Montauk, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Montauk, NY

June 15, 2024 12:52 PM EDT (16:52 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:12 AM   Sunset 8:25 PM
Moonrise 2:10 PM   Moonset 1:27 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ340 Peconic And Gardiners Bays- 543 Am Edt Sat Jun 15 2024

Today - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Tonight - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Sun - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.

Sun night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Mon - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Mon night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Tue - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Wed - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Wed night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

ANZ300 543 Am Edt Sat Jun 15 2024

Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure builds in from the northwest today, moving overhead Sunday morning and offshore by Sunday evening. The high remains in control through late next week. A few weak disturbances may approach from the north next weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Montauk CDP, NY
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Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 151409 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 1009 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will bring dry and pleasant Father's Day weekend. Dangerous heat and humidity begin to arrive on Tuesday and peak in the Wednesday through Friday time frame. Near record high temperatures are possible with afternoon Heat Indices between 95 and 105 degrees.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/

10am update...

A weak shortwave passing overhead is providing just enough lift to increase cloudcover over eastern MA this morning. We should continue to see these dissipate over the next several hours as mid level ridging moves in.

Previous Discussion...

* Plenty of sunshine today with highs well up into the upper 70s to the lower 80s along with lowering humidity

Leftover clouds now confined to eastern MA and expect those to dissipate through the morning as a very dry airmass fills in behind. Winds turn northerly today with highs mainly in the upper 70s to low 80s along with plenty of sunshine. Humidity will also be noticeably lower with dewpoints dropping into the 40s and 50s. Northerly winds and cold air advection will promote mixing which will allow for gusts of 15 to 20 mph today until sunset.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/
Tonight

Upper level ridge axis and surface high pressure move in overhead.
With clear skies, decreasing winds, and dewpoints in the 40s, strong radiational cooling will take place. Overnight lows will drop into the upper 40s to low 50s region wide. NW MA will likely be the coldest with lows in the low 40s.

Tomorrow

High pressure and dry airmass remain over the region. A passing weak 500mb shortwave will bring some high clouds and filtered sunshine to the region. All in all, Sunday will be another gorgeous day with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s, and dewpoints still in the upper 40s to low 50s. Winds will also be also be light as they turn from northerly to southerly late in the day.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
Key Points...

* Dangerous Heat & Humidity Tue through Fri * Near Record highs with Heat Indices 95-105 degrees * Mainly dry weather next week outside widely scattered t-storm risk

Details...

The main story continues to be the expected dangerous heat and humidity in store for much of the region next week. Ensembles continue to be in excellent agreement in an anomalous upper level ridge building across New England. Guidance shows 500 mb height fields approaching 600 dm in our region...which is rarely seen in our part of the country and a strong signal for the potential of record heat. This is also supported by the NAEFS & EPS Situational Awareness tables...which indicates several parameters outside the models climatology. That is a strong indication for the potential of a rare/highly unusual weather event...in this case being heat and humidity.

The dangerous heat and humidity arrive Tue across the interior, but appears localized sea breezes/onshore flow may limit the initial risk on the immediate coast. The heat & humidity should peak in the Wed through Fri time frame with the only possible relief along the immediate coast during times of localized sea breezes. Otherwise, ensemble guidance data supports near record highs well into the 90s...perhaps touching 100 degrees in spots. If that were to occur...we would challenge all time record highs for the month of June in spots. Either way though the main story will be several days of dangerous heat & humidity. Afternoon Heat Indices will reach into the 95 to 105 degree range. There will not be much relief at night with heat indices remaining in the 70s.

Upper level ridging will keep the vast majority of the upcoming work week dry
That being said
near record high temperatures with modest instability will result in a widely scattered t-storm threat.
This risk may increase towards the end of the work week as a cold front approaches the region.

So in a nutshell...dangerous heat and humidity is the concern for much of next week perhaps even challenging all time June high temperature records in spots!

AVIATION /14Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Forecast Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

12z TAF Update...

Today...High Confidence.

VFR outside of a period of MVFR conditions on the Cape/Islands this morning. N winds 10 to 15 knots with a few gusts to 20 knots this morning.

Tonight...High Confidence.

VFR. Light N winds.

Tomorrow:

VFR. Winds turn light southerly with localized sea breezes possible.

KBOS TAF...High confidence in TAF.

KBDL TAF...High confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Sunday Night through Wednesday/...

Sunday Night: VFR.

Monday through Tuesday: VFR. Breezy.

Tuesday Night: VFR.

Juneteenth: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy.
Slight chance SHRA, slight chance TSRA.

MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Today:

Winds turn north and gust 15 to 20mph. Seas 2-4 feet.

Tonight:

Clear conditions and generally light winds. Seas around 2-4 feet.

Tomorrow:

Clear conditions and light winds. Seas around 2-4 feet.

Outlook /Sunday Night through Wednesday/...

Sunday Night through Monday: Winds less than 25 kt.

Monday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Tuesday through Juneteenth: Winds less than 25 kt.

CLIMATE
Daily Record High Temperatures...

Tuesday, June 18th

BOS - 94F (1929)
BDL - 95F (1994)
PVD - 94F (1929)
ORH - 93F (1929)

Wednesday, June 19th

BOS - 96F (1923)
BDL - 95F (1995)
PVD - 94F (1923)
ORH - 93F (1923)

Thursday, June 20th

BOS - 98F (1953)
BDL - 97F (2012)
PVD - 95F (1941)
ORH - 93F (1953)

Last Day of 100F (or greater)

BOS - 100F (07/24/2022)
BDL - 100F (07/21/2019)
PVD - 100F (07/28/2020)
ORH - 102F (07/04/1911)

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 0 mi53 min 69°F 67°F29.90
NLHC3 23 mi53 min 74°F 83°F29.95
44097 - Block Island, RI (154) 45 mi57 min 66°F2 ft
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 46 mi53 minNNE 8G11 72°F 63°F29.94
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 47 mi53 minNE 8.9G12 71°F 29.94
PDVR1 49 mi53 minNNE 6G8.9 75°F 29.9359°F


Wind History for No Ports station near this location
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No data


Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KMTP MONTAUK,NY 3 sm58 minWNW 05--77°F61°F57%29.96
KGON GROTONNEW LONDON,CT 20 sm56 minNW 16G2210 smClear79°F52°F39%29.94
KBID BLOCK ISLAND STATE,RI 22 sm56 minENE 0810 smA Few Clouds70°F61°F73%29.95
KWST WESTERLY STATE,RI 22 sm59 minNNW 11G2110 smA Few Clouds79°F48°F34%29.94
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Wind History graph: MTP
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Tide / Current for Montauk, Fort Pond Bay, Long Island Sound, New York
   
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Montauk
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Sat -- 01:27 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:33 AM EDT     1.76 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:52 AM EDT     0.64 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:13 PM EDT     2.27 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:48 PM EDT     0.69 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Montauk, Fort Pond Bay, Long Island Sound, New York, Tide feet
12
am
0.9
1
am
1.1
2
am
1.3
3
am
1.5
4
am
1.7
5
am
1.7
6
am
1.6
7
am
1.3
8
am
1.2
9
am
0.9
10
am
0.7
11
am
0.6
12
pm
0.8
1
pm
1.1
2
pm
1.5
3
pm
1.8
4
pm
2.1
5
pm
2.3
6
pm
2.2
7
pm
2
8
pm
1.7
9
pm
1.4
10
pm
1.1
11
pm
0.8


Tide / Current for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
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Sat -- 01:07 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 01:27 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:46 AM EDT     1.73 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 05:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:04 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 10:02 AM EDT     -2.13 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 01:15 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:07 PM EDT     2.05 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 07:33 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:36 PM EDT     -2.38 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current, knots
12
am
-1.1
1
am
-0.1
2
am
0.9
3
am
1.6
4
am
1.7
5
am
1.4
6
am
0.9
7
am
0.1
8
am
-0.9
9
am
-1.8
10
am
-2.1
11
am
-1.9
12
pm
-1.2
1
pm
-0.3
2
pm
0.8
3
pm
1.7
4
pm
2
5
pm
1.9
6
pm
1.4
7
pm
0.6
8
pm
-0.5
9
pm
-1.6
10
pm
-2.3
11
pm
-2.3


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Upton, NY,




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