Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Shoreham, NY
November 2, 2024 1:08 AM EDT (05:08 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:23 AM Sunset 5:47 PM Moonrise 8:36 AM Moonset 6:04 PM |
ANZ331 Long Island Sound East Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny To The Mouth Of The Connecticut River- 1039 Pm Edt Fri Nov 1 2024
Rest of tonight - NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: nw 2 ft at 3 seconds.
Sat - NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: nw 1 ft at 3 seconds.
Sat night - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: N 1 ft at 2 seconds.
Sun - N winds 5 to 10 kt, diminishing to around 5 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: N 1 ft at 2 seconds.
Sun night - NE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon - E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue night - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed night - W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
ANZ300 1039 Pm Edt Fri Nov 1 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure returns to the area this weekend. The high begins to off the new england coast Sunday night. A warm front lifts through the region Monday as an attendant cold front slowly approaches from the west Tuesday. The front eventually passes through Wednesday into Thursday. Weak high pressure then returns late next week.
NEW! Add second zone forecast
Herod Point Click for Map Fri -- 05:22 AM EDT 0.55 feet Low Tide Fri -- 07:22 AM EDT Sunrise Fri -- 07:31 AM EDT Moonrise Fri -- 08:48 AM EDT New Moon Fri -- 11:35 AM EDT 6.51 feet High Tide Fri -- 05:36 PM EDT Moonset Fri -- 05:46 PM EDT Sunset Fri -- 05:52 PM EDT 0.13 feet Low Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Herod Point, Long Island Sound, New York, Tide feet
12 am |
5.7 |
1 am |
4.9 |
2 am |
3.7 |
3 am |
2.4 |
4 am |
1.3 |
5 am |
0.6 |
6 am |
0.7 |
7 am |
1.5 |
8 am |
2.9 |
9 am |
4.3 |
10 am |
5.6 |
11 am |
6.4 |
12 pm |
6.4 |
1 pm |
5.7 |
2 pm |
4.4 |
3 pm |
2.9 |
4 pm |
1.5 |
5 pm |
0.5 |
6 pm |
0.1 |
7 pm |
0.6 |
8 pm |
1.7 |
9 pm |
3.1 |
10 pm |
4.4 |
11 pm |
5.4 |
Shinnecock Canal Click for Map Fri -- 12:37 AM EDT -1.45 knots Max Ebb Fri -- 04:02 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack Fri -- 06:42 AM EDT 1.56 knots Max Flood Fri -- 07:21 AM EDT Sunrise Fri -- 07:29 AM EDT Moonrise Fri -- 08:48 AM EDT New Moon Fri -- 09:52 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack Fri -- 01:10 PM EDT -1.62 knots Max Ebb Fri -- 04:47 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack Fri -- 05:35 PM EDT Moonset Fri -- 05:45 PM EDT Sunset Fri -- 07:05 PM EDT 1.22 knots Max Flood Fri -- 10:03 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current, knots
12 am |
-1.4 |
1 am |
-1.4 |
2 am |
-1.1 |
3 am |
-0.7 |
4 am |
-0 |
5 am |
0.8 |
6 am |
1.5 |
7 am |
1.5 |
8 am |
1.3 |
9 am |
0.7 |
10 am |
-0.1 |
11 am |
-0.9 |
12 pm |
-1.4 |
1 pm |
-1.6 |
2 pm |
-1.5 |
3 pm |
-1.1 |
4 pm |
-0.6 |
5 pm |
0.2 |
6 pm |
0.9 |
7 pm |
1.2 |
8 pm |
1.1 |
9 pm |
0.7 |
10 pm |
0 |
11 pm |
-0.7 |
Area Discussion for New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 020243 AFDOKX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1043 PM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure returns to the area for the weekend following the cold frontal passage. The high begins to off the New England coast Sunday night. A warm front lifts through the region Monday as an attendant cold front slowly approaches from the west Tuesday. THe front eventually passes through Wednesday into Thursday. Weak high pressure then returns late next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/
The fcst is on track. A cold front will bring cooling temperatures into tonight, ending the above average temperatures we have been seeing. NW winds will weaken overnight with clear skies. Overnight lows will be near-50 to the low-40s.
SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/
A cool, dry pattern sets up for the weekend as high pressure builds in from the west under an amplifying ridge aloft. Highs on Saturday will range between the low-60s to upper-50s and on Sunday primarily topping off in the mid-50s. Light northerly flow remains through Sunday.
Clear skies and light northerly winds could lead to decent radiational cooling Saturday night. Lows are forecast to be in the mid-40s for the NYC metro, low-40s to mid-30s for most of the area, then much cooler in the low-30s to upper-20s in the interior areas of the Lower Hudson Valley and Connecticut and also in the LI Pine Barrens. Frost looks likely to occur for around half of the area, though, the dewpoint depression may end up being to great for some areas.
Freeze Warnings and Frost Advisories will not be issued for interior areas as it is now past their growing season. Only if the risk for freezing temperatures or frost becomes more widespread for areas outside of the interior will freeze warnings or frost advisories be considered.
While the ridge aloft continues to strengthen Sunday night, surface high pressure begins to slide NE into New England, allowing for gradually increasing cloud cover Sunday night ahead of a warm front and leading to a NE wind shift. This will keep overnight lows limited to the mid/low-40s for most areas with only far interior areas nearing the freezing mark.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
**Key Points**
* A warming trend for midweek followed by a slight cool down late week.
*A dry forecast through the beginning of the period with shower chances developing Wednesday-Thursday.
No significant changes were made on this update and the NBM was closely followed. Global guidance/ensembles are in fairly good agreement with the synoptic evolution of features through late next week. The period begins with an amplifying upper ridge over much of the east. The ridge flattens as its axis translates to the east by Wednesday, and a weak mid level shortwave heads north of the area across New England. At the surface, a warm front passes through and to the north on Monday, allowing for a predominately S/SW flow and warm up. This should be a dry frontal passage given the airmass in place.850mb temperatures peak out on Wednesday near 10-12C, which should yield some mid to upper 70s, which is about 10-15 degrees above normal. Of note is the lack of spread in the NBM MaxT percentiles, around 4-5 degrees in the IQR at this lead time, adding some additional confidence to the values for Wednesday. A cold front then moves through associated with the above mentioned shortwave, providing a chance of showers Wednesday into early Thursday. Some timing differences are noted here with frontal passage; however there is general agreement that this will be a light rainfall, given the better forcing to the north. A cooldown thereafter for Thursday post front, as the upper flow remains flat into the end of the week.
AVIATION /03Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
High pres builds in thru Sat.
Decreasing NW winds tngt, then winds pick up aft 13-14Z Sat with at least ocnl gusts. Winds then decrease aft 21Z.
VFR thru the TAF period.
...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB)TAF Uncertainty...
Gusts may only be ocnl thru 5-6Z.
OUTLOOK FOR 00Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
Saturday night through Monday: VFR.
Tuesday: VFR. S-SW winds G20kt.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR. SW winds G20kt.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
A SCA remains on eastern ocean zones until 2am tonight with NW winds behind a cold front.
Thereafter, SCA criteria is not expected to be met through the weekend under high pressure.
Increasing S/SW flow on Tuesday may lead to SCA conditions on at least the ocean by Tuesday evening, persisting through Wednesday with lingering seas above 5 ft and gusts 25 to 30 kt.
FIRE WEATHER
Despite weaker winds, the persistent dry weather pattern continues under high pressure this weekend leading to lingering fire weather concerns.
HYDROLOGY
There are no hydrologic concerns through the end of next week.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ350-353- 355.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1043 PM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure returns to the area for the weekend following the cold frontal passage. The high begins to off the New England coast Sunday night. A warm front lifts through the region Monday as an attendant cold front slowly approaches from the west Tuesday. THe front eventually passes through Wednesday into Thursday. Weak high pressure then returns late next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/
The fcst is on track. A cold front will bring cooling temperatures into tonight, ending the above average temperatures we have been seeing. NW winds will weaken overnight with clear skies. Overnight lows will be near-50 to the low-40s.
SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/
A cool, dry pattern sets up for the weekend as high pressure builds in from the west under an amplifying ridge aloft. Highs on Saturday will range between the low-60s to upper-50s and on Sunday primarily topping off in the mid-50s. Light northerly flow remains through Sunday.
Clear skies and light northerly winds could lead to decent radiational cooling Saturday night. Lows are forecast to be in the mid-40s for the NYC metro, low-40s to mid-30s for most of the area, then much cooler in the low-30s to upper-20s in the interior areas of the Lower Hudson Valley and Connecticut and also in the LI Pine Barrens. Frost looks likely to occur for around half of the area, though, the dewpoint depression may end up being to great for some areas.
Freeze Warnings and Frost Advisories will not be issued for interior areas as it is now past their growing season. Only if the risk for freezing temperatures or frost becomes more widespread for areas outside of the interior will freeze warnings or frost advisories be considered.
While the ridge aloft continues to strengthen Sunday night, surface high pressure begins to slide NE into New England, allowing for gradually increasing cloud cover Sunday night ahead of a warm front and leading to a NE wind shift. This will keep overnight lows limited to the mid/low-40s for most areas with only far interior areas nearing the freezing mark.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
**Key Points**
* A warming trend for midweek followed by a slight cool down late week.
*A dry forecast through the beginning of the period with shower chances developing Wednesday-Thursday.
No significant changes were made on this update and the NBM was closely followed. Global guidance/ensembles are in fairly good agreement with the synoptic evolution of features through late next week. The period begins with an amplifying upper ridge over much of the east. The ridge flattens as its axis translates to the east by Wednesday, and a weak mid level shortwave heads north of the area across New England. At the surface, a warm front passes through and to the north on Monday, allowing for a predominately S/SW flow and warm up. This should be a dry frontal passage given the airmass in place.850mb temperatures peak out on Wednesday near 10-12C, which should yield some mid to upper 70s, which is about 10-15 degrees above normal. Of note is the lack of spread in the NBM MaxT percentiles, around 4-5 degrees in the IQR at this lead time, adding some additional confidence to the values for Wednesday. A cold front then moves through associated with the above mentioned shortwave, providing a chance of showers Wednesday into early Thursday. Some timing differences are noted here with frontal passage; however there is general agreement that this will be a light rainfall, given the better forcing to the north. A cooldown thereafter for Thursday post front, as the upper flow remains flat into the end of the week.
AVIATION /03Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
High pres builds in thru Sat.
Decreasing NW winds tngt, then winds pick up aft 13-14Z Sat with at least ocnl gusts. Winds then decrease aft 21Z.
VFR thru the TAF period.
...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB)TAF Uncertainty...
Gusts may only be ocnl thru 5-6Z.
OUTLOOK FOR 00Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
Saturday night through Monday: VFR.
Tuesday: VFR. S-SW winds G20kt.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR. SW winds G20kt.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
A SCA remains on eastern ocean zones until 2am tonight with NW winds behind a cold front.
Thereafter, SCA criteria is not expected to be met through the weekend under high pressure.
Increasing S/SW flow on Tuesday may lead to SCA conditions on at least the ocean by Tuesday evening, persisting through Wednesday with lingering seas above 5 ft and gusts 25 to 30 kt.
FIRE WEATHER
Despite weaker winds, the persistent dry weather pattern continues under high pressure this weekend leading to lingering fire weather concerns.
HYDROLOGY
There are no hydrologic concerns through the end of next week.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ350-353- 355.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT | 20 mi | 50 min | N 6G | 56°F | 60°F | 30.14 | ||
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT | 21 mi | 50 min | NNE 1.9G | 55°F | 66°F | 30.09 | ||
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY | 48 mi | 50 min | 58°F | 61°F | 30.08 | |||
NLHC3 | 48 mi | 50 min | 56°F | 60°F | 30.11 |
Wind History for New Haven, CT
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KHWV BROOKHAVEN,NY | 12 sm | 12 min | N 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 55°F | 39°F | 54% | 30.15 | |
KFOK FRANCIS S GABRESKI,NY | 16 sm | 15 min | N 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 54°F | 41°F | 62% | 30.16 | |
KBDR IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL,CT | 18 sm | 16 min | NW 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 52°F | 39°F | 62% | 30.15 | |
KHVN TWEEDNEW HAVEN,CT | 18 sm | 15 min | NNW 04 | 10 sm | Clear | 55°F | 43°F | 62% | 30.15 | |
KISP LONG ISLAND MAC ARTHUR,NY | 19 sm | 12 min | NW 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 54°F | 41°F | 62% | 30.15 |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KHWV
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KHWV
Wind History Graph: HWV
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of north east
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Upton, NY,
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