Monday, March8, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Noank, CT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:09AMSunset 5:48PM Monday March 8, 2021 10:33 PM EST (03:33 UTC) Moonrise 4:36AMMoonset 1:44PM Illumination 21% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ237 Block Island Sound- 1016 Pm Est Mon Mar 8 2021
Overnight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Tue night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Wed..E winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft.
Wed night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu and Thu night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Fri and Fri night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Sat and Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 1016 Pm Est Mon Mar 8 2021
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. A weak front will cross the waters early Tuesday. Additional high pressure from the midwest arrives for midweek. A cold front then brings a few showers for Friday. For additional information on possible hazardous weather for the week ahead, please visit www.weather.gov/boston/ehwo.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Noank, CT
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location: 41.32, -71.98     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 090235 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 935 PM EST Mon Mar 8 2021

SYNOPSIS. A ridge of high pressure builds in through this evening. Then, a warm front will move across tonight. A cold front will move across Tuesday morning into early Tuesday afternoon. Strong high pressure then builds in from the west Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night. High pressure shifts to the east on Wednesday as a slow moving frontal system approaches the area. The front slowly moves through the area Friday and Saturday before high pressure takes hold on Sunday. Another frontal system looks to approach from the west early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/. Clouds increase tngt with a warm front passage and low level SW winds will increase late. Warmer air arrives in the 950mb to 850mb layer overnight and the surface will follow this tendency but at a slower rate. The warm layer in the 950 to 850mb layer is forecast to reach 4 to 5 degrees C, easily allowing for the melting aloft and surface precipitation type to either be rain or freezing rain.

Winds will have a large amount of westerly flow from lower to upper levels, keeping conditions mainly dry with the warm frontal passage. However, some forcing aloft with small area of positive vorticity advection at 500mb along with some 700mb omega will present a possibility for some sparse coverage of very light rain or very light freezing rain depending on the surface temperature. Some mesoscale models and a few SREF members also indicate light precipitation across a few parts of the region late tonight into early Tuesday. GFS and ECMWF 12Z runs indicate a few small 0.01 inch areas of precip across parts of Southern Connecticut and Eastern Long Island.

The national blend of models was used for forecast lows tonight and the forecast hourly temperatures become steady going into overnight and eventually rise going into early Tuesday morning.

SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. Slight chance of some lingering light rain across parts of Southeast Connecticut and Eastern Long Island between 6 and 8am Tuesday.

After Tuesday 8-9am, expecting any precipitation to move south of Long Island with otherwise dry conditions. A cold front will move northwest to southeast across the region Tuesday morning into early Tuesday afternoon. Initial cold air advection behind the cold front will allow for an increase in vertical mixing depth and gusty winds, likely peaking in the late morning before low level winds decrease for Tuesday afternoon.

For the high temperatures forecast on Tuesday, used a blend of mixing down from 900mb using NAM12 temperatures along with a consensus of MOS and went one degree higher. The resulting forecast highs are mainly in the mid 50s to near 60. These are relatively higher towards the coastline where there will be more downslope flow.

A strong area of high pressure builds in from the west Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. Strong subsidence will provide for mostly clear sky conditions and a further decrease in winds as the overall pressure gradient decreases. Forecast lows convey a more vast range as radiational cooling will be optimal. The forecast lows range from the lower 20s for parts of the interior and the Pine Barrens of Long Island to lower 40s for parts of NYC.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. High pressure positioned over the area begins to move offshore late Wednesday and winds become primarily southerly. With clear skies, and dry conditions, temperatures will rise into the middle and upper 50s for much of the area, about 5-10 degrees above average.

A low pressure system over the Upper Midwest and southern Canada will allow the pressure gradient to tighten over the area with high pressure remaining just offshore. This will allow for a strengthening S/SW flow over much of the area with temperatures remaining above average through much of the middle and end of the week. The S/SW flow will bring in more moisture as well allowing for skies to be partly to mostly cloudy at times. High temperatures on Thursday and Friday will be in the upper 50s for Eastern LI and SE coastal CT with the rest of the region rising into the middle and potentially upper 60s during the afternoon each day. This will be anywhere from 10-15 degrees above average and a nice preview of Spring.

As the cold front approaches the area on Friday, a chance of rain showers will be possible with a relatively moist and warm airmass ahead of the front. There is some disagreement as to how far the cold front can move through the area on Friday night and Saturday. The GFS pushes the cold front completely through the area by Saturday with a primarily NE flow and dry conditions. The CMC and ECMWF both slow the front down and allow for another wave to ride along the front and bring the potential for more rain during the day on Saturday. As of now, slight chance PoPs are in place due to the uncertainty. Either way, temperatures looks to drop back down to seasonable, generally in the upper 40s and low 50s.

A strong high pressure system looks to move into the area on Sunday and into the beginning of next week with the next frontal system approaching the area sometime in the late Monday to Tuesday timeframe.

AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. A warm front moves through the area tonight, followed by a cold front Tuesday morning.

Mainly VFR. Brief MVFR possible overnight in spotty light rain.

SSW flow tngt will veer to the WNW Tue mrng and to the NW Tue eve.

NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

No unscheduled amendments expected thru 6Z.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. Tuesday Night. VFR. Wednesday. VFR. Wednesday Night. MVFR or lower in stratus possible for coastal terminals. Thursday. MVFR or lower AM coastal terminals, then VFR. S-SW gusts 15-20 kt. Friday. Mainly VFR. Chance of showers. S-SW gusts 20-25 kt, becoming W-NW late afternoon/evening. Saturday. Mainly VFR. Low Chance of AM showers. NW G15-20kt.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. Small craft advisory in effect from 07Z Tuesday until 18Z Tuesday for the ocean east of Fire Island Inlet out 20 nm.

Conditions on the waters will be initially below SCA criteria going into this evening. Then, after a warm front passage and ahead of a cold front, SW winds will be increasing and the boundary layer will increasing as well. This will be enough for gusts of 20-25 kt to develop mainly on the ocean east of Fire Island Inlet. Other waters will stay below that SCA wind gust threshold of 25 kt. The gusts near 25 kt on the ocean east of Fire Island Inlet continue into Tuesday before all waters are below SCA thresholds after 18Z. Tranquil conditions expected for Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night with conditions getting well below SCA thresholds. Any remaining wind gusts diminish Tuesday night. OCean seas are forecast to be mainly 2 ft for Tuesday night.

Sub-SCA conditions on all waters on Wednesday and Wednesday night with high pressure overhead.

Increasing S/SW flow on Thursday will bring SCA conditions on the ocean waters with gusts 25-30kts and waves 5-7ft. Gusts for non- ocean waters look to remain just below SCA Thursday and into Friday. SCA conditions on the ocean continue through much of the end of the week and into the weekend with conditions dropping below SCA by Saturday afternoon. Gusts remain marginal for the ocean through the beginning of next week. Ocean seas looks to build again near SCA criteria Sunday afternoon.

FIRE WEATHER. There has been mainly dry conditions going back to late last week. The forecast for Tuesday has forecast low level relative humidity of around 30 to 35 percent and gusts up to near 20 mph. These are almost conducive for enhanced spread of any brush fires if any were to occur. With these limiting factors plus some residual snow cover across parts of the interior, held off on any special weather statement issuance for the time being. The potential for any enhanced spread of any brush fires would increase if dewpoints trend lower than forecast Tuesday or if gusts increase closer to 25 mph or greater.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic concerns are expected.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM to 1 PM EST Tuesday for ANZ350- 353.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 6 mi64 min 34°F 1028.7 hPa
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 19 mi64 min 36°F 1029.3 hPa
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 35 mi64 min WSW 8 G 8.9 33°F 37°F1028.7 hPa
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 37 mi64 min WSW 6 G 7 35°F 38°F1028.6 hPa
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 38 mi94 min SSW 5.8 G 7.8 37°F 36°F1 ft
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 40 mi109 min WSW 5.1 33°F 1029 hPa20°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 40 mi64 min W 5.1 G 8 33°F 1029.2 hPa
PRUR1 41 mi64 min 34°F 18°F
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 43 mi54 min WSW 7.8 G 9.7 39°F 40°F1 ft1030.1 hPa23°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 43 mi70 min S 8.9 G 9.9 34°F 38°F1028.2 hPa
PVDR1 45 mi64 min WSW 5.1 G 7 35°F 1028.6 hPa12°F
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 46 mi64 min W 6 G 7 35°F 36°F1028.4 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 49 mi64 min SSW 7 G 7 37°F 37°F1029.5 hPa

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT4 mi38 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy30°F22°F72%1028.5 hPa
Westerly, Westerly State Airport, RI10 mi41 minN 010.00 miOvercast31°F21°F67%1028.5 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY17 mi40 minWSW 3 mi35°F15°F44%1029.1 hPa
Block Island State Airport, RI23 mi38 minWSW 810.00 miMostly Cloudy34°F21°F59%1029.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KGON

Wind History from GON (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Noank, Mystic River entrance, Connecticut
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Noank
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Mon -- 03:36 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:48 AM EST     2.53 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:45 AM EST     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:43 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 05:34 PM EST     1.85 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:47 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 11:49 PM EST     0.18 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.51.11.62.12.42.52.421.61.10.50.100.30.71.11.51.81.81.71.41.10.70.3

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
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Mon -- 12:58 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 03:36 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:56 AM EST     2.45 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 06:11 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:17 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:24 AM EST     -2.97 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 12:44 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 01:52 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:48 PM EST     2.33 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 05:47 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:59 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:53 PM EST     -2.57 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.101.32.22.42.21.50.4-1-2.2-2.9-2.9-2.2-1.20.21.42.22.321.2-0-1.3-2.3-2.6

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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