Chardon, OH Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Chardon, OH

June 20, 2024 2:33 AM EDT (06:33 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:49 AM   Sunset 9:04 PM
Moonrise 7:19 PM   Moonset 3:10 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LEZ147 Willowick To Geneva-on-the Lake Oh-geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh-conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 950 Pm Edt Wed Jun 19 2024

Rest of tonight - Southeast winds less than 10 knots. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less.

Thursday - Light and variable winds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.

Thursday night - North winds less than 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

Friday - Light and variable winds becoming north 5 to 10 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Saturday through Monday.
the water temperature off toledo is 72 degrees, off cleveland 69 degrees, and off erie 70 degrees.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chardon, OH
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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 203 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

Upper level ridge remains in place through this week. A weak cold front sags southward into northern Ohio and northwestern Pennsylvania Thursday before lifting back northward as a warm front Friday. Low pressure system arrives by the end of the weekend.

8:00 PM Update: Modest convergence over Northwest OH has led to a few strong to severe, slow-moving thunderstorms this evening. Isolated damaging winds and locally heavy rain are the main concerns.
Activity will gradually subside by later this evening. No major changes were needed with this update.

Previous Discussion: Unseasonably warm and moist environment continues as a ridge of high pressure remains draped over the region. This air mass has allowed for another day of strong diurnal heating leading to MLCAPE values to rise to 2500+ J/kg and pop up thunderstorms to develop along the Indiana/Ohio border this afternoon. Primary concern as these storms build east into Northwest and North Central Ohio remains to be damaging wind gusts, though enhanced shear this afternoon may lead to instances of hail and/or a tornado. As with convection this past week, expect for thunderstorms to diminish in intensity and coverage this evening as we lose daytime heating.

The ridge sinks south as a weak cold front enters the region from the north. We won't see much relief from the heat and convection as the front sags south of Lake Erie on Thursday. Still well above normal with high temperatures rising into the upper 80s to lower 90s accompanied by dew points near 70 degrees. Anticipate for scattered thunderstorms to develop along the cold front Thursday afternoon. Overnight lows tonight and Thursday night will settle in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Upper ridge retrogrades to the west over the Mississippi Valley by Friday. The weak frontal boundary is expected to have stalled across inland areas with a light northerly flow across most of the area.
Locations downwind of Lake Erie in NE Ohio and NW Pennsylvania will see temperatures drop back into the 80s while inland areas remain in the low 90 to mid 90s. May be able to consider dropping a few counties in our northeastern area from the Heat Advisory but will probably be needed again by Saturday so will hold off on any changes at this time.

Moderate instability will remain along the stalled boundary on Friday and scattered thunderstorms are possible again. A limiting factor will be if the boundary pushes south of the area or if dewpoints drop off more than expected. The boundary pushes back north as a warm front on Saturday ahead of low pressure moving into the Upper Great Lakes. Heat indices rebound into the 95-100 degree range for all areas although with a little more mixing and lower humidity. Chance of thunderstorms should be a little lower on Saturday except perhaps if a lake breeze develops in NE Ohio and NW Pennsylvania.

Low pressure will pass north of Lake Huron on Sunday ahead of a trough dropping into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop ahead and along the cold front that is forecast to move through the area during peak heating. While the instability may not be as high as some of the previous days this week, forcing along the front will be better and would expect some potential for strong to severe thunderstorms.

Monday does bring some relief from the heat as high pressure builds into the Great Lakes and humidity drops off. The respite is pretty short lived as some amplification of the upper level ridge occurs on Tuesday. The ridge axis is positioned over the Plains through the middle of next week and a lower confidence aspect of the forecast is if some more organized complex of thunderstorms rounds the ridge and approaches the local area. The GFS and Canadian both show something passing near but just west of our area Tuesday into Wednesday which is more realistically where the higher instability will be located.

AVIATION /06Z Thursday THROUGH Monday/
Showers and storms persist across Lake Erie this morning with a trajectory just north of KERI. Still worth a brief VCTS mention, but impacts at the terminal seem minimal outside of any brief wind shift with an orphaned outflow boundary. High clouds remain across the region from Wednesday's convection and will continue into the morning hours today. New diurnal cumulus will form during the early afternoon hours, starting in NW OH and NW PA, eventually expanding across the rest of northern Ohio. There will be new afternoon storm chances later Thursday afternoon and have some VCTS mentions at KYNG, KTOL, and KFDY to highlight scattered TS in those corners of the airspace. However, confidence in location and coverage are still fairly limited. TS chances and diurnal cumulus will wane during the evening hours.
Winds will be very light through the period with variable direction. Southerly flow will be favored through daybreak before westerly winds begin inland and more northerly flow becomes more favored off a modified lake breeze in the northern terminals.

Outlook...Isolated to scattered thunderstorms and non-VFR conditions are possible again Friday afternoon. More organized thunderstorms with non-VFR conditions possible Sunday afternoon.

Good marine conditions with winds of 10 knots or less will continue through Friday. The main concern will be gusty winds associated with any thunderstorms that develop on the lake which could exceed 40 knots. Southwest winds increase to around 10 knots Saturday and 10 to 20 knots by Sunday ahead of the front, shifting to west behind the front later Sunday. Waves build to 2 to 4 feet across the mid- section of the lake and will monitor for any strengthening for possible Small Craft Advisory conditions. Onshore winds of 10 to 15 knots will continue on Monday as high pressure builds over the Central Great Lakes.

A prolonged stretch of hot weather is expected this week.
Temperatures are forecast to approach or exceed record highs on several days. The records for Thursday, June 19 to Sunday, June 23 are listed below for our official climate sites.

Date Toledo Mansfield Cleveland Akron Youngstown Erie 06-20 98(1953) 94(1988) 96(1988) 95(1933) 95(1933) 92(2016)
06-21 100(2022) 96(1988) 95(2022) 97(1933) 98(1933) 95(1933)
06-22 99(1988) 95(1988) 98(1988) 97(1988) 97(1933) 94(1988)
06-23 96(1911) 91(1964) 94(1948) 94(1923) 94(1943) 92(1964)

OH...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for OHZ003-006>014-017>023- 027>033-036>038-047-089.
PA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for PAZ001>003.

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
45207 11 mi24 minESE 7.8G12 72°F 71°F1 ft30.2769°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 11 mi46 minN 19G23 72°F 71°F30.2671°F
45206 19 mi24 minENE 9.7G14 74°F 72°F0 ft30.2570°F
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 22 mi64 minN 14G21
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 23 mi46 minNW 1G2.9 76°F 69°F30.25
45164 27 mi34 minNE 12G14 73°F 72°F0 ft
45176 29 mi34 minNE 1.9G1.9 76°F 73°F0 ft30.2573°F
45205 29 mi24 min1.9G3.9 74°F 73°F0 ft30.2471°F
45208 30 mi24 minN 12G16 72°F 70°F1 ft30.2668°F
ASBO1 31 mi34 minN 9.9G15
45196 36 mi44 minS 1.9G1.9 76°F 73°F0 ft30.2573°F
CBLO1 - Conneaut Breakwater Light, OH 44 mi34 minNW 9.9G14
45204 48 mi24 minENE 1.9G3.9 73°F0 ft

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KLNN LAKE COUNTY EXECUTIVE,OH 10 sm18 minENE 0510 smClear72°F68°F88%30.31
KCGF CUYAHOGA COUNTY,OH 15 sm18 minN 0810 smClear73°F70°F89%30.33
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Wind History graph: CGF
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Cleveland, OH,

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