North Manchester, IN Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for North Manchester, IN

June 14, 2024 12:03 PM EDT (16:03 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:08 AM   Sunset 9:16 PM
Moonrise 1:08 PM   Moonset 1:05 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LMZ046 Expires:202406142015;;005502 Fzus53 Kiwx 141448 Nshiwx
nearshore marine forecast national weather service northern indiana 1048 am edt Fri jun 14 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore on lake michigan
lmz043-046-142015- new buffalo mi to st joseph mi-michigan city in to new buffalo mi- 1048 am edt Fri jun 14 2024

This afternoon - Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming north 10 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.

Tonight - North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. Mostly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Saturday - East winds 10 knots or less. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.

Saturday night - East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. Mostly cloudy in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
the water temperature at st. Joseph is 61 degrees and at michigan city is 64 degrees.

LMZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Manchester, IN
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Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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FXUS63 KIWX 141032 AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 632 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry conditions are expected into Sunday, with decreasing clouds this morning giving way to mostly clear skies this afternoon. Highs will be in the upper 70s near Lake Michigan, and the low to mid 80s elsewhere. On Sunday, high temperatures will climb into the mid to upper 80s and low 90s.

- Hot and humid conditions are expected through the work week, with highs in the mid to upper 80s and 90s. Monday into Wednesday will be particularly hot, with high temperatures rising into the mid to upper 90s. Heat indices will be around 100 degrees.

- There are low chances for showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening on Tuesday and Wednesday, then during the day Friday.

DISCUSSION
Issued at 444 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Expect decreasing clouds this morning into the afternoon as the system that brought our severe weather yesterday moves out of the area. As of this writing, all precipitation was south of the forecast area. Surface high pressure and a strengthening upper level ridge take hold beyond that, keeping our CWA mostly dry through at least the weekend. Some patchy fog/mist has developed in the clearing behind the system, mainly in Michigan where visibilities are mostly 1-3SM but there are a couple spots less than 1SM. Will handle with an SPS if it develops further, but expect it to be fairly limited-especially as we get to sunrise. Highs will be in the upper 70s near Lake Michigan, and the low to mid 80s elsewhere.

The only exception would be Sunday when the surface high/upper level ridge sinks to our southeast and leave us on the periphery...thus susceptible to incoming shortwaves within the somewhat zonal flow aloft. On Sunday, high temperatures will climb into the mid to upper 80s and low 90s ahead of a weak shortwave. The ECMWF has a stronger ridge, thus keeps the shortwave and any associated precipitation chances north of our CWA ..but the GFS has the zonal flow skirting our northern counties and thus chances for precipitation as we get strengthening south-southwest flow and some weaker WAA. Kept pops out of the forecast for now given low confidence, but if they do materialize closer to the GFS then I would expect slightly more cloud cover, a 20-30% chance for showers and storms, and slightly cooler temps. Right now, have the highs in the afternoon rising into the mid-upper 80s and low 90s (warmest far southwest near White County, IN).

Monday into Wednesday will be the real steamer, as the monstrous high pressure center over the NE CONUS builds and moisture is pulled northward off the gulf, and 850mb temps of 20-23C funnel into our area. With daily moisture/instability expect we'll see diurnally driven showers and storms...albeit isolated in the absence of any significant forcing. Have around 20 percent chance Tue/Wed afternoon. Otherwise, high temperatures rise well into the mid to upper 90s, with some locations nearing 100 degrees (NW Ohio). With dewpoints in the mid-upper 60s and low 70s we could see heat indices from 95 to 105! If the GFS is right, the upper level ridge/high pressure centers just slightly east from the ECMWF-which will lead to better daily precipitation chances and increased cloud cover as our CWA may not be as well underneath the subsidence. Leaned towards the drier conditions for now, with additional chances for precipitation focused on Friday when the GFS suggests the ridge moves into the Atlantic (ECMWF suggest not so much, so didn't go beyond around 30 percent chance). If the GFS is right, temps "cool" somewhat towards the end of the week-moreso than what I have in the forecast for now (Thu/Fri Highs in the low-mid 90s, heat indices around 95-100).

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 629 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

VFR conditions will prevail. The exception is that there is some BR/FG north of the KSBN Terminal, which could creep into the site, so left a tempo 4SM BR (MVFR) in through 13z. With an upper level ridge building over the area, skies will tend to remain clear to partly cloudy with winds around 10 knots or less.

IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...None.




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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KASW WARSAW MUNI,IN 19 sm28 minN 0510 smClear79°F63°F58%29.97
KHHG HUNTINGTON MUNI,IN 20 sm28 minNNW 0510 smOvercast75°F68°F78%29.97
KRCR FULTON COUNTY,IN 22 sm28 minN 0810 smClear81°F64°F58%29.97
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Northern Indiana, IN,




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