Asharoken, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
L-36.com

Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Asharoken, NY

April 14, 2024 11:00 PM EDT (03:00 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:13 AM   Sunset 7:34 PM
Moonrise 10:20 AM   Moonset 1:43 AM 
  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Top   Marine   7-Day   NWS   Buoy   Airport   Tide   Map   GEOS   Radar  


Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      Help
ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1049 Pm Edt Sun Apr 14 2024

Overnight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Chance of showers and tstms late this evening, then chance of showers and slight chance of tstms.

Mon - W winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.

Mon night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Tue - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.

Tue night - W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.

Wed - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the afternoon.

Wed night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight. Showers likely.

Thu - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of showers.

Thu night - NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.

Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.

Fri night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.

ANZ300 1049 Pm Edt Sun Apr 14 2024

Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - Low pressure will pass to the north this evening and drag a cold front across the area overnight. High pressure builds in Monday through Monday night, moving over the area on Tuesday. A slow moving warm front then approaches from the southwest Wednesday night into Thursday, followed by a cold front late in the week as low pressure passes well to the northwest.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Asharoken, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help   Map
NEW! Add second zone forecast


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
      (hide/show)   Help   
NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KOKX 142359 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 759 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2024

SYNOPSIS
Low pressure will pass to the north this evening and drag a cold front across the area. High pressure builds in Monday through Monday night, moving over the area on Tuesday. A slow moving warm front then approaches from the southwest Wednesday night into Thursday, followed by a cold front late in the week as low pressure passes well to the northwest.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/
Forecast on track this evening with some minor adjustments to reflect current observations. There are some showers moving across portions of the CWA, however the stronger showers and thunderstorms remain west of the region. These storms will continue to track towards the region, however as they do, they are expected to run into a more stable airmass and they should gradually weaken as they do. The main threat with any storms will be gusty winds and small hail.

Otherwise, Low pressure will pass to the north of the area this evening, dragging a cold front through the which will be the main focus for a line of showers and thunderstorms which has developed over central NY stretching westward into Lake Erie.
This line is in association with a cold front that is forecast to move through the region later this evening and tonight.

While there is deep-layer shear present with strong mid-level flow, instability is generally weak and confined primarily to the mid levels. Surface-based CAPE is located mainly north and west of the NYC metro with SPC HRRR max CAPE values of 500-1000 J/KG, as is any elevated CAPE seen in forecast sounding well north and west of NYC. Mean CAPE values are less than 250 J/KG.
This is partly due to the frontal timing in the evening after max insolation, but also dry air in the low- levels. There is some modestly steep lapse rate in the lower to mid levels, but again, these look to weaken as the evening and night continues.
CAMs continue to show the line dissipating this evening as it approaches the area and in some cases with no more than a spotty shower reaching the coast. SPC HRRR shows the highest chances for the strongest max updrafts well west of the forecast area, across western PA, with a smaller chance across northwest PA as the cold front moves through. So the best chance will be across the interior with chances decreasing toward the coast.

The cold front passes south of LI during the early morning hours Monday with clearing skies. Lows will remain above normal in the upper 40s to mid 50s, warmest across the NYC/NJ metro.

SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY/
Surface high pressure builds in from central Canada Monday as the amplifying upper trough across eastern Canada during this time will allow for some weak cold advection on Monday. Despite this, downsloping winds will mean Monday will be the warmest day with even coastal locations getting in on the action with highs well into the 60s. The NYC/NJ metro is expected to get into the middle 70s. Lows drop into the 40s to around 50 Monday night with clear skies and light winds.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
*Key Messages*

*Unsettled conditions from mid to late week with daily shower chances.

*Normal to slightly above normal temperatures midweek into next weekend.

Overall not much change in the long term period.

High pressure remains in place Tuesday and Tuesday night with dry weather expected. Temperatures will be somewhat mild with highs in the 60s to lower 70s.

Unsettled conditions return mid and late week as a warm front slowly approaches from the south on Wednesday. The warm front associated with a low pressure in the middle of the country. Expect shower chances to increase through the day as the front either slowly approaches or stalls over the area. PWATS increase to over an inch, however better forcing remains west of the region. Expecting mainly light rain at this point. Latest forecast guidance indicating that the area may not be as warm sectored as previous guidance indicated, with the warm front remaining over or just south of the area. That would limit any convective potential, and so will continue to keep any thunder out of the forecast for now.

The chance for unsettled weather remains Friday into Saturday as another quick moving frontal system may impact the area, with shower chances remaining. There is some uncertainty with this second cold front will limit POPs to just chance.

Temperatures will remain near to slightly above normal for much of the week.

AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
A weakening cold front slowly moves across the areas tonight into Monday morning. Another cold front moves across Monday evening.

SHRA and embedded TSRA activity will sink Se across the region between 00z and 03z. Best chance of a thunderstorm is across western terminals.

Low level wind shear with SW winds of near 50 kt near 1-2kft this evening thru around 4z for NYC and coastal terminals.

Gusty S/SW winds subside this evening, veer W/SW 5-10 kt after midnight. Winds return back to a 270-290 true flow Monday morning, increasing 12-15G20-25kt in the afternoon. Late day S/SSW sea-breeze likely for JFK and ISP. Windshift to the NW likely during Mon eve push.

...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Gusty S/SW winds and potential for TSRA through 03z.
Thunderstorms likely weaken as they are entering NYC terminals.
Improving conds after 03z.

VFR and light W/NW winds for Mon AM push.

W gusts 20-25 kt likely Monday afternoon. Late day S seabreeze likely at JFK. NW windshift likely during Mon eve push.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Mon night through Tue: NW gusts 15-20 kt in the evening. Mainly VFR.

Wed and Thu: MVFR or lower possible at times with potential for rain showers, most likely in the Wed night into early Thu time period.
Easterly winds near 10-15 kt with gusts near 20 kt late Wed night into Thu.

Fri: Chance of rain showers and MVFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
SCAs continue for the ocean waters into Monday, and for NY Harbor, and the South Shore Bays into this evening. The SCA for the western sound has been cancelled as winds have diminished.
The approaching frontal system today will result in west winds shifting to the S-SW and ramping up to SCA criteria with even a few gusts on the ocean approaching gale force this evening. Seas on the ocean build to 5 to 9 ft by this evening. Winds will then begin to gradually weaken this evening as a cold pushes south of the area and high pressure builds in tonight. SCA seas will linger on the ocean into Monday. Winds across the central and eastern sound waters are expected to largely remain below SCA criteria, however occasional gusts to 25 kt are possible.

Sub-SCA conditions are expected on all waters Tuesday through Wednesday. SCA conditions may then return to the ocean waters on Thursday as a frontal system approaches.

HYDROLOGY
There are no hydrologic concerns thought the forecast period.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for ANZ338-345.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Monday for ANZ350-353-355.




Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (hide/show)   Help
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 15 mi42 min SSE 2.9G2.9 53°F 29.64
44022 - Execution Rocks 22 mi30 min SSW 19 58°F 29.6651°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 26 mi42 min SSW 20G26 63°F 29.67
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 31 mi42 min S 2.9G4.1 54°F 49°F29.70
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 41 mi42 min 61°F 49°F29.67
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 45 mi42 min SSW 22G26 64°F 29.70


Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (hide/show)   Help
toggle option: (graph/table)



Airport Reports
    EDIT      (hide/show)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KBDR IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL,CT 16 sm68 minW 0410 smA Few Clouds55°F45°F67%29.69
KFRG REPUBLIC,NY 19 sm67 minSW 17G2910 smOvercast Lt Rain 55°F46°F72%29.73
KISP LONG ISLAND MAC ARTHUR,NY 19 sm64 minSSW 16G2810 smOvercast54°F45°F71%29.71
KHPN WESTCHESTER COUNTY,NY 20 sm64 minvar 0410 smClear63°F46°F55%29.66
Link to 5 minute data for KBDR


Wind History from BDR
(wind in knots)
toggle option: (graph/table)


Tide / Current for Eatons Neck Point, Long Island Sound, New York
   
EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (hide/show)   Help
Eatons Neck Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:14 AM EDT     7.23 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:20 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:52 AM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:56 PM EDT     6.34 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:32 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:11 PM EDT     1.17 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Eatons Neck Point, Long Island Sound, New York, Tide feet
12
am
2.2
1
am
3.7
2
am
5.3
3
am
6.6
4
am
7.2
5
am
7
6
am
6
7
am
4.6
8
am
3.1
9
am
1.7
10
am
0.7
11
am
0.4
12
pm
1
1
pm
2.1
2
pm
3.6
3
pm
5
4
pm
6
5
pm
6.3
6
pm
5.9
7
pm
5
8
pm
3.8
9
pm
2.7
10
pm
1.7
11
pm
1.2



Tide / Current for Greens Ledge, Connecticut
   EDIT      (hide/show)   Help
Greens Ledge
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:10 AM EDT     7.37 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:20 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:43 AM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:52 PM EDT     6.46 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:33 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:02 PM EDT     1.22 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Greens Ledge, Connecticut, Tide feet
12
am
2.4
1
am
4
2
am
5.5
3
am
6.8
4
am
7.4
5
am
7.1
6
am
6
7
am
4.6
8
am
3
9
am
1.6
10
am
0.6
11
am
0.5
12
pm
1.1
1
pm
2.3
2
pm
3.8
3
pm
5.2
4
pm
6.2
5
pm
6.5
6
pm
6
7
pm
5
8
pm
3.8
9
pm
2.6
10
pm
1.6
11
pm
1.2




Weather Map
       (hide/show)   Help


GEOS Local Image of north east   
EDIT



Upton, NY,



NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE