East Falmouth, MA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for East Falmouth, MA

June 15, 2024 4:23 PM EDT (20:23 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:04 AM   Sunset 8:19 PM
Moonrise 2:04 PM   Moonset 1:21 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ233 Vineyard Sound- 404 Pm Edt Sat Jun 15 2024

Tonight - SW winds around 5 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 9 seconds and ne 1 foot at 3 seconds.

Sun - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 9 seconds and N 1 foot at 3 seconds.

Sun night - S winds around 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 foot or less. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 8 seconds and S 1 foot at 2 seconds, becoming S 1 foot at 2 seconds and ne 1 foot at 3 seconds.

Mon - S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Wave detail: S 1 foot at 3 seconds and ne 1 foot at 4 seconds, becoming S 2 ft at 3 seconds and ne 1 foot at 4 seconds.

Mon night through Tue night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and S 1 foot at 7 seconds.

Wed through Thu night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 5 seconds and se 1 foot at 10 seconds.
seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.

ANZ200 404 Pm Edt Sat Jun 15 2024

Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters - High pressure builds over new england this weekend, then moves offshore Monday. Conditions could approach small craft criteria today before calming for the latter half of the weekend. High pressure builds in for next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near East Falmouth, MA
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Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 151910 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 310 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will bring dry and pleasant Father's Day weekend. Dangerous heat and humidity begin to arrive on Tuesday and peak in the Wednesday through Friday time frame. Near record high temperatures are possible with afternoon Heat Indices between 95 and 105 degrees.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/

As low pressure continues to exit offshore of Nova Scotia high pressure builds in further this evening and overnight bringing continued clear skies and dry weather. Humidity is much more comfortable for much of the region where (outside of Cape Cod)
dewpoints have dropped into the low 40s. This will make for quite a cold night relative to last night (nearly 20 degrees colder in some spots) thanks to radiational cooling. Thus, leaning on the MOS guidance for the low temperature forcast with handles these situations well. Lows will dip into the mid 40s to mid 50s (urban centers).

SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/

High pressure becomes centered over New England on Sunday as mid level heights continue to rise. This means another dry and comfortable day with highs in the 70s and dewpoints in the 40s (though more humidity will be moving in from the south late in the day on light southerly winds). Expect a mix of sun and high clouds as a weak shortwave rounds the ridge, but nothing in the way of precipitation. Overnight increased cloudcover and higher dewpoints will limit low temperatures to the mid/upper 50s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Key Points...

* Dangerous Heat & Humidity Tue through Fri * Near Record highs with Heat Indices 95-105 degrees * Mainly dry weather next week outside widely scattered t-storm risk

Details...

The main story continues to be the expected dangerous heat and humidity in store for much of the region next week. Ensembles continue to be in excellent agreement in an anomalous upper level ridge building across New England. Guidance shows 500 mb height fields approaching 600 dm in our region...which is rarely seen in our part of the country and a strong signal for the potential of record heat. This is also supported by the NAEFS & EPS Situational Awareness tables...which indicates several parameters outside the models climatology. That is a strong indication for the potential of a rare/highly unusual weather event...in this case being heat and humidity.

The dangerous heat and humidity arrive Tue across the interior, but appears localized sea breezes/onshore flow may limit the initial risk on the immediate coast. The heat & humidity should peak in the Wed through Fri time frame with the only possible relief along the immediate coast during times of localized sea breezes. Otherwise, ensemble guidance data supports near record highs well into the 90s...perhaps touching 100 degrees in spots. If that were to occur...we would challenge all time record highs for the month of June in spots. Either way though the main story will be several days of dangerous heat & humidity. Afternoon Heat Indices will reach into the 95 to 105 degree range. There will not be much relief at night with heat indices remaining in the 70s.

Upper level ridging will keep the vast majority of the upcoming work week dry
That being said
near record high temperatures with modest instability will result in a widely scattered t-storm threat.
This risk may increase towards the end of the work week as a cold front approaches the region.

So in a nutshell...dangerous heat and humidity is the concern for much of next week perhaps even challenging all time June high temperature records in spots!

AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Forecast Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

18z TAF Update...

This afternoon...High Confidence.

VFR. N winds 10 to 15 knots with a few gusts to 20 knots early this afternoon.

Tonight...High Confidence.

VFR. Light N winds.

Sunday...

VFR. Light winds turn southerly with localized sea breezes.

Sunday night...

VFR. Light S winds.

KBOS TAF...High confidence in TAF.

KBDL TAF...High confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Monday through Thursday/...

Monday through Monday Night: VFR. Breezy.

Tuesday through Tuesday Night: VFR.

Juneteenth: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, isolated TSRA.

Wednesday Night: VFR.

Thursday: VFR. Breezy. Slight chance SHRA, isolated TSRA.

MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Tonight:

Clear conditions and generally light winds. Seas around 2-4 feet.

Sunday and Sunday night:

Clear conditions and light winds. Seas around 2-4 feet.

Outlook /Monday through Thursday/...

Monday: Winds less than 25 kt.

Monday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Tuesday through Wednesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt.

Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt. Slight chance of rain showers, isolated thunderstorms.

CLIMATE
Daily Record High Temperatures...

Tuesday, June 18th

BOS - 94F (1929)
BDL - 95F (1994)
PVD - 94F (1929)
ORH - 93F (1929)

Wednesday, June 19th

BOS - 96F (1923)
BDL - 95F (1995)
PVD - 94F (1923)
ORH - 93F (1923)

Thursday, June 20th

BOS - 98F (1953)
BDL - 97F (2012)
PVD - 95F (1941)
ORH - 93F (1953)

Last Day of 100F (or greater)

BOS - 100F (07/24/2022)
BDL - 100F (07/21/2019)
PVD - 100F (07/28/2020)
ORH - 102F (07/04/1911)

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA 6 mi54 min 76°F 67°F29.95
44020 - NANTUCKET SOUND 14 mi44 minN 9.7G14 70°F 68°F29.9361°F
NBGM3 20 mi54 minN 18G21 74°F 29.95
44090 24 mi54 min 65°F 63°F2 ft
44085 27 mi54 min 68°F 66°F1 ft
BUZM3 - Buzzards Bay, MA 27 mi84 minS 2.9G2.9 68°F 29.96
NTKM3 - 8449130 - Nantucket Island, MA 29 mi54 minNNE 9.9G15 69°F 71°F29.96
CHTM3 34 mi54 min 68°F 29.95
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 35 mi54 minNW 8.9G11 77°F 29.96
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 35 mi54 min 78°F 67°F29.97
FRXM3 35 mi54 min 75°F 47°F
PRUR1 40 mi54 min 76°F 49°F
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 41 mi54 minNW 8G11 73°F 62°F29.96
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 42 mi99 minE 7 77°F 29.9551°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 43 mi54 minN 4.1G8 77°F 29.98
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 44 mi54 minWNW 15G21 73°F 72°F29.96
PDVR1 46 mi54 minW 8G15 78°F 29.9543°F
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 46 mi54 minNW 14G17 75°F 29.96
PVDR1 48 mi54 minNW 6G16 78°F 29.9745°F
44097 - Block Island, RI (154) 49 mi58 min 69°F2 ft
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 49 mi54 minNNW 11G16 76°F 63°F29.96


Wind History for Nantucket Island, MA
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Airport Reports
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Wind History graph: MVY
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Tide / Current for Falmouth Heights, Nantucket Sound, Massachusetts
   
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Falmouth Heights
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Sat -- 12:21 AM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:21 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:25 AM EDT     1.21 feet High Tide
Sat -- 12:43 PM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:57 PM EDT     1.25 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Falmouth Heights, Nantucket Sound, Massachusetts, Tide feet
12
am
0.3
1
am
0.3
2
am
0.4
3
am
0.6
4
am
0.8
5
am
1.1
6
am
1.2
7
am
1.2
8
am
1.1
9
am
0.9
10
am
0.7
11
am
0.4
12
pm
0.3
1
pm
0.2
2
pm
0.3
3
pm
0.5
4
pm
0.7
5
pm
1
6
pm
1.2
7
pm
1.3
8
pm
1.2
9
pm
1
10
pm
0.8
11
pm
0.6


Tide / Current for Woods Hole, Massachusetts Current (use with caution)
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Woods Hole
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Sat -- 01:21 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:40 AM EDT     2.86 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 05:08 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:01 AM EDT     -0.12 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:26 AM EDT     -3.14 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 12:05 PM EDT     0.02 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:08 PM EDT     3.14 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 06:41 PM EDT     -0.04 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:57 PM EDT     -3.01 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Woods Hole, Massachusetts Current (use with caution), knots
12
am
0.5
1
am
1.7
2
am
2.3
3
am
2.8
4
am
2.8
5
am
2.4
6
am
0.4
7
am
-2.4
8
am
-3.1
9
am
-3
10
am
-2.5
11
am
-1.7
12
pm
-0.4
1
pm
1.6
2
pm
2.3
3
pm
2.9
4
pm
3.1
5
pm
3
6
pm
2.1
7
pm
-1.4
8
pm
-2.7
9
pm
-3
10
pm
-2.7
11
pm
-2.1


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Boston, MA,




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