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FXUS63 KLBF 102314 AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service North Platte NE 514 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023

KEY MESSAGES

* Quiet weather and mild temperatures in the upper 40s to low 50s are expected through Monday.

* Light snow is possible across the western Sandhills and into north central Nebraska on Monday night/Tuesday with accumulations less than a half inch and highs only rising into the mid 30s.

* A return to dry conditions is expected into the beginning of next weekend with temperatures returning into the upper 40s/low 50s.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
Issued at 241 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023

Limited weather concerns are expected in the short term as weak ridging and zonal flow sets up across the western US. Dry weather will continue through Monday as surface high pressure remains overhead. Moderate warm air advection with 850 mb temperatures in the 2 to 6 C range will keep temperatures on the milder side of guidance. Currently expecting lows in the 20s tonight with highs in the upper 40s to low 50s on Monday. However, with a lack of significant snowpack and plenty of sun, could see Monday afternoon highs needing to be increased a few degrees in the next issuance, much like today.

More active weather arrives on Monday night as a shortwave pushes through the High Plains. Snow showers will develop across the Panhandle after Midnight Tuesday morning and slowly push eastward through Tuesday afternoon. However, limited forcing and moisture will keep showers as isolated with only light accumulations.
Generally, these showers will be just a nuisance with accumulations under a half inch keeping significant impacts to a minimum.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
Issued at 241 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023

Snow diminishes by Tuesday evening with a brief period of quiet weather returning for the majority of the rest of the week. Another disturbance will skirt just to the south of Nebraska on Wednesday night and Thursday morning and may impact our extreme southern counties (Chase, Hayes, Frontier). At this time, confidence remains low in track and strength of these systems and therefore only a brief mention is in the forecast at this time.

For temperatures, a colder airmass arrives on Tuesday behind the trough resulting in highs only rising up into the mid 30s. A steady climb back into the 40s is then expected through the end of the week. Lows remain fairly consistent in the 20s into the beginning of next weekend.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
Issued at 512 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023

VFR conditions prevail across western and north central Nebraska through the period. Northwesterly winds continue through the entire period at 10kts or less.

LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.

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