Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sandusky, OH

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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH

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FXUS61 KCLE 311931 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 331 PM EDT Tue Mar 31 2020

SYNOPSIS. A trough will persist over our area through Wednesday morning as a low moves northeastward from the Southeast United States to the Atlantic Ocean. High pressure then builds from the west and north later Wednesday through Thursday. This high pressure ridge remains in control through most of Saturday as the ridge moves eastward. A weak cold front should drift eastward through northern Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania late Saturday into Sunday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. Multiple shortwave troughs traverse our CWA from the west and northwest through tonight as a mid- to upper-level low meanders in vicinity of New England. At the surface, a trough persists over the eastern Great Lakes and our CWA as a deepening low tracks from the Southeast United States to Atlantic waters just east of Cape Hatteras. Abundant cloud cover, including a stratocumulus cloud deck, persists over our CWA. Occasional light rain is possible, especially late this evening through the predawn hours of tomorrow morning. During this period, nocturnal cooling should allow the stratocumulus deck to expand and become more efficient at producing light rain via the collision coalescence process or perhaps the seeder-feeder process given the expectation of passing mid- and upper-level cloud cover. A few wet snowflakes may mix with the rain, but no snow accumulation is expected. Any measurable rainfall amounts should be a few hundredths of an inch at most. Patchy mixing fog could develop where light rain manages to be more persistent. Northwest PA and far-northeast OH appear to be the preferred area for fog formation. Low temperatures should reach the mid to upper 30's around daybreak Wednesday.

Northwesterly flow aloft resides over our CWA Wednesday and Wednesday night as the aforementioned low begins to move away from New England and a mid- to upper-level high pressure ridge builds from the west. At the surface, the trough lingers over our CWA Wednesday morning and will be followed by high pressure building from the north and west later Wednesday and Wednesday night. This building high will allow our skies to clear gradually. Spotty light rain showers or drizzle may continue through late Wednesday morning with no measurable rainfall expected. Otherwise, fair weather will occur. Any patchy fog should disappear by late Wednesday morning as diurnal warming occurs. Wednesday afternoon highs are forecast to reach the mid 40's to lower 50's, with the coolest readings along and near the lakeshore due to an onshore flow off cool Lake Erie. Wednesday night low temperatures should dip into the upper 20's to mid 30's, with the coolest readings expected in interior northwest PA.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. A slow warming trend will take place through the end of the week. A ridge and surface high pressure will slowly shift across the region during this time. With the nigh situated to our north, the warmup will be gradual with the northerly flow. By Saturday that ridge will begin to break down with shortwave energy from the northern Rockies making its way to the upper Great Lakes. Will see winds veer to the south-southeast and temperatures warm into the mid 60s inland. The shore will still be susceptible to a lake breeze.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. The ridge breaks down for Saturday night with a weakening cold front approaching from the west. Have straddled precipitation chances between Saturday night and Sunday, but it will likely fall on just one of those periods and be scattered. High pressure, passing just north of the area, is in place for Monday. Again, the northerly flow will keep it cooler near the lake, but there will not be much of an airmass change so we will keep 60s inland Sunday and Monday. A touch warmer on Tuesday as the high shifts east. Precip chances on Monday into Tuesday somewhat uncertain as guidance is indicating some degree of shortwave energy topping the ridge that is centered on the Ohio Valley.

AVIATION /18Z Tuesday THROUGH Sunday/. Abundant cloud cover is expected over our region through the TAF period as a strengthening surface low moves northeastward from near northern GA to Atlantic waters well east of Cape Hatteras. Simultaneously, a high pressure ridge will build slowly over our region from the north and west. Widespread MVFR to IFR ceilings are expected as a stratocumulus cloud deck persists over northern OH and northwest PA. However, partial clearing of this cloud deck and a return to VFR are possible over northwest PA and far-northeast OH after 12Z/Wed. In the meantime, occasional light rain may occur through about 14Z/Wed. Patchy fog may form between 03Z and 14Z/Wed, but confidence remains low. Surface winds should trend northerly to northeasterly at about 5 to 10 knots.

OUTLOOK. Non-VFR ceilings may persist Wednesday afternoon and early evening, especially west of a KERI to KYNG line. Otherwise, non-VFR are possible in scattered rain showers Saturday through Sunday.

MARINE. Light northerly flow will be predominate through Friday as high pressure from the western Great Lakes to the eastern lakes. Winds may pick up some late Tuesday night/early Wednesday enough to make the central and eastern nearshore waters choppy. Over the weekend a weakening cold front will cross the lake.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . Jaszka NEAR TERM . Jaszka SHORT TERM . Oudeman LONG TERM . Oudeman AVIATION . Jaszka MARINE . Oudeman

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH	6 mi	47 min	N 6 G 8	39°F	44°F		1013.3 hPa	37°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH	10 mi	35 min	NNE 8 G 12	39°F			1011.9 hPa (-2.0)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH	12 mi	110 min	N 5.1	41°F			1014 hPa	37°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH	14 mi	35 min	N 6 G 8	40°F			1013.9 hPa (-2.3)
CMPO1	17 mi	125 min	ENE 8.9 G 11
LORO1	27 mi	65 min	NE 8 G 8.9	39°F
TWCO1	33 mi	35 min	NE 7 G 11
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH	36 mi	155 min	NNE 8 G 8.9	40°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH	44 mi	47 min	NE 6 G 8.9	41°F			1014.1 hPa	36°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH

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W13 G19

W12 G20

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W9 G12

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NE5

NE3

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1 day ago

SW19 G31

SW16 G30

SW15 G25

SW11 G20

SW10 G18

SW14 G21

W12 G19

W11 G15

W10 G17

SW16 G23

W16 G22

SW10 G17

SW17 G25

SW12 G18

SW8 G17

SW13 G18

SW10 G15

W16 G27

SW11 G19

W13 G19

W13 G22

W12 G19

W18

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2 days ago

E4

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N8

NW6 G9

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E7 G14

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E10 G14

E8 G13

SE5 G9

SE3 G8

S3 G6

S11 G17

S11 G16

S11 G19

SW8 G14

SW13 G22

SW13 G20

SW11 G23

SW18 G28

SW16 G27

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH	29 mi	42 min	NE 7	10.00 mi	Overcast	42°F	34°F	73%	1013.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLPR

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)

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W10 G21

W13 G22

W11 G18

W9

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N5

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Calm

E4

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NE9

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1 day ago

W25 G39

W32 G41

W27 G34

W19 G28

SW17 G28

W21 G31

W18 G25

W18 G27

W15 G25

W18 G26

W16

W15 G26

W19 G28

W13 G24

W14 G20

W13 G21

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W17 G24

W16 G24

W15 G25

W16 G24

W13 G23

W11

W11 G18

2 days ago

NW5

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SE8

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S15

SW15 G23

SW18 G28

SW17 G31

SW25 G36

SW28 G38

W32 G44

W34 G41

W28 G47

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Tide / Current Tables for

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Tide / Current Tables for

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (15,3,4,5)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH

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