Tuesday, December10, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Wickliffe, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:40AMSunset 4:57PM Tuesday December 10, 2019 1:29 AM EST (06:29 UTC) Moonrise 4:08PMMoonset 5:50AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 940 Pm Est Mon Dec 9 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through late Wednesday night...
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west to 30 knots. Rain likely late this evening, then a chance of rain after midnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 6 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
Tuesday..West winds 15 to 25 knots. A chance of rain and snow in the morning, then a chance of snow and rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 5 to 9 feet subsiding to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
Tuesday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. A chance of snow showers. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west to 30 knots. A chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 6 feet building to 6 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Thursday through Saturday. The water temperature off toledo is 39 degrees, off cleveland 41 degrees, and off erie 40 degrees.
LEZ146 Expires:201912100915;;118228 FZUS51 KCLE 100240 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 940 PM EST Mon Dec 9 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ146>149-100915-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wickliffe, OH
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location: 41.58, -81.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 100609 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 109 AM EST Tue Dec 10 2019

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure will track northeast across the Central Great Lakes today and to southern Quebec by late tonight. The associated trailing cold front will move east across the area this evening and tonight with high pressure slowly building into the area Tuesday through Thursday. Low pressure moves east across the Great Lakes region on Saturday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. Cold front is knocking on the door of western Ohio at this time. The front is expected to move east across the area overnight and usher in colder air to the region. Most of the showers are now east of the region with a few lingering areas left behind. The rain will transition from west to east from rain to snow. Surface temperatures will fall through the 30s overnight to around freezing in the central portions by sunrise and then fall into the upper 20s during the day Tuesday. Current forecast trends look reasonable.

Previous Discussion . Low pressure of around 994 mb currently over northern lower Michigan will continue to deepen as it tracks northeast to southern Quebec, where it will be around 988 mb by 06 UTC Tuesday. The associated cold front will move east across the CWA tonight, and will be well east of the area by 12Z Tuesday. Currently, radar observations showing widespread rain east of Findlay to Port Clinton line. This rain will continue to move east this evening and tonight. Temperatures in the 50s right now will drop to near freezing by early Tuesday morning behind the cold front. Scattered rain/snow showers are expected to develop behind the cold front late tonight.

Strong cold advection overnight behind the cold front will bring temperatures down to near freezing, while widespread cloud cover should prevent temperatures from budging too much during the day on Tuesday. System precipitation will transition to lake effect snow will cold air aloft and westerly flow on Tuesday. Precipitation type should switch to all snow by Tuesday evening. Flow will slowly back to southwest, allowing lake effect snow to be completely offshore by 12 UTC Wednesday. Total snow accumulations of around 1 to 2 inches expected mainly in Erie County Pennsylvania.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. A fast changing weather pattern is expected during this period with a warming trend. On Wednesday a re-enforcing surge of cold air will just brush the northern fringe of the forecast area and may produce lake effect snow showers mainly over northwest PA. The surface high pressure ridge will quickly build over the region Wednesday evening and lower the inversion height and greatly diminish the snow showers especially after midnight in the far east snowbelt. High pressure will be near the region Thursday and shift east of the region Thursday night and will provide a dry spell to the region. High temperatures will moderate from the upper 20s Wednesday to the mid 30s on Thursday.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. High pressure will move off the northeast coast by Friday as a low pressure system in the southern stream develops over the southeast states. Some moisture will head north into the Ohio Valley but the forecast will be kept dry for now. For Friday night the coastal system will be moving north through the mid Atlantic states with perhaps some moisture extending as far west as northern Ohio. There could be a light mixture of rain and snow with most of the precipitation as liquid. The coastal system will shift way on Saturday as another short wave moves into the area from the west. The Euro and GFS are somewhat different in the timing. The cloudy skies will persist and precipitation will be light and mainly rain as temperatures aloft are too warm to support frozen precipitation. Early Sunday the upper air feature will move away and colder high pressure will gradually build into the region. Temperatures aloft will cool to near -5C at 850 mb so scattered rain showers mainly in the snowbelt will mix with or change to snow in the afternoon. On Monday a weak system will move into the Tennessee and lower Ohio Valleys and an inverted trough will develop south of the region. A mixture of light rain and snow is possible especially south of US- 30.

AVIATION /06Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/. A cold front approaches from the west early this morning and will cross the area from west to east over the next several hours. With the frontal passage, ceilings will vary from low VFR to sub-2000 ft MVFR, although all areas will eventually settle on this lower threshold. Some IFR may be possible with the frontal passage, although ceilings upstream have not shown this and therefore have leaned against any IFR in the current set of TAFs. West winds will be strong with the front as winds gust to 20 to 30 kts this morning. Behind the front, the main concern will then be the development of lake enhanced/effect snow showers. This will mainly be an issue for KERI and KCLE, although the lower clouds will persist in and around KYNG and KCAK. Eventually, dry air and high pressure attempt to build in from the southwest and ceilings will scatter or lift across the area late in the period, while winds diminish to 10 kts or less.

OUTLOOK. Non-VFR possible on Wednesday and Thursday with snow showers and low ceilings, especially in the NE OH and NW Snow Belt. Non-VFR possible Friday night with rain/snow and Saturday with all rain.

MARINE. Low Pressure 29.30 inches over northern lower Michigan will move to Quebec by morning. A trailing cold front will cross the lake tonight and winds will increase as cold advection overspreads the lake. Winds will increase to 20-30 knots and a small craft advisory is on track as winds veer to the west. Higher winds will persist into Wednesday as the winds back more to the southwest but will still require a SCA for points east of Cleveland. Winds will veer to the northwest Wednesday night and gradually diminish by Thursday morning. High pressure will be near the lake on Thursday and then shift to the northeast coast by Friday. Fairly light winds will continue over the lake into the start of the weekend as the coastal storm shifts east of the region on Saturday.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Thursday for LEZ146>149. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for LEZ142>145.

SYNOPSIS . Saunders NEAR TERM . Lombardy/Saunders SHORT TERM . LaPlante LONG TERM . LaPlante AVIATION . Sefcovic MARINE . LaPlante


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 9 mi60 min WSW 15 G 19 50°F 42°F1002.3 hPa42°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 17 mi60 min WSW 22 G 24 48°F 39°F1001.9 hPa48°F
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 33 mi60 min WSW 21 G 30 55°F
LORO1 39 mi60 min WSW 26 G 30 49°F

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland / Cuyahoga, OH0 mi35 minno data10.00 miOvercast51°F44°F80%1003 hPa
Cleveland, Burke Lakefront Airport, OH11 mi37 minWSW 1610.00 miOvercast51°F42°F71%1002.6 hPa
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH23 mi39 minWSW 16 G 2210.00 miOvercast50°F44°F80%1003.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCGF

Wind History from CGF (wind in knots)
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2 days agoN7NW4NW4CalmCalmCalmCalmW5CalmW6NW6NW5NW6CalmN3CalmSE3SE3S6SE6S9SE8SE8SE10

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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