Wednesday, July15, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Newburgh, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:34AMSunset 8:29PM Wednesday July 15, 2020 4:22 AM EDT (08:22 UTC) Moonrise 1:38AMMoonset 3:53PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 356 Am Edt Wed Jul 15 2020
Today..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers. Chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Sat..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 356 Am Edt Wed Jul 15 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds in from the northeast today and begins to shift east on Thursday. The next frontal system will affect the region Thursday night through Friday night. Weak high pressure will then be in place for the upcoming weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Newburgh, NY
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location: 41.5, -74.01     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 150754 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 354 AM EDT Wed Jul 15 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure builds in from the Northeast today and begins to shift east on Thursday. The next frontal system will affect the region Thursday night through Friday night. Weak high pressure will then be in place for the upcoming weekend. Another frontal system may impact the region for the beginning of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. High pressure builds in from the NE at the surface while a ridge axis aloft approaches from the west. Moisture will be confined to mostly at 850mb and lower as it shifts generally east to west through the day with an onshore flow. Variable cloudiness adds some uncertainty to the high temperature forecast, but based on 900mb temperatures near 17C, leaned towards the warmer guidance.

There is a moderate risk for the development of rip currents at the ocean beaches today.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/. High pressure remains centered to our northeast tonight. The low level winds will remain onshore and result in partly to mostly cloudy conditions.

Mid level ridge axis shifts through on Thursday, and combined with the surface high, should keep us dry through the daytime hours of Thursday. In spite of the ridge axis shifting through, the boundary layer cools as winds through the mixed layer shift more SE with a stronger influence from the ocean. The top of the mixed layer (near 900mb) will be around 15C. High temperatures for the most part expected to be a couple degrees cooler than today.

There is a moderate risk for the development of rip currents at the ocean beaches Thursday.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. The 500mb flow flattens Thursday night with the passage of a shortwave to our north, where the best lift will be. Still, weak 850mb theta-e ridging and moisture flux convergence occurs with signs of isentropic lift ahead of a weak warm front. Will go with low chances of showers and thunderstorms for parts of the forecast area.

The 500mb flow becomes slightly cyclonic on Friday with indications of a weak surface cold front approaching, and passing through during the night. Stronger moisture convergence and building instability with perhaps the help of upper jet streak lift increase the chances of showers and thunderstorms for Friday and Friday night. Will cap PoPs at 50% for now. Highs on Friday returning closer to normal.

The frontal boundary could stall nearby to our south Saturday morning, but models agree on weak ridging at the surface and aloft, helping to dissipate the front. Will remain with a dry forecast on Saturday. The ridge axis aloft flattens on Sunday, but it still appears at this point we have a good chance of dry weather through the daytime. Temperatures this weekend heat up with models showing 850mb temps at 18-19C on Saturday and around 20C on Sunday. This would lead to highs 90-95 away from south-facing shores for Saturday. Will go with highs in the mid 90s for the typically warmest areas for Sunday, but may need to adjust this upward a little if models continue to show 850 mb temps around 20C. Progged boundary layer dewpoints would allow for some mixing out of surface dewpoints both days, but heat indices both days would reach heat advisory levels.

A frontal boundary moving into the region Monday and Tuesday may affect high temperatures for Monday. And any storms that develop may be more across the northern tier, along the northern periphery of the ridge. A weak trough remains into Tuesday along with a surface frontal boundary. And with energy moving through the flow chances of precipitation will remain Tuesday.

AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. High pressure will build southward through the TAF period.

Mainly VFR conditions are expected but there will be some exceptions this morning as there are a few terminals with MVFR stratus. MVFR stratus will be possible this morning at other terminals as well but overall cloud coverage is expected to remain scattered. MVFR stratus will be possible again tonight.

Exact timing of the start and end time of MVFR stratus is uncertain and could vary a few hours from forecast.

Winds will be going from NE-E to more SE during today, with more variable directions tonight. Wind speed will mainly be near 5-10 kts.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. Late tonight. Mainly VFR. Low chance of MVFR cigs. Thursday. VFR. Thursday night-Friday night. Chance of SHRA/TSRA with MVFR or lower conditions. Saturday and Sunday. VFR.

MARINE. Tranquil conditions are forecast on the waters as high pressure will be in control today through Thursday. A frontal system moves through Thursday night through Friday night, but the pressure gradient should be relaxed enough to preclude advisory level winds. Weak high pressure will then be in place for the upcoming weekend, maintaining sub-advisory conditions.

HYDROLOGY. No significant hydrologic impacts forecast during the period.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is undergoing its final stages of testing, and is operating at full power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . JC/MET NEAR TERM . JC SHORT TERM . JC LONG TERM . JC/MET AVIATION . JM MARINE . JC HYDROLOGY . JC/MET EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPXN6 23 mi53 min NE 2.9 65°F 1020 hPa63°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 36 mi53 min Calm 66°F 1019 hPa64°F
TKPN6 36 mi53 min 81°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 44 mi98 min NNE 7.8 G 7.8 70°F 66°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 45 mi38 min NE 9.7 G 12 71°F 68°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 49 mi53 min 71°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 49 mi113 min 1018.9 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newburgh / Stewart, NY5 mi38 minN 010.00 miClear64°F64°F100%1020 hPa
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY12 mi30 minN 010.00 miFair63°F60°F90%1018.9 hPa
Montgomery, Orange County Airport, NY13 mi29 minN 010.00 miFair61°F61°F100%1019.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSWF

Wind History from SWF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmW12W4W4W5CalmW7NW4NW9NW8NW64NW6W4SW6CalmW444Calm44CalmCalm
1 day agoCalmSW4W7W8W5NW5W3W3W3W9W10
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Tide / Current Tables for Newburgh, Hudson River, New York
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Newburgh
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:37 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:07 AM EDT     0.80 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:32 AM EDT     2.39 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:04 PM EDT     0.61 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:56 PM EDT     2.86 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.310.811.41.92.22.42.42.21.71.310.70.60.81.42.12.52.82.92.72.4

Tide / Current Tables for Haverstraw (Hudson River), New York Current
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Haverstraw (Hudson River)
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:51 AM EDT     -1.05 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 01:38 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:38 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:18 AM EDT     0.46 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 09:05 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 01:02 PM EDT     -1.04 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 03:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 04:39 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:46 PM EDT     0.72 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:58 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1-1-0.9-0.7-0.30.20.40.40.30-0.4-0.7-0.9-1-0.9-0.7-0.30.20.60.70.60.4-0-0.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.