Friday, August7, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Belle Terre, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:53AMSunset 8:02PM Friday August 7, 2020 1:54 PM EDT (17:54 UTC) Moonrise 10:24PMMoonset 9:39AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 147 Pm Edt Fri Aug 7 2020
This afternoon..E winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers.
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers after midnight.
Sat..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the morning.
Sat night..S winds around 5 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
ANZ300 147 Pm Edt Fri Aug 7 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A series of frontal waves will track along a stationary front just south of the area through early Saturday. High pressure will then build into the area for Sunday and Monday. A cold front approaches the waters on Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Belle Terre, NY
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location: 40.99, -73.08     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 071455 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1055 AM EDT Fri Aug 7 2020

SYNOPSIS. A series of frontal waves will track along a stationary front just south of the area through early Saturday. High pressure will then build into the area for Sunday and Monday. A cold front approaches Tuesday, slowly tracking across the region through Thursday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Showers continue in association with a stalled boundary and frontal wave, mainly across eastern Long Island and southeastern Connecticut this morning. These showers, along with an area of showers moving into northeast New Jersey have been weakening. So, kept POPs as likely over Long Island and southeastern Connecticut, but they will likely continue to weaken and lessen in coverage over the next hour or so. The same holds true for northeast New Jersey into the New York City metro area, but here POPs are just chance. There was thunder reported over northern New Jersey earlier this morning, so kept the mention of isolated thunder. The cloud cover will keep temperatures cooler than normal for this time of year, with highs only in the middle to upper 70s.

There is a moderate risk of rip currents at Atlantic Ocean beaches today.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/. Unsettled weather will continue tonight as another wave passes along the front south of the region. This will result in a continuing chance of showers, and maybe an isolated thunderstorm, through the overnight hours before most precipitation should exit the area to the east Saturday morning. Can't completely rule out an additional shower or storm during the day on Saturday as the upper trough may be slow to exit, but the majority of the region should be mostly dry through the afternoon.

After overnight lows in the mid 60s to around 70 tonight, temperatures on Saturday will rebound into the low to mid 80s with additional sunshine.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. By Saturday night, surface high pressure and upper ridging builds back into the region behind the departing shortwave, resulting in dry conditions into the day on Monday. A weak and low amplitude shortwave passes mainly to the north Sunday, however, there is little moisture or forcing in the area and the surface reflection comes through dry. A large trough and closed low will be moving into the northern tier of the plains, and this low will track slowly east into the mid week period. This will bring a cold front very slowly across the area Tuesday into Thursday as the ridge only gradually weakens. Heat and humidity will be building early to mid week as the ridge builds. Temperatures will be well above normal through the period, around 5 to 10 degrees. Cloud cover and the chance for precipitation, scattered thunderstorms, will affect both heat and humidity, and at this time there is the potential for heat indices to be in the lower to mid 90s Monday through Wednesday across the northeastern New Jersey, the lower Hudson Valley, and New York City.

AVIATION /15Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. A series of frontal waves will travel along a stalled front south of Long Island today and tonight.

MVFR conditions in -SHRA this morning for NYC and LI terminals should improve from w to e through 16z as showers move east. Then generally VFR conditions, outside of MVFR in spotty shra late morning through mid afternoon. Scattered shra/isolated tsra activity likely to develop west of NYC/NJ terminals after 19-20z, potentially drifting into NYC/NJ terminals between 20 and 24z. MVFR/IFR conditions likely in any shower activity. Potential for more widespread MVFR cigs to develop tonight, after 03-06z.

Light e/se winds today, generally less than 10kt.

AMD NOT SKED included for the KBDR TAF due to the ASOS outage.

NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support .

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

KJFK TAF Comments: Passing shra with MVFR condition possible through evening push. Low prob of tsra between 20 and 24z.

The afternoon KJFK haze potential forecast is YELLOW . which implies slant range visibility 4-6SM outside of cloud.

KLGA TAF Comments: Passing shra with MVFR condition possible through evening push. Low prob of tsra between 20 and 24z.

The afternoon KLGA haze potential forecast is YELLOW . which implies slant range visibility 4-6SM outside of cloud.

KEWR TAF Comments: Passing shra with MVFR condition possible through evening push. Low prob of tsra between 20 and 24z.

The afternoon KEWR haze potential forecast is YELLOW . which implies slant range visibility 4-6SM outside of cloud.

KTEB TAF Comments: Passing shra with MVFR condition possible through evening push. Low prob of tsra between 20 and 24z.

KHPN TAF Comments: Passing shra with MVFR condition possible through evening push. Low prob of tsra between 20 and 24z.

KISP TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected at this time.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. Saturday. Possible rain showers and isolated thunderstorms. MVFR possible. Saturday Night-Monday. Mainly VFR. Tuesday. Chance of MVFR with a chance of rain showers and isolated thunderstorms.

MARINE. Ocean seas will generally range from 2-3 ft through Tuesday night with wind gusts generally remaining 20 kt or less.

HYDROLOGY. Heavy downpours are possible in any showers and thunderstorms today, especially this morning, which could result in minor flooding of low lying locations. There is a low chance of localized flash flooding. No hydrologic impacts are expected for the remainder of the forecast period.

EQUIPMENT. KBDR ASOS is not reporting at this time due to a power outage.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . FEB/MET NEAR TERM . JP SHORT TERM . FEB LONG TERM . FEB/MET AVIATION . NV MARINE . FEB/MET HYDROLOGY . FEB/MET EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 14 mi60 min 78°F 74°F1020.2 hPa
44069 20 mi54 min ENE 12 G 14 76°F 64°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 22 mi60 min 77°F 76°F1020.1 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 27 mi84 min E 12 G 14 75°F 63°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 35 mi54 min ENE 14 G 16 74°F 67°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 38 mi60 min 76°F 1020.9 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY13 mi58 minENE 910.00 miMostly Cloudy77°F62°F60%1020.4 hPa
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT13 mi62 minE 810.00 miMostly Cloudy78°F62°F58%1020.5 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY17 mi58 minVar 310.00 miMostly Cloudy77°F61°F58%1020.5 hPa
New Haven, Tweed-New Haven Airport, CT23 mi61 minE 610.00 miFair81°F66°F61%1020.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBDR

Wind History from BDR (wind in knots)
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--------------------------------N7NE7E8
1 day ago------------------------------------------------
2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Conscience Bay entrance (Narrows), Long Island Sound, New York
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Conscience Bay entrance (Narrows)
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:13 AM EDT     6.97 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:33 AM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 09:39 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:37 PM EDT     6.89 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:55 PM EDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:24 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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56.36.96.75.74.22.71.40.50.51.32.74.45.86.76.86.14.83.4210.71.22.4

Tide / Current Tables for Stony Brook, Smithtown Bay, Long Island Sound, New York
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Stony Brook
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:19 AM EDT     6.33 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:39 AM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 09:39 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:43 PM EDT     6.26 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:01 PM EDT     0.60 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:24 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.45.66.36.15.342.61.30.50.41.12.33.85.166.25.64.53.21.910.612

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.