Merritt Park, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Merritt Park, NY

June 21, 2024 12:46 PM EDT (16:46 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:20 AM   Sunset 8:35 PM
Moonrise 8:52 PM   Moonset 4:25 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 941 Am Edt Fri Jun 21 2024

Today - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt late. Seas 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft. Chance of showers and tstms early this afternoon. Chance of showers and tstms likely late with vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Tonight - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Tstms likely with chance of showers in the evening, then slight chance of showers and tstms after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Sat - S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt late. Seas 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft. Chance of showers and tstms. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Sat night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 2 seconds. Chance of showers and tstms. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Sun - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 3 seconds. Slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Sun night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 3 seconds. Showers likely with chance of tstms. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Mon - SW winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of showers and tstms.

Mon night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.

Tue - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Tue night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.

ANZ300 941 Am Edt Fri Jun 21 2024

Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - A cold front stalls to the north of us this afternoon into tonight, slowly retreating back north as a warm front this weekend. Another cold front then approaches Sunday night and passes through during Monday. High pressure returns for Tuesday with a warm front lifting north through the region Tuesday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Merritt Park, NY
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Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 211426 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1026 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

SYNOPSIS
A cold front approaches from the north today and stalls over or just north of us this afternoon into tonight, slowly retreating back north as a warm front this weekend. Another cold front then approaches Sunday night and passes through during Monday.
High pressure returns for Tuesday with a warm front lifting north through the region Tuesday night. Another cold front approaches on Wednesday and passes through at night into Thursday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Forecast continues on track this morning.

A cold front over central New England sinks south towards the region this aft/eve, stalling over or just north of the forecast area late in the day into night. A weak outflow boundary also lies across Southern CT this morning.

Marginal to moderate instability development likely in a weak shear to the north of afternoon sea breeze boundaries this afternoon. With trigger from subtle shortwaves aloft, and focus along sea- breeze boundaries and outflow boundary, scattered SHRA/TSTMs development likely this afternoon and evening across LoHud and S CT. With westerly steering flow, and more stable airmass along the coast, question on how far south this convection sinks into NE NJ, NYC and LI. PoPs remain capped at low chance across southern portions of the forecast area. Shear remains weak and mid level lapse rates will be relatively stable, but can't rule out a strong to severe wind gust north of the city, consistent with SPC's marginal risk for severe weather today. Only a low and isolated chance of flash flooding for the Lower Hudson Valley and southern CT from slow moving tstms in a 2" PWAT environment.

Surface dewpoints away from onshore wind influence probably have a more difficult time mixing out during peak heating this afternoon as compared to yesterday. This is due to higher progged dewpoints through the boundary layer. This higher moisture content will also lessen the efficiency of insolation for potential high temperatures.
With 850mb temps from around 17C across NE sections to 19C for SW sections, highs in the mid 90s for a good portion of NE NJ and NW NYC metro, with upper 80s to lower 90s for most other areas. Immediate south-facing coasts end up mostly 80-85. Heat advisories remain unchanged for this period, although it's possible that between today and yesterday, portions of Northern Nassau and NW Suffolk county end up meeting the 2-day criteria.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
The stalled front most likely starts out over the northern zones or just north of us on Saturday before it retreats north as a warm front. It may be slowed down or pushed back southward at times by outflow of potential thunderstorms that may pop up in the afternoon as MLCAPES for many inland spots rise above 1000 J/kg and some guidance shows subtle low-mid level shortwaves traversing the area.
Shear will be a little stronger, so again at least a strong wind gust could occur with any storms that develop. 850mb temps climb by late in the day, ranging from around 18C across NE sections to 19- 20C for SW sections. Boundary layer moisture will probably again make it difficult for surface dewpoints to mix out, but at the same time work against ambient temperatures. Additionally, with more morning cloud cover/higher afternoon convection potential for the northern zones, and an earlier sea breeze for coastal areas, highs for Saturday may be slightly cooler than today for most areas in spite of warming temperatures aloft. The exception would be NE NJ where there's a better chance of more morning sunshine and lower chances of afternoon convection. Expecting highs mainly in the mid 90s again for NE NJ. Heat advisories remain unchanged for Saturday, however it looks like portions of the Lower Hudson Valley and most, if not all of southern CT will fall short of 95 heat indices. Didn't want to cancel advisories, especially with at better chance of reaching 95 on Sunday for most these areas.

For Sunday, a cold front approaches from the west, with a pre- frontal trough possibly touching off showers and thunderstorms starting mainly in the afternoon. Stronger lift arrives in the form of the cold front and shortwave during Sunday night, thus higher PoPs during this time frame. Shear will be stronger this time, and initially, CAPES should be sufficient in the afternoon for strong to severe thunderstorms. Too early to have confidence in how much instability is still around by the time the shortwave and cold front push through, so trends will need to be monitored. Flooding threat will in part depends on what transpires today and tomorrow. For now, still only anticipating at most a low risk of flash flooding.

Some disagreement among models regarding 850mb temps, but an average appears to yield 19-20C for most of the area. Once again, boundary layer moisture probably makes it difficult for surface dewpoints to mix out, and work against potential ambient temperatures. Warmer high temperatures versus Saturday across the board. Also, high enough confidence to extend heat advisories through Sunday for most of the zones that had been in advisory through Saturday.
The exceptions are Northern Middlesex and Northern New London Counties were there's high enough confidence that criteria will fall short for both Saturday and Sunday, and after collaboration with WFO ALY, have not extended the advisory for Northern Fairfield and Northern New Haven Counties.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Key points:

* Temperatures remain above normal Monday through Wednesday with temperatures closer to normal by the end of next week.

* Unsettled Monday with a cold front moving through.

* Another round of showers and thunderstorms Wednesday into Thursday with another cold front.

The cold front pushes across the region early Monday morning.
Chances for showers and thunderstorms can be expected with the passage of the cold front.

High pressure builds into the area behind the cold front, bringing an end to uncomfortably humid conditions. High pressure over the area Tuesday will result in dry conditions. The next chance for showers and thunderstorms will be late Wednesday through Thursday with the approach of another cold front which at this point looks to push through late Wednesday night into early Thursday morning.

As for temperatures, slightly cooler for Monday, with less humid conditions. Temperatures however, will still be remain above normal for this time of year, with highs ranging from the middle 80s to lower 90s. With a warm front lifting north on Tuesday night, highs will be warmer on Wednesday with more widespread 90s across the interior. The cold frontal passage on Wednesday night will bring temperatures down to more seasonal levels on Thursday.

AVIATION /14Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
High pressure remains across the Western Atlantic. A cold front slowly moves south late today into this evening.

Mainly VFR today. Showers and thunderstorms are forecast to develop north of area terminals 18-20z and drift south and east toward the coast as they dissipate. The question is how much coverage do we get down to coastal terminals. Opted to flip the PROB30 to a TEMPO for TSRA at all terminals except KJFK and KISP, which was switched to SHRA where confidence is lowest in any thunderstorm persisting that far south.

Brief period of MVFR or even IFR conditions with any convection.
Depending on how much, if any, precipitation falls, some patchy fog/stratus may develop tonight. Confidence too low to include in the TAF at this time.

Winds back to the S or SSW and increase 10 to 15 kt by afternoon. Occasional 20 kt gusts possible by late day. Winds gradually lighten again this evening, with similar flow expected to today expected on Saturday.

The afternoon KJFK, KLGA, and KEWR haze potential forecast is YELLOW...which implies slant range visibility 4-6SM outside of cloud.

...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Amendments possible for timing and coverage of showers and thunderstorms late this afternoon/evening.

Occasional gusts up to 20 kt late this afternoon possible.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

Saturday: Mainly VFR. Showers and thunderstorms possible in the afternoon and evening.

Sunday: Mainly VFR. Showers and thunderstorms becoming likely late day into the night. S-SW wind gusts 15-20 kt.

Monday: Mainly VFR. Chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the morning.

Tuesday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
Conditions will remain below SCA levels through at least Saturday.
Marginal SCA conditions possible for ocean waters leading to NY Harbor and surrounding near-shore waters with afternoon coastal jet development and seas of 3 to 5ft.

Higher confidence in SCA over the ocean waters as seas increase above 5 ft Saturday night and remain at advisory levels through Sunday night as S-SW flow strengthens. Gusts around 30kt possible Sunday into Sunday night. Some of the non-ocean waters may see advisory conditions as well during Sunday into Sunday night as gusts approach 25 kt.

Small craft conditions remain likely on the area waters Monday with seas above 5 ft. Conditions fall below small craft late Monday night into Tuesday morning.

HYDROLOGY
Showers and thunderstorms this afternoon through tonight are expected to produce an average of 1/2 to 1 inch to an inch of rainfall well north of NYC, and up to a half inch possible elsewhere.
Only a low chance of localized flash flooding is possible for areas well north of NYC.

Additional showers and thunderstorms will be possible both days this weekend - moreso during Sunday/Sunday night. Uncertainty remains somewhat high for hydrologic impacts for this time period as it will in part depend on what occurs today/tonight. Therefore, only a low chance at most for flash flooding is anticipated this weekend.

Another round of moderate to locally heavy rainfall will be possible Monday. Again, uncertainty remains high for hydrologic impacts for this time period.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
There will be a moderate rip current risk for all ocean beaches through Saturday due to a S-SW wind wave.

CLIMATE
Here are current record high temperatures for today thru Sunday...

Friday, June 21:

NYC: 97(1988)
LGA: 98(2012)
JFK: 97(2012)
EWR: 100(1953)
ISP: 95(2012)
BDR: 96(2012)

Saturday, June 22:

NYC: 98(1988)
LGA: 99(1988)
JFK: 94(2012)
EWR: 101(1988)
ISP: 94(2012)
BDR: 93(1949)

Sunday, June 23

NYC: 96(1888)
LGA: 95(1965)
JFK: 94(2010)
EWR: 97(1965)
ISP: 91(1999)
BDR: 91(2010)

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Saturday for CTZ005>008.
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Sunday for CTZ009.
NY...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Sunday for NYZ071>075-176-178.
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Sunday for NYZ067>070.
NJ...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Sunday for NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
NPXN6 23 mi77 minNW 5.1 83°F 30.1875°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 35 mi77 min0 84°F 30.1573°F
TKPN6 35 mi47 minN 8G11 84°F 79°F30.1773°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 41 mi47 minS 6G8.9 80°F 64°F30.11
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 49 mi47 min0G1 87°F 62°F30.16


Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KPOU HUDSON VALLEY RGNL,NY 9 sm53 mincalm10 smClear90°F70°F52%30.14
KSWF NEW YORK STEWART INTL,NY 16 sm61 mincalm10 smPartly Cloudy90°F70°F52%30.17
KDXR DANBURY MUNI,CT 20 sm53 mincalm10 smClear91°F66°F44%30.17
KMGJ ORANGE COUNTY,NY 24 sm52 mincalm10 smPartly Cloudy90°F70°F52%30.15
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Wind History graph: POU
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Tide / Current for New Hamburg, Hudson River, New York
   
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New Hamburg
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Fri -- 12:05 AM EDT     3.49 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:15 AM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 12:38 PM EDT     2.69 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:09 PM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:33 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:10 PM EDT     Full Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

New Hamburg, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12
am
3.5
1
am
3.4
2
am
2.9
3
am
2.3
4
am
1.5
5
am
0.9
6
am
0.4
7
am
0.1
8
am
0.3
9
am
1
10
am
1.7
11
am
2.3
12
pm
2.6
1
pm
2.7
2
pm
2.5
3
pm
2
4
pm
1.4
5
pm
0.9
6
pm
0.5
7
pm
0.3
8
pm
0.5
9
pm
1.3
10
pm
2.3
11
pm
3.1


Tide / Current for Haverstraw (Hudson River), New York Current
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Haverstraw (Hudson River)
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Fri -- 12:54 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:27 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:37 AM EDT     -1.31 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 05:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:29 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 10:21 AM EDT     0.64 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 12:56 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:41 PM EDT     -1.14 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 08:10 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:32 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:50 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:10 PM EDT     Full Moon
Fri -- 10:35 PM EDT     1.05 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Haverstraw (Hudson River), New York Current, knots
12
am
0.5
1
am
-0.1
2
am
-0.6
3
am
-1
4
am
-1.3
5
am
-1.3
6
am
-1.1
7
am
-0.8
8
am
-0.3
9
am
0.3
10
am
0.6
11
am
0.6
12
pm
0.4
1
pm
-0
2
pm
-0.5
3
pm
-0.9
4
pm
-1.1
5
pm
-1.1
6
pm
-0.9
7
pm
-0.6
8
pm
-0.1
9
pm
0.5
10
pm
1
11
pm
1


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Upton, NY,




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