Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Newburgh, NY

KEY MESSAGES
1) Frost Advisory in effect tonight for coastal CT and far eastern LI.

2) High pressure largely in control through the upcoming week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1
High pressure will remain over the area tonight with light winds and clear skies. Coastal CT and eastern portions of Suffolk County on LI will likely see another night of lows in the mid 30s and as low as 25 to 30 across the Pine Barrens region of LI. While the growing season has ended across the interior, it has yet to do so at the coast (Nov 1 or 11). Thus, a frost advisory in in effect for these areas once again. The only change this go around was to remove coastal Westchester.

Elsewhere, lows will range from the upper 20s across some of the interior, to as warm as the 40s across the NYC metro. These readings are about 3 to 5 degrees below normal for most locations.

Warm advection with building heights aloft should result in warmer temperatures Sunday night and less coverage of frost.

KEY MESSAGE 2
An anomalously strong upper ridge from the Lower Mississippi Valley into the Great Lakes will translate east into Monday. A the same time, a strong upper low tracking across central and eastern Canada will suppress the upper ridge to the south, sending a cold front across the area Monday night. The frontal passage will be dry. Otherwise, the forecast area will be dominated by high pressure through the week.

Highs will be in the 60s Sunday and Monday, possibly getting to around 70 in the NYC/NJ metro on Monday. It will then cool down behind the cold front Monday night with highs mainly in the 50s for Tuesday and Wednesday. This will be a few degrees above normal. Frost coverage at the coast, where the growing season remains in effect, looks to be patchy at this time.

It warms up for the second half of the week with temperatures projecting to be well above normal by next Friday.

AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR with high pressure in control through the TAF period.

Light and variable winds through tonight become light NW by late Sunday morning, shifting SW in the afternoon.

...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

No unscheduled amendments expected.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

Sunday night-Thursday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
Sub-SCA conditions persist through at least the beginning of next week.

Ocean seas may also approach 5 ft from Tuesday morning into Wednesday morning with a building E swell.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Sunday for CTZ009>012.
NY...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Sunday for NYZ079-081.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.