NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
7:20 PM Update: Made minor tweaks to overnight lows to tug values down 1-3 degrees in typical lower-lying, rural areas, where winds should still decouple enough to allow for good radiational cooling. Everything else is on track.

Previous Discussion: High pressure over New England will remain stationary through the near term period. Mostly clear skies tonight will allow for overnight temperatures to settle in the mid to upper 50s.
Afternoon highs tomorrow rise into the mid to upper 80s for most, lower 80s across Northwest Pennsylvania. Cloud cover will gradually increase Thursday afternoon as the remnants of Francine approach the Lower Ohio Valley. Overnight lows Thursday night settle in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
Surface high pressure with a ridge aloft will maintain influence over the region through the short term period. Any remnants of Francine will stay to the south of the local area so dry weather will persist through Saturday night. However, increased moisture ahead of Francine will likely result in increased (likely high)
cloud cover across most of the area Friday.

Highs will be in the above normal 80s Friday and Saturday with overnight lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s anticipated each night.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Upper ridge/high and surface high won't budge much Sunday into early next week, resulting in continued dry weather. The next chance of rain may arrive as early as Tuesday as a coastal low potentially tracks inland from the Southeast/Carolinas. With that being said, there's still quite a bit of uncertainty in the evolution and track of the low so capped PoPs at slight chance (less than 25 percent chance) for the second half of the long term period. Will continue to adjust PoPs as confidence increases.

Since the synoptic pattern will generally remain the same through early next week, temperatures won't be too different from the short term forecast with highs in the 80s and lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s expected. The increased cloud cover may allow for slightly cooler (albeit above normal) highs and slightly warmer overnight lows Tuesday and Wednesday.

AVIATION /06Z Thursday THROUGH Monday/
Widespread VFR conditions are expected to continue through the period. The exception to this is in far NW OH where there is a potential of patchy fog development impacting KTOL early this morning. A bit of uncertainty remains with the development and extent of any fog, so opted to maintain MVFR visibilities with this update, but will continue to monitor conditions this morning.

Light and variable winds this morning will become southeasterly this afternoon with the exception at KTOL, KCLE, and KERI where northeast flow off the lake will couple with a lake breeze and increase to 5-10 knots. Near 00Z Thursday, winds will all become southeasterly at 5-10 knots.

Outlook...VFR expected through Monday.

MARINE
Generally expect quiet marine conditions for the next few days as high pressure and an upper ridge continue to influence Lake Erie.
Winds will periodically shift to the northeast and increase to 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon and early evening Thursday through Monday. Still don't expect any headlines, but may need to monitor the wind forecast as the pressure gradient tightens Friday and Saturday. If winds and waves do trend higher, the best opportunity for a Small Craft Advisory would lie in the western basin.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.