Monday, March30, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Wappingers Falls, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:39AMSunset 7:20PM Monday March 30, 2020 2:47 PM EDT (18:47 UTC) Moonrise 10:11AMMoonset 12:32AM Illumination 41% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1229 Pm Edt Mon Mar 30 2020
This afternoon..N winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Scattered showers late with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Numerous showers, mainly this evening with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the morning.
Tue night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..N winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 1229 Pm Edt Mon Mar 30 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Low pressure se of nantucket will move east while gradually strengthening through Tuesday. Another low well to the northwest will weaken into a trough as it approaches through tonight, and merge with the offshore low. Yet another low will pass well to the south during mid week, followed by high pressure for late week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wappingers Falls village, NY
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location: 41.58, -73.95     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 301813 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 213 PM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

SYNOPSIS. An upper level low pressure area will keep our weather unsettled this afternoon into Tuesday. This will keep occasional cloud coverage along with the threat for showers in the forecast. Some of the higher terrain may experience a little snow from time to time. A period of fair and dry weather is possible Tuesday night into Wednesday for most of the eastern New York and western New England.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 129 PM EDT . A cutoff low continues to be situated north of Lake Ontario with multiple short-wave impulses rotating around it. One short-wave is moving towards eastern NY and western New England with the showers expanding in coverage just north and west of Albany, and just to the east and southeast. The freezing level on the 12Z KALY sounding was right around 3 kft AGL. The enhancement of the echoes on the radar is due to the low freezing level. The core of the coldest air at H500 is about -27C over southeast Ontario. The cyclonic vorticity advection will continue increase the rain showers and snow showers above 2000 ft, and we will see if a weak wave moves across southern NY and northern NJ late this afternoon.

We received a report of graupel or pea size hail in Saratoga Co a little before noon. We also received a report of moderate to heavy snow at 2200 ft in the southern Greens Mtns at Stratton. I increased the snow threat there for an inch or isolated 2 inches at 2000-2500 ft.

We did add a slight chance of thunderstorms south of the Capital Region across the mid Hudson Valley, southern Taconics, southern Berkshires and NW CT where some weak instability could be tapped into, as an occluded front and the short-wave move across the region. The elevated instability is not as impressive as yesterday. The clouds have been prevalent today though. Max temps today will be in the mid 30s to lower 40s over the mtns and hills and lower to upper 40s in the valley areas with some lower 50s over the mid Hudson valley.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As the upper low and associated short waves track off the New England coastline, residual moist cyclonic flow and continued height falls to keep clouds and the threat for additional showers. However, these showers will likely decrease in coverage as overall synoptic lift diminishes. Now within the colder air there will be some light snow or light snow showers overnight that could be observed for valley locations. Any accumulations are expected to remain across the higher terrain. Overnight lows forecast to dip back into the 30s with some upper 20s across the highest of the terrain.

Tuesday, there are subtle suggestions that the moisture field may become a little more diffuse as weak subsidence moves across the region. Now, just how much impact this will have and bring about sunshine is a low confidence forecast. MOS suggests BK-OV so we will keep more clouds in the forecast at this time. It is possible binovc's may occur for the Hudson River Valley later in the day with a light northeast wind. Otherwise, high temperatures should remain on the cool side with mainly 40s expected.

Tuesday night into Wednesday, a short wave and associated surface low are expected to track eastward along or south of I70. Meanwhile. upper low off the New England coastline is expected to reform a little further west. These features will likely keep occasional cloud coverage with most of the moisture into the terrain and we will keep the weather dry due to lack of focus to enhance lift. As H850 temperatures hold below the freezing mark, Tuesday night lows will dip into upper 20s and lower 30s and highs Wednesday rebound back into the 40s, especially where breaks of sunshine occur.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. Closed off upper level low will continue to be situated just east of the region, spinning off the coast of New England for Wednesday night through Thursday night. Although most of the area should be dry, can't rule out a few light rain showers still impacting western New England. Otherwise, it will continue to be fairly cloudy across the region thanks to the cyclonic flow in place with somewhat cool temps (40s during the day and 30s at night for most).

By Friday, the upper level low will start shifting far enough east to allow some ridging to build across the region. This will allow for more sunshine across the region, along with milder temperatures. Valley areas should reach into the mid 50s during the day on Friday with a partly sunny sky.

The weekend should start off dry with mild temperatures, but a northern stream frontal boundary should approach at some point Sat night into Sunday. This should allow for more clouds for the second half of the weekend, with the low chance for some rain showers. Otherwise, temps will continue to reach into the mid 50s for valley areas during the day, with overnight lows in the mid to upper 30s.

AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. MVFR ceilings will continue at GFL, ALB and POU through 18UTC Tuesday with IFR ceilings at PSF expected to improve to MVFR tomorrow morning.

A few areas of showers are ongoing across the region but visibilities have remained VFR even in showers. A steadier line of rain is expected to push through from west to east between 19 UTC and 00 UTC through our TAF sites which may reduce visibility down to IFR levels. We included a TEMPO group to highlight this period.

While showers should diminish in coverage and intensity after 00 UTC, showers are expected to increase in coverage towards 04-06 UTC, mainly for TAF sites near the Hudson River. Ceilings may reduce to IFR for a period from 06 UTC to 11 UTC with even potential for rain to mix with snow at GFL and ALB, depending on if the heavier showers reach the Hudson or stay just to the west. We included this potential is a PROB30 group.

Ceilings likely remain MVFR through 18 UTC tomorrow even though showers exit the region.

Winds will be light through the TAF period. Southeast winds this afternoon turn north to northeast tonight. Speeds generally will be 5 kts or less.

Outlook .

Tuesday and Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA. Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

FIRE WEATHER. A lingering upper level low pressure system will result in showers continuing today into tonight, with some light snow over the higher terrain. Ample clouds remain, but with drier conditions on Tuesday. Temperatures will approach near seasonal normals.

RH levels above 50 percent through Tuesday with light winds at less than 12 mph.

HYDROLOGY. An upper closed low will bring periods of showers to the region through Tuesday, with some snow showers in higher terrain Monday night. Rainfall amounts through Tuesday are expected to be a third to two thirds of an inch in the southern Adirondacks and Lake George Saratoga Region, where some of the precipitation will be in the form of snow showers. The rest of the region is expected to see a tenth up to a third of an inch of rain.

The combination of rain and snowmelt will lead to river rises, although there remains uncertainty with respect to the magnitude of both factors. The cool temperatures may limit snowmelt somewhat. At this time, the Schroon at Riverbank and the West Canada at Hinckley will continue to rise and possibly reach or just fall short of minor flood stage around Tuesday.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . BGM/Wasula NEAR TERM . Wasula SHORT TERM . BGM LONG TERM . Frugis AVIATION . Speciale FIRE WEATHER . BGM/NAS HYDROLOGY . BGM/NAS


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPXN6 17 mi78 min SSW 4.1 43°F 1014 hPa39°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 30 mi78 min Calm 45°F 1013 hPa40°F
TKPN6 30 mi48 min S 4.1 G 5.1
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 49 mi48 min S 7 G 8.9 43°F 44°F1013 hPa (-1.2)

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY6 mi55 minN 010.00 miOvercast47°F39°F74%1012.7 hPa
Newburgh / Stewart, NY9 mi63 minE 710.00 miOvercast45°F41°F87%1012.5 hPa
Montgomery, Orange County Airport, NY17 mi54 minVar 410.00 miOvercast46°F43°F89%1012.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPOU

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE5NE4E6E4E33E5NE3N3NE7NE4NE6NE3E3CalmCalmSE34E5CalmSE3Calm4Calm
1 day agoCalmE3N3NE4NE5N3N4N5N7N6N3NE3NE3N3N4N5N5NW7NE3NW5CalmE5E6SE9
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2 days agoNW12
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Tide / Current Tables for New Hamburg, Hudson River, New York
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New Hamburg
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:14 AM EDT     2.91 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:11 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:22 AM EDT     0.51 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:11 PM EDT     2.41 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:07 PM EDT     0.56 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.71.32.12.72.92.92.72.31.71.10.70.50.50.81.41.92.32.42.42.11.71.10.70.6

Tide / Current Tables for Newburgh, Hudson River, New York
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Newburgh
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:56 AM EDT     2.82 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:11 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:57 AM EDT     0.51 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:53 PM EDT     2.34 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:42 PM EDT     0.56 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.91.62.32.72.82.72.521.40.80.60.50.611.522.32.32.221.50.90.60.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.