Stansbury Park, UT Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Stansbury Park, UT

June 16, 2024 5:35 AM MDT (11:35 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:55 AM   Sunset 9:03 PM
Moonrise 2:59 PM   Moonset 1:30 AM 
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Stansbury Park, UT
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Area Discussion for - Salt Lake City, UT
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT 403 AM MDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Winds increase over the southern and eastern portions of Utah today, bringing increasing risk of critical fire weather conditions. A stout cold front moves through the region on Monday, bringing much cooler conditions to the forecast area. Temperatures warm rapidly in the wake of the front with conditions remaining dry through at least Thursday, with increasing potential for moisture late in the week.

.SHORT TERM (Through 12Z/6AM Tuesday)...With a broad trough currently in place over the PacNW region, dry and increasingly strong southwesterly flow remains in place over the forecast area.
As such, fire weather conditions continue to be the main concern over the next 36-48 hours primarily over the southern and eastern portions of Utah. As of 0330, overnight relative humidity values have struggled to increase over southern and eastern Utah, where values have been noted anywhere from 7 to 20 percent. For some areas, we may not see much of a change between now and the peak heating of the day as far as humidity is concerned. Regardless, increasing southwesterly flow will help bump afternoon wind gusts up by 5 to 10 mph as compared to yesterday across southern and eastern Utah, increasing the overall risk of critical fire weather conditions. Red Flag Warnings remain in effect for areas with critically dry fuels. Across northern Utah, winds will be a bit more tame today as a more stable airmass lingers from a weak front that pushed through that area yesterday. The cooler airmass over northern Utah will help to maintain cooler temperatures across this area through the day... about 5-7 degrees cooler than Saturday.

Speaking of cooling temperatures, as we move into Monday, the broad trough will dig deeper into the western U.S. and push a dry cold front across the forecast area. Models continue to converge on the most likely timing of this cold frontal passage, but most guidance indicates that this front will progress through the northern half of the area starting Monday morning through the early afternoon, then progress through the southern half through the late evening hours. Winds are likely to peak just ahead of the frontal boundary, where peak gusts may approach the 45 mph mark across portions of southern and eastern Utah. The duration of winds are not anticipated to warrant any headlines, however, roads running perpendicular to the winds (north-south oriented) may experience difficult driving conditions. In addition, pockets of blowing dust will be possible where top soil is dry and loose.

Winds in the post frontal environment will be generally slower, however, given the density change of the airmass, thinking that winds may continue to gust upwards of 30 to 35 mph for a short period following the frontal passage. Downsloping/ canyon winds will be very possible for areas on the lee side of mountain ranges and canyons (e.g. areas on the southern and eastern side of mountains) late Monday/ early Tuesday. Of particular interest will be the SR-10 corridor from Fremont Junction through Price, where there is a 25% chance of winds gusting over 40 mph, and 10% chance of winds gusting over 55 mph. Will need to monitor trends in the high resolution models through the next 12-24 hours.

.LONG TERM (After 12Z/6AM Tuesday)...In the wake of Monday's frontal passage, a much cooler and more stable airmass will temporarily reside across the forecast area. Clearing skies Monday night along with this much colder airmass will allow min temps to fall near freezing across portions of the Wasatch Back and potentially the Cache Valley as well, and Freeze headlines may be needed if this trend holds. Max temperatures Tuesday afternoon will run nearly 15F below climo across northern Utah, where highs will struggle to reach the 70F mark across the northern valleys.
Further south temperatures will run closer to 10F below climo, with upper 80s to low 90s across the lower elevations of southern Utah.

A mean trough axis will remain situated to the west of the forecast area throughout the middle to latter portion of next week, leaving the forecast area under a mild and dry southerly flow aloft. Max temperatures will quickly rebound to near climo Wednesday, then continue to trend a few degrees warmer each day from Thursday into next weekend. Additionally, moisture being pulled into the southern and central Rockies may gradually spread west during the latter portion of next week, allowing for a small chance for showers and thunderstorms mainly over the far eastern CWA

KSLC...VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Winds will maintain a northerly component throughout the day, with a 30% chance of a period of light and variable winds during the 11-15Z timeframe. Winds will become southeast after 03Z this evening, before a cold front crosses the terminal around 09Z tonight turning winds back to the northwest.

VFR conditions will prevail across the region throughout the day. A cold front will bisect the area, with gusty southwest winds across southern Utah, and somewhat lighter winds across northern Utah.

A broad trough remains in place over the Pacific Northwest region, allowing for continued hot, dry, and windy southwesterly flow over Utah. Today, surface winds are expected to increase by 5 to 10 mph as compared to yesterday, increasing the overall fire weather risk over a more widespread area as these winds combine with single digit relative humidity in southern and eastern Utah.
Red Flag Warnings remain in effect for zones with critically dry fuels, however, the danger of critical fire weather conditions is not limited to these areas. Overnight recoveries are expected to be poor once again, ranging from 15-30% across the southern half of Utah, and 30-50% across the northern half of Utah.

A stout dry cold front is expected to push through the region on Monday, progressing across the northern half of the area from the mid-to-late morning through the afternoon, and across the southern half of the area from the afternoon through the late evening hours. Ahead of this frontal boundary, winds are expected to remain elevated and may even increase by another 5 mph as compared to Sunday. With the frontal progression, winds will shift to a northwesterly direction and may continue to gust upwards of 30-35 mph. On a positive note, the cooler overnight temperatures will help many areas see much better recoveries in overnight humidity.
That said, the dry nature of the cold front is not expected to have much of an effect on the daytime minimum humidity on Tuesday.
As such, afternoon minimums are still expected to fall into the upper single digits to mid-teens. Hot and dry conditions prevail through at least Thursday, with potential for increasing moisture by Friday.

UT...Red Flag Warning from noon today to 9 PM MDT Monday for UTZ495- 496.

Red Flag Warning until 3 AM MDT Tuesday for UTZ498.

Red Flag Warning from noon today to midnight MDT Monday night for UTZ497.


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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KTVY BOLINDER FIELDTOOELE VALLEY,UT 12 sm20 mincalm10 smClear55°F36°F47%29.95
KSLC SALT LAKE CITY INTL,UT 16 sm41 minN 0610 smPartly Cloudy61°F36°F39%29.91
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Salt Lake City, UT,

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