Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for East Patchogue, NY
November 8, 2024 1:02 AM EST (06:02 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:30 AM Sunset 4:41 PM Moonrise 1:56 PM Moonset 11:43 PM |
ANZ345 South Shore Bays From Jones Inlet Through Shinnecock Bay- 1013 Pm Est Thu Nov 7 2024
.small craft advisory in effect from 10 am est Friday through late Friday night - .
Rest of tonight - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri - W winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night - NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat night - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Sun night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Rain.
Mon - W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Mon night - W winds around 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Tue - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
ANZ300 1013 Pm Est Thu Nov 7 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure will the briefly nose in from the west tonight. A cold front will pass Friday evening. High pressure follows Friday night then move offshore on Sunday, with a frontal system passing through Sunday night into Monday. High pressure will then build in through the middle of next week.
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Patchogue, Great South Bay, New York, Tide feet
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Smith Point Bridge, Narrow Bay, Long Island, New York, Tide feet
Area Discussion for New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 080536 AFDOKX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1236 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will the briefly nose in from the west tonight. A cold front will pass Friday evening. High pressure follows Friday night then move offshore on Sunday, with a frontal system passing through Sunday night into Monday. High pressure will then build in through the middle of next week, followed by another frontal system late in the week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
The forecast is on track with only minor changes needed.
Cold air advection will take hold this evening under NW flow and weak high pressure before the winds back to the west overnight. With clear skies under light winds, can expect an optimal radiational cooling night. Overnight lows will be in the low-50s in the NYC metro, 40s for most of the area, and in the upper/mid-30s for far northern interior locations and the LI Pine Barrens. Interior locations and the LI Pine Barrens will see a chance for some frost late tonight and in the early morning hours.
SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/
A surface low associated with a trough aloft will move from near the Hudson Bay and dig into the Canadian Maritimes tomorrow evening and tomorrow night. This will bring another dry cold front our way tomorrow evening into early tomorrow night followed by high pressure moving in from the west.
The pressure gradient begins to increase through the day which will lead to increasing westerly winds that may gust between 25-30 mph (winds aloft at low levels look to be around 35 kts) and lead to lower humidity values between 25% and 35% in the afternoon under mostly sunny skies. Isolated stronger gusts are possible. These conditions will lead to increased risk for fire danger, with a Red Flag Warning in place tomorrow for the entire CWA Winds will reach their peak following the frontal passage before winding down towards daybreak on Saturday as the pressure gradient relaxes and high pressure starts to move in. The risk of fire danger lowers tomorrow night, despite winds, as relative humidity values rise to 50-70%.
Highs will be milder tomorrow in the upper/mid-60s. Another cool night is expected tomorrow night with lows in the low-40s to mid- 30s.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
Key Point:
* Widespread rain expected Sunday night into early Monday.
Surface high pressure with upper level ridging will be in place over the area on Saturday, which will gradually shift offshore into Sunday. Dry through the period. Light to calm winds Sunday night and a mainly clear sky will promote strong radiational cooling with the surface ridge axis over us. Sunday night's low temp forecast is heavily based on bias-corrected MOS, as NBM is typically too warm in these setups. Frost advisories may eventually be needed in areas where the growing season has not ended yet.
Low pressure moving across the Great Lakes runs into deep-layered ridging as it heads toward northern New England. Still enough moisture and lift along its attendant warm and cold fronts for rain mainly during Sunday night. Looking at mostly likely a quarter to half inch of rainfall with this event.
After a lingering chance of rain early Monday, drying conditions through the mid-week period as high pressure builds back into the region from the north and west. The next chance of rain then occurs Wednesday night through Thursday night with the potential of another frontal system. Global models disagree on the details of the system, so PoPs have been capped at 40 percent.
High temperatures through the period will be around or slightly above normal for the most part, with Monday featuring highs around 10 degrees above normal in the mid 60s.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
High pressure builds to the west of the area through Friday night. A dry cold front, from the north, passes through the region Friday afternoon.
VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period.
N to NW winds diminish overnight to near 5kts or less with wind direction variable for most terminals. W winds increase to around 15 kt on Friday, with gusts G25-30 kt. Gusts weaken, but continue into Friday night.
...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB)TAF Uncertainty...
Start time of gusts could be 1-2 hours off from TAF.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
Friday Night: VFR. W winds around 15 kt, G25-30 kt, becoming NW 10- 15 kt, G20-25 kt at night, diminishing towards daybreak Saturday.
Saturday: VFR. NW winds 10-15 kt, G15-20 kt.
Sunday: VFR into the afternoon, then becoming MVFR with a chance of rain late. MVFR or lower in rain at night.
Monday: MVFR with rain early, eventually becoming VFR. Lowering chance of rain during the morning, ending in the afternoon.
Tuesday: VFR, NW G15-20 kt.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
A Small Craft Advisory has been issued for all waters starting at 10am Friday through Friday night. West winds increase ahead of a cold front and shifts northwest at night. Peak gusts are expected to be around 25 kts on most waters and peaking near 30 kts on ocean waters. Ocean waters will also see 5-6 foot waves Friday afternoon into Friday night.
Advisory conditions continue into Saturday on the ocean, falling below thresholds by Saturday night. Winds then pick up again Sunday night into Monday from the SW with the approach of a cold front. A developing low level jet should help bring 25 kt or greater gusts at least on the ocean waters, and possibly on some of the other waters as well starting Sunday night. Regardless, SCA conds will be likely on the ocean as seas probably build 5-7 feet. With the pressure gradient weakening, a return to sub-advisory conditions is anticipated for Monday night.
FIRE WEATHER
The pressure gradient begins to increase through the day which will lead to increasing westerly winds that may gust between 25-30 mph (winds aloft at low levels look to be around 35 kts) and lead to lower humidity values between 25% and 35% in the afternoon under mostly sunny skies. These conditions will lead to increased risk for fire danger, with a Red Flag Warning in place tomorrow for the entire CWA Winds will reach their peak following the frontal passage before winding down towards daybreak on Saturday as the pressure gradient relaxes and high pressure starts to move in. The risk of fire danger lowers tomorrow night, despite winds, as relative humidity values rise to 50-70%.
For Saturday, min RH 20-30% and NW winds gusting 15-20 mph expected.
HYDROLOGY
There are no hydrologic concerns through mid next week.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Red Flag Warning from 8 AM this morning to 6 PM EST this evening for CTZ005>012.
NY...Red Flag Warning from 8 AM this morning to 6 PM EST this evening for NYZ211>213.
NJ...Red Flag Warning from 8 AM this morning to 6 PM EST this evening for NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 6 AM EST Saturday for ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345-350-353-355.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1236 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will the briefly nose in from the west tonight. A cold front will pass Friday evening. High pressure follows Friday night then move offshore on Sunday, with a frontal system passing through Sunday night into Monday. High pressure will then build in through the middle of next week, followed by another frontal system late in the week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
The forecast is on track with only minor changes needed.
Cold air advection will take hold this evening under NW flow and weak high pressure before the winds back to the west overnight. With clear skies under light winds, can expect an optimal radiational cooling night. Overnight lows will be in the low-50s in the NYC metro, 40s for most of the area, and in the upper/mid-30s for far northern interior locations and the LI Pine Barrens. Interior locations and the LI Pine Barrens will see a chance for some frost late tonight and in the early morning hours.
SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/
A surface low associated with a trough aloft will move from near the Hudson Bay and dig into the Canadian Maritimes tomorrow evening and tomorrow night. This will bring another dry cold front our way tomorrow evening into early tomorrow night followed by high pressure moving in from the west.
The pressure gradient begins to increase through the day which will lead to increasing westerly winds that may gust between 25-30 mph (winds aloft at low levels look to be around 35 kts) and lead to lower humidity values between 25% and 35% in the afternoon under mostly sunny skies. Isolated stronger gusts are possible. These conditions will lead to increased risk for fire danger, with a Red Flag Warning in place tomorrow for the entire CWA Winds will reach their peak following the frontal passage before winding down towards daybreak on Saturday as the pressure gradient relaxes and high pressure starts to move in. The risk of fire danger lowers tomorrow night, despite winds, as relative humidity values rise to 50-70%.
Highs will be milder tomorrow in the upper/mid-60s. Another cool night is expected tomorrow night with lows in the low-40s to mid- 30s.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
Key Point:
* Widespread rain expected Sunday night into early Monday.
Surface high pressure with upper level ridging will be in place over the area on Saturday, which will gradually shift offshore into Sunday. Dry through the period. Light to calm winds Sunday night and a mainly clear sky will promote strong radiational cooling with the surface ridge axis over us. Sunday night's low temp forecast is heavily based on bias-corrected MOS, as NBM is typically too warm in these setups. Frost advisories may eventually be needed in areas where the growing season has not ended yet.
Low pressure moving across the Great Lakes runs into deep-layered ridging as it heads toward northern New England. Still enough moisture and lift along its attendant warm and cold fronts for rain mainly during Sunday night. Looking at mostly likely a quarter to half inch of rainfall with this event.
After a lingering chance of rain early Monday, drying conditions through the mid-week period as high pressure builds back into the region from the north and west. The next chance of rain then occurs Wednesday night through Thursday night with the potential of another frontal system. Global models disagree on the details of the system, so PoPs have been capped at 40 percent.
High temperatures through the period will be around or slightly above normal for the most part, with Monday featuring highs around 10 degrees above normal in the mid 60s.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
High pressure builds to the west of the area through Friday night. A dry cold front, from the north, passes through the region Friday afternoon.
VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period.
N to NW winds diminish overnight to near 5kts or less with wind direction variable for most terminals. W winds increase to around 15 kt on Friday, with gusts G25-30 kt. Gusts weaken, but continue into Friday night.
...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB)TAF Uncertainty...
Start time of gusts could be 1-2 hours off from TAF.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
Friday Night: VFR. W winds around 15 kt, G25-30 kt, becoming NW 10- 15 kt, G20-25 kt at night, diminishing towards daybreak Saturday.
Saturday: VFR. NW winds 10-15 kt, G15-20 kt.
Sunday: VFR into the afternoon, then becoming MVFR with a chance of rain late. MVFR or lower in rain at night.
Monday: MVFR with rain early, eventually becoming VFR. Lowering chance of rain during the morning, ending in the afternoon.
Tuesday: VFR, NW G15-20 kt.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
A Small Craft Advisory has been issued for all waters starting at 10am Friday through Friday night. West winds increase ahead of a cold front and shifts northwest at night. Peak gusts are expected to be around 25 kts on most waters and peaking near 30 kts on ocean waters. Ocean waters will also see 5-6 foot waves Friday afternoon into Friday night.
Advisory conditions continue into Saturday on the ocean, falling below thresholds by Saturday night. Winds then pick up again Sunday night into Monday from the SW with the approach of a cold front. A developing low level jet should help bring 25 kt or greater gusts at least on the ocean waters, and possibly on some of the other waters as well starting Sunday night. Regardless, SCA conds will be likely on the ocean as seas probably build 5-7 feet. With the pressure gradient weakening, a return to sub-advisory conditions is anticipated for Monday night.
FIRE WEATHER
The pressure gradient begins to increase through the day which will lead to increasing westerly winds that may gust between 25-30 mph (winds aloft at low levels look to be around 35 kts) and lead to lower humidity values between 25% and 35% in the afternoon under mostly sunny skies. These conditions will lead to increased risk for fire danger, with a Red Flag Warning in place tomorrow for the entire CWA Winds will reach their peak following the frontal passage before winding down towards daybreak on Saturday as the pressure gradient relaxes and high pressure starts to move in. The risk of fire danger lowers tomorrow night, despite winds, as relative humidity values rise to 50-70%.
For Saturday, min RH 20-30% and NW winds gusting 15-20 mph expected.
HYDROLOGY
There are no hydrologic concerns through mid next week.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Red Flag Warning from 8 AM this morning to 6 PM EST this evening for CTZ005>012.
NY...Red Flag Warning from 8 AM this morning to 6 PM EST this evening for NYZ211>213.
NJ...Red Flag Warning from 8 AM this morning to 6 PM EST this evening for NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 6 AM EST Saturday for ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345-350-353-355.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT | 30 mi | 44 min | E 1.9G | 64°F | 30.02 | |||
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT | 36 mi | 44 min | N 6G | 59°F | 30.06 | |||
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY | 37 mi | 32 min | N 7.8G | 59°F | 62°F | 30.07 | 48°F | |
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY | 41 mi | 44 min | NNW 8.9G | 60°F | 30.09 | |||
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor | 47 mi | 32 min | NNW 12G | 59°F | 61°F | 30.08 | 44°F |
Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KISP LONG ISLAND MAC ARTHUR,NY | 6 sm | 66 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 48°F | 41°F | 76% | 30.07 | |
KHWV BROOKHAVEN,NY | 7 sm | 6 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 45°F | 37°F | 76% | 30.06 | |
KFOK FRANCIS S GABRESKI,NY | 20 sm | 9 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 36°F | 25°F | 64% | 30.07 | |
KFRG REPUBLIC,NY | 22 sm | 9 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 50°F | 39°F | 66% | 30.07 |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KISP
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KISP
Wind History Graph: ISP
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of Northeast
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Upton, NY,
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