Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Harbor Hills, NY
February 17, 2025 3:59 PM EST (20:59 UTC) Change Location
![]() | Sunrise 6:43 AM Sunset 5:33 PM Moonrise 11:49 PM Moonset 9:50 AM |
ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 322 Pm Est Mon Feb 17 2025
.gale warning in effect through Tuesday morning - .
Tonight - W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 3 seconds. Chance of light freezing spray after midnight.
Tue - W winds 20 to 25 kt. Gusts up to 35 kt in the morning. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 3 seconds. Chance of light freezing spray in the morning.
Tue night - W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 2 seconds. Chance of light freezing spray in the evening.
Wed - NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less. Wave detail: W 1 ft at 2 seconds.
Wed night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Slight chance of snow after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu - NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Wave detail: nw 1 ft at 2 seconds. Chance of snow. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu night - NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri - NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri night - NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 322 Pm Est Mon Feb 17 2025
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - Low pressure meanders near the canadian maritimes tonight as a strong high drops down into the central us. The high gradually builds into the region from the west through midweek. An area of low pressure ejects off the southeast coast Wednesday night, passing south and east of the area Thursday. High pressure returns from the west for the end of the week.

NEW! Add second zone forecast
Willets Point Click for Map Mon -- 01:55 AM EST 7.06 feet High Tide Mon -- 06:46 AM EST Sunrise Mon -- 08:21 AM EST 0.51 feet Low Tide Mon -- 08:50 AM EST Moonset Mon -- 02:14 PM EST 6.52 feet High Tide Mon -- 05:32 PM EST Sunset Mon -- 08:17 PM EST 0.64 feet Low Tide Mon -- 10:48 PM EST Moonrise Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Willets Point, New York, Tide feet
12 am |
5.4 |
1 am |
6.7 |
2 am |
7.1 |
3 am |
6.8 |
4 am |
6 |
5 am |
4.5 |
6 am |
2.5 |
7 am |
1.1 |
8 am |
0.5 |
9 am |
0.6 |
10 am |
1.1 |
11 am |
2.3 |
12 pm |
4.3 |
1 pm |
5.9 |
2 pm |
6.5 |
3 pm |
6.4 |
4 pm |
5.9 |
5 pm |
4.8 |
6 pm |
3 |
7 pm |
1.4 |
8 pm |
0.7 |
9 pm |
0.8 |
10 pm |
1.2 |
11 pm |
2.3 |
Throg's Neck Click for Map Mon -- 02:45 AM EST -0.64 knots Max Ebb Mon -- 05:24 AM EST 0.00 knots Slack Mon -- 06:46 AM EST Sunrise Mon -- 08:50 AM EST Moonset Mon -- 09:05 AM EST 0.89 knots Max Flood Mon -- 11:44 AM EST -0.00 knots Slack Mon -- 03:12 PM EST -0.58 knots Max Ebb Mon -- 05:32 PM EST Sunset Mon -- 05:45 PM EST 0.00 knots Slack Mon -- 09:28 PM EST 0.80 knots Max Flood Mon -- 10:48 PM EST Moonrise Mon -- 11:49 PM EST -0.00 knots Slack Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current, knots
12 am |
-0.2 |
1 am |
-0.4 |
2 am |
-0.6 |
3 am |
-0.6 |
4 am |
-0.5 |
5 am |
-0.1 |
6 am |
0.1 |
7 am |
0.3 |
8 am |
0.6 |
9 am |
0.9 |
10 am |
0.7 |
11 am |
0.2 |
12 pm |
-0.1 |
1 pm |
-0.2 |
2 pm |
-0.4 |
3 pm |
-0.6 |
4 pm |
-0.5 |
5 pm |
-0.2 |
6 pm |
0.1 |
7 pm |
0.2 |
8 pm |
0.4 |
9 pm |
0.7 |
10 pm |
0.7 |
11 pm |
0.3 |
Area Discussion for New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 172046 AFDOKX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 346 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025
SYNOPSIS
Low pressure meanders near the Canadian Maritimes tonight as a strong high drops down into the Central US. The high gradually Wednesday. An area of low pressure ejects off the Southeast US coast Wednesday night and passes well south and east of the area Thursday. High pressure builds in from the west for the end of the week and into next weekend.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/
High pressure continues to build in tonight. Aside from a few possible flurries over southern CT into early this evening, dry weather expected through the night.
The plan is to allow the wind advisory to expire at 6pm this evening as peak wind gusts over the past few hours have lowered. Still can't rule out a gust or two to 40kt this evening, mainly over the CT zones where some guidance has winds aloft increasing. Since the mixing depth will be more limited heading into tonight, no plans at this time to extend the advisory over the CT zones.
Cold and breezy with lows in the teens for most spots an only around 20 in the city. Wind chills bottom out late tonight into the single digits for NYC metro and in the single digits below zero elsewhere.
This is short of Cold Weather Advisory criteria.
SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
Still breezy for Tuesday as high pressure builds in from the west with WNW winds gusting to 30-40mph. Dry, mostly sunny, but colder than today with highs only 25-30 in most spots. Wind chills rise only into the teens during the afternoon.
Winds will at least diminish Tuesday night as a high pressure ridge shifts closer. Low temperatures in the teens for most spots with minimum wind chills a few degrees warmer than tonight due to the weaker winds.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
* Chance continues to decrease for a winter storm in the Wed night to Thursday night time frame.
* Remaining cold with temperatures running 5 to 10 degrees below normal.
1050-1058 mb arctic high pressure continues to nose in from the north and west Wednesday, keeping the region dry through the day Wednesday. Though as a baroclinic zone sets up over the South, low pressure develops and deepens as shortwave energy swings through midweek. This low is expected to trek east and eject off the Southeast coast Wednesday night, to south and east of the region into Thursday, before exiting well out to sea. Current deterministic model suite continue the trend of the low passing well east of the 40/70 benchmark. Current NBM of 6" or greater in a 24 hour period is 0% from about central Long Island westward, with about a 20% chance for Montauk. In fact, chance of an inch or greater ranges from only 45% for the south fork of Long Island, to about 15% across northeast NJ.
The low passes out to sea regardless by late Thursday, and high pressure returns once again from the west. This high remains west of the area through much of the weekend, providing dry but cold conditions.
As for ensembles, current ECMWF ensemble give coastal areas a 10-30% chance of 24 total precip of great than half an inch liquid equivalent, down from 30-40% from yesterday, while the same metric is only 10-20% with the GFS ensemble which is about the same as yesterday. Current NBM probability of 0.60" of liquid equivalent (Winter Storm Warning criteria in 12 hours with 10:1 ratio) shows a 10-30% chance in 12 hours. The higher probabilities are being pushed farther east with each successive model run, showing the trend of moisture being pushed offshore.
Low pressure treks northeast Thursday night into Friday while high pressure builds in from the west. This high will remain west of the area through much of the weekend, providing dry, but cold conditions.
AVIATION /21Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Deep low pressure over the Canadian Maritimes remains nearly stationary, and begins to weaken Tuesday, as strong high pressure gradually builds from the west.
VFR. Strong and gusty west winds persist into Tuesday, with winds and gusts diminishing this evening. West winds and gusts increase during the day Tuesday, gusting 30 to 35 kt.
...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
No unscheduled AMD expected.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
Tuesday afternoon: VFR. W winds G30 to 35 kt.
Wednesday: VFR.
Thursday: Mainly VFR. A chance of snow during the afternoon and into the evening with MVFR, possibly IFR especially east of the New York City terminals.
Friday: VFR. NW winds G20 to 25 kt.
Saturday: VFR.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
A Gale Warning has replaced the storm warning on the ocean waters with observed gusts falling below Storm Warning criteria for several hours now. Gale warnings last through Tuesday morning on the non- ocean waters, and covers through Tuesday afternoon on the ocean. The warning may need to be extended for a few hours beyond this on the ocean waters east of Moriches Inlet. Expecting some light freezing spray on all waters tonight into Tuesday, but not heavy enough to warrant an advisory.
With cold air moving in, and the combination of strong winds and high seas, there is a chance of freezing spray Wednesday. At this time, ice accretion is expected to remain below Advisory criteria, but will continue to monitor conditions should one be needed.
With the continued eastward progression of a coastal low, SCA for Wednesday into Thursday are no longer expected (with the exception of some lingering 5 ft waves Wednesday morning across the eastern ocean zone). Winds and waves build Thursday night as the pressure gradient between the exiting low and an incoming high pressure increases. Gusts on the ocean waters are expected to be 25 to 30 kt, with waves building to 4 to 6 ft. Conditions return to sub-SCA late Friday night onward.
HYDROLOGY
No hydrologic impacts expected into the beginning of next weekend.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Based on observed tides during the low tide cycle this morning and guidance from P-ETSS/NAEFS and the 5th percentile NYHOPS, have issued a low water advisory for this evening along western LI Sound as well as Peconic and Gardiners Bays. Anticipating levels to drop to -2 to -2.5 MLLW. Not as confident for widespread low water issues along the north shore of Suffolk County as well as along Staten Island, but it may be close. The combination of relatively strong W to WNW winds and astronomically predicted low tides will pose a threat of low water advisory conditions for the low tide cycles during Tuesday morning and night for all of the above mentioned areas, particularly where the advisory is currently in effect for tonight.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Wind Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for CTZ005>012.
NY...Wind Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for NYZ067>075- 078>081-176>179.
NJ...Wind Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for NJZ002-004-006- 103>108.
MARINE...Gale Warning until noon EST Tuesday for ANZ331-332-335-338-340- 345.
Low Water Advisory from 7 PM to 10 PM EST this evening for ANZ335-340.
Gale Warning until 6 PM EST Tuesday for ANZ350-353-355.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 346 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025
SYNOPSIS
Low pressure meanders near the Canadian Maritimes tonight as a strong high drops down into the Central US. The high gradually Wednesday. An area of low pressure ejects off the Southeast US coast Wednesday night and passes well south and east of the area Thursday. High pressure builds in from the west for the end of the week and into next weekend.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/
High pressure continues to build in tonight. Aside from a few possible flurries over southern CT into early this evening, dry weather expected through the night.
The plan is to allow the wind advisory to expire at 6pm this evening as peak wind gusts over the past few hours have lowered. Still can't rule out a gust or two to 40kt this evening, mainly over the CT zones where some guidance has winds aloft increasing. Since the mixing depth will be more limited heading into tonight, no plans at this time to extend the advisory over the CT zones.
Cold and breezy with lows in the teens for most spots an only around 20 in the city. Wind chills bottom out late tonight into the single digits for NYC metro and in the single digits below zero elsewhere.
This is short of Cold Weather Advisory criteria.
SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
Still breezy for Tuesday as high pressure builds in from the west with WNW winds gusting to 30-40mph. Dry, mostly sunny, but colder than today with highs only 25-30 in most spots. Wind chills rise only into the teens during the afternoon.
Winds will at least diminish Tuesday night as a high pressure ridge shifts closer. Low temperatures in the teens for most spots with minimum wind chills a few degrees warmer than tonight due to the weaker winds.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
* Chance continues to decrease for a winter storm in the Wed night to Thursday night time frame.
* Remaining cold with temperatures running 5 to 10 degrees below normal.
1050-1058 mb arctic high pressure continues to nose in from the north and west Wednesday, keeping the region dry through the day Wednesday. Though as a baroclinic zone sets up over the South, low pressure develops and deepens as shortwave energy swings through midweek. This low is expected to trek east and eject off the Southeast coast Wednesday night, to south and east of the region into Thursday, before exiting well out to sea. Current deterministic model suite continue the trend of the low passing well east of the 40/70 benchmark. Current NBM of 6" or greater in a 24 hour period is 0% from about central Long Island westward, with about a 20% chance for Montauk. In fact, chance of an inch or greater ranges from only 45% for the south fork of Long Island, to about 15% across northeast NJ.
The low passes out to sea regardless by late Thursday, and high pressure returns once again from the west. This high remains west of the area through much of the weekend, providing dry but cold conditions.
As for ensembles, current ECMWF ensemble give coastal areas a 10-30% chance of 24 total precip of great than half an inch liquid equivalent, down from 30-40% from yesterday, while the same metric is only 10-20% with the GFS ensemble which is about the same as yesterday. Current NBM probability of 0.60" of liquid equivalent (Winter Storm Warning criteria in 12 hours with 10:1 ratio) shows a 10-30% chance in 12 hours. The higher probabilities are being pushed farther east with each successive model run, showing the trend of moisture being pushed offshore.
Low pressure treks northeast Thursday night into Friday while high pressure builds in from the west. This high will remain west of the area through much of the weekend, providing dry, but cold conditions.
AVIATION /21Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Deep low pressure over the Canadian Maritimes remains nearly stationary, and begins to weaken Tuesday, as strong high pressure gradually builds from the west.
VFR. Strong and gusty west winds persist into Tuesday, with winds and gusts diminishing this evening. West winds and gusts increase during the day Tuesday, gusting 30 to 35 kt.
...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
No unscheduled AMD expected.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
Tuesday afternoon: VFR. W winds G30 to 35 kt.
Wednesday: VFR.
Thursday: Mainly VFR. A chance of snow during the afternoon and into the evening with MVFR, possibly IFR especially east of the New York City terminals.
Friday: VFR. NW winds G20 to 25 kt.
Saturday: VFR.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
A Gale Warning has replaced the storm warning on the ocean waters with observed gusts falling below Storm Warning criteria for several hours now. Gale warnings last through Tuesday morning on the non- ocean waters, and covers through Tuesday afternoon on the ocean. The warning may need to be extended for a few hours beyond this on the ocean waters east of Moriches Inlet. Expecting some light freezing spray on all waters tonight into Tuesday, but not heavy enough to warrant an advisory.
With cold air moving in, and the combination of strong winds and high seas, there is a chance of freezing spray Wednesday. At this time, ice accretion is expected to remain below Advisory criteria, but will continue to monitor conditions should one be needed.
With the continued eastward progression of a coastal low, SCA for Wednesday into Thursday are no longer expected (with the exception of some lingering 5 ft waves Wednesday morning across the eastern ocean zone). Winds and waves build Thursday night as the pressure gradient between the exiting low and an incoming high pressure increases. Gusts on the ocean waters are expected to be 25 to 30 kt, with waves building to 4 to 6 ft. Conditions return to sub-SCA late Friday night onward.
HYDROLOGY
No hydrologic impacts expected into the beginning of next weekend.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Based on observed tides during the low tide cycle this morning and guidance from P-ETSS/NAEFS and the 5th percentile NYHOPS, have issued a low water advisory for this evening along western LI Sound as well as Peconic and Gardiners Bays. Anticipating levels to drop to -2 to -2.5 MLLW. Not as confident for widespread low water issues along the north shore of Suffolk County as well as along Staten Island, but it may be close. The combination of relatively strong W to WNW winds and astronomically predicted low tides will pose a threat of low water advisory conditions for the low tide cycles during Tuesday morning and night for all of the above mentioned areas, particularly where the advisory is currently in effect for tonight.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Wind Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for CTZ005>012.
NY...Wind Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for NYZ067>075- 078>081-176>179.
NJ...Wind Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for NJZ002-004-006- 103>108.
MARINE...Gale Warning until noon EST Tuesday for ANZ331-332-335-338-340- 345.
Low Water Advisory from 7 PM to 10 PM EST this evening for ANZ335-340.
Gale Warning until 6 PM EST Tuesday for ANZ350-353-355.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY | 2 mi | 59 min | WNW 24G | 33°F | 34°F | 29.84 | ||
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY | 14 mi | 59 min | 34°F | 36°F | 29.80 | |||
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ | 18 mi | 59 min | W 27G | 34°F | 29.84 | |||
MHRN6 | 23 mi | 59 min | W 19G | |||||
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ | 25 mi | 59 min | W 31G | 34°F | 37°F | 29.87 | ||
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor | 29 mi | 49 min | W 25G | 35°F | 40°F | 29.86 | 17°F | |
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT | 41 mi | 59 min | NW 9.9G | 31°F | 29.75 | |||
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY | 49 mi | 49 min | W 25G | 34°F | 29.86 | 18°F |
Wind History for Kings Point, NY
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KLGA LAGUARDIA,NY | 5 sm | 8 min | W 23G34 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 36°F | 3°F | 25% | 29.84 | |
KJFK JOHN F KENNEDY INTL,NY | 10 sm | 8 min | WNW 23G39 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 37°F | 7°F | 27% | 29.85 | |
KJRB DOWNTOWN MANHATTAN/WALL ST,NY | 14 sm | 63 min | W 17G29 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 37°F | 9°F | 30% | 29.85 | |
KTEB TETERBORO,NJ | 15 sm | 8 min | W 13G35 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 36°F | 7°F | 29% | 29.84 | |
KFRG REPUBLIC,NY | 20 sm | 6 min | WNW 13G31 | 10 sm | Clear | 36°F | 7°F | 29% | 29.83 | |
KHPN WESTCHESTER COUNTY,NY | 20 sm | 63 min | W 21G32 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 30°F | 9°F | 40% | 29.79 | |
KEWR NEWARK LIBERTY INTL,NJ | 22 sm | 8 min | W 23G36 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 36°F | 5°F | 27% | 29.86 |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KLGA
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KLGA
Wind History Graph: LGA
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of north east
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Upton, NY,

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