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FXUS63 KGID 100531 AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hastings NE 1131 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023

KEY MESSAGES

- Strong northwest winds gusting to near 50 MPH at times will gradually diminish across the area this evening.

- Cooler overnight tonight (teens & 20s) as winds decrease and skies clear. Warmer Sunday and Monday before a cold front drops temps below normal (30s) next Tuesday, with a return to 40s for the remainder of the forecast period.

- Mostly dry conditions over the next 7 days with a small chance (10-30%) for some measurable precip beginning as early as Wednesday night and continuing off and on through Friday night. Most areas will likely remain dry.

DISCUSSION
Issued at 303 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023

Strong northwesterly winds developed across the area early this morning and should be peaking over the next couple of hours. So far...most gusts have topped out in the mid to upper 40 MPH range, but we have seen a handful of gusts in excess of 50 MPH.
As surface high pressure begins to nudge in from the west overnight...expect a gradual decrease in winds this evening and overnight, although they will likely remain steady near 10 MPH after midnight as the pressure gradient is not expected to completely relax until Sunday afternoon. With lighter winds and clearing skies overnight, should see decent radiation cooling across the area (although not exactly ideal due to still steady winds), allowing temperatures to drop into the upper teens and lower 20s across the region...which is pretty close to climo for mid-December.

After a cooler start to the day on Sunday, high pressure aloft will begin to build across the region, with temperatures expected to gradually climb across the area both Sunday and Monday, before yet another cold front crosses the area Monday night. While this front looks dry, temperatures will likely fall back below normal on Tuesday, before returning to near seasonal norms (lower 40s) to finish out the forecast period.

While there are multiple small (10-30%) chances of precip across the area beginning as early as Wednesday night as a low cuts off across the southwest and the northern jet becomes a bit more active, right now the local area looks mainly to be on the fringes of any precip, and most areas will likely remain dry or see little precipitation (less than 0.10") through the end of next week. Ensembles are in agreement with this, with most members remaining precip free and only a handful indicating precip amounts from a trace to a couple of tenths.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
Issued at 1128 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023

VFR Conditions expected through TAF period. Mid level clouds will arrive during the early morning hours on Sunday. Winds will become southwesterly by the late morning hours. Gusts over 15 knots will be possible during the afternoon hours before decreasing after sunset. Cloud coverage will decrease during the evening.

GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...None.
KS...None.

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