Saturday, January18, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Wappingers Falls, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 4:55PM Saturday January 18, 2020 12:30 AM EST (05:30 UTC) Moonrise 2:06AMMoonset 1:11PM Illumination 45% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1226 Am Est Sat Jan 18 2020
Overnight..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Snow in the afternoon. Vsby less than 1 nm in the afternoon.
Sat night..S winds around 10 kt, becoming sw with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less, then 2 to 3 ft after midnight. Rain and snow in the evening, then chance of rain after midnight. Vsby less than 1 nm in the evening.
Sun..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sun night..W winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..N winds around 5 kt, becoming W around 5 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 1226 Am Est Sat Jan 18 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds over the waters overnight, followed by a frontal system expected to impact the area Saturday and Saturday night. Polar high pressure over the mid section of the country will build east and into the area by mid week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wappingers Falls village, NY
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location: 41.58, -73.95     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 180231 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 931 PM EST Fri Jan 17 2020

SYNOPSIS. A fast moving winter storm will bring a moderate to heavy snowfall to the area Saturday afternoon and evening. Snow will linger across the some of the higher terrain through Sunday. Continued cold with mainly fair weather early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/. As of 930 PM EST . 00Z sounding is dry with PWATs revealing a tie for lowest value for the date of 0.04" (all-time lowest appears to be 0.03"). Needless to say it will remain dry overnight as canopy of thin cirrus streams across the night sky. H500 ridge axis also remains upstream so the upper cloud deck will be slow to thicken up overnight. As for temperatures, generally on target with minimal changes to hourly values and expected overnight lows. A quick glance at the 00Z NAM arrival, not much change either with arrival time of snow per the short term discussion below.

Prev Disc . Ridging at surface and aloft will dominate our weather tonight. The surface high will shift across the region and while the upper ridge builds in. This will result in a cold night; will have good radiational cooling conditions for much of the night with mostly clear skies early and very light to calm winds. As previous forecast did have gone below guidance for lows. Expecting readings to bottom out below zero mainly above 1000 feet in the Mohawk Valley and upper Hudson Valley with single digits elsewhere. Clouds will be in the increase after midnight ahead of fast approaching storm and temperatures are expected to stabilize and even rise a bit before sunrise.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. A widespread moderate to heavy snowfall will occur across the area Saturday afternoon and evening with lingering lake effect and upslope snows over the higher terrain through Sunday.

Winter Storm Warnings have been issued for the southern Adirondacks, western Mohawk Valley, Lake George Saratoga Region, southern Vermont, the Berkshires and northern Litchfield Hills for 5 to 12 inches.

Winter Weather Advisories have been issued for central and eastern Mohawk Valley, Capital District, Schoharie Valley, eastern Catskills, mid Hudson Valley, Taconics and southern Litchfield County for 4 to 6 inches.

Please refer to our Winter/New York State Probabilistic Page: weather.gov/aly/winter

A fast moving storm will move across the Great Lakes Region and Northeast this weekend bringing a moderate to heavy snowfall to the region. The system has a favorable upper level jet structure and a strong low level jet. Overrunning warm air advection snow will quickly spread across the area during the early to mid afternoon hours. Once it starts expect it come down heavy at times with snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches an hour across the warning area and up to an inch possible across portions of the advisory area with strong insentropic lift and frontogenetical forcing occurring. Strong south to southeast flow at 925 mb will favor orographic enhancement over the southern and southeastern Adirondacks and foothills. The snow will continue into the evening and is expected to taper off from the southwest along and south of I-88/I-90, especially in the valleys, as the low level flow turns southwesterly and downsloping off the Catskills occur and midlevel dry air moves in.

Snow is expected to continue across the southern Adirondacks and southern Greens due to upsloping with lake effect also developing late at night into Sunday as low level winds align out of the west. The surface low shifts to off the northern New England coast Sunday then will track northeastward in the Canadian Maritimes. The upslope and lake snows will taper off Sunday night as ridging builds in at the surface disrupting the favorable low level flow.

Temperatures will rise through the day Saturday and Saturday night as the storm approaches. Will get cold Sunday night as colder air is ushered in on the backside of the storm.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Most of next week looks to be dominated by a large surface high pressure, assuming upper level energy drops far enough south and east across the MS Valley, allowing for any surface low pressure development to track well off the eastern seaboard.

Other than some possible snow showers due to Lake Effect/Enhancement across the extreme western Adirondacks/Mohawk Valley Monday/Monday evening, generally dry weather is expected through at least Friday.

It will initially be cold next week, and with a fresh snowpack in place and periods of good radiational cooling at night, low temperatures will likely fall well below zero across the southern Adirondacks and southern VT Tue-Wed mornings, with mainly single digits and lower teens elsewhere. Highs Mon-Tue mainly in the teens and 20s.

Moderation of temperatures are expected later Wed through Fri, as low level winds become more southwest. Highs should reach the mid 20s to lower 30s Wed, then warming into the 30s to lower 40s by Thu and Fri. Overnight lows Thu morning mainly in the single digits and teens, warming slightly to the teens and 20s Fri and Sat AM.

AVIATION /03Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. VFR conditions will continue through tonight into Saturday morning.

Outside of some cirrus clouds, should remain mostly clear overnight. Winds will generally be 10kts or less, with a few gusts early on at KPSF.

Approximate arrival time of snow across all TAF sites will be between 19z- 21z Saturday. Expect a rapid deterioration in ceilings and visibility at the onset of snow. We will start with a PROB30 then transition to dominant group.

Winds will become southeast at 5 to 10 kts Saturday morning.

Outlook .

Saturday Night: High Operational Impact. Definite SN. Sunday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. Slight Chance of SHSN. Sunday Night: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. Martin Luther King Jr Day: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrological problems are anticipated. A widespread moderate to heavy snowfall will occur across the area Saturday afternoon and evening with lingering lake effect and upslope snows over the higher terrain through Sunday. QPF amounts of 1/2 inch to about an inch are expected across much of the southern Adirondacks, Lake George Saratoga Region and southern Vermont. A third to a half of an inch are expected across the rest of the forecast area. Ice is expected to expand and thicken on area waterways into early next week,

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . Winter Weather Advisory from 1 PM Saturday to 1 AM EST Sunday for CTZ013. Winter Storm Warning from 1 PM Saturday to 7 AM EST Sunday for CTZ001. NY . Winter Weather Advisory from 1 PM Saturday to 1 AM EST Sunday for NYZ040-047>049-051>054-058>061-063>066. Winter Storm Warning from 1 PM Saturday to 7 AM EST Sunday for NYZ039-041>043-050-083-084. Winter Storm Warning from 1 PM Saturday to 7 PM EST Sunday for NYZ032-033-038-082. MA . Winter Storm Warning from 1 PM Saturday to 7 AM EST Sunday for MAZ001-025. VT . Winter Storm Warning from 1 PM Saturday to 7 AM EST Sunday for VTZ015. Winter Storm Warning from 1 PM Saturday to 7 PM EST Sunday for VTZ013-014.

SYNOPSIS . IAA NEAR TERM . IAA/BGM SHORT TERM . IAA LONG TERM . KL AVIATION . BGM/Rathbun HYDROLOGY . IAA

www.weather.gov/albany


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPXN6 17 mi61 min NNW 1.9 15°F 1042 hPa-1°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 30 mi61 min Calm 14°F 1040 hPa0°F
TKPN6 30 mi49 min 15°F 36°F1040.4 hPa2°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 47 mi31 min NW 12 G 16 20°F 1 ft1°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 49 mi43 min 17°F 41°F1038.1 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY6 mi38 minN 410.00 miFair14°F-2°F47%1039.3 hPa
Newburgh / Stewart, NY9 mi46 minN 08.00 miClear14°F3°F62%1038.6 hPa
Montgomery, Orange County Airport, NY17 mi37 minN 510.00 miFair15°F-2°F46%1038.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPOU

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
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N6N8N7N5CalmCalmN3NE5N4
1 day agoCalmN3CalmNW5Calm3S45SW11W18
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2 days agoSW3CalmSW5SW10W7SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmN3N46W5SW6W6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW5

Tide / Current Tables for New Hamburg, Hudson River, New York
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New Hamburg
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:44 AM EST     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:06 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:25 AM EST     3.01 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:18 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:10 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 01:23 PM EST     0.07 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:53 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:42 PM EST     2.60 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.1-0.10.31.222.6332.621.30.80.40.10.20.81.52.12.52.62.41.91.30.8

Tide / Current Tables for Newburgh, Hudson River, New York
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Newburgh
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:19 AM EST     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:06 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:07 AM EST     2.92 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:18 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:11 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 12:58 PM EST     0.07 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:54 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:24 PM EST     2.52 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.1-00.61.42.22.72.92.82.31.71.10.60.20.10.411.72.22.52.52.21.610.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.