Tuesday, May26, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Keansburg borough, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:29AMSunset 8:18PM Tuesday May 26, 2020 4:22 PM EDT (20:22 UTC) Moonrise 8:39AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 22% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 323 Pm Edt Tue May 26 2020
Tonight..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Patchy fog after midnight. Vsby less than 1 nm after midnight.
Wed..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Patchy fog in the morning. Vsby less than 1 nm in the morning.
Wed night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Patchy fog in the morning. Chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Thu night..S winds around 10 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Chance of showers. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog in the morning. Chance of showers and tstms. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Fri night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Chance of tstms in the evening. Chance of showers.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Sat night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun night..NW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 323 Pm Edt Tue May 26 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Offshore high pressure will slowly drift east through the middle of the week. A cold frontal passage is expected Saturday. High pressure returns for the end of the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Keansburg borough, NJ
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location: 40.53, -74.14     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 261950 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 350 PM EDT Tue May 26 2020

SYNOPSIS. Offshore high pressure will continue ridging across the area through Thursday. A slow moving cold front approaches Friday and moves through Saturday. High pressure returns Sunday into early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/. Areas of fog, along with some stratus, remains just south of Long Island, and as the land cools this evening the stratus and fog is expected to move inland. Timing may be similar to what had occurred Monday evening with stratus and fog along the south shore of Long Island 23Z to 00Z. A weak southeast to south flow remains with high pressure centered off the northeast coast and nosing into the mid Atlantic region. Moisture is again expected to be rather shallow 2000 ft or less, with subsidence and a strong low level inversion once again. Not expecting widespread drizzle so will leave out of the forecast. However, will bring in clouds and fog, which may become dense after 05Z, around 23Z to 00Z. Holding off on a dense fog advisory at this time.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. Strong upper ridging remains Wednesday and begins to gradually weaken Wednesday night, mainly after 06Z as a wave along the Florida coast begins to track north. The daytime will be nearly a repeat of Monday and Tuesday with morning stratus and fog dissipating through the morning, with timing uncertainty.

The offshore high remains Wednesday night and once again a weak southeast to south flow remains with stratus and fog again. Low level moisture will be transported into the area later Wednesday night as the weak wave of low pressure moves into the central Appalachians by 12Z Thursday. A few showers will be nearing the western zones by Thursday morning, and have slight chance probabilities by 10Z Thursday.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. A strong upper level ridge over the Western Atlantic on Thursday, slowly weakening and moving offshore into the weekend. A northern stream shortwave will traverses across the US and Canada border Thursday into Friday and then across New England this weekend. At the same time, a southern stream upper low over the southern Plains will slowly weaken and lift towards the eastern seaboard on Friday. The interactions of these two streams and how the Western Atlantic ridge breaks down will be key to the timing of potential unsettled weather Friday and Saturday.

Thursday morning starts off with some fog and low clouds as has been the case in recent mornings due to a warm and humid air mass over sea surface temperatures in the lower 50s. A wave of tropical moisture currently along the Florida coast is progged to get deflected up the eastern seaboard around the periphery of the ridge. The system is going to weaken with only remnant moisture that will need to be watched for possible enhanced showers. This moisture may end up west of our region, but will show a chance PoP into Thursday to account for potential showers during the day. Surface ridging and warm temperatures aloft should prevent any thunder. The surface high and ridge break down further on Friday as the aforementioned northern stream shortwave approaches. This sends a slow moving cold front towards the area on Friday, with development of a pre-frontal trough near or just west of the area late Friday. Showers and thunderstorms are possible, especially north and west of NYC, late in the day and evening. The cold front slowly moves into the area Friday night. Loss of daytime heating should act to weaken any shower and thunderstorm activity.

The cold front may not fully move east of the area until late Saturday. The interactions of the southern and northern stream appear to be key to whether or not a wave develops along the front (GFS, GEFS), or if the deepest moisture and best lift end up offshore on Saturday (ECMWF, CMC). Despite some of the models showing little to no precipitation, have kept chance PoPs through the day. This is due to the actual cold front being slow to move east and lingering upper trough axis near the region.

Dry conditions return Saturday night as the front should be offshore. High pressure builds down out of Southern Canada for Sunday into early next week with dry conditions expected.

Warm and humid conditions will continue into Saturday. The warmest day will likely be Friday with highs away from the coast in the upper 70s and lower 80s. Temperatures on Thursday will be held down in the 70s for most locations due to more cloud cover throughout the day. Temperatures Saturday are a bit challenging and could end up higher if the front is slow to clear the area and conditions are mainly dry. A return to temperatures slightly cooler than normal are forecast Sunday into next Tuesday with highs in the upper 60s and lower 70s. Humidity levels will be much lower during this time as well.

AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Offshore high pressure will continue to ridge across the area the next several days. This will keep the terminals under a weak, mainly moist onshore flow.

Improvement to VFR has taken place at all the terminals. Low stratus and fog offshore will gradually move back over the area resulting in a repeat performance from last night with not much change in the airmass. Expect many terminals to fall to IFR or less by 02-04z.

Southerly winds 10kt or less will become light and variable overnight.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. Wednesday afternoon-Thursday. VFR. Chance of IFR with areas of fog Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Thursday night-Saturday. MVFR possible. A Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunday. Mainly VFR.

MARINE. A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect for the Ocean waters and the South Shore Bays until 15z as fog moves back over the waters and visibilities fall to 1 nautical mile or less. The fog and stratus is expected to move over the remainder of the waters tonight, however with low confidence on timing, will let the evening shift monitor the need for any expansion of the dense fog advisory.

Otherwise, high pressure over the Western Atlantic will keep winds and seas below SCA levels through Wednesday night. Additional fog is expected Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

High pressure over the Western Atlantic will keep winds and seas below SCA levels Thursday. More fog is possible Thursday morning and then again Friday morning. Winds may increase ahead of a cold front on Friday and could come close to 20 kt on the ocean. Ocean seas also build to 5 to 6 ft. Winds should gradually weaken Friday night into Saturday, but 5 ft ocean seas may persist into the first half of the weekend. Winds and seas are then expected to remain below SCA levels late Saturday into Sunday.

HYDROLOGY. Any drizzle tonight and Wednesday night will be light with no hydrologic impacts.

Showers are possible at times Thursday into Saturday. Some thunderstorms are also possible Friday into Saturday with a chance for minor urban and poor drainage flooding.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is undergoing its final stages of testing, and is operating at full power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ345-350- 353-355.

SYNOPSIS . DS/MET NEAR TERM . MET SHORT TERM . MET LONG TERM . DS AVIATION . BC MARINE . BC/DS HYDROLOGY . DS/MET EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MHRN6 8 mi52 min ESE 8 G 11
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 8 mi52 min 73°F 63°F1022.5 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 8 mi52 min ESE 9.9 G 13 62°F 60°F1023.4 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 10 mi52 min S 16 G 17 60°F 1022.6 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 14 mi52 min 70°F 60°F1022.7 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 26 mi32 min SE 5.8 G 5.8 58°F 55°F2 ft1022.9 hPa58°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 28 mi52 min SSW 9.9 G 11 70°F 1023 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 33 mi52 min ENE 5.8 G 5.8 65°F 32°F62°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 42 mi82 min E 5.8 G 7.8 63°F 1 ft60°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 42 mi58 min Calm G 1 80°F 68°F1022.4 hPa

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ13 mi31 minVar 610.00 miA Few Clouds75°F60°F60%1021.9 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY19 mi31 minno data10.00 miFair75°F59°F58%1022 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY21 mi31 minSSE 810.00 miA Few Clouds68°F60°F76%1023 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY22 mi31 minSSE 1010.00 miA Few Clouds75°F59°F58%1021.8 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ23 mi31 minSSE 910.00 miFair78°F61°F56%1021.2 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ24 mi97 minSSW 310.00 miClear81°F66°F62%1022 hPa
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ24 mi26 minE 910.00 miFair70°F63°F79%1023 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEWR

Wind History from EWR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr6SE7SE6SE6SE3S4S4SE3SE3S3CalmCalmCalmCalmN3S4CalmCalmCalmS5S7SE6S66
1 day agoSE10SE9SE9SE8SE7SE6SE4SE4CalmW5N6N8NE8NE7NE8NE7NE8N5E5E3N4E5E3E9
2 days agoNE15
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NE10NE11NE11NE13NE11NE12NE9N8N6E8E835SE7

Tide / Current Tables for Great Kills Harbor, New York
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Great Kills Harbor
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 05:42 AM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:38 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:26 AM EDT     4.36 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:32 PM EDT     0.63 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:19 PM EDT     5.35 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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54.12.91.80.90.30.20.81.93.13.94.34.33.82.921.10.70.71.32.644.95.3

Tide / Current Tables for The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current
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The Narrows
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:09 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:25 AM EDT     -2.08 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:16 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:38 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:27 AM EDT     1.29 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 01:23 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:28 PM EDT     -1.72 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 07:48 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:45 PM EDT     1.79 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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10.2-0.9-1.7-2-2-1.5-0.8-0.20.61.21.20.90.3-0.6-1.3-1.7-1.7-1.2-0.50.10.81.61.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.