Thursday, April9, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lakewood, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 8:02PM Thursday April 9, 2020 8:15 PM EDT (00:15 UTC) Moonrise 9:13PMMoonset 7:09AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Expires:202004100815;;847940 Fzus51 Kcle 092349 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 749 Pm Edt Thu Apr 9 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez145>148-100815- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- 749 Pm Edt Thu Apr 9 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through late Friday night...
Rest of tonight..West winds to 30 knots becoming northwest. A chance of rain showers, snow showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms early, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers late this evening. A slight chance of snow showers late. Some Thunderstorms may produce small hail early. Waves 5 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
Friday..Northwest winds to 30 knots becoming west and diminishing to 15 to 20 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 6 to 9 feet subsiding to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
Friday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest. Mostly cloudy in the evening, then clearing. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Saturday..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Sunday through Tuesday. The water temperature off toledo is 48 degrees, off cleveland 43 degrees, and off erie 45 degrees.
LEZ146


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lakewood, OH
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location: 41.51, -81.76     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 092327 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 727 PM EDT Thu Apr 9 2020

. 00z Aviation TAF and Evening Forecast Update .

SYNOPSIS. A secondary surge of cold air will flow across the region through the evening. A trough of low pressure will then linger over the area through Friday. High pressure builds into the region for Saturday. Low pressure will develop over the central Plains on Saturday night and move northeast to the Great Lakes region for Sunday and Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. Gusty showers with small have have developed as expected over the area. There will be isolated/scattered thunder through sunset. Current thinking is that any hail should stay smaller than a nickel. Winds will also increase in the wake of the showers with a few gusts approaching advisory levels. For now have capped gusts off at 45 mph.

As the cooler air flows over the lake we transition to a lake effect scenario this evening into the overnight. Rain will transition to snow. The higher terrain will see this transition occur first. Some accumulations are expected in the higher terrain, especially across inland NW PA. The lake effect snow showers will then continue into Friday afternoon before gradually tapering off across NW PA into Friday evening. The higher terrain of inland NW PA may see 1 to 3 inches of snow overnight. We will need to monitor for higher amounts if any organized bands develop off the lake. It will be unseasonably cool tonight with lows ranging from the upper 20s to lower 30s. Highs on Friday will vary from west to east with middle 40s west and mid 30s east.

High pressure takes control by Friday night with dry conditions expected. Lows should dip to the 20s for a large portion of the area.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. High pressure will expand to the East Coast on Saturday with southwest flow developing on the back side of the high. This will start a warming trend with temperatures approaching normal with thickening cloud cover through the day on Saturday. By Sunday an upper level wave lifts out of the southern Plains with surface low pressure tracking up the Mississippi Valley towards the Central Great Lakes. A warm front will lift north across the area Sunday afternoon into Sunday night with most areas seeing temperatures exceed 60 degrees. This will bring a chance of rain moving up from the south but at this time it looks like most of the rain does not arrive until Sunday night. A few thunderstorms may also be possible, especially in advance of the cold front. Raised min temperatures for Sunday night with mild conditions in advance of the cold front.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Surface low pressure expected to deepen to around 978mb over northern Lake Huron by Monday morning. This will wrap a strong cold front northeast across the area during the morning. Raised winds in the forecast and may end up needing a wind advisory on Monday. Falling temperatures

Broad upper level trough will arrive for the remainder of the extended forecast with below normal temperatures and highs in the 40s. This will tend to be a drier pattern with only a few light showers expected through mid-week.

AVIATION /00Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/. Gusty winds and scattered lake effect rain and snow showers will be the primary aviation concerns this evening through Friday. West to northwest winds will remain elevated between 15 and 25 knots with gusts likely up to 30 or 35 knots at times through the next 24 hours. Mainly VFR ceilings will continue through the TAF period for western and northwestern Ohio. We will likely see scattered lake effect rain showers turning into snow showers this evening through Friday morning for the primary Snowbelt areas and downwind of Lake Erie. YNG, CAK, and ERI will likely have the greatest aviation impacts with the lake effect snow showers tonight into Friday morning. MVFR ceilings and drops in visibilities will be likely with any burst of LES snow showers. The snow showers will decrease late in the TAF period and mostly VFR conditions may return but some lake effect cloudiness could still be possible.

OUTLOOK. Non-VFR possible into Friday evening with lake effect across NW PA. Non-VFR also possible Sunday into Monday with showers and thunderstorms.

MARINE. A trough will cross the lake this evening with a secondary cold front and increasing winds arriving behind it. Westerly winds to 30 knots are expected this evening and may briefly approach gale force. The core of stronger winds will shift east across the lake through Friday morning. A high end Small Craft Advisory is in effect with gusts to 40 knots likely. Waves of 4 to 7 feet are expected on the western basin with 6 to 9 feet on the eastern half of the lake. Winds will start to decrease Friday afternoon with Small Craft Advisories in effect through 4 AM Saturday.

High pressure will build east across the region Saturday, reaching the East Coast on Sunday. A warm front will lift north across the lake on Sunday ahead of low pressure tracking out of the southern Plains. The low will undergo rapid deepening as it moves northeast across the Central Great Lakes Sunday night into Monday with strong winds along and behind a cold front on Monday. Preliminary guidance suggests a Gale Warning may be needed by Monday but will need to keep an eye on trends over the weekend.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . Winter Weather Advisory until 11 AM EDT Friday for PAZ002. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Saturday for LEZ142>149.

SYNOPSIS . MM NEAR TERM . Griffin/MM SHORT TERM . KEC LONG TERM . KEC AVIATION . Griffin MARINE . KEC


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 7 mi46 min W 22 G 33 44°F 49°F1002 hPa30°F
LORO1 23 mi46 min WNW 36 G 41 43°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 31 mi46 min S 26 G 28 43°F 54°F1001.4 hPa29°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 41 mi91 min W 6 44°F 1003 hPa27°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 42 mi76 min W 24 G 32 43°F 1001 hPa (+1.0)
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 48 mi106 min WNW 31 G 39 66°F

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland, Burke Lakefront Airport, OH4 mi23 minW 31 G 4210.00 miMostly Cloudy and Windy44°F28°F53%1002.2 hPa
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH8 mi25 minW 20 G 3110.00 miPartly Cloudy and Breezy43°F25°F49%1003.7 hPa
Cleveland / Cuyahoga, OH16 mi31 minW 13 G 2210.00 miMostly Cloudy39°F26°F61%1001.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBKL

Wind History from BKL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE5SE8S7SE9S10
G20
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SW6W13W17W20W14W20
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1 day agoS8SW13NW4W9SE10S7SW9S5SW8W7NW6CalmW5SW7W8W8W7NW5NW5N4CalmNW3NE3E3
2 days agoNE4N4NE4N5CalmNE4CalmSW4CalmCalmCalmSW3SE4S7SE10S10SW7S5S8SW3N4CalmCalm3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.