Sunday, January26, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Masthope, PA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 5:06PM Sunday January 26, 2020 7:43 AM EST (12:43 UTC) Moonrise 8:35AMMoonset 6:55PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 604 Am Est Sun Jan 26 2020
Today..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Chance of flurries in the morning. Chance of sprinkles.
Mon night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..N winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 604 Am Est Sun Jan 26 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Low pressure along the maine coast this morning will lift up into the canadian maritimes by this evening. High pressure will then gradually build in from the west through the upcoming week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Masthope, PA
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location: 41.42, -75.01     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 261151 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 651 AM EST Sun Jan 26 2020

SYNOPSIS. An upper level low will slowly track across the region today with colder air gradually filtering in behind it. Scattered snow and lower elevation rain showers continue right through Monday with light snow accumulations possible across the higher elevations of Central NY. Seasonably chilly temperatures are expected next week with dry weather Wednesday through Friday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/.

635 AM Update . Issued an SPS for the entire forecast area until 9 AM this morning for possible black ice forming on untreated surfaces. Am especially worried about elevated surfaces such as bridges, overpasses and ramps . a road sensor on a bridge in Chemung County has a road surface temperature of 30 degrees with wet/freezing conditions. Numerous other road sensors show temperatures between 30-32 degrees in NE PA and Central NY. Also watching an area of snow that has developed early this morning across Cortland, Onondaga and Madison counties. This will move into Oneida county over the next 1-2 hours. Webcams show moderate snow in the higher elevations with this batch of snow . this will create snow covered roads on top of possible ice in some areas. The lower elevations of the Syracuse metro area and Mohawk Valley will likely see mainly wet roads as temperatures hover 33-35 degrees with a mix of rain and snow.

Previous Discussion Below

An upper level low is currently centered near Buffalo NY. Model guidance has this low tracking to near Burlington VT by midday, then into northern Maine this evening. Initially our area will be under a southwest flow aloft early this morning, but as the low passes east it should turn westerly later today. It's not that cold aloft under or behind this upper low, with 850mb temps forecast around -7C today. Surface temperatures are not falling much early this morning, so we should start off 30-35 degrees in most locations. Afternoon highs nudge up between 35-40 in most areas . except perhaps only lower 30s for the hilltops of CNY. A west-southwest flow is not very favorable for widespread lake enhanced precip across our region . therefore think the majority of the area is mainly dry today, with snow and rain showers confined to the higher elevations of the northern Susquehanna region, the NY Thruway corridor and the southern Tug Hill plateau. Further south across the Twin Tiers and NE PA there could also be an isolated shower . but mainly dry. Any snow amounts across the higher elevations of CNY will be very light today (due to light precip rates and marginal temps) under a half inch. The one exception will be far northern Oneida where up to 2 inches could fall on the southern Tug Hill Plateau. At the surface expect west- southwest winds 8 to 15 mph today.

Tonight: Mid level shortwave drops south into the area from southern Canada on the back side of the departing low. This will increase snow shower activity across much of CNY and perhaps down into the northern tier of PA. The 1000-700mb flow remains westerly all night, so this should help to wring out more persistent snow showers in the favored upslope areas bounded by Auburn--Ithaca--Binghamton--Sherburne and Rome. This activity could be lake enhanced (mainly off of Erie) with 850mb temps continuing to hover around -8C all night. The snow will have a better chance at accumulating overnight as surface temperatures drop down into the upper 20s to low 30s. West- southwest winds continue at 6-12 mph. Forecast snow accumulations overnight are: less than 1" for most of CNY, 1 to 2" for the higher elevations of Cayuga, Tompkins, Cortland, Madison and Onondaga counties and 1 to 3" for northern Oneida county.

Monday: Another shortwave drops through in the morning, and as the trough axis passes by the flow finally shifts west-northwest. Temperatures aloft remain consistent, around -8C at 850 mb. There will still be ample mid level synoptic moisture around, especially in the morning. Therefore, expect more of the same with scattered to numerous snow showers around for CNY and a few light snow showers or flurries making it down into NE PA. Later in the day the depth of moisture decreases down below about 8k ft agl (according to NAM12 soundings). This is below the dendritic snow growth layer, so expect more in the way of snow pellets or rimed snowflakes . can't completely rule our drizzle or high elevation freezing drizzle by afternoon. Expect another dusting to 1" for most of Central NY this period, with locally up to 2 inches in the hills south of Syracuse. High temperatures will be mainly in the low to mid-30s . except upper 30s to near 40 in valleys of the southern tier and NE PA.

Overall for the near term period, forecast snow amounts do not reach advisory criteria in any one 12hr period based on the latest data. However, adding up the nickel and dime snow over the next 36 hours . totals could be as high as 2 to 4.5 inches in the higher terrain of the Finger Lakes and northern Susquehanna region . with 3 to 6 inches for northern Oneida County . but again these amounts are over a 36+ hour period. Therefore, will hold off on any advisories at this time.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Monday night, the vertically stacked cyclone spins over New Brunswick, keeping us in NW flow with lake moisture continuing to touch off some flurries and snow showers. However, NAM and GFS soundings continue to show a lowering inversion and drier air across the snow growth zone resulting in a loss of crystals. This could cause some patchy freezing drizzle. However, with little QPF overall and even the highest amounts constrained to the higher-elevations downwind of Ontario (where lake moisture may aid in keeping in ice crystals), no accumulating ice is currently in the forecast. Additional snow accumulations generally below an inch are possible Monday night.

Another shortwave moves through Tuesday, but with increasingly drier soundings, any flurries/freezing drizzle will taper off by the afternoon with cloudy skies lingering the rest of the day and gradually clearing overnight. Temperatures starting in the 20s Tuesday morning peak in the upper 20s and low 30s during the afternoon before quickly dropping back to the teens and single digits thanks to drier air, clearing skies, and lighter winds aloft.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. High pressure builds in with dry weather Wednesday and Thursday. Temperatures peak in the 20s and low 30s both days, dropping back to the teens and single digits overnight. Dry weather continues Friday as high pressure pushes eastward, with a shift to southwesterly flow setting up a warming trend Friday into the weekend. Another storm system is looking to develop across the southeast US and track northeast into the weekend, with a chance for snow or a rain/snow mix as early as Friday night and continuing through the weekend. However, models continue to differ significantly on timing and track at this time.

AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/.

Conditions range from VFR to MVFR/Fuel Alternate early this morning across the region. The good news is the fog we had around earlier has lifted and dissipated for the most part. Otherwise we will have scattered snow/rain showers impacting the NY terminals (especially SYR and RME) through much of the day with continued MVFR or fuel alternate restrictions expected. It seems condition then go back to VFR at all terminals except SYR/RME for a time late afternoon into the early evening hours (approximately 22z to 02Z). Later on this evening, after about 27/03-05z several batches of snow showers drop down from the north bringing renewed vsby and cig restrictions to the NY terminals. AVP likely remains VFR much of the time but could see some sct to occasionally bkn cloud layers near 3k ft agl today and especially later this evening.

Monday through Tuesday . Occasional restrictions especially CNY in snow showers. Mainly VFR at KAVP.

Wednesday and Thursday . Clear with VFR conditions.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . MJM NEAR TERM . MJM SHORT TERM . DJN LONG TERM . DJN AVIATION . MJM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 71 mi74 min Calm 32°F 1008 hPa32°F
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 71 mi56 min 36°F 42°F1010.2 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 72 mi56 min 38°F 41°F1009.8 hPa

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Monticello, Sullivan County International Airport, NY23 mi48 minWSW 410.00 miOvercast32°F32°F100%1008.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMSV

Wind History from MSV (wind in knots)
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CalmE6E5W5W7NW4W7W10
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Tide / Current Tables for Newburgh, Hudson River, New York
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Newburgh
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Sun -- 12:42 AM EST     2.59 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:06 AM EST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:30 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:55 PM EST     3.06 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:03 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:51 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:40 PM EST     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.52.62.31.71.10.60.1-0.10.10.91.82.52.93.12.92.31.60.90.3-0.2-0.30.211.8

Tide / Current Tables for West Point, Hudson River, New York
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West Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:16 AM EST     2.09 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:43 AM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:12 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:30 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:29 PM EST     2.47 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:03 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:51 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:17 PM EST     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.121.71.20.70.3-0-0.10.311.72.22.42.42.11.610.50-0.3-0.10.41.11.6

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.