Wednesday, August17, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
For Noank, CT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/2/2022 Added link that gives more frequent observations on airport weather. Click on the Temperature field in "Airport Reports" or the link to 5 minute data just below the table.

Sunrise 5:58AMSunset 7:46PM Wednesday August 17, 2022 7:32 AM EDT (11:32 UTC) Moonrise 10:49PMMoonset 12:11PM Illumination 73% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ237 Block Island Sound- 701 Am Edt Wed Aug 17 2022
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday morning...
Today..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers.
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri and Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat through Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 701 Am Edt Wed Aug 17 2022
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. Low pres east of the benchmark this will slowly lift north today bringing gusty ne winds and rough seas. This low pres system will move into maine Thursday. High pres then builds over the waters from the west Fri into Sat and slide east of the region on Sun.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Noank, CT
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location: 41.32, -71.98     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 171035 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 635 AM EDT Wed Aug 17 2022

SYNOPSIS. Weak low pressure well offshore will pass through the Atlantic waters east of coastal New England today. Weak high pressure returns Thursday and remains over the region into Friday, pushing off the New England coast on Saturday. Meanwhile, a frontal boundary slowly moves northward into the weekend with a series of low pressure centers riding along it.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Forecast on track this morning with minimal difference between observed and forecast temperatures and dewpoints. POPs for light rain adjusted based on latest Doppler Radar reflectivity trends. Light rain expected across Southeast Connecticut and Eastern Long Island into early this morning.

Center of midlevel low remains in the vicinity of Coastal New England into daybreak. Weak surface low pressure far offshore moves northward but stays east of the 70W longitude. Mid and high level clouds moving north and west from the low will continue to overspread the region. Light rain for Southeast Connecticut and Eastern Long Island into early this morning where clouds will be relatively lower and clouds will be thicker. Model soundings indicate a deeper moisture vertical profile for more eastern locations versus farther west.

Midlevel low retrogrades more west today, making its way into Central New England. The surface low moves farther northward, eventually making its way into the Gulf of Maine. Chances of rain showers will remain for later this morning and this afternoon, mainly across northern and western sections of the region which will be closer to the low. Temperatures staying in the mid to upper 70s for highs with the northerly flow and abundant clouds.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/. Midlevel low eventually moves northward from Gulf of Maine tonight and moving into the Canadian Maritimes Thursday into Thursday night. The midlevel low becomes an open wave and will no longer be closed off. This low accelerates northeast Friday and moves near Newfoundland.

At the surface, low moves into Maine Wednesday night into Thursday and then moves farther northeastward into the Canadian Maritimes Thursday night through Friday. Meanwhile, across the local region, weak high pressure builds in. Clouds will decrease late tonight into Thursday with mostly clear sky conditions Thursday night and much of Friday.

Shower chances diminish tonight from south to north. Dry conditions expected Thursday through Friday. Temperatures rebound closer to normal levels Thursday and then above normal for Friday as the airmass moderates with more SW flow. 850mb temperatures will be increasing Thursday afternoon and Friday afternoon with heights rising aloft.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. No significant changes in the long term and stuck close to NBM guidance. High pressure remains over the area Friday night pushing off the New England Coast on Saturday, while weak upper level ridging occurs out ahead of another upper level low over the upper mid-West Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. This will mean dry and seasonably warm temperatures for the long term period, with highs generally in the middle 80s to around 90 (with the warmest readings across the typically warmer spots of northeast New Jersey). With a persistent south to southeasterly flow, humidity levels will also slowly rise during the time frame as dew points climb into the 60s region-wide by Sunday.

A frontal boundary over the Southeast US slowly moves northward late in the weekend and into next week. By Sunday afternoon, just a slight chance for showers is expected. However, better chances for precipitation come Monday through Wednesday as the boundary continues its trek toward the area. PWATs look to increase to 1.5 to 2.0 inches for the beginning of next week. A series of low pressure centers developing and riding this frontal boundary could point to some flooding concerns. However, a point of uncertainty will be the exact placement of the frontal boundary and the lows that form along it. Therefore, flooding concerns are very low at this time.

AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Low pressure passes east of the region today and tonight.

Generally VFR, with low chance of some MVFR conditions east of NYC.

Winds will be from the north through much of the TAF period, with speeds less than 10 kt through 12z. After 12, wind speeds increase to 10 kt at the NYC metros, and N 10-15G20kt for eastern areas. Winds diminish around 00z, and winds become a bit more northwesterly.

MVFR conditions become possible late tonight at KGON with light rain. MVFR conditions remains likely for KGON through much of the day Wednesday. A few showers may work their way some of the terminals later this afternoon and evening.

. NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

Occasional wind gusts to 20 kt possible today. Isolated showers will be possible through the TAF period, but confidence of timing and placement too low to include in the TAFs.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. Wednesday night. VFR. Thursday through Sunday. VFR with afternoon coastal sea breezes.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. SCA remains on the ocean through today due to residual higher seas. Non-ocean zones are below SCA today. Sub-SCA conditions expected tonight through Friday for all waters.

Winds and waves are expected to remain below SCA conditions this weekend and into early next week.

FIRE WEATHER. Areas of severe drought dot the local area, while most locations are designated as abnormally dry conditions or moderate drought. Most climate locations have not received an inch of rainfall this month. KBDI levels, which are indicative of the subterranean depth of dryness, have worsening with time. At present KBDI levels, fire spread is enhanced, even without much wind. A relatively longer and steady rainfall is needed to alleviate these conditions.

The rain today will likely not be sufficient enough to wet the grounds for most locations, as rain amounts forecast are less than a quarter of an inch. New London County Connecticut has rain amounts close to a quarter of an inch, so for that location, there will be more of a wetting rain.

The other factors for fire spread today will be less with wind gusts less than 20 mph and minimum RH staying between 40 and 60 percent.

HYDROLOGY. Around a quarter inch of rain forecast for area near New London Connecticut with less than a quarter inch elsewhere with the rainfall today into this evening. Overall, no hydrologic impacts expected through tonight and through the rest of this week.

There is a very low chance for hydrologic impacts for the beginning of next week as a frontal boundary moves toward the area with a series of low pressure centers riding along the boundary.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. For high tidal cycles through tonight, water levels are expected to remain below minor coastal flood benchmarks.

For today, the residual easterly swell and higher ocean seas of 5-6 ft will lead to a high risk for rip current development. A Rip Current Risk Statement remains in effect for all ocean beaches today into this evening. Swells begin to subside tonight.

There is a moderate risk for rip current development on Thursday as easterly swells continue to diminish.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . High Rip Current Risk through this evening for NYZ075-080-081- 178-179. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ350- 353-355.

SYNOPSIS . BC/JM NEAR TERM . JM SHORT TERM . JM LONG TERM . BC AVIATION . BC MARINE . BC/JM FIRE WEATHER . HYDROLOGY . BC/JM TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 5 mi52 min N 11G13 64°F 1016 hPa
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 6 mi44 min 63°F 72°F1015.3 hPa
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 19 mi44 min 65°F 69°F1015.7 hPa
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 35 mi44 min NW 5.1G7 64°F 74°F1015.3 hPa
PDVR1 36 mi44 min NNW 6 64°F 1014.8 hPa60°F
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 37 mi44 min N 6G8 66°F 71°F1015 hPa
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 40 mi107 min 64°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 40 mi44 min N 1.9G5.1 64°F 1016 hPa
PRUR1 41 mi44 min 65°F 65°F
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 43 mi32 min N 18G21 67°F 1015.4 hPa (+0.6)59°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 43 mi50 min 66°F 74°F1015.3 hPa
PVDR1 45 mi44 min N 4.1G5.1 65°F 1015.6 hPa64°F
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 46 mi44 min NNE 8.9G12 65°F 73°F1015.5 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 49 mi44 min N 6G7 66°F 75°F1016.8 hPa

Wind History for New London, CT
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Last 24 hr
1 day ago
2 days ago

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT4 mi2.6 hrsN 610.00 miLight Rain65°F61°F87%1015.3 hPa
Westerly, Westerly State Airport, RI10 mi2.7 hrsN 510.00 miLight Rain63°F60°F90%1015.3 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY17 mi2.6 hrsN 7 mi65°F62°F90%1015.6 hPa
Block Island State Airport, RI23 mi2.6 hrsN 810.00 miLight Rain62°F60°F93%1015.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KGON

Wind History from GON (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrN6NE14
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NE11NE11NE10NE8NE10NE7NE8N4N7N7N6N6NW7NW5
1 day agoN3N3SE7SE7SE10S10S6SE9S9SE10SE8E6E4NE3NE40N3N4N5N7N7N7N8N7
2 days agoNW70S6S8SW8S9S8SW7SW9S7SW7SW6SW6SW50SE3N3NE3N3N3N40N3N3

Tide / Current Tables for Noank, Mystic River entrance, Connecticut
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Noank
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Wed -- 01:40 AM EDT     2.36 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:15 AM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 12:11 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:09 PM EDT     2.72 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:01 PM EDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:49 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Noank, Mystic River entrance, Connecticut, Tide feet
12
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2
1
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2.3
2
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2.3
3
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2.1
4
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1.8
5
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1.4
6
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1
7
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0.6
8
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0.3
9
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0.5
10
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0.9
11
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1.6
12
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2.1
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2.5
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2.7
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2.6
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2.3
5
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1.9
6
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1.5
7
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1
8
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0.6
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0.4
10
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0.6
11
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1


Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:46 AM EDT     2.63 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 04:02 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:02 AM EDT     -2.90 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 10:14 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 12:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 01:07 PM EDT     2.71 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 04:30 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:33 PM EDT     -2.95 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 07:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:49 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 10:56 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current, knots
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2.4
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2.6
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2.2
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1.3
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0.1
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-1.3
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-2.5
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-2.9
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-2.5
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-1.6
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-0.3
11
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1.1
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2.2
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2.7
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2.5
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1.8
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0.7
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-0.7
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-2
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-2.8
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-2.9
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-2.2
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-1.2
11
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0.1


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