Friday, August14, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Wickliffe, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:33AMSunset 8:28PM Friday August 14, 2020 2:18 PM EDT (18:18 UTC) Moonrise 12:47AMMoonset 4:15PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Expires:202008142015;;440126 Fzus51 Kcle 141424 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 1024 Am Edt Fri Aug 14 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez144>148-142015- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- 1024 Am Edt Fri Aug 14 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from 2 pm edt through late tonight...
This afternoon..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast and increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Tonight..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east and diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. A slight chance of showers overnight. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Sunday through Tuesday. The water temperature off toledo is 77 degrees, off cleveland 74 degrees, and off erie 76 degrees.
LEZ146


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wickliffe, OH
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location: 41.58, -81.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 141703 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 103 PM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020

SYNOPSIS. Surface low pressure will move northeast across the Ohio Valley tonight through tomorrow. An upper trough and associated surface cold front will move southeast across the area Sunday. Behind the front, high pressure will persist across much of the area through mid week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. Further increased temperatures by a degree or two as diminishing cloud cover has allowed surface heating to surpass model guidance. Temperatures will peak in the next several hours before cu field and thunderstorms begin to develop later this afternoon.

Main concern today will be the thunderstorms that develop along an instability gradient, characterized by around 1500-2000 SBCAPE, with a shortwave providing additional lift support along and west of the I-75 corridor. Activity will mainly be diurnally-driven with thunderstorm initiation early this afternoon, between 2 and 3 pm. Threat begins to diminish later this evening with the loss of diurnal heating. Given the lack of deep layer shear across the area, storms will develop along existing outflow boundaries through the afternoon and evening hours, with a majority expected to remain below severe levels.

A few stronger storms could develop this afternoon with the main threats being strong downburst winds and heavy rainfall. Microburst potential looks fairly decent with max theta-e differences greater than 25K, DCAPE values around 1000, and low level lapse rates of 8 to 9 C/km. Inhibiting factors for more organized activity appears to be the lack of deep layer shear, dry air entrainment around the 700-500 mb levels and marginal mid-level lapse rates.

Much of the thunderstorm activity should begin to subside a few hours following sunset, though a few residual showers or thunderstorms could persist. This would mainly be across the southern/southwestern tier of the area, especially as the surface low pressure system moves northeast across the Ohio Valley.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. Upper level trough will shift east across the area Saturday with an associated area of positive vorticity advection. Moisture associated with this upper level feature is expected to move east across the area as well by Saturday evening. A weak wave of low pressure at the surface will move east across the Ohio Valley with an inverted surface trough extending north across the local area Saturday night. Due to the upper level support and wave of low pressure along with the aid of day time heating, expecting showers and a few thunderstorms to develop Saturday and then lingering into Saturday night. A cold front is expected to move east across the area Sunday afternoon with a bit of a surge of moisture associated with the front and convergence along the boundary. This should bring a line of showers and thunderstorms east across the local area during the afternoon. Once front shifts east Sunday night, threat for showers and thunderstorms will diminish Sunday night into Monday morning. Then, by Monday afternoon, a surface trough and deep digging negatively tilted upper level trough will move over the local area. Cold air advection and upper level support will likely cause some lake induced showers over the northeast. Temperatures through the period will be in the middle to upper 70s most areas; except lower 80s extreme west Saturday. Lows Saturday night will be in the lower to middle 60s and highs Sunday in the middle to upper 70s east and upper 70s to lower 80s elsewhere. Lows Sunday night will be in the lower to middle 60s followed by highs in the middle to upper 70s Monday.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Large upper level trough will shift east of the area Monday night into Tuesday. Another upper level positively tilted trough will linger behind into Wednesday as an upper level high pressure over the Plains States continues to amplify and remain nearly stationary. This whole upper level pattern remains somewhat unchanged through Thursday but there are some signs the trough in thee east will make an attempt to break down slightly over southern Canada and cut-off the trough by the end of the week. Weak surface high pressure will build southeast over the eastern Great Lakes during this forecast period and will for the most part keep the forecast area dry. Temperatures will be in the middle to upper 50s each night and highs will be in the middle to upper 70s Tuesday and Wednesday and warming a bit for Thursday in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

AVIATION /18Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/. Main concern for this TAF period will be the threat for showers and thunderstorms at TOL/FDY later this afternoon. Confidence has increased in coverage so have opted to add in a few hours of tsra, mainly from 20Z to 00Z this afternoon and evening. Vsby and ceilings could fall down to MVFR or even IFR with any heavier downpours. Otherwise, looking at VFR conditions across the rest of the TAF sites through the period, though can't rule out a few showers in MFD/CAK/YNG early tomorrow morning through the early afternoon hours.

Winds will increase out of the northeast today, 10 to 15 knots, aided by a developing lake breeze this afternoon. Highest winds will occur at CLE/ERI where gusts up to 20 to 25 knots could be possible. Winds will diminish to below 10 knots tonight. Higher gusts will be possible associated with the thunderstorms at TOL/FDY later this afternoon.

Outlook . Non-VFR with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms Saturday afternoon through Sunday night.

MARINE. Winds trend northeasterly on Lake Erie today with a large area of high pressure over western Quebec. These winds will be as strong as 15 to 20 knots late this morning through about midnight tonight and generate waves as large as 3 to 5 feet, especially west of Presque Isle and east of The Islands. Accordingly, a Small Craft Advisory has been issued for nearshore waters from The Islands to Conneaut. This advisory is in effect from 2 PM this afternoon until 2 AM EDT Saturday. Winds diminish and waves lower during the predawn hours of Saturday morning.

Otherwise, light southeast flow develops into the weekend. A cold front is expected to move east across the area Sunday afternoon and this will result in some cold air advection to the area. There is the possibility for some waterspout activity Monday with the cold air advection. Winds will become light out of the north to northwest by Tuesday.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . Beach Hazards Statement through late tonight for OHZ007- 009>012-089. PA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Saturday for LEZ143>148.

SYNOPSIS . Kahn NEAR TERM . Kahn SHORT TERM . Lombardy LONG TERM . Lombardy AVIATION . Kahn MARINE . Jaszka/Thomas/Lombardy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45164 15 mi78 min 77°F2 ft
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 33 mi48 min E 16 G 19 92°F
LORO1 39 mi48 min NE 13 G 15 78°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 49 mi28 min ENE 12 G 16 77°F 77°F2 ft1015.7 hPa73°F

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland / Cuyahoga, OH0 mi33 minE 10 G 1720.00 miPartly Cloudy88°F62°F43%1016.6 hPa
Cleveland, Burke Lakefront Airport, OH11 mi25 minNE 10 G 1810.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F59°F35%1015 hPa
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH23 mi27 minSE 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy89°F64°F43%1015.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCGF

Wind History from CGF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE6N12NE13NE15
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NE10E7NE7E9E10E5NE7E5SE4E5E4SE4NE4SE3SE8
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1 day agoN10NE8NE10N7NE6E5NE5E6E5E4E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmNE5CalmE4NE6NE5NE7
2 days agoW7W10W10W10NW7W4CalmCalmCalmN8NE7CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3E7NE10NE9E5E5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.