Saturday, January25, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Newburgh, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 5:03PM Saturday January 25, 2020 3:05 PM EST (20:05 UTC) Moonrise 8:57AMMoonset 6:49PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 102 Pm Est Sat Jan 25 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 6 pm est this evening...
This afternoon..E winds 15 to 20 kt with with occasional gusts up to 35 kt early. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Mon night..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Tue..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..NW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 102 Pm Est Sat Jan 25 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Low pressure approaches from the southwest today and passes through the waters this evening. The low will then deepen as it lifts northeast into the canadian maritimes on Sunday. High pressure will gradually build in from the west through next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Newburgh, NY
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location: 41.5, -74.01     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 251811 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 111 PM EST Sat Jan 25 2020

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure approaches from the southwest today and passes through the area this evening. The low will then deepen as it lifts northeast into the Canadian Maritimes on Sunday. High pressure will gradually build in from the west through next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. The forecast is mainly on track with only minor updates made to some of the hourly forecast elements.

A well advertised southern branch low will impact the area today with rain, which will be heaviest this afternoon into early this evening. The associated upper low lifts northeast into the eastern Great Lakes by this evening. Upper jet energy ahead of the system will aid a secondary low strengthening over the Mid Atlantic states, which then passes across the area this evening.

While not all that deep of a low, there are plenty of dynamics with the system (coupling jet structure, upper divergence) along with anomalously high precipitable water (just over an inch). Rainfall at times could be heavy with the potential for 0.75 to 1.25 inches. Much of this will occur in a 6 hour window. Low streamflow and dry antecedent conditions will limit any flooding to the minor nuisance variety.

East winds will gusts 15-25 mph inland and 20 to 30 mph expected.

Highs will top out in the lower to mid 40s across the interior and near 50 across Long Island and the NYC metro.

The rain quickly shuts off early evening across the Lower Hudson Valley, NE NJ, and the NYC metro, and by around 10 pm across far eastern Long Island and southeast CT. Winds will shift around to the west with the ending of the rain.

Cold advection on the backside of the low will allow temperatures to drop to near freezing north and west of NYC by daybreak, and the mid to upper 30s elsewhere.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. The upper low over the Northeast on Sunday will lift up into the Canadian Maritimes Sunday into Monday. Cyclonic flow will result in a fair amount of clouds north and west of NYC with the potential for even a few rain and/or snow showers across Orange County on Sunday. Highs and low will remain above normal by about 5 degrees along with a westerly flow.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. The upper low moves out into the North Atlantic Tuesday into Wednesday, with ridging to follow for the second half of the week. The forecast remains dry through Friday with temperatures trending towards normal.

AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. IFR conditions across NYC Metro terminals with the potential for LIFR conditions as rain continues to push northeast of the region. Ceilings improve to MVFR by this evening then VFR conditions expected after 03Z tonight.

Easterly winds of up to 20 kt and gusts between 25 to 30 kt expected into this afternoon. Winds will be increasing aloft as well, with SE wind shear of 50 kt at 2000 ft around the same time. Winds diminish late this afternoon and into the evening.

Winds shift towards the West tonight and remain westerly through 18z Monday with VFR conditions.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. Sunday. MVFR/IFR possible in lingering showers. Rain or snow showers possible across the interior. Monday-Wednesday. VFR. Thursday. VFR.

MARINE. Gusts of 25 to 30 kt are expected across all waters today, with occasional gusts to 35 kt possible early this afternoon.

Waves on the ocean mostly 6 to 9 ft diminish tonight. They should still remain above 5 ft through Sunday, therefore, the SCA was extended through the day Sunday. There is the possibility that waves remain elevated even into Sunday night and even into Monday. However, not enough confidence to extend the SCA that far out.

HYDROLOGY. Rainfall amounts of 0.75 to 1.25 are expected today, which may result in some minor nuisance flooding during the afternoon and early evening hours.

No hydrologic impacts are anticipated Sunday through next week.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. Tides fell just short of flooding benchmarks for most of the area along western LI Sound. Anticipating tides to fall just short across most gauges along the Sound with this afternoon's high tide cycle. Too close to cancel the advisory however.

Based on observations, will probably not need statements to address the flooding threat with tonight's high tide cycle, but will still consider statements based on this afternoon's obs and model guidance.

A westerly flow on Sunday will result in lower total water levels for the shorelines so no coastal flooding is expected on Sunday.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . Coastal Flood Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for CTZ009-010. NY . Coastal Flood Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for NYZ071-078-177. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for ANZ330- 335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Sunday for ANZ350-353-355.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPXN6 23 mi95 min N 1.9 36°F 1015 hPa33°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 36 mi95 min Calm 36°F 1012 hPa34°F
TKPN6 36 mi53 min NW 1 G 5.1 37°F 32°F1012.3 hPa37°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 44 mi45 min E 23 G 31 41°F 5 ft41°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 45 mi50 min ENE 19 G 25 41°F 32°F41°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 49 mi47 min E 23 G 30 41°F 38°F1011 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 49 mi47 min SSE 11 G 24 51°F 39°F1008.8 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newburgh / Stewart, NY5 mi80 minE 142.50 miRain Fog/Mist41°F41°F100%1010.5 hPa
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY12 mi72 minE 83.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist42°F37°F85%1010.6 hPa
Montgomery, Orange County Airport, NY13 mi71 minNNE 82.00 miHeavy Rain Fog/Mist37°F36°F96%1010.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSWF

Wind History from SWF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmSE10SE8SE8E6E6E7E7E7E7E6E10E10E10E10E10E10E10E15
G21
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1 day agoSW4W4NW4W5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm4CalmCalmCalmCalmE5E5
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4W4W4CalmCalmCalmCalmSW6W6W6--W6W5SW3

Tide / Current Tables for Newburgh, Hudson River, New York
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Newburgh
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:23 AM EST     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:56 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 12:14 PM EST     3.14 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:02 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:49 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 07:00 PM EST     -0.35 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.62.41.91.30.70.2-0.1-00.61.52.32.93.132.61.91.10.5-0.1-0.4-00.71.52.1

Tide / Current Tables for Haverstraw (Hudson River), New York Current
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Haverstraw (Hudson River)
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:34 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:16 AM EST     -1.27 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:43 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:55 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:07 AM EST     1.02 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 01:11 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:52 PM EST     -1.41 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 05:03 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:50 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 08:30 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 10:34 PM EST     0.74 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.3-0.2-0.7-1-1.3-1.2-0.9-0.50.20.810.90.70.1-0.5-0.9-1.3-1.4-1.3-0.9-0.40.30.70.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.