Thursday, September19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fenwick, CT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:33AMSunset 6:54PM Thursday September 19, 2019 4:03 PM EDT (20:03 UTC) Moonrise 9:57PMMoonset 11:37AM Illumination 69% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ330 Long Island Sound East Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 347 Pm Edt Thu Sep 19 2019
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Mon night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of showers.
Tue..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Tue night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 347 Pm Edt Thu Sep 19 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure will dominate through the weekend. A cold front approaches on Monday and moves through Monday night. High pressure then follows for Tuesday and Wednesday. Meanwhile, long period swells from distant hurricane humberto will impact the waters into Friday night. Please refer to national hurricane center products for further details.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fenwick borough, CT
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location: 41.27, -72.36     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 191931
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
331 pm edt Thu sep 19 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will dominate through the weekend. A cold front
approaches on Monday and moves through Monday night. High pressure
follows for Tuesday and Wednesday.

Near term until 6 am Friday morning
High pressure overhead and low rh through the atmospheric column
lead to a clear sky tonight with light to calm winds. There will
however probably be some fog in the river valleys late at night.

Strong radiational cooling is anticipated to help low temperatures
drop into the upper 30s for some of the outlying suburbs, so a
little too warm to mention frost. Most of the suburbs should end up
in the 40s, with lows in the city mostly 50-55.

There is a high risk of rip currents at atlantic ocean beaches into
this evening due to long period swells from distant hurricane
humberto.

Short term 6 am Friday morning through Friday night
High pressure center slowly drifts towards the mid-atlantic coast
through the period with continued dry weather. Sunshine occasionally
mixes with some cirrus, but overall it will be a mostly sunny day.

Subsidence will continue to limit the mixing depth, however with the
top of the mixed layer forecast to warm up to around 17c, expecting
high temperatures to climb to around 80 for parts of nyc and NE nj.

Mid to upper 70s are expected for the rest of the area. Cirrus at
night probably prevents strong radiational cooling on Friday night,
so lows will be milder this time around.

There is a high risk of rip currents at atlantic ocean beaches on
Friday due to long period swells from distant hurricane
humberto.

Long term Saturday through Thursday
Dry and warm conditions this weekend are going to follow the recent
cooler than normal weather we have seen the last few days across the
tri state. An anomalously strong ridge will build over the eastern
us on Saturday. The axis of the ridge will gradually move towards
the western atlantic on Sunday. Surface high pressure centered over
the middle atlantic Saturday will move offshore on Sunday. High
temperatures on Saturday will be in the upper 70s and lower 80s for
most locations, with lower to middle 80s possible in the nyc metro
and urban NE nj. Temperatures on Sunday will likely be a few degrees
higher than Saturday, especially away from the coast. Onshore flow
may hold temperatures in the upper 70s across long island and
coastal connecticut. Dew points moderate through the weekend and
should be in the lower to middle 60s on Sunday making it feel more
humid.

Heights aloft begin to fall Sunday night as a shortwave trough
begins moving across the great lakes region. The upper trough then
moves towards the northeast Monday and then swings across new
england Monday night into Tuesday. The trough will send a cold front
towards the area on Monday and then cross the region Monday night.

The 12z guidance appears to be in fairly good agreement on the
general timing of the front. The front should then be offshore on
Tuesday. The atmosphere is capped on Monday ahead of the front so
have trended the highest pops to Monday night evening night with the
actual cold front. Instability continues to look marginal and have
left thunder out of the forecast for now. The best forcing also may
pass to the north and will continue to chance pops for now.

Temperatures on Monday remain above normal in the upper 70s and
lower 80s.

Ridging returns both aloft and the surface later Tuesday into
Wednesday. Temperatures trend down near seasonable levels and the
atmosphere dries out. The next front may approach Wednesday night or
Thursday, but deterministic models and ensemble means differ on the
amplitude of any troughing that may approach.

Aviation 21z Thursday through Tuesday
Vfr through the TAF period.

N NE winds 5 to 10 kt except S 10kt or less along the coast.

Otherwise winds become light and variable tonight before
becoming west near 10 kt on Friday.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 15 mi33 min SW 8.9 G 9.9 63°F 1025.4 hPa48°F
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 16 mi45 min S 6 G 8.9 67°F 68°F1025.7 hPa
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 26 mi51 min 61°F 68°F1026.4 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 29 mi45 min SSW 8 G 9.9 63°F 69°F1025.7 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 44 mi51 min S 6 G 8 62°F 70°F1026 hPa

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Chester, Chester Airport, CT11 mi68 minN 010.00 miFair70°F41°F35%1026.4 hPa
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT17 mi67 minSW 810.00 miFair65°F48°F56%1025.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSNC

Wind History from SNC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4N5NE4CalmE4NE4NE4CalmN3N3CalmNW3NW5N5N6N6N454
G10
4SE4CalmCalmNW5
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6NE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4N5N4N3CalmN4NE4NE5
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2 days agoNW5----NW6N4--N3----N5----NW4NW3NW5NW5N7N7N9N12
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Tide / Current Tables for Old Saybrook Point, Connecticut
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Old Saybrook Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:22 AM EDT     3.03 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:22 AM EDT     0.52 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:45 PM EDT     3.53 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:10 PM EDT     0.53 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:56 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.22.7332.621.40.80.50.611.62.333.43.53.32.721.30.80.50.61

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:02 AM EDT     2.39 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 03:07 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:20 AM EDT     -2.49 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:16 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:35 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 12:19 PM EDT     2.46 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 03:23 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:46 PM EDT     -2.73 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:55 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 09:56 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.421.20.1-0.9-1.9-2.5-2.3-1.5-0.30.81.82.42.31.50.4-0.7-1.7-2.5-2.7-2.2-1.10.11.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.