Watch Hill, RI Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Watch Hill, RI

June 17, 2024 12:10 AM EDT (04:10 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:11 AM   Sunset 8:24 PM
Moonrise 4:15 PM   Moonset 2:05 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ237 Block Island Sound- 1004 Pm Edt Sun Jun 16 2024

Overnight - S winds around 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 8 seconds and S 1 foot at 2 seconds.

Mon - S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 3 seconds and se 2 ft at 7 seconds.

Mon night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 7 seconds.

Tue - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 6 seconds and se 1 foot at 12 seconds.

Tue night through Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 10 seconds.

Thu through Fri night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and S 2 ft at 9 seconds.
seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.

ANZ200 1004 Pm Edt Sun Jun 16 2024

Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters - Tranquil boating conditions continue this evening as high pressure remains overhead. Winds begin to increase out of the south on Monday with gusts up to 20-25 knots. High pressure remains to the east much of the week with ssw winds.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Watch Hill, RI
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Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 170138 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 938 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will bring dry weather and warming temperatures to start the week. Dangerous heat and humidity arrives on Tuesday and peaks in the Wednesday through Friday time frame.
Near to record breaking high temperatures are possible with afternoon Heat Indices between 95 and 105 degrees. Not much relief at night with near record breaking warmest low temperatures and heat indices still in the 70s.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/
10 PM Update...

Forecast remains on track at this point. No changes made in the latest update.

Previous discussion...

High level cirrus clouds continue to stream overhead as a weak shortwave rounds the ridge. Meanwhile the radar is clear except for one feature of note: the leading edge of the seabreeze moving north into RI and southeast MA. More of the same quiet weather is expected tonight under high pressure with mostly clear skies. This will allow for some radiational cooling once again, though slightly warmer dewpoints thanks to southerly flow will limit it a bit. Lows dip into the low to mid 50s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
Mid level ridging continues to build over the region which, along with surface high pressure shifting east, will start to further warm the airmass overhead. 850 mb temps increase from 9C this afternoon to 16C by Monday afternoon. This translates to high temperatures in the low to mid 80s for many. The exception will be for much of Rhode Island and southeast MA where increasing southerly flow off the water will hold temps in the 70s. It will feel more humid on Monday as dewpoints increase from the 40s today to the upper 50s/low 60s.
Monday night southwest flow continues to increase dewpoints a few degrees keeping lows quite mild, in the low to mid 60s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Highlights

* Dangerous Heat and humidity Tue through Fri. Heat Indices range from 90-105.

* Near to record breaking high temperatures along with warmest low temperatures during this stretch. Not much relief from the heat anticipated at night. Heat peaks on Wed-Thu.

* Could see some spotty t-storms from Wed-Fri. Better opportunity for more widespread activity over the weekend/early next week.

Tuesday through Friday...

Dangerous Heat and Humidity expected with generally dry and quiet weather. As previous shift mentioned and is still the case, ensembles are in excellent agreement. The anomalous 500 hPa height fields will approach 600 dm. This is rarely seen in our area and a strong signal for the potential of record heat.
Both the NAEFS and EPS situational awareness tables show several parameters outside model climatology. Generally looks like the peak is in the Wed/Thu timeframe. This is a strong indication of a rare/highly anomalous weather event. The ridge axis planted over us begins to get shunted later on Wed/Thu, but especially Fri as shortwaves slide across its northern periphery.

The dangerous heat/humidity begins to arrive on Tue. Confidence quite high for the risk across the interior, but should be more limited for locations along the immediate coastline due to localized sea breezes. Think that given the S/SWly flow should see more relief along the immediate south coast, but especially the Cape/Islands.
The heat and humidity peaks in the Wed-Fri timeframe. Current Excessive Heat Watches look fine, though may need to expand in future updates as though we may fall just shy of the 105 heat index in spots think that there is a significant risk for heat impacts given we don't get much relief at night. At this point away from coastal/sea breeze areas will have heat indices in the afternoons of roughly 95-105 degrees. At night will have heat indices still remaining in the 70s as well.

Does appear that there will be spotty thunderstorm risk in the Wed- Fri timeframe as the ridge begins to be shunted a bit to the south/southeast. Though there is some uncertainty in this as did have to bump up to slight chances on Wed/Thu from the NBM. Did this as there is fair amount of instability and in combination with the heat there could be some spotty t-storms triggered.

Will have the risk for challenging the all time June high temperature records in spots, daily high temperature records for the 18-21 and warmest low temperature records as well. See the climate section below for more of these details.

Next weekend...

Ridge axis gets shunted to the south, which will return us to a quasi-zonal flow pattern. Could see a shortwave or a more substantial shortwave swinging in, which would bring us shots for more widespread showers and thunderstorms. Still looks like we could perhaps see another mild day on Sat before we cool down to more seasonable values by Sun into early next week.

For now have stuck with the NBM guidance through this period as it seems quite reasonable given the pattern. Main focus of the extended was on the dangerous heat/humidity during the week.

AVIATION /02Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Forecast Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Tonight...High confidence.

VFR with southerly winds.

VFR, calm/light southerly winds. Low risk for patchy fog development across the CT River Valley after 06Z.

Monday...High confidence.

VFR. Will have the boundary layer becoming well mixed around 15-18Z, which will increase S to SSW winds to 10-15 kts. Should see some 20-25 kt gusts through the afternoon.

Monday Night...High confidence.

VFR conditions persists. Will have the boundary layer decouple between 00-02Z, which will bring an end to the gusty winds.
Expect S to SW winds to continue to diminish as the night progresses.

KBOS TAF...High confidence in TAF.

VFR through the forecast. Winds turn S by roughly 02-04Z. Should see gusty winds S developing around 15-17Z on Mon and persisting into the evening.

KBDL TAF...High confidence in TAF.

VFR through the forecast. Gusty S winds developing around 15-17Z and persisting into the evening.

Outlook /Tuesday through Friday/...

Tuesday through Wednesday Night: VFR. Breezy.

Thursday through Thursday Night: VFR. Breezy. Slight chance SHRA, isolated TSRA.

Friday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, isolated TSRA.

MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Tonight:

Clear conditions and light southerly winds. Seas around 2-4 feet.

Monday:

Continued clear conditions with increasing southerly winds at 10-15 knots, gusting 20-25 knots.

Monday night: Clear conditions with slowly decreasing southwest winds 10-15 kts. Seas 2-4 ft.

Outlook /Tuesday through Friday/...

Tuesday: Winds less than 25 kt.

Tuesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Juneteenth: Winds less than 25 kt.

Wednesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt. Slight chance of rain showers, isolated thunderstorms.

Thursday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft. Slight chance of rain showers, isolated thunderstorms.

Friday: Winds less than 25 kt. Slight chance of rain showers, isolated thunderstorms.

CLIMATE
All Time June High Temperature Record (Daily)

BOS - 100 F (06/06/1925, 06/26/1952 and 06/30/2021)
BDL - 100 F (06/26/1952, 06/30/1964)
PVD - 98 F (06/25/1943, 06/15/1945 and 06/30/1945)
ORH - 98 F (06/26/1952)

Most recent day of 100 F (or greater)

BOS - 100 F (07/24/2022)
BDL - 100 F (07/21/2019)
PVD - 100 F (07/28/2020)
ORH - 102 F (07/04/1911)*

* For ORH this is the only 100+ degree day in its period of record.

Daily High Temperature Records...

June 18th

BOS - 94 F (1907 and 1929)
BDL - 95 F (1957 and 1994)
PVD - 94 F (1929)
ORH - 93 F (1907 and 1929)

June 19th

BOS - 96 F (1923)
BDL - 95 F (1995)
PVD - 94 F (1923)
ORH - 93 F (1923)

June 20th

BOS - 98 F (1953)
BDL - 97 F (2012)
PVD - 95 F (1941)
ORH - 93 F (1953)

June 21st

BOS - 96 F (2012)
BDL - 96 F (1953 and 2012)
PVD - 96 F (1941)
ORH - 91 F (Multi-Years)

Daily Warmest Low Temperatures Records...

June 18th

BOS - 72 F (1929)
BDL - 70 F (1905)
PVD - 72 F (1929)
ORH - 69 F (1905 and 1994)

June 19th

BOS - 73 F (1995)
BDL - 72 F (1929)
PVD - 70 F (1995)
ORH - 72 F (1929)

June 20th

BOS - 78 F (1931)
BDL - 74 F (1931)
PVD - 74 F (1931)
ORH - 72 F (1931)

June 21st

BOS - 80 F (2012)
BDL - 73 F (1923 and 2012)
PVD - 75 F (2012)
ORH - 74 F (1923 and 2012)

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Excessive Heat Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Friday evening for CTZ002-003.
MA...Excessive Heat Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Friday evening for MAZ003-005-006-010-011-013-014.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
NLHC3 13 mi53 min 62°F 78°F30.24
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 19 mi53 min 62°F 64°F30.19
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 31 mi53 minS 8G8.9 64°F 67°F30.24
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 31 mi53 minWSW 8G8.9 62°F 30.24
PDVR1 32 mi53 minSW 1.9G4.1 62°F 30.2355°F
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 36 mi86 minWNW 4.1 62°F 30.2454°F
PRUR1 36 mi53 min 64°F 58°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 36 mi53 minWSW 4.1G7 64°F 30.26
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 39 mi53 minS 13G16 64°F 67°F30.24
PVDR1 41 mi53 minSW 5.1G6 63°F 30.2556°F
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 42 mi53 minSSW 6G8.9 63°F 65°F30.24
44085 44 mi71 min 63°F 63°F2 ft
BUZM3 - Buzzards Bay, MA 44 mi71 minS 11G12 63°F 30.26
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 45 mi53 minS 4.1G5.1 63°F 30.24
FRXM3 45 mi53 min 63°F 54°F
44097 - Block Island, RI (154) 46 mi45 min 65°F2 ft
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 46 mi53 min 62°F 71°F30.26


Wind History for Newport, RI
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Airport Reports
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Wind History graph: WST
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Tide / Current for Watch Hill Point, Rhode Island
   
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Watch Hill Point
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Sun -- 01:45 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:43 AM EDT     2.08 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:13 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:52 AM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:17 PM EDT     2.53 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Watch Hill Point, Rhode Island, Tide feet
12
am
0.8
1
am
0.9
2
am
1.3
3
am
1.7
4
am
2
5
am
2.1
6
am
1.9
7
am
1.5
8
am
1.1
9
am
0.8
10
am
0.6
11
am
0.6
12
pm
0.6
1
pm
0.9
2
pm
1.3
3
pm
1.8
4
pm
2.3
5
pm
2.5
6
pm
2.4
7
pm
2.1
8
pm
1.7
9
pm
1.2
10
pm
0.9
11
pm
0.7


Tide / Current for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
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Sun -- 01:46 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 02:02 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:41 AM EDT     1.78 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 05:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:59 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 10:55 AM EDT     -2.11 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 02:04 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 03:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:57 PM EDT     2.12 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 08:20 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:27 PM EDT     -2.54 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current, knots
12
am
-1.9
1
am
-1.1
2
am
-0
3
am
1
4
am
1.7
5
am
1.8
6
am
1.5
7
am
0.9
8
am
-0
9
am
-1
10
am
-1.8
11
am
-2.1
12
pm
-1.8
1
pm
-1
2
pm
-0.1
3
pm
1
4
pm
1.8
5
pm
2.1
6
pm
1.9
7
pm
1.3
8
pm
0.4
9
pm
-0.8
10
pm
-1.8
11
pm
-2.5


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Boston, MA,




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