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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 934 Am Est Wed Nov 29 2023
Today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..SW winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Rain in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Rain likely in the evening.
Sat..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of rain.
Sun night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of rain.

ANZ300 934 Am Est Wed Nov 29 2023
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters.. High pressure builds into the area and remains in place through Thursday. A weak cold front then approaches on Friday passes through during the night. Low pressure then impacts the waters on Sunday.

FXUS61 KOKX 291439 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 939 AM EST Wed Nov 29 2023

SYNOPSIS
High pressure builds into the area and remains in place through Thursday. A weak cold front then approaches on Friday and passes through during the night, weakening further nearby on Saturday.
A series of lows will then impact the area from Sunday into Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
A weak upper shortwave is moving through the northwest cyclonic flow. Clouds, mainly mid and upper level, have been increasing into the lower Hudson Valley as seen on the visible and water vapor satellite loops. Updated to increase cloud cover sooner than previous forecast. Also, made adjustments to hourly temperatures and dewpoint based on trends.

A surface high pressure ridge pushes through the region today.
Mostly clear early on, but some moisture below 500mb pushes in with more in the way of clouds heading into the afternoon, then clearing overnight. Winds will be lighter than what they had been the past couple of days. Remaining dry with NBM used for temperatures.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
We'll still be under the influence of high pressure Thursday and Thursday night with a continuation of dry weather. SW winds will help lead to milder temperatures with high temps falling just short of seasonable levels.

For Friday, a weak surface cold front with increasing moisture approaches and passes through during Friday night. Dry at least through the morning. The cold front will then combine with lift from a jet streak aloft and some mid-level vorticity for rain Friday afternoon into the night. Rain amounts will be on the light side - likely under a quarter of an inch across the entire area. High temperatures will be generally around 50.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
An unsettled period is likely as upper level ridging off the Southeast gives way to broad troughing moving in from the Central states. Timing of various shortwaves within the trough attm suggests best chances for rain during this time would take place Sunday afternoon/night as low pressure developing near the Carolina coast passes well offshore, and again Mon afternoon/night as the upper trough deepens and takes on a neutral or negative tilt, and an associated sfc low passes through the Northeast and/or Mid Atlantic regions.

Temps through the period should be a little above normal, with a trend to below normal temps expected just beyond the forecast period as the last of the series of lows above pulls in colder air from the NW.

AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
VFR through the TAF period as high pressure slowly builds to the south.

W wind 10-15kt this morning expected to shift more SW this afternoon. Gusts upwards of 20kt possible early afternoon into the early evening. Wind may become more W again overnight as speeds decrease to less than 10kt.

...NY Metro(KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Gusts this afternoon could be more occasional than frequent.

OUTLOOK FOR 15Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

Thursday: VFR.

Friday: MVFR or lower in rain in the afternoon and evening.

Saturday: Mainly VFR.

Sunday: MVFR or lower possible, with chance of rain.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
No changes to the winds and seas at this time.

SCA for the ocean waters through tonight. There will likely be a period from late morning into the first half of the afternoon where conditions will prevail below advisory criteria. Winds and seas should then increase late in the day into tonight. After collaboration with the surrounding offices, have decided to carry the SCA through the entire period of today and tonight.
There could also be occasional advisory-level gusts over some of the non-ocean waters through this morning and again tonight, but decided not to extend the SCA here as most of the area will prevail below 25 kt.

After a break from advisory conditions Thursday, SCA conditions become likely again on the ocean during Thursday night into Friday morning with a tightening pressure gradient and seas building up to around 5 ft.

Generally quiet conditions should follow for this weekend.
Winds on the ocean could gust to 25 kt Sunday night following passage of an offshore low well to the SE, but forecast confidence at that time range is low to medium.

HYDROLOGY
There are no hydrologic concerns through Tuesday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST Thursday for ANZ350-353- 355.

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Nissequogue River entrance
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Wed -- 06:00 AM EST     0.19 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:55 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:28 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 12:10 PM EST     7.87 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:26 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:08 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:38 PM EST     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Nissequogue River entrance, Long Island Sound, New York, Tide feet

Northport
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Wed -- 12:05 AM EST     7.06 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:12 AM EST     0.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:56 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:28 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 12:17 PM EST     8.15 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:26 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:08 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:49 PM EST     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Northport, Northport Bay, Long Island Sound, New York, Tide feet

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