Montauk, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Montauk, NY


November 30, 2023 11:22 PM EST (04:22 UTC)
Sunrise 6:52AM   Sunset 4:21PM   Moonrise  8:04PM   Moonset 11:15AM 

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ332 Long Island Sound East Of The Mouth Of The Connecticut River- 932 Pm Est Thu Nov 30 2023
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Rain likely, mainly in the evening.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon. Slight chance of drizzle in the afternoon.
Sat night..W winds around 5 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Chance of rain in the evening, then rain likely after midnight.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain likely in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sun night..NE winds around 10 kt, becoming se with gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Rain likely, mainly in the evening.
Mon..W winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Chance of showers.
Mon night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue night..NW winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.

ANZ300 932 Pm Est Thu Nov 30 2023
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters.. High pressure off the southeastern coast will remain in control through tonight and into early Friday. A weak wave of low pressure then passes slowly through the region late Friday through Friday night. A weak wave of low pressure moves across Saturday night, followed by another weak low being nearby later Sunday and Sunday night. A weak trough moves through on Monday. A clipper low moves south and offshore for mid week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Montauk, NY
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Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 010310 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 1010 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

SYNOPSIS
High pressure provides quiet weather pattern through Friday morning. Then a quick shot of light rain late Friday into very early Saturday morning. An active weather pattern late Saturday into early next week, but lots of uncertainty on how things evolve at this point. Temperatures trending near to below normal as we head into the middle of the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/

1015 PM update...

Not as cold as previous nights, with low level WAA resulting in rising dew pts thru the 20s and 30s. Thus, min temps overnight in the 30s, upper 20s western MA and around 40 in the city of Boston, including Cape Cod and the Islands. Previous forecast captures this well, therefore no changes planned with this update. Earlier discussion below.

-----------------------------------------------------------------

Highlights:

* Dry and slightly more mild night ahead, under mostly clear skies.

The final afternoon of November comes to a close under an abundant amount of sunshine and temperatures well into the 40s. Continued quiet conditions overnight with high pressure centered south of the region, closest to the Island of Bermuda. Southwest flow advects a warmer airmass overnight, low temperatures are noticeably warmer in the upper-20s to middle-30s. Where the overnight lows are the highest is along the coast, Cape Cod and Islands where the low will hover around 40 degrees. These temperatures are about 10 to 12 degrees warmer than the night before! And roughly 5 degrees warmer than the normal low for late November/early December.

WAA allows for some added high clouds tonight, but otherwise a dry and mostly clear night ahead with light southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
An occasional stronger gust is not totally out of the question do to a strong LLJ of 35 to 40 knots only a thousand to two thousand feet above the surface. Forecast soundings are pretty inverted above the surface, which will keep majority of the wind from mixing to the ground.

SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
Highlights:

* Dry, increasing clouds Friday morning through the early afternoon.

* Rain arrives Friday afternoon into the evening, then comes to an end after midnight from west to east.

After a sunny start, clouds are increasing from west to east with the arrival of a more moist airmass. Deep southwest flow will keep temperatures seasonably comfortable for this first day of December.
Afternoon highs largely in the upper-40s and lower-50s.

During the afternoon the mid-level shortwave rides along the top to the mid-level ridge, which provides lift for the light rain showers.
The best forcing appears to be south of Block Island to Nantucket due to a strong LLJ. And because of the strong WAA this will remain all rain event. Rainfall is expected to be on the lighter side, QPF around 0.1 to 0.2 inch. There is some guidance that suggest there could be a dry slot over southeast MA early on, which could delay the onset. As for the timing, high-res models are in good agreement with a starting around 2pm to 4pm for the I-91 corridor and then reaching the I-95 corridor between 4pm and 6pm. The system is fairly progressive, exiting southern New England, from west to east, between midnight and 4am.

Another mild night ahead with lows in the middle-30s to lower-40s under mainly cloudy skies. Winds are light from the south/southwest.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Highlights

* Quick shot of light rain late Fri into early Sat.

* Active pattern late Sat through early next week. Mostly weak/progressive systems, but could see a stronger system early next week. Details still uncertain at this point. Temperatures trending near to below normal.

Latest guidance suite continued to show issues with the timing and amplitude evolution of a broad mid level trough traversing the CONUS next week. Continue to have below average confidence in the details beyond Monday. That said, some broader ideas in the guidance suite do seem to be coming though with greater confidence.

Near to slightly above normal temperatures this weekend expected to quickly transition to below normal by the middle of next week.

The precipitation aspect will be the tougher nut to crack. Weak high pressure should be over southern New England Saturday, so thinking this will most likely be the dry day this weekend. A low pressure passing by to our south should provide a risk for some rainfall sometime Saturday night into Sunday. A second low pressure traversing the cold front of this system should then extend the risk of rainfall into Monday. The timing of all this is not well defined.
Thus, kept rainfall chances broad.

Beyond Monday, thinking most of our region should remain dry, with the possible exception of some ocean-effect showers near the east coast of MA. A subtle shift in wind direction could result in either a lower risk by driving these potential showers offshore with a more NW wind, or increase the risk with more of a N to NE wind. Just don't have enough confidence to deviate much from the ensemble-based solutions just yet.

AVIATION /03Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Forecast Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Tonight...High confidence.

VFR with SW winds around 5-10 kts. Still 10-15 kts across the Cape/Islands. Will have a SW low level jet of 30-40+ kts sliding through. Given the boundary layer decouples have added LLWS mention to all terminals away from the south coast. Timing wise looking most likely between roughly 03-09Z.

Friday...High confidence.

Dry weather and VFR to begin the day, but by days end, light rain overspreads much of the region from west to east with VFR cloud bases, but MVFR across western MA. Light rain arriving across western zones after 20z. SW winds 10-15 kt, gusting up to 20 kt possible Cape Cod and the Islands.

Friday Night...Moderate confidence.

VFR/MVFR to start the night, lowering to MVFR/IFR after midnight with periodic light rain. S/SW wind less than 10 kts.

KBOS Terminal...High confidence in TAF.

VFR with dry weather and SW winds at 5-10 kts. Strong SW jet slides through tonight, so will have LLWS concerns from roughly 03-09Z. Light rain possible after 22z Friday.

KBDL Terminal...High confidence in TAF.

VFR with dry weather and SW winds at 5-10 kts. Strong SW jet slides through tonight, so will have LLWS concerns from 02-08Z.
Light rain possible after 20z Friday.

Outlook /Saturday through Tuesday/...

Friday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Chance RA, patchy BR.

Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible.

Saturday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas IFR possible. Chance RA.

Sunday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Chance RA.

Sunday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Breezy. RA likely.

Monday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy. Chance RA.

MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Tonight...High Confidence.

Low level SW jet increases, resulting in surface winds SW 15-25 kt, gusting up to 30 possibly at times across the eastern MA waters. Dry weather and good vsby prevail. Seas 3 to 5 feet.

Friday...high Confidence.

Dry weather to begin the day, but light rain overspreads all waters by late afternoon. SW winds 10-15 kt, gusting up to 20 kt at times. Seas are 3 to 5 feet, but diminishing during the second half of the afternoon.

Friday Night...High confidence.

Light rain ending, exiting east of the waters before sunrise.
S/SW winds less than 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 feet.

Outlook /Saturday through Tuesday/...

Friday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft. Rain likely, patchy fog.

Saturday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.

Saturday Night through Sunday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain.

Sunday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Rain likely.

Monday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Chance of rain.

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Friday for ANZ231>235-237- 250-251-254.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Friday for ANZ255-256.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 0 mi52 min 51°F 49°F30.09
NLHC3 23 mi52 min 48°F 50°F30.12
44097 - Block Island, RI (154) 45 mi26 min 54°F6 ft
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 46 mi52 min SW 16G20 50°F 47°F30.12
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 47 mi52 min WSW 11G15 47°F 45°F30.12
PDVR1 49 mi52 min S 5.1G11 46°F 30.1239°F

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Wind History for Newport, RI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KMTP MONTAUK,NY 3 sm28 minSW 07--52°F41°F67%30.16
KGON GROTONNEW LONDON,CT 20 sm26 minSW 1110 smClear48°F41°F76%30.14
KBID BLOCK ISLAND STATE,RI 22 sm26 minSW 14G2010 smClear48°F41°F76%30.16
KWST WESTERLY STATE,RI 22 sm29 minSW 10G1710 smClear48°F39°F71%30.14

Wind History from MTP
(wind in knots)


Tide / Current for Montauk, Fort Pond Bay, Long Island Sound, New York
   
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Montauk
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Thu -- 04:36 AM EST     0.39 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:52 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:14 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:44 AM EST     2.59 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:20 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:37 PM EST     0.05 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:03 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:12 PM EST     1.86 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Montauk, Fort Pond Bay, Long Island Sound, New York, Tide feet
12
am
1.5
1
am
1.2
2
am
0.9
3
am
0.6
4
am
0.4
5
am
0.4
6
am
0.7
7
am
1.2
8
am
1.7
9
am
2.2
10
am
2.5
11
am
2.6
12
pm
2.3
1
pm
1.9
2
pm
1.4
3
pm
1
4
pm
0.5
5
pm
0.1
6
pm
0.1
7
pm
0.3
8
pm
0.8
9
pm
1.2
10
pm
1.6
11
pm
1.9



Tide / Current for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
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Thu -- 01:04 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:55 AM EST     -2.65 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:53 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:00 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 09:53 AM EST     2.62 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 10:16 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 01:08 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:19 PM EST     -3.14 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:20 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:03 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:43 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 10:28 PM EST     2.44 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current, knots
12
am
1.3
1
am
0.1
2
am
-1.3
3
am
-2.3
4
am
-2.7
5
am
-2.2
6
am
-1.3
7
am
-0
8
am
1.3
9
am
2.3
10
am
2.6
11
am
2.2
12
pm
1.4
1
pm
0.2
2
pm
-1.2
3
pm
-2.4
4
pm
-3.1
5
pm
-3
6
pm
-2.1
7
pm
-1
8
pm
0.4
9
pm
1.6
10
pm
2.4
11
pm
2.4




Weather Map
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Upton, NY,



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