Vermilion, OH Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Vermilion, OH

June 18, 2024 5:11 AM EDT (09:11 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:53 AM   Sunset 9:06 PM
Moonrise 5:06 PM   Moonset 2:11 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LEZ145 Vermilion To Avon Point Oh-avon Point To Willowick Oh- 932 Pm Edt Mon Jun 17 2024

Rest of tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy late this evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tuesday - South winds 10 knots or less becoming east. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tuesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

Wednesday - South winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Partly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Thursday through Saturday.
the water temperature off toledo is 72 degrees, off cleveland 67 degrees, and off erie 68 degrees.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Vermilion, OH
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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 403 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

An upper level ridge will persist over the region through this week, resulting in widespread near-record temperatures across the area with isolated to scattered thunderstorms possible each day. The next system won't arrive until the end of the weekend.

Going to use some degree of a persistence forecast here on the periphery of the dominant upper level ridge that has provided the first day of heat in what will be a week of above normal temperatures. The more recent forecasts have seen either an increase in the low/mid level moisture supporting convective cloud growth, or that the models are finally resolving what was always going to be there much better. Satellite imagery is showing a solid connection to a tropical moisture feed from the Gulf of Mexico/Bay of Campeche providing the moisture for the convection. Plenty of SBCAPE from high dewpoints and air temperatures in this environment to get scattered thunderstorm activity for the entire region, again, in a south to north type flow. With relatively freely rising parcels in surface to 700mb lapse rates eclipsing 8C/km, some drier air aloft and inverted V soundings will lend to another day with wind gust threats despite a relative lack of shear. Pockets of low level f-gen help with initiation as will a couple of weak waves aloft.
Temperatures on the high side again and will leave the Heat Advisory in place, but precipitation cooling and cloud cover will keep some locations in check in terms of temperatures. Some locations not affected by this could still get into the mid to upper 90s once again.

The heat wave and headlines will continue through the short term period with daily afternoon heat indices in the upper 90s to lower 100s. Not much relief is expected at night either with low temperatures in the 70s.

Only real change to the forecast is an increased risk for afternoon isolated strong thunderstorms on Thursday and Friday as moderate to strong instability will pool across the southern and eastern Great Lakes. Weak shear less than 20 knots is expected, so anticipate any thunderstorms that do develop will be poorly organized and generally short-lived. These storms will primarily carry a damaging wind risk given steep low-level lapse rates and large theta-e differences.

One last surge of extreme heat may arrive on Saturday ahead of an approaching upper-level low across the Upper Great Lakes. The current headlines may need to be extended a day further through Saturday as heat indices reach the upper 90s to lower 100s in the afternoon. Moderate to strong instability across the Lower Great Lakes may result in isolated strong thunderstorms on Saturday, though anticipate any storms that develop to be poorly organized and generally short-lived given the weak shear in place.

The better potential for more organized strong thunderstorms will arrive on Sunday as a well-defined upper-level low moves east across the Upper Great Lakes, extending a surface cold front through the area. Moderate to strong instability appears to remain in place combined with 30 to 35 knots of southwesterly mid-level flow.

Behind the front, more cooler and more seasonable weather will arrive, with temperatures in the low to mid-80s on Monday.
Anticipate dry weather conditions as a surface high briefly builds in across the Great Lakes.

AVIATION /06Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/
Went with a lesser used route of PROB30 groups in the TAFs for expected isolated to scattered thunderstorm activity that will peak with heating Tuesday. Some of this is a persistence forecast, based on the amount of storms that occurred Monday, but still, terminals themselves not guaranteed to get affected directly. This may be switched to TEMPOs or VCTS/CB in upcoming issuances, but feel the this setup is ideal for the PROB30 usage. Otherwise, mainly southerly wind components 5-10kts away from storms and cumulus clouds developing with heating after 15Z.

Outlook...Primarily VFR expected through Friday. Isolated thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon.

A generally quiet marine forecast is in store for Lake Erie as a large upper-level ridge remains across the Eastern CONUS, resulting in limited surface flow. Only concern will be in the afternoon and early evening hours this week as daily isolated to scattered thunderstorms could bring strong wind gusts and small hail.

A prolonged stretch of hot weather is expected this week.
Temperatures are forecast to approach or exceed record highs on several days. The records for Tuesday, June 18 to Friday, June 21 are listed below for our official climate sites.

Date Toledo Mansfield Cleveland Akron Youngstown Erie 06-18 98(1994) 93(1994) 96(1944) 96(1944) 95(1994) 92(2018)
06-19 98(1995) 94(1994) 92(1995) 94(1994) 94(1994) 92(1931)
06-20 98(1953) 94(1988) 96(1988) 95(1933) 95(1933) 92(2016)
06-21 100(2022) 96(1988) 95(2022) 97(1933) 98(1933) 95(1933)

OH...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for OHZ003-006>014-017>023- 027>033-036>038-047-089.
PA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for PAZ001>003.

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
45203 8 mi42 minSW 7.8G12 77°F 71°F0 ft69°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 8 mi87 minSSW 1 78°F 30.0668°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 10 mi72 minSSW 8G13 79°F 30.03
LORO1 10 mi42 minSSW 8.9G11 77°F
OWMO1 12 mi72 minSSW 5.1 76°F 66°F
45204 15 mi42 minSW 12G21 70°F1 ft
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 19 mi42 minS 5.8G7.8 73°F 71°F30.0770°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 22 mi54 minS 5.1G8.9 78°F 71°F30.0464°F
45201 26 mi42 min9.7G12 76°F 72°F1 ft30.1070°F
45196 27 mi62 minSSW 9.7G14 76°F 70°F1 ft30.0569°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 30 mi72 minS 13G14 79°F 30.05
45202 32 mi42 min5.8G9.7 79°F 74°F0 ft30.0571°F
45176 33 mi52 minSW 12G14 77°F 71°F1 ft30.0468°F
45205 33 mi42 min12G16 78°F 69°F0 ft30.0366°F
CMPO1 36 mi102 minSSW 8G12 78°F
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 39 mi54 minSSW 2.9G5.1 78°F 68°F30.04
45164 42 mi72 minWSW 9.7G12 73°F 69°F1 ft
45206 43 mi42 minSSW 5.8G7.8 77°F 70°F0 ft30.0267°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KLPR LORAIN COUNTY RGNL,OH 11 sm18 minSSW 0410 smClear73°F66°F78%30.11
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Wind History graph: LPR
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Tide / Current for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of great lakes   

Cleveland, OH,

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