Saturday, July11, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Wickliffe, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:01AMSunset 9:02PM Saturday July 11, 2020 10:41 PM EDT (02:41 UTC) Moonrise 11:56PMMoonset 11:25AM Illumination 59% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Expires:202007120215;;691156 Fzus51 Kcle 111947 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 347 Pm Edt Sat Jul 11 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez144>147-120215- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh- 347 Pm Edt Sat Jul 11 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 10 pm edt this evening...
Tonight..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 5 to 15 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Sunday..West winds less than 10 knots becoming northwest. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday night..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming north. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Tuesday through Thursday. The water temperature off toledo is 78 degrees, off cleveland 65 degrees, and off erie 77 degrees.
LEZ146


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wickliffe, OH
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location: 41.58, -81.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 120130 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 930 PM EDT Sat Jul 11 2020

SYNOPSIS. Surface high pressure will expand overhead tonight as low pressure continues northeast into Quebec. This will be followed by a trough moving southeast from the Midwest to the Ohio Valley on Sunday. Strong high pressure will move east across the Great Lakes Region on Monday and Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. Cant completely rule out a passing sprinkle through 2 am near and east of a line from Cleveland to Youngstown. Chances of it occurring are too low to mention in the forecast. If it does occur it will be trace amounts. Otherwise only change was to hourly temperatures to reflect recent trends.

Previous Discussion . Quiet conditions will return for the overnight as high pressure expands overhead between systems. Only a few light showers remain in NW PA and those should pull away to the east through 6 PM. Tonight will be cooler than conditions experienced over the last week with lows in the lower 60s except mid 60s near the lakeshore.

Looking ahead to Sunday, a trough is noted on water vapor imagery upstream over Minnesota. This feature will dive southeast to the Ohio Valley, carving out a stronger trough. Convection is already ongoing ahead of this wave, and will track southeast along the instability gradient towards southern Indiana overnight. The potential for showers and thunderstorms to form in our forecast area will be influenced by overnight activity. Northern Ohio will be on the periphery of the thicker cloud field and may be able to destabilize sufficiently for additional convection. In addition, differential heating combined with modest theta-e advection will contribute to the likely development of scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly during the afternoon and early evening. Best chances of showers and thunderstorms will be across the mid-section of the area. Temperatures will be near normal for mid July.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. A fairly strong upper level low pressure system will dive southeast into the central and northern Great Lakes Monday and Monday night. A vigorous upper level positive vorticity maximum associated with the low pressure system will move east with the low pressure system. A trough will swing through the local area as well. An upper level ridge will build east across the region Tuesday and Tuesday night forcing the upper level trough and low pressure system to move east of the area. A cold front will extend southwest from low pressure northeast of Maine Monday across the local area Monday night. High pressure will build east across the area Tuesday and east of the area Tuesday evening. This will allow a mostly dry warm front to move northeast across the area Tuesday night. As cold front and upper level support move east of the area, some lingering threat for showers and thunderstorms is possible over the eastern third of the forecast area Monday. Dry weather will be the rule Monday night through much of Tuesday night. Cold air advection will take place Monday and Monday night with a reinforcing cold front pushing cooler air into the area Monday night. Once the high begins to move east of the area and warm front lifts northeast across the area, forecast area will see a warming trend take place; especially in the west. Highs Monday will be in the middle 70s east to lower 80s west. Tuesday's highs will be in the middle 80s west and upper 70s to near 80 degrees east. Lows Monday night are expected to be in the middle 50s east to lower 60s west followed by middle 50s east and middle 60s west Tuesday night.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. A weak area of upper level ridging will shift east in a progressive nearly zonal flow across the forecast area Wednesday. Amplification of a broad upper level ridge will take place Friday and Friday night with increasing heights through Saturday. This will set the stage once again for another warming trend across the area mid week into next weekend. A surface high pressure that is expected to move east of the area Tuesday night will shift east to the Atlantic Ocean. The combination of the high to the east and low pressure east of the Rocky Mountains will force very warm back into the area from the deep south. Although, latest models have been trending slightly cooler during the midweek period but surge is still expected to push northeast across the area by the weekend. As the warm air increases so will the dewpoints. Dewpoints should climb back into the upper 60s by Thursday morning and upper 60s to lower 70s by Friday and Saturday. As instability increases due to the heating, threat for showers and thunderstorms will increase each day during the forecast period. Highs will warm into the middle 80s Wednesday, middle to upper 80s Thursday, and upper 80s to around 90 Saturday. Lows each night will be in the Lower to middle 60s east and middle to upper 60s elsewhere.

AVIATION /00Z Sunday THROUGH Thursday/. VFR conditions expected through the night. Some low end VFR ceilings may occur under a few showers/sprinkles that move across NE OH/NW PA. Otherwise any NON-VFR fog will be limited to the valleys away from the TAF sites. Clouds increase on Sunday but should remain VFR. A few showers/thunderstorms may drift into the region but should remain near of south of a KFDY to KMFD to KCAK line. Placed a vicinity shower in the TAF's for now and will change to a thunder mention when we become more confident in its occurrence.

Westerly winds will decrease overnight and become light and variable by 06Z. The light winds continue into Sunday morning but will increase as a trough/weak front move into the region during the afternoon. Winds will shift to the northwest and north in the wake of this boundary.

Outlook . Non-VFR possibler Sunday night into Monday, mainly NE OH into NW PA. Non-VFR possible late Wednesday night into Thursday in thunderstorms.

MARINE. Winds continue to be quite gusty on Lake Erie at this time with the stronger winds now pushing east over the eastern half of the area. Winds are diminishing slowly in the west. This is a result of the surface low pressure moving east off Lake Erie into western Pennsylvania at this time. Winds are expected to continue to diminish tonight to 10 knots or less from the north and stay there through Monday night. Then, as a high pressure moves east across Ohio, a warm front will lift north and winds will become southerly 10 knots or less Tuesday night into Wednesday.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . KEC NEAR TERM . KEC/MM SHORT TERM . Lombardy LONG TERM . Lombardy AVIATION . MM MARINE . Lombardy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 9 mi54 min 77°F 75°F1008.5 hPa68°F
45164 15 mi42 min 75°F2 ft
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 17 mi54 min 77°F 80°F1007.9 hPa71°F
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 33 mi72 min WSW 5.1 G 8 93°F
LORO1 39 mi72 min WNW 11 G 12 79°F

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland / Cuyahoga, OH0 mi57 minW 720.00 miMostly Cloudy75°F64°F69%1008.8 hPa
Cleveland, Burke Lakefront Airport, OH11 mi49 minW 710.00 miOvercast78°F68°F71%1007.6 hPa
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH23 mi51 minWSW 510.00 miOvercast74°F61°F64%1008.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCGF

Wind History from CGF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS6S4S5--------W9
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1 day agoCalmCalmSW5S4SE4SE6SE4SE7SE6S10SE5S6SW9SW6N9NE5NE8N12E13NE10E5SE6SE8S8
2 days agoCalmSE5W4S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4CalmCalmCalmNW7N7CalmN5NE7N7N6NE5NE4NE4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.