the long term, high pressure starts to build back into the region on Wednesday and will remain over the area through the end of the week. Expect dry conditions with temperatures below normal. Low pressure may impact the area over the weekend.

AVIATION /21Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Low pressure north of the area terminals will continue to lift away from the region tonight and Sunday. A trailing cold front will move across the area this evening.

Main concern over the next few hours will be the low visibilities in fog and increasing winds. visibilities range from about 1 mile to a quarter mile or less in fog. Improvement is expected around 00z as the winds increase and become more southwesterly.

Winds across the area terminals are quite variable as low pressure remains near the region. Across the coastal terminals, winds have become southerly around 10-15 kt. Across the interior, winds will be light and variable for another few hours. Winds then significantly increase this evening behind the cold front with W-SW winds 15-20 G25-35kt.

Widespread IFR/LIFR this evening will gradually improve to MVFR them VFR late this evening following the cold frontal passage. OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. Sunday afternoon. VFR. West winds around 20kt,G25-35kt. Sunday night-Monday. VFR. W wind gusts diminish to 20 kt Sunday night. Monday night-Tuesday. MVFR to IFR possible. Chance of snow for inland terminals changing to a wintry mix and then to rain. Chance of mainly rain for coastal terminals, with a period of snow or a wintry mix at the start early Monday night. Wednesday. VFR with NW gusts 25-30kt. Thursday. Mainly VFR.

MARINE. Dense fog advisory continues through 6PM this evening on all waters. Winds pick up from the SW, then W tonight with a Gale Warning remaining posted on all waters. Gales should last through Sunday, and have extended the warning for the ocean, and eastern LI Sound/Bays into a portion of the evening. Winds then subside overnight Sunday with sub-advisory conds on all waters except on the ocean east of Fire Island Inlet.

Conditions on the waters are below SCA Monday through very early Tuesday. Late Tuesday morning through Tuesday night, SCA conditions will become more probable across the ocean while non-ocean waters remain below SCA. SCA conditions are expected Wednesday and Thursday as winds and seas remain elevated.

HYDROLOGY. Any additional rain accumulation into this evening will be very light. The only remaining flooding concerns are for the larger stem rivers in CT where levels continue to gradually rise into this evening due to a combination of the recent rainfall and melting snow to the north.

Another significant rainfall event is possible Monday through Tuesday, with liquid equivalent QPF of 0.5 to 1.25 inches possible. There is uncertainty in this amount given uncertainty in the track of the low and frontal positions.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Dense Fog Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for ANZ330-335- 338-340-345-350-353-355. Gale Warning until 6 PM EST Sunday for ANZ335-338-345. Gale Warning until 10 PM EST Sunday for ANZ330-340-350-353-355. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for ANZ350- 353-355.

SYNOPSIS . JC/JM NEAR TERM . JC SHORT TERM . JC LONG TERM . BC/JM AVIATION . BC MARINE . JC/JM HYDROLOGY . JC/JM EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MHRN6 8 mi73 min SW 16 G 22
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 8 mi73 min 53°F 45°F989.4 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 8 mi73 min WSW 19 G 22 52°F 45°F990 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 10 mi73 min WSW 21 G 25 54°F 989 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 14 mi73 min 51°F 46°F989.5 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 26 mi43 min WSW 16 G 21 52°F 990 hPa (+0.7)51°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 28 mi73 min W 17 G 21 54°F 45°F989.2 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 33 mi58 min SW 14 G 18 50°F 32°F50°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 42 mi58 min SW 14 G 18 51°F 1 ft51°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 42 mi73 min W 9.9 G 13 48°F 39°F992 hPa

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ13 mi52 minWSW 13 G 2210.00 miMostly Cloudy53°F48°F86%989.3 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY19 mi52 minSW 9 G 1910.00 miMostly Cloudy53°F48°F86%988.9 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY21 mi52 minSW 16 G 2310.00 miMostly Cloudy52°F52°F100%989.8 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY22 mi52 minSW 1210.00 miMostly Cloudy54°F48°F83%988.8 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ23 mi52 minSW 910.00 miPartly Cloudy53°F50°F89%988.6 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ24 mi58 minWSW 910.00 miOvercast52°F50°F94%989.5 hPa
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ24 mi47 minWSW 11 G 1710.00 miOvercast51°F48°F92%991.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWR

Wind History from EWR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5N8NE11NE8N11N11N13N12N11N10N9N4N7N4N7NE5N6NE6NE4E4SE7S13SW19
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1 day agoSE3S5CalmSE3CalmS4CalmNE6NE9N8N6N7N6N6N5NE8N5N6N7N8N7N8N7NE7
2 days agoW12W15W12
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W12W12NW10W8W6W7NW7NW5NW9N9N12N12N8N12N9NW6NW533S5Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Great Kills Harbor, New York
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Great Kills Harbor
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Sat -- 03:10 AM EST     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:12 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:53 AM EST     5.55 feet High Tide
Sat -- 09:25 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 04:00 PM EST     -0.46 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:30 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:02 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:37 PM EST     4.43 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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210.2-0.20.11.22.94.45.35.65.24.33.11.80.7-0.1-0.5-01.22.63.74.34.43.9

Tide / Current Tables for The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current
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The Narrows
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:00 AM EST     -1.97 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 05:13 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:11 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:01 AM EST     2.12 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 09:24 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 11:19 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:38 PM EST     -2.32 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 04:29 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:19 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:01 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:33 PM EST     1.53 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 11:34 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.2-1.8-2-1.7-1-0.20.71.72.11.91.30.4-0.8-1.7-2.2-2.3-1.8-1.1-0.30.71.41.51.10.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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