Sunrise 5:51 AM   Sunset 7:41 PM Moonrise 9:51 PM   Moonset 6:26 AM

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ANZ330 Long Island Sound East Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 600 Am Edt Tue Mar 30 2021
Today - E winds around 5 kt, becoming S late this morning and afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Tonight - S winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Wed - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Chance of showers in the morning, then chance of rain in the afternoon. Wed night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm. Thu - W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Showers.Thu night - NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Fri - NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Fri night - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Sat - W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Sat night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

ANZ300 427 Am Edt Thu Apr 25 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - Strong high pressure builds in through today, and remains over the area into Saturday, and will shift to the south Saturday night as low pressure moves northeast across the upper great lakes into canada and an associated warm front approaches. The front will lift through on Sunday but remain nearby to the east early next week. A cold front will approach on Tuesday, passing Wednesday morning.

FXUS61 KOKX 250929 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 529 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

SYNOPSIS
Strong high pressure builds in through today and remains over the region into Saturday. The high will give way to an approaching warm front Saturday night. The front will move into the area on Sunday and may stall over Connecticut and Long Island into Monday as high pressure noses down the New England coast. A cold front will then approach on Tuesday and move through Tuesday night. Another cold front may approach on Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
A freeze warning remains in effect across portions of northeastern New Jersey, into the Lower Hudson Valley, and across interior southern Connecticut until 900 AM EDT. At 08Z temperatures remained above freezing, and are still expected to fall to or just below freezing before sunrise. However, confidence in this occurring is low as temperatures have been remaining higher than forecast.

Otherwise, high pressure builds in from the northwest through today with a chilly airmass moving into the region as temperatures remain around 10 degrees below normal.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
With the strong Canadian airmass settling over the region tonight, with near calm to light winds, and clear skies, temperatures will remain 5 to 10 degrees below seasonal normals.
And once again freezing temperatures are expected across the interior zones. With the aforementioned conditions have a little more confidence that freezing conditions will occur tonight, and have issued a freeze watch for late tonight into early Friday morning for portions of northeastern New Jersey, into portions of the Lower Hudson Valley, and across interior southern Connecticut, and coastal New London.

The high remains over the region Friday and Friday night with some modification to the air mass as temperatures remain around 5 degrees below normal.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Model guidance still forecasting an omega block over the eastern CONUS, with its western leg over the central states and multiple shortwaves lifting NE through the Plains states and upper Great Lakes, its eastern leg over the Canadian Maritimes and adjacent Atlantic, and an upper ridge over the East. The first of the shortwaves lifting through the Plains and Great Lakes will send a warm front toward the area Sat night with some showers that should then move into the area on Sunday, then stall as the eastern leg of the block over the Atlantic strengthens, with low pressure well out to sea and high pressure nosing down the New England coast in the mid level confluence in its wake. NBM captures the details well and was used through the period.

After a cool Saturday with highs in the upper 50s/lower 60s, a warmup should begin on Sunday especially for the NYC metro area, lower Hudson Valley, and NE NJ. Mon should be the warmest of these days, with highs in the lower 80s from NYC north/west, and into the 70s most elsewhere except for ern Long Island and the SE CT coast, where highs should remain in the 60s. Temps on Tue are uncertain and could be a few degrees cooler than fcst if the western Atlantic low and maritime high pressure in its wake exert more influence.

The omega block should start to break down on Tue, with the upper ridge weakening and a cold front approaching from the west, bringing the chance for showers and tstms. The front will pass through Tue night, and could be followed by another cold front on Wed.



AVIATION/09Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Strong high pressure will build in through the end of the week.

VFR. N-NE winds still 10-15 kt (with a few gusts to 15-20 kt out east) should veer more to the NE and diminish after daybreak. Winds then veer around to the S/SE in the late morning or afternoon at speeds 10 kt or less.

...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

No unscheduled AMD expected.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

Late tonight into Friday night: VFR.

Saturday and Sunday: Mainly VFR. Only slight chance of a shower Sat night into early Sunday morning.

Monday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
Gusty northwest winds continue on the ocean waters early this morning, and gradually diminish through the day as high pressure builds into the waters. Small craft advisory conditions on the ocean waters will subside by late morning, and an advisory remains in effect. Then winds and seas will remain below advisory levels through Friday night. On the non ocean waters winds and seas remain below advisory levels today through Friday night.

Quiet this weekend into early next week with winds/seas below advisory criteria. Ocean seas could reach 4 ft Sunday night and again Mon night. Fog may also become possible early next week beginning Sunday night as more humid air traverses colder waters.

HYDROLOGY
No hydrologic concerns through the middle of next week.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Freeze Warning until 9 AM EDT this morning for CTZ005>008.
Freeze Watch from late tonight through Friday morning for CTZ005>008-012.
NY...Freeze Warning until 9 AM EDT this morning for NYZ067>070.
Freeze Watch from late tonight through Friday morning for NYZ067-068.
NJ...Freeze Warning until 9 AM EDT this morning for NJZ002-103.
Freeze Watch from late tonight through Friday morning for NJZ002.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for ANZ350- 353-355.

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Smith Cove entrance
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Thu -- 05:39 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:26 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:07 AM EDT     2.36 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:31 PM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:50 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:10 PM EDT     3.08 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Smith Cove entrance, Connecticut, Tide feet

The Race
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Thu -- 12:46 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:59 AM EDT     -3.21 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 05:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:27 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:16 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 10:03 AM EDT     2.61 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 01:17 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:17 PM EDT     -2.63 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 07:14 PM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:39 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:49 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:13 PM EDT     2.69 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current, knots

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