Thursday, February27, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Akron, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:02AMSunset 6:15PM Thursday February 27, 2020 9:46 AM EST (14:46 UTC) Moonrise 9:13AMMoonset 10:08PM Illumination 17% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 1022 Pm Est Wed Feb 26 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 7 am est Thursday...
.gale warning in effect from 7 am est Thursday through Friday morning...
Rest of tonight..Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west to 30 knots. Snow and rain late this evening, then snow after midnight. Waves 3 to 6 feet building to 7 to 10 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet.
Thursday..West gales to 35 knots increasing to 40 knots. Snow in the morning, then snow showers in the afternoon. Waves 10 to 14 feet. Waves occasionally around 18 feet.
Thursday night..West gales to 40 knots diminishing to 30 knots. Snow showers. Waves 10 to 14 feet. Waves occasionally around 18 feet.
Friday..West winds to 30 knots. Snow showers likely in the morning. Waves 7 to 11 feet subsiding to 5 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 14 feet. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Saturday through Monday. The water temperature off toledo is 34 degrees, off cleveland 35 degrees, and off erie 35 degrees.
LEZ146 Expires:202002270915;;153043 FZUS51 KCLE 270322 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1022 PM EST Wed Feb 26 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ146>149-270915-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Akron, OH
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location: 41.07, -81.53     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 271129 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 629 AM EST Thu Feb 27 2020

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure will move from Lake Ontario north to Quebec today. A series of surface troughs will rotate southeast across the local area today through Friday night. High pressure ridge will build east across the area Saturday and Sunday. A warm front will move northeast across the area Sunday night while a cold front slides southeast to Lake Erie and stalls Monday night. Low pressure will track northeast along the stationary front Monday night into Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/. Winds are quickly shifting from a northerly component late last night to a more westerly direction at this time. This is setting up the lake effect snow band that will develop and extend into northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania later this afternoon and tonight. A connection off Lake Michigan is pushing toward Lake Erie and a band is trying to develop just north of the lakeshore. The trend will continue through the morning hours into this afternoon and evening. Some clearing pushed into the western and central portions of the area but cloud cover off Lake Michigan is pushing east into the area to close up those gaps in the overcast. Still expecting some very light snow to fall across western and southern portions of the area as a result of the Lake Michigan connection. Otherwise, further north along the lakeshore, I-90 will be under the gun this afternoon into tonight. Made some minor changes to weather and sky grids to account for breaks in the overcast for now.

Previous Discussion .

The long awaited major weather change that has been advertised for the last week has now come to fruition. A deep digging upper level trough affecting nearly all of the Lower 48 states is currently over the eastern half of the country. This upper level feature has become slightly negatively tilted and continues to cause surface low pressure system over Lake Ontario to rapidly intensify. This storm system will eject out to the northeast today toward Quebec and will keep a cyclonic flow over the local area through this forecast period. The synoptic snow associated with the low pressure system is now beginning to wrap up across the area as we begin to transition into a lake effect snow event. Snow continues to taper off in the western and southern portions of the forecast area and even some clearing skies pushed toward northwest Ohio earlier this evening. However, latest satellite and radar indicate the lake effect snow bands are rapidly developing off Lake Michigan and will head toward the western portions of the forecast area. We can expect to see some light snow accumulations from these bands but nothing more.

The KCLE radar and short term model guidance is now showing the flow is beginning to shift around to a more westerly direction and become well aligned and therefore, the lake effect snow will begin. At this time, the best corridor for the heaviest snow will take place along Interstate 90 from eastern Cuyahoga county to Erie county in Pennsylvania. A prolonged period of moderate to heavy snow is expected. Model soundings indicate the best conditions will take place this afternoon into tonight as inversion lifts to around 7K feet, depth of moisture persists, dendritic ice growth potential descends into the upward vertical motion fields, and moderate instability is present. Gusty winds will also be an issue not only in the heavy snow squalls but in the the synoptic flow as the low pressure intensifies today. Strongest winds pushing 45 knots are expected along the Lake Erie shoreline. So, this will cause blowing and drifting of the snow. Travel along the Interstate 90 corridor could become difficult; especially during the afternoon/evening commute.

The lake effect is expected to continue into Friday and there is the potential for significant accumulations along the main band if it persists through the night tonight in the same place. Some drop in the inversion will take place but flow should remain well aligned into Friday.

The cold air advection will keep temperatures in the middle and upper 20s today and Friday with lows tonight dropping into the teens. Wind chills tonight will drop into the single digits with day time wind chills in the teens.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. The short term begins with lake effect snow ongoing across northeast Ohio and nwrn PA. Have increased pops across all of the OH snowbelt Friday night and then tapered through Saturday into saturday night. Models Friday night show deep enough moisture with moisture and lift through the dendritic growth zone with weak cold advection and flow off the lake as show on forecast soundings. Will have snow in the 2- 5 inch range for the overnight. Going into Saturday however, drier air and high pressure begin moving in from the west. Still however, with favorable temperature and moisture profiles at Erie, expect snow to continue into the morning from far northeast Ohio into nwrn PA Saturday night will have just chance pops for nwrn PA as dry air begins to overwhelm any lake forcing. Outside of the lake effect areas expect increasing sun on Saturday with building high pressure. Sunday a weak trough moving through the Central Plains with a surface low from KS to MN. The entire Midwest and Ohio Valley will be under warm advection and flow between the low and high pressure across the southeast will be about 50 knots at 850mb out of the GLFMX into the Ohio Valley. Expect increasing clouds through Sunday into Sunday night with chance pops overnight Sunday night increasing from the southwest. Expect a quick warming trend with highs Saturday in the upper 29s to near 30 increasing to the mid 40s most areas for Sunday.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Monday through Wednesday the warming trend that started Sunday will continue with highs reaching the 50s most places for the period. Persistent moisture moving into the area from the GLFMX and waves of low pressure moving into the area from the Southern Plains will make for a fairly wet long term period. Will have likely to categorical pops for rain Monday and Tuesday. Will have chance pops for Wednesday but that may need to be boosted to likely with an upper trough shown by the ECMWF digging into the Central Plains.

AVIATION /12Z Thursday THROUGH Monday/. Ceilings and visibilities are improving to VFR at times in the west but Lake Michigan lake effect snow continues to kick in at this time. This snow will begin to spread east into the western portions of the forecast area and affect Toledo and Findlay. Will keep lower ceilings and visibilities at Cleveland until the bands shift more toward the lakeshore in the westerly flow. Areas to the southeast will also experience some light snowfall through this forecast period. Erie should see the worst of the snow with several inches of snow accumulation expected over the next 24 hours in the lake effect. Visibilities will be reduced to a 1/4SM or less at times in snow and blowing snow.

OUTLOOK. Non-VFR mainly in northeast OH and northwest PA, due to lake effect snow through Saturday. Non-VFR returns Sunday night into Monday with rain showers.

MARINE. Will adjust headlines to drop the small craft advisory and just go with the gale warning and low water at the start of the forecast. Winds already around 30 knots and should increase into the mid 30s for the day today. Surface low over New England this morning with high pressure centered over TX driving strong wnw winds on the lake. Strong wnw flow across Lake Erie will persist through tonight as the low moves slowly north. Northwest flow will diminish Friday night to around 20 knots ending the gale on the east half as the low moves to the Maritimes and weakens. With northwest flow to 20 to 25 knots however waves will remain 6 to 10 feet so expect small craft headlines to continue until Saturday night and Sunday when winds diminish to 10 knots or less and back to the ssw. Southwest flow will increase to around 15 knots again on Monday as a cold front approaches the lake from the west.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . Lake Effect Snow Warning until 6 PM EST Saturday for OHZ011>014-089. PA . Lake Effect Snow Warning until 6 PM EST Saturday for PAZ001>003. MARINE . Low Water Advisory until midnight EST tonight for LEZ142>144- 162>164. Gale Warning until midnight EST tonight for LEZ142>145-162>165. Gale Warning until 7 AM EST Friday for LEZ146>149-166>169.

SYNOPSIS . Lombardy NEAR TERM . Lombardy SHORT TERM . TK LONG TERM . TK AVIATION . Lombardy MARINE . TK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 33 mi47 min W 23 G 28 26°F 38°F1012.1 hPa (+1.5)17°F
LORO1 45 mi17 min WNW 32 G 37 26°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 50 mi47 min W 34 G 39 24°F 37°F1011.4 hPa (+1.8)18°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 56 mi62 min WSW 4.1 22°F 1013 hPa19°F

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Akron, Akron Fulton International Airport, OH4 mi53 minW 16 G 249.00 miOvercast24°F12°F62%1013.4 hPa
Akron Canton Regional Airport, OH11 mi56 minW 16 G 223.00 miLight Snow22°F14°F71%1013.8 hPa
Portage County Airport, OH18 mi51 minW 81.50 miOvercast19°F15°F85%1011.5 hPa
Wooster, Wayne County Airport, OH24 mi51 minWNW 13 G 207.00 miLight Snow22°F15°F75%1014.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAKR

Wind History from AKR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW5SW6SW5SW7SW4W43NW6W10W8NW9NW13W13NW14
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1 day agoN5N4N7NE7N7N7NE6NE4NE6N8NE8NE8N9NE5N5N4N3N3CalmN3CalmCalmS3SW6
2 days agoSW9SW9SW7--S9SW11S10SW7SW6S3E4CalmE3E3CalmCalmE5N4NE5NE4NE6NE3NE5NE4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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