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Marine Weather and Tides Belle Terre, NY Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 5:53AM

Sunset 8:02PM

Friday August 7, 2020 1:54 PM EDT (17:54 UTC)

Moonrise 10:24PM

Moonset 9:39AM

Illumination 86%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Belle Terre, NY

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Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY

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FXUS61 KOKX 071455 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1055 AM EDT Fri Aug 7 2020

SYNOPSIS. A series of frontal waves will track along a stationary front just south of the area through early Saturday. High pressure will then build into the area for Sunday and Monday. A cold front approaches Tuesday, slowly tracking across the region through Thursday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Showers continue in association with a stalled boundary and frontal wave, mainly across eastern Long Island and southeastern Connecticut this morning. These showers, along with an area of showers moving into northeast New Jersey have been weakening. So, kept POPs as likely over Long Island and southeastern Connecticut, but they will likely continue to weaken and lessen in coverage over the next hour or so. The same holds true for northeast New Jersey into the New York City metro area, but here POPs are just chance. There was thunder reported over northern New Jersey earlier this morning, so kept the mention of isolated thunder. The cloud cover will keep temperatures cooler than normal for this time of year, with highs only in the middle to upper 70s.

There is a moderate risk of rip currents at Atlantic Ocean beaches today.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/. Unsettled weather will continue tonight as another wave passes along the front south of the region. This will result in a continuing chance of showers, and maybe an isolated thunderstorm, through the overnight hours before most precipitation should exit the area to the east Saturday morning. Can't completely rule out an additional shower or storm during the day on Saturday as the upper trough may be slow to exit, but the majority of the region should be mostly dry through the afternoon.

After overnight lows in the mid 60s to around 70 tonight, temperatures on Saturday will rebound into the low to mid 80s with additional sunshine.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. By Saturday night, surface high pressure and upper ridging builds back into the region behind the departing shortwave, resulting in dry conditions into the day on Monday. A weak and low amplitude shortwave passes mainly to the north Sunday, however, there is little moisture or forcing in the area and the surface reflection comes through dry. A large trough and closed low will be moving into the northern tier of the plains, and this low will track slowly east into the mid week period. This will bring a cold front very slowly across the area Tuesday into Thursday as the ridge only gradually weakens. Heat and humidity will be building early to mid week as the ridge builds. Temperatures will be well above normal through the period, around 5 to 10 degrees. Cloud cover and the chance for precipitation, scattered thunderstorms, will affect both heat and humidity, and at this time there is the potential for heat indices to be in the lower to mid 90s Monday through Wednesday across the northeastern New Jersey, the lower Hudson Valley, and New York City.

AVIATION /15Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. A series of frontal waves will travel along a stalled front south of Long Island today and tonight.

MVFR conditions in -SHRA this morning for NYC and LI terminals should improve from w to e through 16z as showers move east. Then generally VFR conditions, outside of MVFR in spotty shra late morning through mid afternoon. Scattered shra/isolated tsra activity likely to develop west of NYC/NJ terminals after 19-20z, potentially drifting into NYC/NJ terminals between 20 and 24z. MVFR/IFR conditions likely in any shower activity. Potential for more widespread MVFR cigs to develop tonight, after 03-06z.

Light e/se winds today, generally less than 10kt.

AMD NOT SKED included for the KBDR TAF due to the ASOS outage.

NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support .

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

KJFK TAF Comments: Passing shra with MVFR condition possible through evening push. Low prob of tsra between 20 and 24z.

The afternoon KJFK haze potential forecast is YELLOW . which implies slant range visibility 4-6SM outside of cloud.

KLGA TAF Comments: Passing shra with MVFR condition possible through evening push. Low prob of tsra between 20 and 24z.

The afternoon KLGA haze potential forecast is YELLOW . which implies slant range visibility 4-6SM outside of cloud.

KEWR TAF Comments: Passing shra with MVFR condition possible through evening push. Low prob of tsra between 20 and 24z.

The afternoon KEWR haze potential forecast is YELLOW . which implies slant range visibility 4-6SM outside of cloud.

KTEB TAF Comments: Passing shra with MVFR condition possible through evening push. Low prob of tsra between 20 and 24z.

KHPN TAF Comments: Passing shra with MVFR condition possible through evening push. Low prob of tsra between 20 and 24z.

KISP TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments expected at this time.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. Saturday. Possible rain showers and isolated thunderstorms. MVFR possible. Saturday Night-Monday. Mainly VFR. Tuesday. Chance of MVFR with a chance of rain showers and isolated thunderstorms.

MARINE. Ocean seas will generally range from 2-3 ft through Tuesday night with wind gusts generally remaining 20 kt or less.

HYDROLOGY. Heavy downpours are possible in any showers and thunderstorms today, especially this morning, which could result in minor flooding of low lying locations. There is a low chance of localized flash flooding. No hydrologic impacts are expected for the remainder of the forecast period.

EQUIPMENT. KBDR ASOS is not reporting at this time due to a power outage.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . FEB/MET NEAR TERM . JP SHORT TERM . FEB LONG TERM . FEB/MET AVIATION . NV MARINE . FEB/MET HYDROLOGY . FEB/MET EQUIPMENT .

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT	14 mi	60 min		78°F	74°F		1020.2 hPa
44069	20 mi	54 min	ENE 12 G 14	76°F				64°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT	22 mi	60 min		77°F	76°F		1020.1 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound	27 mi	84 min	E 12 G 14	75°F				63°F
44022 - Execution Rocks	35 mi	54 min	ENE 14 G 16	74°F				67°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY	38 mi	60 min		76°F			1020.9 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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E7 G10

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SW10 G14

SW13 G16

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SE22 G31

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SW28 G40

SW16 G25

SW15 G23

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SW4 G12

W5 G8

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S4 G7

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY	13 mi	58 min	ENE 9	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	77°F	62°F	60%	1020.4 hPa
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT	13 mi	62 min	E 8	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	78°F	62°F	58%	1020.5 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY	17 mi	58 min	Var 3	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	77°F	61°F	58%	1020.5 hPa
New Haven, Tweed-New Haven Airport, CT	23 mi	61 min	E 6	10.00 mi	Fair	81°F	66°F	61%	1020.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBDR

Wind History from BDR (wind in knots)

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SE29 G44

S32 G50

S28 G41

SW32 G44

SW23 G36

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Tide / Current Tables for Conscience Bay entrance (Narrows), Long Island Sound, New York

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Tide / Current Tables for Stony Brook, Smithtown Bay, Long Island Sound, New York

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (13,3,4,5)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY

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