Oak Harbor, OH Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Oak Harbor, OH

June 16, 2024 9:25 PM EDT (01:25 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:57 AM   Sunset 9:09 PM
Moonrise 2:59 PM   Moonset 1:31 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LEZ143 Expires:202406162015;;117438 Fzus51 Kcle 161330 Nshcle
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 930 am edt Sun jun 16 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez142>144-162015- maumee bay to reno beach oh-reno beach to the islands oh- the islands to vermilion oh- 930 am edt Sun jun 16 2024

This afternoon - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.

Tonight - East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.

Monday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.

Monday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Tuesday through Thursday.
the water temperature off toledo is 71 degrees, off cleveland 68 degrees, and off erie 68 degrees.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oak Harbor, OH
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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 726 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

An upper ridge will remain in place over the region through this week, resulting in near-record temperatures across the area.

Minor changes to the forecast at this time. A lake breeze has pushed up to 30 miles inland from Lake Erie and temperatures are considerably cooler north of the boundary. The boundary will wash out over the next couple of hours before conditions cool with the diurnal cycle. Lows remain on target to the mid 60s to lower 70s.

Previous Discussion...
Upper ridge will continue to build over the region through the near term period, resulting in the beginning of a prolonged heatwave. Temperatures will be noticeably warmer tonight; instead of lows in the 50s like Saturday night, tonight's lows will be in the mid 60s to lower 70s. A shortwave and MCV will ripple across lower Michigan overnight and weakening showers/thunderstorms may clip NW OH early Monday morning, but still quite a bit of spread in guidance in regards to the evolution of the convection and the southward placement by the time it nears the CWA Convection may develop along any residual boundaries from this feature or a lake breeze boundary Monday afternoon, but otherwise there won't be much in the way of convergence so overall precipitation chances will be relatively low (~20-30%) late Monday morning into Monday afternoon. With that being said, the atmosphere will be quite juicy so any showers/storms that develop could produce locally heavy rainfall.

While rain chances are low, any clouds/precipitation could throw a wrench into the heat index forecast and result in sub-100 degree apparent temperatures Monday. There's a decent chance that heat indices will touch 100 degrees in at least a few spots Monday afternoon, but would like to have a better idea of the cloud/precipitation forecast before making a decision on locations that will (likely marginally) meet Heat Advisory criteria Monday. Opted to maintain the Excessive Heat Watch for now due to the lower confidence in precipitation chances/placement. In the event of a dry forecast with less cloud cover, heat indices may be a touch higher. Monday's highs will climb into the 90s with locations near the I-75 corridor possibly creeping into the upper 90s and expect dew points to increase throughout the day, reaching at least the upper 60s by Monday afternoon. Even if a Heat Advisory isn't needed for Monday, heat indices will climb well into the 90s areawide.

The aforementioned shortwave should lift away from the area by Monday evening and overnight lows will only manage to fall into the low to mid 70s with slightly warmer temps possible in urban areas. Can't rule out a stray shower, but generally expect dry (albeit muggy) weather Monday night with clouds increasing from the southwest as the next shortwave climbs the ridge.

A dominant upper level ridge will be in place over the eastern US during the short term period. The associated surface high on Tuesday will be centered near the East Coast, putting the forecast area on the backside of the high. This positioning should allow of a period of increased low level moisture to sneak in through Tuesday afternoon. With plenty of instability and isentropic lift, especially across eastern counties, opted to maintain chance PoPs through Tuesday afternoon with thunderstorms possible. Primary concern with any thunderstorms will be heavy rainfall and localized wind, but not anticipating anything severe or widespread at this point. High temperatures on Tuesday will climb into the 90s across the area with apparent temperatures values in the upper 90s, possibly touching 100 in some locations including the urban heat islands. The potential caveat to the temperature forecast is that in areas where showers develop, temperatures will locally cool a bit, although humidity values will increase. By Tuesday night, the aforementioned high pressure retrogrades a bit, drying out the low levels again and marking the return to dry conditions. Overnight lows will only drop into the low to mid 70s, not providing much relief from the hot day. As discussed throughout the last week, a heat wave will be well established across the area by midweek with temperatures on Wednesday climbing into the 90s and heat index values possibly exceeding 100 for areas along and west of I71.
Overnight lows will continue to only drop into the 70s on Wednesday night.

The long term forecast is not going to look much different than the rest of the week with the dominant ridging pattern continuing to influence the weather across the area. Have opted to introduce a slight chance of PoPs on Friday as a weak boundary approaching the southern shores of Lake Erie from the north, however models suggest it becoming stalled before lifting north as a warm front Saturday.
Due to this, opted to only include the immediate lakeshore in the precipitation potential, but will continue to monitor in the coming updates to see if models maintain this boundary. At the far end of the long term period late Saturday into Sunday, long range models suggest a low pressure finally tracking into the region and bringing the potential for showers and cooler temperatures. Exact timing of this low diverges amongst models, but they all suggest this dominant high finally beginning to move east. With that in mind, maintained well above average temperatures in the 90s through Saturday with slightly cooler temperatures on Sunday.

AVIATION /00Z Monday THROUGH Friday/
Primarily VFR conditions are expected through the period. Clear skies will persist through the overnight hours. A lake breeze boundary has pushed inland, passing south of KCLE and KERI.
North winds will continue over the next hour or two before the boundary washes out and southerly flow returns to these terminals. Mid level clouds from remnant convection this evening and some diurnal cumulus will enter for Monday. There is some potential for clouds to become some isolated showers and storms but confidence in coverage and timing is very low at this time to put into TAF. South to southwest flow will be favored through the end of the TAF period, outside of any slight variation due to showers or storms.

Outlook...Primarily VFR expected through Thursday. Isolated thunderstorms are possible Tuesday afternoon, but confidence is low.

East-northeast winds of 5-10 knots today will shift to become south- southwest on Monday and will persist through this week as high pressure remains dominant over the region. Waves today will linger at 1-2 feet along the lakeshore, but should generally be 1 foot or less for the remainder of the week. There is a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms Monday and Tuesday afternoon, but nothing widespread is expected.

A prolonged stretch of hot weather is expected this week.
Temperatures are forecast to approach or exceed record highs on several days. The records for Monday, June 17 to Friday, June 21 are listed below for our official climate sites.

Date Toledo Mansfield Cleveland Akron Youngstown Erie 06-17 97(1994) 94(1936) 94(2018) 94(2018) 95(1994) 90(2018)
06-18 98(1994) 93(1994) 96(1944) 96(1944) 95(1994) 92(2018)
06-19 98(1995) 94(1994) 92(1995) 94(1994) 94(1994) 92(1931)
06-20 98(1953) 94(1988) 96(1988) 95(1933) 95(1933) 92(2016)
06-21 100(2022) 96(1988) 95(2022) 97(1933) 98(1933) 95(1933)

OH...Excessive Heat Watch from Monday morning through Friday evening for OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047- 089.
Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT tonight for OHZ010>014- 020>022-089.
PA...Excessive Heat Watch from Monday morning through Friday evening for PAZ001>003.

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
CMPO1 7 mi115 minESE 9.9G11 76°F
45165 10 mi35 minE 12G16 72°F 72°F2 ft
45202 10 mi25 min5.8G7.8 75°F 72°F1 ft29.9665°F
TWCO1 10 mi26 min15G17 72°F 71°F67°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 14 mi25 minENE 8.9G11 71°F 29.97
45200 16 mi35 min14G19 73°F 73°F1 ft29.9566°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 16 mi145 minE 16G17 73°F 29.9463°F
45201 17 mi25 min9.7G14 72°F 72°F2 ft30.0164°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 20 mi55 minESE 8.9G12 29.92
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 21 mi55 minESE 6G8 70°F29.95
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 33 mi25 minSE 5.1G8.9 72°F 29.94
45203 35 mi25 minENE 7.8G12 72°F 71°F1 ft68°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 36 mi100 minNE 1 75°F 29.9865°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 38 mi35 minE 14G16 69°F 69°F2 ft29.9864°F
OWMO1 43 mi85 minSSW 6 86°F 54°F
LORO1 49 mi55 minE 7G8 72°F

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KPCW ERIEOTTAWA INTL,OH 14 sm10 minESE 059 smClear70°F63°F78%29.97
KTDZ TOLEDO EXECUTIVE,OH 20 sm32 minSSE 0710 smClear82°F52°F35%29.96
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Tide / Current for
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Cleveland, OH,

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