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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Oak Harbor, OH

July 23, 2024 10:23 PM EDT (02:23 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:18 AM   Sunset 8:59 PM
Moonrise 9:47 PM   Moonset 7:42 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LEZ143 Expires:202407232015;;160169 Fzus51 Kcle 231348 Nshcle
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 948 am edt Tue jul 23 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez142>144-232015- maumee bay to reno beach oh-reno beach to the islands oh- the islands to vermilion oh- 948 am edt Tue jul 23 2024

This afternoon - South winds 10 knots or less becoming east. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tonight - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.

Wednesday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.

Wednesday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Thursday through Saturday.
the water temperature off toledo is 78 degrees, off cleveland 74 degrees, and off erie 75 degrees.

LEZ100
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oak Harbor, OH
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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 240125 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 925 PM EDT Tue Jul 23 2024

SYNOPSIS
A weak trough lingers over the eastern Great Lakes and Upper Ohio Valley for the time being. A reinforcing warm front sweeps northward through our region tonight before a cold front sweeps southeastward through the local area late Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday night. Behind the cold front, a ridge affects our region for the rest of this week as the core of the ridge moves from the Upper Midwest toward the northeast United States.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
930 PM...
Only a few isolated showers remain across NW PA this evening.
Otherwise, apart from some patchy fog across the south and southeast portion of the area, anticipating quiet weather overnight into Wednesday morning. Still anticipating a period of scattered to perhaps widespread showers and thunderstorms (some strong to severe) Wednesday afternoon and evening associated with pre-frontal outflow from tonight's storms in the northern Indiana vicinity.

Previous Discussion...
Cyclonic WSW'erly to W'erly flow aloft and embedded shortwave disturbances affect the eastern Great Lakes and Upper OH Valley through Wednesday night. Simultaneously, the axis of a prominent shortwave trough approaches from the Upper Midwest. At the surface, a trough lingers over our area for the time being. A reinforcing warm front will sweep N'ward through our CWA tonight and usher-in a warmer/more-humid air mass from the Gulf of Mexico. A cold front is then poised to sweep SE'ward through our CWA late Wednesday afternoon through daybreak Thursday morning and be followed by a ridge building from the Upper Midwest and vicinity.

Overnight lows are expected to reach the 60's to lower 70's around daybreak Wednesday. Intervals of sunshine/daytime heating and continued low-level WAA will allow late afternoon highs to reach mainly the 80's on Wednesday. Sufficient daytime heating of land surrounding ~76F Lake Erie and a relatively-weak synoptic MSLP gradient directed toward the south are expected to allow a lake breeze to occur over/within several miles of the lakeshore from northeastern Cuyahoga County through Erie County, PA late Wednesday morning through early evening. Weak low-level CAA behind the aforementioned cold front will contribute to overnight lows reaching mainly the 60's around daybreak Thursday.

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms amidst weak to moderate boundary layer CAPE and moderate effective bulk shear are expected to persist through this evening, especially roughly along and west of I-71. The lingering Lake Erie lake breeze front through this early evening, a surface trough axis sweeping E'ward through our region through early tomorrow morning, and downshear outflow boundaries interacting favorably with W'erly 0-3 km AGL bulk shear vectors are expected to be foci for development/maintenance of multicellular convection. Periods of torrential rainfall are expected amidst unusually-high PWAT's.
Strong convective gusts are possible amidst steep low-level lapse rates and moderate DCAPE through this early evening.
Lingering showers/storms are expected to dissipate during the predawn hours of Wednesday morning as the boundary layer stabilizes via nocturnal cooling. In addition, any elevated convection associated with the strongest moist isentropic ascent along the upper-reaches of the aforementioned warm front is expected to occur over/near southern ON tonight.

Additional isolated to scattered multicell showers and thunderstorms are expected late Wednesday morning through Wednesday night as low-level convergence/ascent along the aforementioned cold front and pre-front surface trough axes release weak to moderate instability in the warm/moist sector boundary layer amidst moderate effective bulk shear. The aforementioned lake breeze front is also expected to act as a focus for convection development. A few severe storms with damaging convective wind gusts remain possible in this thermodynamic and kinematic environment, especially Wednesday afternoon through early evening, when daytime heating/convective mixing of the warm/moist sector boundary layer allow MUCAPE to be maximized and DCAPE to reach moderate to strong magnitudes amidst steep low-level lapse rates. Severe hail is no longer expected due to weak mid-level lapse rates and ambient melting levels projected to exceed 10.5kft AGL. Periods of torrential rainfall are expected as PWAT's remain unusually-high. Training convection is possible as WSW'erly mean mid-level flow exhibits a large component parallel to the cold front and pre-front surface trough axes. Thus, there is a small chance of localized flash flooding, especially if training convection impacts urban areas. Shower and thunderstorm potential is expected to begin to end gradually from northwest to southeast across essentially the northwest-half of our CWA Wednesday evening through daybreak Thursday as the low-level cold front moves SE'ward and is followed by stabilizing subsidence accompanying the building low-level ridge.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
Cold front will be exiting to the southeast on Thursday as a longwave trough digs into southeastern Canada and the Northeast.
Linger POPs across our southeastern counties Thursday morning/early afternoon as some shower/thunder potential will linger until the front clears. Otherwise, large scale subsidence on the backside of the northeastern trough will allow surface high pressure to begin building in Thursday night that will persist into the weekend, leading to a period of somewhat cooler and very quiet weather.
Expect mostly clear skies Thursday night through Friday night. Some patchy radiation fog will be possible both nights in the typical less urban and more sheltered locations. Highs on Thursday will reach the mid 70s to near 80, with Friday highs ticking up slightly into the upper 70s and lower 80s. Overnight lows will reach the mid 50s to lower 60s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Ridging begins shifting east this weekend allowing return flow to develop. We will remain dry, seasonable, and not too humid for Saturday. Humidity and temperatures will gradually climb Sunday through Tuesday, with dew points likely reaching the upper 60s/ lower 70s by late Monday and Tuesday. A weak shortwave is expected to approach Sunday and either move overhead or shear out on Monday.
This feature, along with an increasingly moist low-level airmass and at least modest diurnal destabilization, will allow low chances for showers and thunder to re-enter the forecast. Have a slight chance (20%) mention in our western counties late Sunday that expands and increases into the 30-40% range on Monday (outside of Northwest PA where we maintain a slight 20% chance on Monday). Chances dip diurnally Monday night. A somewhat active northwest flow pattern looks to begin developing Tuesday and into the middle of next week.
While timing of the various weak shortwaves and convection is less than certain nearly a week out, carried a broad 30-40% chance for thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon.

Highs will climb from the mid to upper 80s Saturday to the upper 80s and lower 90s Sunday through Tuesday. Heat index values may reach the mid to upper 90s Monday and Tuesday as dew points climb.
Overnight lows will be in the 60s through the weekend but will struggle to cool below 70 early next week.

AVIATION /00Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/
VFR across the TAF sites this evening with periods of non-VFR possible in showers and thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon and evening, particularly across the eastern half of the area associated with a cold front. Highest confidence in thunderstorms impacting TAF sites is at MFD/CAK/YNG and introduced brief tempo groups to reflect this. Lesser confidence resides at FDY/CLE/ERI/TOL, though the potential is non-zero, so have maintained vcts.

Winds are generally light and out of the south to south- southwest this evening, 5 knots or less. Winds will gradually shift more towards the southwest to west by Wednesday morning into afternoon, increasing to around 10 knots. The strongest thunderstorms tomorrow may produce isolated wind gusts of 40 to 50 knots.

Outlook...Non-VFR may linger in showers and thunderstorms Thursday morning. Non-VFR possible in isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms Sunday night into Monday.

MARINE
Light onshore flow enhanced by a lake breeze this afternoon will shift south-southeast at 10-15 knots this evening as a warm front lifts across the lake. Winds will shift more southwesterly at 10-15 knots into Wednesday ahead of an approaching cold front. This cold front will cross Wednesday evening/night, shifting winds around to a more northerly direction at 10-15 knots. These northerly winds will persist through Thursday before becoming light and variable Thursday night through the weekend beneath high pressure. Waves will build to 1 to 3 feet at times through Thursday evening in the modest 10-15 knot flow but should diminish to 2 feet or less through the weekend.

No marine headlines are expected for the foreseeable future.
Thunderstorms are possible over the southern nearshore waters through this evening and will again become possible over the lake Wednesday afternoon and evening ahead of the cold front.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
CMPO1 7 mi113 minSW 5.1G7 80°F
45165 10 mi33 minWSW 5.8G9.7 79°F 78°F1 ft
45202 10 mi23 min5.8G7.8 80°F 79°F0 ft30.0268°F
TWCO1 10 mi24 min11G13 79°F 78°F70°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 14 mi23 minS 5.1G6 79°F 30.01
45200 16 mi43 min7.8G9.7 80°F 78°F30.0169°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 16 mi143 minESE 12G13 79°F 29.9870°F
45201 17 mi23 min5.8G7.8 79°F 78°F1 ft30.0671°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 20 mi53 minWNW 4.1G6 80°F 29.9865°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 21 mi53 minS 2.9G5.1 77°F 77°F29.9963°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 33 mi23 minS 6G7 75°F 29.99
45203 35 mi23 minSW 5.8G7.8 76°F 78°F0 ft70°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 36 mi98 min0 30.01
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 38 mi33 minSSE 9.7G12 78°F 78°F1 ft30.0270°F
OWMO1 43 mi83 minSSE 1.9 74°F 68°F
LORO1 49 mi53 minSSE 4.1G5.1 77°F


Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KPCW ERIEOTTAWA INTL,OH 14 sm28 minSW 0510 smMostly Cloudy77°F66°F69%30.02
KTDZ TOLEDO EXECUTIVE,OH 20 sm30 minW 0510 smMostly Cloudy79°F64°F61%30.04


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Cleveland, OH,




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