Mystic, CT Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Mystic, CT

June 18, 2024 9:17 AM EDT (13:17 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:13 AM   Sunset 8:26 PM
Moonrise 5:22 PM   Moonset 2:29 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ237 Block Island Sound- 704 Am Edt Tue Jun 18 2024

Today - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt this afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and S 1 foot at 7 seconds.

Tonight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 5 seconds and se 1 foot at 11 seconds.

Wed - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 5 seconds and se 1 foot at 11 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and S 1 foot at 9 seconds.

Thu and Thu night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and S 2 ft at 9 seconds.

Fri - SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 5 seconds and se 2 ft at 8 seconds. A chance of showers.

Fri night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers.

Sat and Sat night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.

ANZ200 704 Am Edt Tue Jun 18 2024

Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters - High pres remains anchored over the far eastern outer waters through the rest of the workweek. This will maintain ssw wind gusts 20-25 knots on most waters through the workweek. Dry weather is expected until later Fri.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mystic, CT
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Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 181134 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 734 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure stretching in from the western Atlantic remains in control through late this week. A frontal boundary approaches from the north on Friday and likely stalls over or just north of the area through Saturday. That front lifts north as a warm front Saturday night and another cold front approaches from the west Sunday into Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Forecast remains on track with only minor adjustments to account for the latest observations of temperatures and dew points.

The upper level ridge continues to build over the area today with increasing low level moisture due to a S/SW flow courtesy of the offshore high pressure system. As heights ride over the area, subsidence aloft will gradually warm the lower atmosphere.
As the BL mixes with daytime heating, high temperatures are expected to rise into the upper 80s to low 90s for much of the inland areas.

These hot temperatures combined with the added moisture will result in heat index values of 95-100 degrees for NE NJ, the Lower Hudson Valley, and portions of western interior southern CT. As a result, a heat advisory remains in effect for these areas. Coastal areas and NYC will remain relatively cooler with a flow off the ocean preventing high temperatures from rising more than the upper 80s to near 90. Low temperatures tonight will be in the upper 60s to low 70s.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
The strong ridge remains in place Wednesday and Thursday with continued heat over the entire region. The heat intensifies slightly and expands a bit to the east for Wednesday and even moreso for Thursday. The main headline change at during this timeframe is the addition of northern Middlesex and northern New London counties in Connecticut for Wednesday through Thursday for heat index values of 95-100. It is likely that heat advisories will be expanded closer to the coast on Thursday as heat continues to expand.

Low temperatures each night will be warm, generally in the upper 60s to middle 70s with the warmest spots in and around the NYC metro.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
**Key Points**

* The heat wave is expected to continue in the long term period, potentially peaking on Friday and continuing through the weekend for some locations.

* The combination of the heat and humidity will produce heat index values of 95 to potentially up to around 105 during this time frame away from the coast. The most impactful effects from the heat will be felt further away from the cooler effects of the ocean, particularly across the Lower Hudson Valley, northeast NJ and interior CT.

* Not much relief at night with warm and humid conditions as overnight lows will be in the upper 60s to the middle 70s, with dew points remaining well into the 60s.

By Friday morning, the upper level ridge over the area will have likely already flattened in response to an upper level trough moving through northern Canada, resulting in a zonal flow over the area.
High pressure centered offshore will also continue to weaken and drift east. This pattern still results in hot and humid conditions across the area with the heat wave potentially peaking Friday and continuing through Sunday for some locations (mainly northeast NJ and the Lower Hudson Valley).

On Friday, a frontal boundary will be approaching from the north and will likely stall over or just north of the area through Saturday before lifting north Saturday night. Given the frontal boundary and some weak disturbances moving through aloft, there will be chances of showers and thunderstorms Friday as well as increased cloud cover. This has the potential to affect high temperatures and have trended highs down just slightly for now. Chances of showers and thunderstorms continue through the weekend. Although there are no hydrologic concerns at the moment, it is worth noting that there may be a chance for any shower or thunderstorm to produce heavy downpours given pwats around 2 inches. A cold front will approach from the west Sunday into Monday and likely move through sometime later on Monday, bringing at least a brief change in airmass.

It is important to exercise caution with the intense heat and high humidity, thus it is important to take precautions to protect one's health, particularly those without effective cooling and/or adequate hydration.

AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
High pressure remains in place offshore through the TAF period.

VFR with a S-SW flow through the TAF period.

S-SW flow increasing to near 10-15 kt this afternoon into the early evening with gusts near 20-25 kt. Not every terminal is expected to have gusts. Winds drop below 10kt tonight.

There could be an isolated shower or thunderstorm near KSWF this afternoon. Confidence in occurrence is very low at this time.
Any shower/thunderstorm that does develop will likely not make it to the other terminals.

...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Start and end timing of gusts could be a few hours off from the TAF.

Potential for occasional gusts a few kt higher than what is in the TAF.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

Wednesday and Thursday: VFR. S-SW wind gusts 15-20 kt afternoon into early evening.

Friday and Saturday: Potential for MVFR or lower conditions in showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon/evening hours.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
With high pressure largely in control, sub Small Craft Advisory conditions are expected to prevail through the weekend. Winds and waves may start to increase towards the end of the day on Sunday as a southerly flow picks up ahead of a cold front.

HYDROLOGY
A stalled frontal boundary could bring showers and thunderstorms to the area Friday through the weekend and then a cold front moving through the area early next week will bring additional shower/thunderstorm chances. It remains too soon to determine whether there will be any hydrologic impacts. Any impacts would likely be very localized and more of the minor urban type.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
There remains a moderate rip current risk at the ocean beaches today and Wednesday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM EDT Thursday for CTZ005- 006.
Heat Advisory from noon Wednesday to 8 PM EDT Thursday for CTZ007-008.
NY...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM EDT Thursday for NYZ067>070.
NJ...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM EDT Thursday for NJZ002- 004-006-103>108.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
NLHC3 7 mi48 min 74°F 30.24
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 20 mi48 min 70°F 66°F30.22
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 34 mi48 minSW 8G9.9 71°F 30.25
PDVR1 35 mi48 minSSW 1G6 75°F 30.2366°F
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 36 mi48 minSSW 8G9.9 68°F 66°F30.25
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 39 mi93 minNW 5.1 72°F 30.2466°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 39 mi48 minWSW 2.9G9.9 73°F 30.26
PRUR1 40 mi48 min 68°F 67°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 42 mi48 minS 9.9G11 69°F 70°F30.24
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 44 mi48 minSSW 5.1G9.9 76°F 66°F30.24
PVDR1 44 mi48 minSSW 6G8 74°F 30.2566°F
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 49 mi48 minSW 8.9G9.9 71°F 30.24
FRXM3 49 mi48 min 73°F 66°F


Wind History for No Ports station near this location
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No data


Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KGON GROTONNEW LONDON,CT 4 sm21 minWSW 0910 smA Few Clouds75°F66°F74%30.25
KWST WESTERLY STATE,RI 9 sm24 minSW 0610 smPartly Cloudy73°F64°F73%30.26
KMTP MONTAUK,NY 18 sm23 minvar 04--75°F66°F74%30.27
KBID BLOCK ISLAND STATE,RI 24 sm21 minWSW 1510 smOvercast68°F64°F88%30.27
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KGON
   
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Wind History graph: GON
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Tide / Current for Noank, Mystic River entrance, Connecticut
   
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Noank
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Tue -- 01:39 AM EDT     0.41 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:29 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:07 AM EDT     2.00 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:31 PM EDT     0.56 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:19 PM EDT     2.76 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Noank, Mystic River entrance, Connecticut, Tide feet
12
am
0.8
1
am
0.5
2
am
0.4
3
am
0.7
4
am
1.2
5
am
1.6
6
am
1.9
7
am
2
8
am
1.9
9
am
1.7
10
am
1.4
11
am
1.1
12
pm
0.8
1
pm
0.6
2
pm
0.6
3
pm
1
4
pm
1.6
5
pm
2.1
6
pm
2.5
7
pm
2.7
8
pm
2.7
9
pm
2.4
10
pm
2
11
pm
1.5


Tide / Current for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
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Tue -- 12:15 AM EDT     -2.72 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 02:29 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:42 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:23 AM EDT     2.04 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 09:41 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 12:33 PM EDT     -2.24 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 03:36 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:32 PM EDT     2.36 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:50 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current, knots
12
am
-2.7
1
am
-2.5
2
am
-1.8
3
am
-0.8
4
am
0.4
5
am
1.4
6
am
2
7
am
2
8
am
1.5
9
am
0.7
10
am
-0.3
11
am
-1.4
12
pm
-2.1
1
pm
-2.2
2
pm
-1.6
3
pm
-0.7
4
pm
0.4
5
pm
1.6
6
pm
2.3
7
pm
2.3
8
pm
1.8
9
pm
1
10
pm
-0.2
11
pm
-1.5


Weather Map
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Boston, MA,




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