Sunday, February23, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
New Milford, CT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:35AMSunset 5:36PM Sunday February 23, 2020 1:16 PM EST (18:16 UTC) Moonrise 8:01AMMoonset 6:39PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1153 Am Est Sun Feb 23 2020
This afternoon..SW winds 5 to 12 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of light rain in the morning, then light rain likely in the afternoon.
Tue night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of light rain or drizzle.
Wed..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Chance of rain in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon.
Wed night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Rain likely in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Thu night..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
ANZ300 1153 Am Est Sun Feb 23 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure remains in control of the weather through Monday. A warm front approaches Monday night through Tuesday and stalls to our south Tuesday night. Low pressure and a cold front then impact the weather Wednesday and Wednesday night, followed by high pressure building in slowly through the end of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Milford, CT
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location: 41.58, -73.41     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 231745 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 1245 PM EST Sun Feb 23 2020

SYNOPSIS. After a chilly start, plenty of sunshine will lead to a mild afternoon today. More dry and mild weather is expected for tomorrow, but some light precipitation in the form of rain and mountain snow will return for Tuesday through Thursday. Colder temperatures will return by late in the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 1235 pm, skies are mainly sunny with just some mid and high level clouds around. Temperatures appear to be on track to exceed guidance in most areas, especially where there is no snow on the ground, and the forecast looks good.

On the whole, the pattern through tonight will continue to be similar to the past few days with quasi-zonal flow throughout much of the troposphere and a very dry airmass in place. The circulation associated with a surface low tracking from central Ontario into Quebec will allow for light southwesterly winds in exposed locations. Similar to the last few nights, winds going calm for any period of time will lead to a quick drop in temperatures beneath clear skies, particularly over the snow pack. Overall, lows are expected to be somewhat milder than the last two nights given the milder airmass, but have trended lows down toward the lower end of the guidance envelope given observations the last couple of nights.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. On Monday, the dry weather will continue, although clouds will be increasing through the day with the persistent south to southwest flow in place. Despite the increasing clouds, warming temps aloft will still make for a rather mild day, with highs in the mid 40s to mid 50s for much of the region. Much of the region should become overcast by Monday night, but model trends are for the dry weather to continue through most of the night with lows in the 30s.

By Tuesday into Tuesday night, there will be the chance for some light precipitation to return, as isentropic lift/warm advection increase across the region. Although the main low pressure system will well west of the area across the Midwest and Great Lakes, the south to southwest flow should promote some light precipitation to develop across the region. Models still don't agree on the exact timing, but chance look to increase for Tuesday evening into Tuesday night, as a band of precipitation lifts from south to north across the area. Along with the warming temps aloft, the boundary layer looks fairly warm as well, so most areas will be seeing primarily rain. Can't totally rule out some wet snow at the onset for all areas, and far northern/high terrain areas could see snow or sleet linger a little bit longer, but p-type will generally be mainly rain. Amounts look very light, with total qpf for Tuesday into Tuesday night generally under a quarter of an inch, and as snow accumulation (limited to high terrain areas) will be just a coating to an inch. Temps should warm into the mid 30s to mid 40s for highs on Tuesday. By Tuesday night, a backdoor boundary could allow for low-levels winds to switch to the north to northeast, which may allow for surface temps to lower across northern and eastern areas by later Tuesday night. This is what may help linger any wintry precip for these northern and high terrain areas of southern VT/northern Berkshires, as surface temps fall back into the 30s for late Tuesday night.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Closed upper low develops over the Great Lakes and tracks just north of the U.S./Canadian border Wednesday through Friday. Trailing upper energy keeps mean upper troughing and northern stream upper energy over our region through Saturday.

Warm advection, moisture advection and isentropic lift will result in increasing coverage of rain through Wednesday. The leading edge of deep cooling and a boundary layer wind shift from south and southeast to west is timed for late Wednesday night and early Thursday. Rain will transition to rain and snow showers with the cold frontal passage.

Highs Wednesday in the 40s but upper 30s higher terrain. Highs Thursday in the upper 30s to lower 40s but lower to mid 30s western and northern areas. Temperatures could drop Thursday afternoon in eastern NY and western New England.

West flow off the Great Lakes along with lingering moisture and upper dynamics should support lake effect snow activity extending into the western Mohawk Valley and southern Adirondacks with some upslope snow possible into the southern Green Mountains of VT, the Taconics and Berkshires. Some scattered to isolated rain and snow showers are possible in the Capital Region and Hudson Valley. There could be some considerable accumulations of lake effect and upslope snow Thursday through Friday, depending on the timing of the exit of the moisture, the upper dynamics and the specific low level wind direction.

Gradual decrease in coverage of rain and snow showers Friday and Saturday with the slow exit to the upper troughing. By Saturday, any snow shower activity is expected to be confined to parts of Herkimer County. Still, the core of coldest air will linger as will west to northwest low level flow that could be gusty at times. Highs Friday around 30 to mid 30s but around 20 to mid 20s higher terrain. Highs Saturday in the upper 20s to lower 30s but some mid 30s southern areas and upper teens to mid 20s higher terrain.

AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. High pressure will continue to influence the weather at the TAF sites, with tranquil VFR conditions through the 24 hour TAF period ending 18Z Monday. Just some high level cirrus clouds will pass through from time to time.

Winds will be southerly around 5-7 kt, becoming near calm tonight.

Outlook .

Monday Night: Low Operational Impact Slight Chance of RA. SN. Tuesday: Moderate Operational Impact Chance of RA. SN. Tuesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of RA. Wednesday: High Operational Impact. Likely RA. Wednesday Night: High Operational Impact. Likely RA. Thursday: High Operational Impact Likely SHRA. SHSN. Thursday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHSN. Friday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. Slight Chance of SHSN.High pressure will continue to influence the weather at the TAF sites, with tranquil VFR conditions through the 24 hour TAF period ending 18Z Monday. Just some high level cirrus clouds will pass through from time to time.

HYDROLOGY. Dry weather is expected to continue through Monday, allowing for river and stream levels across eastern New York and western New England to remain steady. Although overnight lows will be below freezing, daytime highs will be rising above freezing for most areas and will be above normal.

There will be a chance for some light precipitation to return Tuesday into Tuesday night, with a better chance for more appreciable precipitation on Wednesday into Thursday. At this point, amounts don't appear large enough to have a big hydrologic impact, although some minor rises are possible. Although temperatures will continue to be mild through the middle of the week, colder weather looks to return for the late week.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . Frugis NEAR TERM . Thompson SHORT TERM . Frugis LONG TERM . NAS AVIATION . JPV HYDROLOGY . Frugis


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 31 mi47 min SW 11 G 14 46°F 39°F1020.3 hPa
NPXN6 33 mi47 min WSW 1.9 48°F 1021 hPa21°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 34 mi47 min SW 11 G 14 41°F 38°F1020.4 hPa
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 40 mi47 min WSW 5.1 47°F 1020 hPa21°F
TKPN6 41 mi53 min S 5.1 G 8 42°F 36°F1020.5 hPa21°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 44 mi57 min SSW 7.8 G 9.7 45°F 28°F

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Danbury, Danbury Municipal Airport, CT15 mi24 minSW 910.00 miFair49°F17°F28%1020.4 hPa
Oxford, Waterbury-Oxford Airport, CT16 mi26 minVar 510.00 miFair47°F17°F30%1021.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDXR

Wind History from DXR (wind in knots)
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W8CalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW6SW11SW9SW9
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Tide / Current Tables for Shelton, Housatonic River, Connecticut
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Shelton
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:27 AM EST     4.90 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:36 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:58 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:45 AM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:33 AM EST     New Moon
Sun -- 12:44 PM EST     5.22 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:35 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:38 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 08:09 PM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.84.84.43.62.71.60.70.100.82.23.74.95.24.84.13.1210.2-0.10.31.53

Tide / Current Tables for Long Hill, Housatonic River, Connecticut
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.