Friday, December13, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Wickliffe, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:42AMSunset 4:57PM Friday December 13, 2019 3:51 PM EST (20:51 UTC) Moonrise 6:27PMMoonset 9:02AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Expires:201912132115;;291565 Fzus51 Kcle 131438 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 938 Am Est Fri Dec 13 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez145>149-132115- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 938 Am Est Fri Dec 13 2019
Rest of today..South winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny late this morning, then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. A chance of rain in the evening, then rain likely overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest 15 to 20 knots. Rain. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. Snow showers and rain likely in the evening, then snow showers likely overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Sunday through Tuesday. The water temperature off toledo is 37 degrees, off cleveland 41 degrees, and off erie 39 degrees.
LEZ146


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wickliffe, OH
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location: 41.58, -81.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 131828 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 128 PM EST Fri Dec 13 2019

SYNOPSIS. A low moving east across the upper Great Lakes will weaken and merge with a deepening low that is expected to move up the East Coast later today and Saturday. The associated cold front will move east across the area on Saturday night. High pressure will build east across the area on Sunday and Sunday night.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/. Clouds will continue to thicken across the area into tonight. Areas in NW Ohio where cloud cover has been thin have seen temperatures warm into the mid 40s.

Previous Discussion Below .

Most areas have a good chance at seeing the sunrise this morning as an influx of low and mid-level dry air has resulted in clearing across the region overnight. The clearing will not last long, however, as moisture returns from the southwest by mid to late morning, leading to mid and high cloud cover overspreading the area. Warm air advection will result in slightly above normal temperatures across the area today in the low to mid 40s.

Precipitation mainly in the form of rain will begin to overspread the area from the southeast tonight and continue through much of the day Saturday. A narrow window of a rain/snow mix may be possible west of I-71 tonight into Saturday morning as temperatures fall to the mid 30s. There will be a sharp gradient in precipitation totals, with areas generally east and southeast of Cleveland receiving anywhere from a quarter to a half inch of rain, while areas out towards western and southwestern Ohio may only see a few hundreds of an inch. As the low moves off to the northeast, cold air will be funneled behind the system into northern ohio and northwest Pennsylvania, transitioning all precipitation to snow by Saturday night.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. Nearly zonal flow will persist across much of the western two thirds of the lower 48 states. An exiting upper level trough of low pressure will move east and out of the area Saturday night forcing a deep surface low pressure to move northeast of the area. This system will initially bring rain to the area Saturday and then as cold air advection develops on the northwest side of the storm track, the precipitation will transition over to all snow Saturday evening.

A broad upper level ridge will force a brief surface high pressure east across the area Sunday night into early Monday. The fair weather will be very brief as upper level pattern remains fast during this period.

A digging upper level trough will move quickly east across the western half of the United States. The trough will deepen in response to amplifying ridge along the West Coast by Monday night. The positively tilted trough will rotate a potent positive vorticity maximum through the middle Mississippi Valley region by Monday causing cyclogenesis to occur over Texas. The surface low will then track northeast through the Ohio Valley Monday night. The warm sector will remain to the south of the forecast area and ample moisture will stream north with the system Monday morning from southwest to northeast. A mix of rain/snow will take place across the area Monday into Monday night.

850 mb temperatures are expected to fall from around -6 degrees C to around -10 degrees C by Sunday morning. As the next system approaches Monday morning, mid level temperatures will warm back to just above freezing across the southern half of the forecast area. Will need to monitor temperatures through the column for the possibility for freezing precipitation in the overrunning precipitation threat. As low moves northeast of the area Monday night, cold air advection returns in the mid levels as 850 mb temperatures drop back to around -6 degrees C.

No real major changes in temperatures expected through this period but some cold air advection will drop lows into the middle 20s by Sunday night after highs Sunday in the lower to middle 30s. Highs Monday and lows Monday night will be similar to Sunday and Sunday night.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. A deep digging upper level trough will push east across the eastern United States. An upper level ridge is expected to amplify across the central Plains States. This will induce a shortwave trough that will move southeast through the Great Lakes region with a potent positive vorticity maximum by Thursday night. This trough will develop a fast moving Alberta Clipper storm system that will move southeast through the Great Lakes as well by Thursday afternoon. A quick shot of cold air associated with the low pressure system followed by high pressure will take place by the end of the forecast period. Moisture associated with the upper level shortwave and surface low will be limited and keep most of the precipitation threat over the eastern portions of the forecast area. Western half of the area should remain dry through the period. Most notable impacts will be the cold air advection expected Tuesday night into Wednesday with lows in the lower 20s and highs only in the 20s. Even colder temperatures are expected Wednesday night in the teens. There will be somewhat of a break Thursday as a return back to the upper 20s east and lower to middle 30s elsewhere.

AVIATION /18Z Friday THROUGH Wednesday/. VFR conditions remain across the area but will see a gradual decline in aviation conditions into tonight as moisture increases from the south. Clouds will lower to IFR at all terminals except TOL with terminals near and east of I-71 seeing visibilities decline to 2-5 miles in rain. Some snow may also mix in at MFD in the 8-15Z window. Fog can not be ruled out but at this time is not expected to become widespread. Gradual improvement in conditions is expected on Saturday as drier air wraps in from the west late in the period. South to southeast winds of 10 knots or less today will back to the north and northwest tonight as low pressure tracks up the East Coast. Winds may become breezy with gusts to 20 knots at CLE/ERI Saturday afternoon.

OUTLOOK. Non-VFR lingers into Sunday with scattered snow showers at ERI. Non-VFR possible again on Monday and Tuesday with periods of rain and/or snow.

MARINE. Southerly winds are expected today and will keep the highest waves off the shoreline in the open waters. This is a result of low pressure to the northwest of the forecast area. This low will weaken as another system moves northeast up the Appalachian Mountains tonight. A shift of the wind to a northerly direction will take place Friday night into Saturday. A brisk northwest wind will develop and it appears a small craft advisory will likely be needed late Friday night through early Sunday night. Winds diminish to light and variable through Monday night and become westerly again by Tuesday afternoon. Small craft advisory conditions will develop in the afternoon Tuesday.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . Kahn NEAR TERM . KEC/Kahn SHORT TERM . Lombardy LONG TERM . Lombardy AVIATION . KEC MARINE . Lombardy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 9 mi57 min S 4.1 G 5.1 44°F 40°F1014.7 hPa26°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 17 mi57 min SSE 8.9 G 9.9 41°F 36°F1015.1 hPa29°F
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 33 mi81 min SSE 7 G 11 40°F
LORO1 39 mi81 min S 8.9 G 12 43°F

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland / Cuyahoga, OH0 mi66 minSSE 610.00 miOvercast43°F28°F57%1014.9 hPa
Cleveland, Burke Lakefront Airport, OH11 mi58 minSSE 1010.00 miOvercast44°F27°F51%1014.9 hPa
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH23 mi60 minS 510.00 miOvercast46°F30°F54%1016.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCGF

Wind History from CGF (wind in knots)
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1 day agoW12
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W12W12W10SW10SW10SW8SW8SW12S6SW8S4SE4SE3SE5S8S5S10S13
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.