Saturday, August24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oak Beach-Captree, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:11AMSunset 7:40PM Saturday August 24, 2019 7:12 AM EDT (11:12 UTC) Moonrise 12:03AMMoonset 2:51PM Illumination 36% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ345 South Shore Bays From Jones Inlet Through Shinnecock Bay- 612 Am Edt Sat Aug 24 2019
Today..NE winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun night..NE winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Mon..NE winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Mon night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Tue..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
ANZ300 612 Am Edt Sat Aug 24 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds to the north through the weekend, and across the canadian maritimes early next week. Low pressure may pass south and east of the local area through the middle of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oak Beach-Captree CDP, NY
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location: 40.66, -73.28     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 241018
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
618 am edt Sat aug 24 2019

Synopsis
High pressure builds to the north through the weekend, and across
the canadian maritimes early next week. Low pressure may pass south
and east of the local area through the middle of next week, followed
by a slow moving cold front during the second half of the week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Updated to capture the latest observational trends, otherwise
the forecast remains on track.

High pressure builds to the north today while a trough lingers
across the area aloft. With a significantly drier airmass in place,
this should result in mostly sunny and pleasant conditions with
just a few fair weather clouds. Highs will range from the mid
70s to around 80.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Sunday
High pressure settles over maine Saturday night, allowing east to
northeast flow to become established across the region. While
Saturday night is expected to remain dry, clouds will begin to
increase as the low levels moisten. By Sunday morning, light rain
and drizzle is possible, primarily across coastal areas. While an
increase in cloud cover is expected farther inland across northeast
new jersey and the lower hudson valley, conditions there should
generally remain dry.

High temperatures on Sunday are expected to remain several degrees
below normal for late august, only topping out in the mid 70s.

There is a moderate risk of rip current development at atlantic
ocean beaches on Sunday.

Long term Sunday night through Friday
As the high gradually drifts to the east, light rain and or drizzle
could linger into Sunday night for some locations, with clouds
lingering into the day on Monday under persistent east to northeast
flow.

Attention then turns to the potential for tropical development off
the southeast coast and a slow moving cold front that approaches the
region during the mid to late week period. At this time, any
potential tropical system would bring mainly indirect impacts to the
region as global models continue to be in good agreement with this
system passing well south and east of the area. For the local area,
this could result in the potential for coastal flooding and
dangerous rip currents, depending on the exact strength and track of
the system. See the tides and coastal flooding section for more
details on the coastal flood potential.

A cold front then approaches the region late Wednesday, moving
slowly through the area on Thursday. While differences remain,
models are in much better agreement with respect to the timing of
this system than 24 hours ago. High pressure builds in for Thursday
night into Friday.

After below normal temperatures again on Monday, near normal
temperatures are expected through the remainder of the long term
period, with highs generally in the lower 80s and overnight lows
falling into the mid 60s to around 70.

Aviation 10z Saturday through Wednesday
High pressure over the great lakes builds to the north of the
terminals this weekend.

Vfr through the TAF period.

North winds continue to increase early this morning. There could be
few gusts up to 20 kt 09z-15z, mainly at the coast. The wind
direction veers to the NE by afternoon with the potential for the
winds to veer to the E at coastal terminals. There is a low chance
for a SE sea breeze at jfk, isp, bdr and gon in the early evening.

Winds back to the NE tonight.

Outlook for 06z Sunday through Wednesday
Saturday night Vfr.

Sunday MVFR possible, with a slight chance of light rain or
drizzle. NE gusts 20-25 kt possible along the coast.

Monday MainlyVFR. NE gusts 20 kt along the coast.

Tuesday MainlyVFR. Slight chance of showers.

Wednesday Chance of MVFR in afternoon showers and isolated
thunderstorms.

Marine
A prolonged period of SCA conditions is possible Sunday into
the middle of the next week. Initially, with high pressure to
the north strong northeasterly flow sets up Sunday into Monday,
with gusts of 25-30 kt on the ocean and seas building to 4 to 6
ft. Waves are then likely to remain above 5 ft on the ocean
waters through the mid-week period as a tropical cyclone
potentially develops and tracks south and east of the waters.

Wave heights and wind gusts remain uncertain at this time due to
the uncertainty in the exact track and strength of the storm.

Hydrology
No hydrologic impacts are anticipated through the middle of next
week.

Tides coastal flooding
A prolonged period of easterly flow will increase tide levels over
the next several days. Localized minor coastal flooding is possible
with Monday and Tuesday afternoon evening high tides along the south
shore back bays of queens and nassau counties.

Equipment
Nyc NOAA weather radio station kwo35 (162.55 mhz) remains off
the air.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Nj... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Feb
near term... Feb
short term... Feb
long term... Feb jp
aviation... Ds
marine... Feb
hydrology... Feb
tides coastal flooding...

equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44069 11 mi57 min N 12 G 14 66°F 78°F58°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 28 mi54 min NE 12 G 14 65°F 74°F1021 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 29 mi82 min NNE 18 G 21 69°F 73°F4 ft1018.4 hPa (+1.6)
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 30 mi42 min NNE 16 G 19 68°F 72°F1019.7 hPa58°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 36 mi60 min NNE 5.1 G 7 60°F 74°F1019.6 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 39 mi54 min 67°F 76°F1020.3 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 41 mi54 min NE 8.9 G 15 66°F 77°F1020.2 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 42 mi54 min N 12 G 13 65°F 1020.1 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 46 mi60 min 66°F 76°F1020.3 hPa
MHRN6 47 mi54 min N 12 G 15
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 47 mi60 min NE 4.1 G 8.9 61°F 74°F1019.6 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY8 mi19 minNNE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy63°F54°F73%1020.3 hPa
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY14 mi16 minN 610.00 miA Few Clouds64°F55°F73%1020.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFRG

Wind History from FRG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5NE9--N8N6N5N6N6NE7N6N7N6N4NW4N4N5--------N7NE7N7N7
1 day agoW4W6W7NW73W7W9NW6
G15
SW9SW10S10SW13W5--S6------W4--NW4--N10N7
2 days agoS6S8----SW12SW14
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SW13--S6S5--SW4W4--SW3

Tide / Current Tables for Oak Beach, Great South Bay, New York
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Amityville, Long Island, New York
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Amityville
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:03 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:44 AM EDT     1.07 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:36 AM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:06 PM EDT     1.28 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:38 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.40.60.911.110.80.60.40.30.20.20.40.611.21.31.21.10.90.70.50.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.