Saturday, August24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mystic, CT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:05AMSunset 7:36PM Saturday August 24, 2019 8:21 AM EDT (12:21 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 2:48PM Illumination 35% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ237 Block Island Sound- 716 Am Edt Sat Aug 24 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from Sunday morning through late Sunday night...
Today..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt this afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tonight..NE winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Sun night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Mon and Mon night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Tue through Wed..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Wed night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 716 Am Edt Sat Aug 24 2019
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. High pressure over the great lakes will move to the maritimes by tonight. This will bring shifting winds, initially from the north shifting from the northeast and eventually from the east by midweek. A tropical depression may form off the coast of florida early next week. This system may track close enough to effect the coastal waters with elevated seas by mid week. For information on possible hazardous weather beyond the 24-36 hour forecast period, please visit www.weather.gov/boston and follow the current hazards link above the map on the left.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mystic, CT
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location: 41.34, -71.97     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 241121
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
721 am edt Sat aug 24 2019

Synopsis
High pressure builds to the north through the weekend, and across
the canadian maritimes early next week. Low pressure may pass south
and east of the local area through the middle of next week, followed
by a slow moving cold front during the second half of the week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Updated to capture the latest observational trends, otherwise
the forecast remains on track.

High pressure builds to the north today while a trough lingers
across the area aloft. With a significantly drier airmass in place,
this should result in mostly sunny and pleasant conditions with
just a few fair weather clouds. Highs will range from the mid
70s to around 80.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Sunday
High pressure settles over maine Saturday night, allowing east to
northeast flow to become established across the region. While
Saturday night is expected to remain dry, clouds will begin to
increase as the low levels moisten. By Sunday morning, light rain
and drizzle is possible, primarily across coastal areas. While an
increase in cloud cover is expected farther inland across northeast
new jersey and the lower hudson valley, conditions there should
generally remain dry.

High temperatures on Sunday are expected to remain several degrees
below normal for late august, only topping out in the mid 70s.

There is a moderate risk of rip current development at atlantic
ocean beaches on Sunday.

Long term Sunday night through Friday
As the high gradually drifts to the east, light rain and or drizzle
could linger into Sunday night for some locations, with clouds
lingering into the day on Monday under persistent east to northeast
flow.

Attention then turns to the potential for tropical development off
the southeast coast and a slow moving cold front that approaches the
region during the mid to late week period. At this time, any
potential tropical system would bring mainly indirect impacts to the
region as global models continue to be in good agreement with this
system passing well south and east of the area. For the local area,
this could result in the potential for coastal flooding and
dangerous rip currents, depending on the exact strength and track of
the system. See the tides and coastal flooding section for more
details on the coastal flood potential.

A cold front then approaches the region late Wednesday, moving
slowly through the area on Thursday. While differences remain,
models are in much better agreement with respect to the timing of
this system than 24 hours ago. High pressure builds in for Thursday
night into Friday.

After below normal temperatures again on Monday, near normal
temperatures are expected through the remainder of the long term
period, with highs generally in the lower 80s and overnight lows
falling into the mid 60s to around 70.

Aviation 12z Saturday through Wednesday
High pressure over the great lakes builds to the north of the
terminals this weekend.

Vfr through much of the TAF period. There is a chance for MVFR
ceilings near the coast early Sunday morning.

Ne winds around 10 kt through the day. There could be few gusts
15-20 kt through 15z, mainly at the coast. There is also a low
chance for a SE sea breeze at jfk, isp, bdr and gon in the late
afternoon or early evening. NE winds continue tonight at 5-10
kt.

Outlook for 12z Sunday through Wednesday
Sunday MVFR possible, with a slight chance of light rain or
drizzle. NE gusts 20-25 kt possible along the coast.

Monday MainlyVFR. NE gusts 20 kt along the coast.

Tuesday MainlyVFR. Slight chance of showers.

Wednesday Chance of MVFR in afternoon showers and isolated
thunderstorms.

Marine
A prolonged period of SCA conditions is possible Sunday into
the middle of the next week. Initially, with high pressure to
the north strong northeasterly flow sets up Sunday into Monday,
with gusts of 25-30 kt on the ocean and seas building to 4 to 6
ft. Waves are then likely to remain above 5 ft on the ocean
waters through the mid-week period as a tropical cyclone
potentially develops and tracks south and east of the waters.

Wave heights and wind gusts remain uncertain at this time due to
the uncertainty in the exact track and strength of the storm.

Hydrology
No hydrologic impacts are anticipated through the middle of next
week.

Tides coastal flooding
A prolonged period of easterly flow will increase tide levels over
the next several days. Localized minor coastal flooding is possible
with Monday and Tuesday afternoon evening high tides along the south
shore back bays of queens and nassau counties.

Equipment
Nyc NOAA weather radio station kwo35 (162.55 mhz) remains off
the air.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Nj... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Feb
near term... Feb
short term... Feb
long term... Feb jp
aviation... Ds
marine... Feb
hydrology... Feb
tides coastal flooding...

equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 6 mi37 min N 19 G 22 63°F 1017.3 hPa53°F
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 7 mi52 min N 6 G 8.9 62°F 70°F1020.1 hPa
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 20 mi52 min 64°F 72°F1020.1 hPa
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 34 mi58 min N 8.9 G 12 63°F 74°F1020.2 hPa
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 36 mi58 min N 8.9 G 13 64°F 65°F1019.8 hPa
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 39 mi97 min N 5.1 62°F 1020 hPa53°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 39 mi52 min NNE 8 G 12 63°F 1020.5 hPa
PRUR1 40 mi52 min 64°F 52°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 42 mi52 min NNW 14 G 17 64°F 74°F1020.1 hPa
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 44 mi52 min NE 7 G 13 64°F 71°F1020.1 hPa
PVDR1 44 mi52 min N 8.9 G 12 63°F 1020.5 hPa50°F
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 49 mi52 min N 5.1 G 7 63°F 1020.1 hPa
FRXM3 49 mi58 min 61°F 52°F

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT4 mi26 minN 1010.00 miFair65°F51°F61%1020.1 hPa
Westerly, Westerly State Airport, RI9 mi29 minN 510.00 miFair65°F54°F68%1020.4 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY18 mi28 minN 8 mi65°F54°F68%1020.4 hPa
Block Island State Airport, RI23 mi26 minN 810.00 miFair0°F0°F%1020.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KGON

Wind History from GON (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4CalmCalmCalmCalmSW8SW9SW7NW8NW5NW4CalmN3N5N6N9N9N9N10N10N7N9N8N10
1 day agoS5SW8SW9SW8SW9SW12SW13SW10SW8
G17
SW9W4NW5CalmCalmCalmW8W3NW6NW3N7N6N6N4NW4
2 days agoSE4SE5SE5SE8S9S10S11S8S7S6S6SW8SW9SW7SW5SW3S5SW6W6SW3SW5SW4S3S3

Tide / Current Tables for Noank, Mystic River entrance, Connecticut
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Noank
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:56 AM EDT     2.01 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:05 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:45 AM EDT     0.71 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:47 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:21 PM EDT     2.63 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:33 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:40 PM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.91.31.71.921.91.71.41.10.90.80.711.52.12.42.62.62.31.91.51.20.80.6

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:26 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 03:11 AM EDT     1.94 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 06:06 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:24 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 09:32 AM EDT     -2.13 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 12:30 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:47 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:32 PM EDT     2.23 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 06:48 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:07 PM EDT     -2.62 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.40.61.51.91.71.10.3-0.5-1.4-2-2.1-1.5-0.50.51.52.12.21.60.8-0.2-1.3-2.2-2.6-2.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.