Thursday, February27, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Keansburg borough, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 5:46PM Thursday February 27, 2020 9:06 AM EST (14:06 UTC) Moonrise 9:43AMMoonset 10:37PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 705 Am Est Thu Feb 27 2020
.gale warning in effect through late tonight...
Today..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Tonight..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Fri..W winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun..W winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
ANZ300 705 Am Est Thu Feb 27 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A deepening low pressure system shifts northeast into southeastern canada, pushing a strong cold front through the area this morning. The low stalls and pivots well north of the waters through Friday. High pressure builds across the region through the weekend, then slides east on Monday. A slow frontal system will then impact the area Monday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Keansburg borough, NJ
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location: 40.53, -74.14     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 271216 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 716 AM EST Thu Feb 27 2020

SYNOPSIS. A deepening low pressure system moves into southeastern Canada later this morning. The low stalls and pivots well north of the CWA through Friday. High pressure builds across the region through the weekend, then slides east on Monday. A slow frontal system will then impact the area Monday Night and into the mid- week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Minor updates to current observations as the last area of rainfall pushes through eastern CT. Conditions will dry out from west to east as dry air moves in behind the surface front. The pressure gradient strengthens as the deepening low moves into southeastern Canada and a high pressure develops to the south. This will result in strong westerly winds through much of the day sustained at 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph possible.

With strong CAA in the CWA, temperatures will gradually drop through the day and into this evening. Clearing skies from the encompassing dry airmass will promote mixing of stronger winds aloft down to the surface during the day.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/. The longwave trough over the Great Lakes and Northeast will remain in place as the low pressure well to our north occludes and stalls. Strong gusty winds will gradually decrease through the night and into Friday morning. Conditions will continue to remain dry as CAA brings high temperatures back to average to a few degrees below average generally in the middle to upper 30s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Quiet and colder weather through Sunday as high pressure builds across the region. A gusty northwesterly flow combined with temperatures in 30s to near 40 during the day and upper teens to low 20s at night will make conditions feel even colder over the weekend. Temperatures will moderate by Sunday night as high pressure slides east and winds go around to the southwest.

High pressure slides east on Monday, with a slow moving frontal system approaching the region Monday Night and affecting the region into Midweek. This will bring an increasingly moist and mild airmass to the region, but also unsettled weather in the form of periods of rain as waves of low pressure track along the slow moving "cold" front. Potential for a wintry mix across the interior, Monday into Monday Night, otherwise thermal profiles suggest rain for the remainder of the event. Temperatures will moderate from a few degrees above seasonable Monday to potentially well above seasonable by mid week.

AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. A cold front will push east of the area this morning as deep low pressure tracks north of the region.

Any lingering IFR/MVFR conditions will rapidly improve as rain continues to move east. Lower conditions could hold on through 13-14Z at KGON, otherwise VFR conditions are expected for the remainder of the TAF period with ceilings lifting to 4-5 kft before scattering.

Winds will rapidly shift to the W behind the front and increase in speed. Where this shift has yet to occur east of the city terminals, a brief period of LLWS is possible through about 13Z. Winds will continue to increase through the morning, with sustained winds 20-25 kt and gusts 30-35 kt by afternoon. A few higher gusts are possible this afternoon, especially at the city and coastal terminals.

NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support .

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

KJFK TAF Comments: A few gusts to 40 kt are possible late this morning through this afternoon.

The afternoon KJFK haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KLGA TAF Comments: A few gusts above 35 kt are possible late this morning through this afternoon.

The afternoon KLGA haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KEWR TAF Comments: A few gusts to 40 kt are possible late this morning through this afternoon.

The afternoon KEWR haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KTEB TAF Comments: A few gusts to 35 kt are possible late this morning through this afternoon.

KHPN TAF Comments: A few gusts to 35 kt are possible late this morning through this afternoon.

KISP TAF Comments: A few gusts to 40 kt are possible late this morning through this afternoon.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY. Friday. VFR. W winds G25-30kt. Saturday. VFR. W/NW winds G20-25kt. Sunday. VFR. NW winds G15-20kt. Monday. VFR expected.

MARINE. A Gale Warning is in effect for all waters today and through early Friday morning as strengthening westerly winds increase to up to 40 kts and waves increase to 7 to 9 feet south of Long Island. Gale conditions may persist into Friday afternoon, particularly on the ocean, as the low continues to pull away from the region.

Winds and seas slowly diminish to below SCA conditions by Friday night and into Saturday for all waters, but marginal SCA ocean seas may linger into Sunday for the ocean waters.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic issues are anticipated for entire forecast period.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Gale Warning until 6 AM EST Friday for ANZ330-335-338-340-345- 350-353-355.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MHRN6 8 mi48 min W 25 G 31
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 8 mi48 min 40°F 43°F997.8 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 8 mi48 min W 31 G 37 41°F 43°F998.2 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 10 mi48 min W 35 G 45 40°F 996.9 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 14 mi48 min 40°F 42°F997.6 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 26 mi36 min W 25 G 33 42°F 997.8 hPa33°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 28 mi48 min WNW 25 G 29 41°F 42°F996.6 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 33 mi51 min WSW 23 G 35 41°F 32°F34°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 42 mi46 min WSW 23 G 35 42°F 3 ft33°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 42 mi48 min WNW 24 G 32 40°F 42°F1000.8 hPa

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ13 mi15 minWSW 19 G 3210.00 miMostly Cloudy and Breezy40°F28°F65%998.3 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY19 mi15 minWSW 9 G 2510.00 miOvercast41°F28°F60%997.4 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY21 mi15 minW 26 G 3510.00 miMostly Cloudy and Windy42°F30°F65%998 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY22 mi15 minW 23 G 3410.00 miMostly Cloudy and Windy41°F27°F57%997.5 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ23 mi15 minW 20 G 2810.00 miMostly Cloudy and Breezy40°F28°F65%997.2 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ24 mi21 minW 14 G 2510.00 miMostly Cloudy39°F32°F75%998.6 hPa
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ24 mi10 minW 17 G 2810.00 miOvercast39°F28°F67%999.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWR

Wind History from EWR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE3SE5E7E5E4E7E6E7E6E7E8E6E9
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1 day ago43E33E5E5CalmCalmCalmE5E3E3NE3NE5NE5NE5N5NE7N4NE6NE6N5NE5E4
2 days agoCalmS4W4S8S10SE7SE6E5NE3NE4NE3CalmS3S7SW6SW11SW6S5SW5SW4SW4S4CalmS5

Tide / Current Tables for Great Kills Harbor, New York
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Great Kills Harbor
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Thu -- 04:26 AM EST     0.18 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:34 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:42 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:15 AM EST     4.53 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:38 PM EST     0.03 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:45 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 09:37 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:33 PM EST     4.46 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.52.51.50.70.20.31.12.33.44.24.54.43.82.71.60.70.10.10.71.93.144.44.4

Tide / Current Tables for The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current
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The Narrows
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:03 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:14 AM EST     -1.88 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:33 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:48 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:41 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 09:12 AM EST     1.51 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 12:16 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:30 PM EST     -1.92 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 05:44 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:08 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 09:36 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 09:37 PM EST     1.57 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0-0.9-1.6-1.9-1.7-1.2-0.60.211.51.410.3-0.7-1.5-1.9-1.9-1.4-0.7-0.10.81.51.51.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.