Bay Park, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Bay Park, NY

June 17, 2024 9:20 AM EDT (13:20 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:21 AM   Sunset 8:29 PM
Moonrise 4:21 PM   Moonset 2:14 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ355 Sandy Hook Nj To Fire Island Inlet Ny Out 20 Nm- 558 Am Edt Mon Jun 17 2024

Today - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with occasional gusts up to 25 kt late. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 8 seconds.

Tonight - S winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: se 4 ft at 6 seconds and se 1 ft at 12 seconds.

Tue - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 6 seconds and se 2 ft at 12 seconds.

Tue night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 12 seconds.

Wed - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 1 ft at 11 seconds.

Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 10 seconds.

Thu - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.

Thu night - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.

Fri - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.

Fri night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.

ANZ300 558 Am Edt Mon Jun 17 2024

Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure remains centered off the mid atlantic coast through Thursday before slowly weakening and drifting east. A surface trough lingers over the area for the end of the week through the first half of the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bay Park, NY
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Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 171125 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 725 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure remains centered off the Mid-Atlantic coast through Thursday before slowly weakening and drifting east. A surface trough lingers over the area for the end of the week through the first half of the weekend. A low pressure system approaches on Sunday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Included patchy fog in the forecast this morning as it remains possible, particularly in more rural areas with calmer winds.
Otherwise, forecast remains on track with only minor adjustments to account for the latest observations with respect to temperature and dew points.

High pressure offshore is continuing to provide dry conditions under a mostly clear sky. Some lower stratus have developed over NE NJ and moved into portions of the Lower Hudson Valley due to a light onshore flow enhancing low level moisture in the area.
Otherwise, some high cirrus are streaming through the area from the northwest.

Temperatures will be on the increase today as an upper level ridge builds over the East Coast. a mainly southerly component to the wind will allow an increase in dew points as well today.
Highs will be in the 80s with some locations for the Lower Hudson Valley and NE NJ approaching 90. Eastern locations may only rise into the upper 70s.

Continued moisture advection into the area will prevent low temperatures from dropping too much, despite mostly clear skies expected. Lows will be in the middle 60s to lower 70s near the NYC metro.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
The strong ridge continues to strengthen over the area on Tuesday and Wednesday, allowing for the beginning of a heat wave in much of the area. High temperatures on Tuesday will be in the low to middle 90s for much of NE NJ, the Lower Hudson Valley and portions of interior southern CT. This heat combined with dew points in the upper 60s will allow for heat index values in the 95-100 degree range for the western half of the area. After collaboration with the surround offices and anticipation of the extended heat through the week, opted to include Northern Fairfield and Northern New Haven counties in Southern Connecticut to the existing heat advisory for Tuesday.

Heat advisories will likely need to be expanded to other counties in interior southern Connecticut and perhaps closer to the coast. A southerly flow is providing a sheltering effect from the heat for the NYC metro, Long Island, and the immediate Connecticut coastline so details on the exact extent of the heat in these locations is a bit more uncertain. It's important to note however that although these locations may not result in heat index values high enough to warrant an advisory, highs in the middle to upper 80s and with heat index values near 90 will still necessitate caution when exposed to the heat.

Lows Tuesday night and Wednesday night will be only in the upper 60s to low 70s for much of the area.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
**Key Points**

* The heat wave is expected to continue in the long term period, peaking Thursday and Friday and continuing through at least Saturday.

* The combination of the heat and humidity will produce heat index values of 95 to potentially around 105 during this time.

* Not much relief at night as overnight lows will be in the upper 60s to the mid 70s, with dew points remaining in the 60s.

The upper level ridge continues to slowly flatten on Thursday in response to an upper level trough moving through northern Canada.
Latest guidance continues to show highly anomalous 500mb heights around 598dam to 599dam. To give an idea of how anomalous this is, the highest 500mb height the OKX sounding has ever recorded is 598dam per the SPC Sounding Climatology Page and the highest ever recorded in June is 597dam. At the surface, high pressure centered offshore to our southeast will slowly weaken and drift east Thursday as a surface trough lingers over the area. This pattern will continue the heat and humidity across the area. The heat wave will likely peak Thursday and Friday and could continue until at least Saturday. Current Advisories will likely be expanded to include more counties and extended in time. Excessive Heat Watches/Warnings can not be completely ruled out either at this time. There is potential for a few climate sites to near or break high temperatures records on Thursday and Friday. Also, with overnight temperatures remaining elevated a few locations may set record high minimum temperatures Thursday, and possibly Saturday.

With the intense heat and high humidity it is important to take precautions to protect one's health, particularly those without effective cooling and/or adequate hydration.

With the upper level ridge flattening for the end of the week and weekend, some weak disturbances track near or just north of the area. A low pressure system then looks to approach the area on Sunday. Slight chance to chance of showers/thunderstorms starts Friday and continues through the weekend.

AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Offshore high pressure remains in control through the TAF period.

VFR. Lingering low stratus currently only affecting KHPN and is expected to improve before or just after 12z.

Winds will remain southerly through the TAF period. Wind speeds will increase to 10-15 kt range with some slightly higher wind speeds for NYC terminals. Wind gusts this afternoon into early this evening are expected to be near 20-25 kt. Winds then fall below 10 kt again for tonight.

...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Start and end timing of gusts could be a few hours off from the TAF.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Tuesday through Friday: Mainly VFR. S-SW wind gusts 15-20 kt afternoon into early evening for Tuesday and Wednesday.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
With high pressure largely in control, sub Small Craft Advisory conditions are expected through at least the first half of the weekend.

HYDROLOGY
There are no hydrologic concerns through the end of next week.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
A moderate risk of rip currents at the ocean beaches continues through Tuesday with a southerly flow, and southeast to south swells.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Heat Advisory from noon Tuesday to 8 PM EDT Wednesday for CTZ005-006.
NY...Heat Advisory from noon Tuesday to 8 PM EDT Wednesday for NYZ067>070.
NJ...Heat Advisory from noon Tuesday to 8 PM EDT Wednesday for NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 13 mi51 minS 8G9.9 69°F 63°F30.23
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 18 mi31 minSSW 9.7G12 69°F 68°F2 ft30.2467°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 19 mi51 min 70°F 66°F30.18
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 21 mi51 minS 7G8 69°F 30.23
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 21 mi51 minSSW 7G9.9 70°F 71°F30.24
MHRN6 26 mi51 minSSW 7G8.9
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 37 mi31 minS 7.8G7.8 68°F 67°F2 ft30.2466°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 46 mi51 minSE 2.9G4.1 67°F 62°F30.19


Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KJFK JOHN F KENNEDY INTL,NY 6 sm29 minSSW 0810 smPartly Cloudy73°F63°F69%30.24
KFRG REPUBLIC,NY 15 sm27 minSSW 0810 smPartly Cloudy73°F63°F69%30.23
KLGA LAGUARDIA,NY 15 sm29 minSSW 1010 smMostly Cloudy75°F57°F54%30.21
KJRB DOWNTOWN MANHATTAN/WALL ST,NY 19 sm24 minSW 0410 smOvercast72°F61°F69%30.24
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Wind History graph: JFK
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Tide / Current for East Rockaway, Long Island, New York
   
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East Rockaway
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Mon -- 02:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 05:27 AM EDT     3.32 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:54 AM EDT     0.65 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:06 PM EDT     4.13 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

East Rockaway, Long Island, New York, Tide feet
12
am
0.9
1
am
1.2
2
am
1.8
3
am
2.5
4
am
3
5
am
3.3
6
am
3.3
7
am
2.9
8
am
2.3
9
am
1.7
10
am
1.2
11
am
0.8
12
pm
0.7
1
pm
1
2
pm
1.7
3
pm
2.6
4
pm
3.3
5
pm
3.9
6
pm
4.1
7
pm
4
8
pm
3.4
9
pm
2.7
10
pm
2
11
pm
1.3


Tide / Current for Throg,s Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Throg,s Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current, knots


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Northeast   
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Upton, NY,




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