Noank, CT Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Noank, CT

May 27, 2024 8:28 AM EDT (12:28 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:17 AM   Sunset 8:13 PM
Moonrise 12:00 AM   Moonset 8:36 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ237 Block Island Sound- 704 Am Edt Mon May 27 2024

.small craft advisory in effect from this evening through Tuesday morning - .

Today - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt this afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 1 foot at 9 seconds. Areas of fog. A slight chance of showers this morning. Showers likely this afternoon. Vsby 1 nm or less.

Tonight - S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 5 seconds and S 4 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy dense fog in the evening. Patchy fog after midnight. Showers. A chance of tstms after midnight. Vsby 1 nm or less.

Tue - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: se 4 ft at 6 seconds and sw 1 foot at 3 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Tue night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 7 seconds and W 1 foot at 3 seconds.

Wed - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 7 seconds and W 1 foot at 3 seconds.

Wed night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 7 seconds and W 1 foot at 3 seconds. A chance of showers.

Thu - NW winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers.

Thu night through Fri night - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.

ANZ300 543 Am Edt Mon May 27 2024

Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - A strong frontal system impacts the area through tonight. A series of reinforcing cold fronts will then move across the area during the middle of the week. High pressure builds in Friday


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Noank CDP, CT
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Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 271142 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 742 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

SYNOPSIS
A strong frontal system impacts the area through tonight. A series of reinforcing cold fronts will then move across the area during the middle of the week. High pressure builds in Friday into the upcoming weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Visibilities have improved across Long Island and widespread dense fog is no longer anticipated. The dense fog advisory remains in effect for coastal CT until 9 am. Visibilities should slowly improve through 9 am.

A warm front lifts north of the area this morning. A narrow line of showers with embedded thunder continues to move towards the area. There should be some weakening of this line as it continues towards the NYC metro, NE NJ, and Lower Hudson Valley due to less instability. A brief downpour and rumble of thunder is possible through around 8 am. Otherwise, a pre-frontal trough will then push into the area this afternoon and evening and will be quickly followed by a cold front passage overnight.

Here are some key messages on the shower/thunderstorm potential through tonight:

* A few rounds of showers and embedded thunderstorms are expected, first for mainly areas west of the city, then spreading east in the afternoon and evening.

* The primary threat continues to be minor/poor drainage flooding.
There is a localized flash flood threat, especially for locations north and west of the NYC metro. WPC continues to place NE NJ and portions of the Lower Hudson Valley in a slight risk for excessive rainfall, with a marginal risk elsewhere.

* The severe thunderstorm threat has increased a bit with the western half of the area now in a slight risk for severe thunderstorms. The main concern is from damaging wind gusts and hail to around 1" in diameter.

* Conditions will quickly dry out from west to east tonight with the majority of the convection offshore by midnight.

There may be a few showers as warm advection increases with a strengthening low level jet this morning. Many of the CAMs signal a brief lull in any convection until the early afternoon as a more organized line of showers and thunderstorms develops along the pre- frontal trough. This main line of convection will be the one of concern for potential of localized flash flooding. There may be a few other pockets of showers that develop ahead of this line, but not anticipating them to cause any issues other than brief moderate to heavy rainfall. A consensus of the latest CAMs brings the main line of showers and thunderstorms across NE NJ and the Lower Hudson Valley this afternoon and early evening, NYC metro late in the afternoon and early evening, and Long Island and Southern Connecticut this evening.

The onshore flow will likely limit surface instability, but elevated instability looks supportive of organized convection.
A modest middle level flow and vigorous middle level impulse may be enough to help bring down higher winds with any stronger updrafts, and this is the reasoning for the slight risk for severe thunderstorms across the western half of the area. The severe risk appears very limited east of the NYC metro and Hudson River due to stronger onshore flow influence.

PWATs should rise to around 1.75 inches, which is close to the daily observed max for May 27th per SPC sounding climatology.
Locally heavy downpours are likely in the convection and any areas that may receive training of heavier cells could see the localized flash flood risk. The overall system is progressive enough and the rain will not come in one widespread batch. This will limit flooding impacts, so no flood watch has been issued at this time. Storm total rainfall ranges from 0.5 to 1.25 inches with locally higher amounts possible. The HRRR probabilities for greater than 1 inch in one hour remain low, but do reach around 10-15 percent late this afternoon and early evening across portions of NE NJ into the interior Lower Hudson Valley.

The cold front quickly follows the pre-frontal trough helping to push the deep moisture and lift eastward with improving conditions expected after midnight.

Highs today will only be in the lower to middle 70s. If some breaks develop west of the city, highs could push closer to 80.
This will have to be watched as it could lead to slightly higher surface instability. Some fog may linger across eastern Long Island and southeast Connecticut into the afternoon. The increasing onshore flow and mixing should prevent the fog from being dense.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
The deep moisture axis and initial shortwave will continue pushing offshore Tuesday morning. A larger upper trough will then linger over the eastern CONUS. Another shortwave within the trough pushes towards the area through Tuesday afternoon. The atmosphere dries out significantly behind the lead wave and the forcing is weak, so will leave the forecast dry. The initial cold front that moves across late Monday into Monday night should be offshore, but a surface trough may setup over eastern Long Island/southeast Connecticut Tuesday. Otherwise, Tuesday looks mostly sunny and warm. Winds should take on a more westerly component allowing temperatures to reach the upper 70s and lower 80s across the region. Some middle 80s are possible across NYC metro.

Low pressure continues to track across New England Tuesday night dragging another weak front or surface trough across the area. Another area of middle level energy dives southeastward into Wednesday morning and rounds the base of trough into Wednesday. The trend in the latest guidance has been weaker/flatter with this system. Models had hinted at a wave of low pressure developing nearby Wednesday, but chances are a bit lower. It is possible this system develops Wednesday night or Thursday. Have lowered PoPs through Wednesday evening and will not just have slight to low chance late in the day. Temperatures will be in the 70s across the area.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
An upper level trough remains over the region to start to the long term with an mid level shortwave moving across the region on Thursday.

There continue to be differences with the progression of shortwave energy within the upper trough. The GFS continues to be more progressive with this feature, while the ECMWF has remained fairly consistent with a slower, stronger system. The latter of which reflects a surface low to the south of the area, For now, will continue to carry just some chance POPS during this period. Expecting at least a chance of showers areawide Wednesday night into Thursday. Confidence remains somewhat low during this time. The shortwave moves away from the region Thursday night with drier air moving into the area.

Attention then turns to the upper trough closing off just offshore on Friday. There clearly has been an eastward progression of this low, which in turn leads to a mainly dry forecast with surface high pressure building into the area over the weekend.
There are then timing issues with a frontal system progressing from the west which could bring showers into the region next Sunday. Right now, expecting a mainly dry weekend. A better chance of showers returns on Monday.

Highs in the long term will generally remain in the 70s each day, with the warmest of the day Sunday and Monday, where a few locations may come close to 80 west of NYC.

AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
A frontal system approaches today and moves across the area tonight.

Conditions range from MVFR to LIFR this morning in stratus and fog. Many of the terminals saw their vsbys improve to 5-6 miles, however the low cigs remain. Uncertainly with just how much we improve today, especially right behind this line of showers moving across the city terminals. Will improve conditions to MVFR for KLGA and KJFK and MVFR with a brief period of VFR for KEWR and KTEB. For the remainder of the terminals, expecting mainly an IFR or lower day, with low end chances of improvement to MVFR.

There is an increasing likelihood of rounds of SHRA and embedded TSRA this afternoon and into the first part of tonight.
ConditioNS then fall back down to IFR or lower until 09-13z, with winds become more westerly and and improvement to VFR is expected. It may take slightly longer for the far eastern terminals to see improvement.

S-SE around 10 kt or less will increasing to 10-15G20-25 kt for the late morning/early afternoon. Winds speeds fall back to 10kt or less tonight. Late tonight and early Tuesday morning, winds become more SW or W.

NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Amendments likely today for changing flight categories. Timing of showers and thunderstorms may be off by 1-2 hours.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Tuesday: IFR/MVFR early, improving to VFR. SW winds 10-15G20kt.

Wednesday and Thursday: Late Night/AM MVFR/IFR stratus/fog potential. Otherwise VFR, with chance of aftn SHRA/TSRA.

Friday: Mainly VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
Dense fog advisory remains in effect on the waters until 10 am Monday. Dense fog may linger past 10 am on some of the waters, but confidence is not high enough yet to extend the advisory.
Want to wait to see how observations trend to see if there is any improvement after sunrise.

A strengthening SE flow this afternoon will likely result in wind gusts around 25 kt on the ocean, first west of Fire Island Inlet and then the rest of the ocean this evening. Winds will start to fall below 25 kt, especially after the pre-frontal trough passage and strongest flow pushes east. However, seas are likely to build to around 5 ft this evening into tonight. Have gone ahead and issued an SCA on the ocean, starting at 19z west of Fire Island Inlet and at 22z east of there. The SCA runs through 10z Tuesday. Conditions should then remain below SCA levels through Wednesday.

winds and seas will generally remain below SCA criteria for the middle and end of the week.

HYDROLOGY
Showers with embedded thunderstorms are possible this morning and early afternoon, mainly west of the NYC metro. A more organized band of showers and thunderstorms is expected to move across the region from around middle afternoon into this evening. Locally heavy rainfall is possible with the highest rainfall totals are most likely to occur across portions of NE NJ and the Lower Hudson Valley. This is where WPC continues with a slight risk for excessive rainfall. These locations should to see around 0.75-1.25 inches with locally higher amounts possible. The rest of the area continues to be placed in a marginal risk. The primary threat appears to be minor/poor drainage flooding with a localized flash flood threat, especially where the heaviest rain/training convection ultimately occurs.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
A strengthening southerly flow ahead of a frontal system will allow for building surf today with the rip current risk increasing to moderate in the afternoon. A moderate rip current risk continues on Tuesday due to 3 to 4 ft seas continuing on the ocean. This is supported by the latest RCMOS.

Additionally, isolated minor coastal flooding will be possible with tonight's high tide cycle. A statement may be needed for the south shore back bays of Nassau County.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for CTZ009>012.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for ANZ331-332- 335-338-340-345-350-353-355.
Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ350-353.
Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 6 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ355.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 5 mi44 min E 15G16 59°F
NLHC3 7 mi71 min 63°F 73°F29.96
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 19 mi71 min 61°F 57°F29.91
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 35 mi71 min ESE 7G7 62°F 30.00
PDVR1 36 mi71 min E 7G8 62°F 29.9862°F
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 37 mi71 min E 6G8 62°F 59°F29.99
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 40 mi104 min SSE 4.1 62°F 30.0162°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 40 mi71 min SE 1.9G5.1 62°F 30.01
PRUR1 41 mi71 min 62°F 62°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 43 mi71 min E 8G8.9 62°F 66°F29.99
PVDR1 45 mi71 min ESE 4.1G7 64°F 30.0064°F
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 46 mi71 min ESE 5.1G6 64°F 65°F29.99
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 49 mi71 min SE 7G9.9 62°F 60°F29.94


Wind History for No Ports station near this location
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No data


Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KGON GROTONNEW LONDON,CT 4 sm11 minE 111/4 sm--64°F64°F100%29.96
KWST WESTERLY STATE,RI 10 sm27 minE 101/4 sm-- Fog 63°F61°F94%29.98
KMTP MONTAUK,NY 17 sm34 minE 03--63°F61°F94%29.98
KBID BLOCK ISLAND STATE,RI 24 sm32 minE 041/4 smOvercast Lt Rain Fog 59°F59°F100%29.99
Link to 5 minute data for KGON


Wind History from GON
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Noank, Mystic River entrance, Connecticut
   
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Noank
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Mon -- 05:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:17 AM EDT     0.15 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 12:43 PM EDT     2.15 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:13 PM EDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Noank, Mystic River entrance, Connecticut, Tide feet
12
am
2.9
1
am
2.7
2
am
2.3
3
am
1.8
4
am
1.2
5
am
0.8
6
am
0.4
7
am
0.2
8
am
0.3
9
am
0.7
10
am
1.3
11
am
1.8
12
pm
2.1
1
pm
2.1
2
pm
2
3
pm
1.6
4
pm
1.3
5
pm
1
6
pm
0.8
7
pm
0.7
8
pm
0.8
9
pm
1.2
10
pm
1.8
11
pm
2.4


Tide / Current for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
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Mon -- 02:27 AM EDT     -0.01 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 05:49 AM EDT     -3.15 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 08:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 09:06 AM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:57 AM EDT     2.57 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 03:12 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:15 PM EDT     -2.52 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:12 PM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current, knots
12
am
2.5
1
am
1.7
2
am
0.6
3
am
-0.7
4
am
-2
5
am
-2.9
6
am
-3.1
7
am
-2.6
8
am
-1.5
9
am
-0.1
10
am
1.2
11
am
2.2
12
pm
2.6
1
pm
2.2
2
pm
1.3
3
pm
0.2
4
pm
-0.9
5
pm
-2
6
pm
-2.5
7
pm
-2.3
8
pm
-1.4
9
pm
-0.3
10
pm
1
11
pm
2


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Boston, MA,




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