Marine Forecasts

    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

---

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Northwood, OH

   Hourly   EDIT   Help

---

Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH

      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KCLE 082347 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 647 PM EST Sun Dec 8 2019

SYNOPSIS. A weakening cold front over southern Ontario will stall north of the lake overnight as low pressure takes shape over the central Plains. This deepening low pressure will move along the cold front and should track across southern Ontario. A strong cold front will move across the region Monday night. Colder air arrives in the wake of the front with an upper level trough lingering into Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. Clouds continue to stream into the area from the west and should gradually thicken overnight. Only made some minor adjustments to hourly temperatures for the next few hours. Otherwise, timing of precipitation looks reasonable so no adjustments there at this time.

Previous Discussion .

Increasing southerly winds will assist in increasing the return of low level moisture and bring warmer temperatures into the region. Low pressure will deepen as it moves across the central Mississippi River Valley. The increased warm advection ahead of the low will help to produce a period of rainfall that that move across the region from southwest to northeast last tonight into Monday. The heaviest rainfall will be Monday morning/afternoon. Increased cloud cover tonight and the warm advection will keep lows in the 40s. Highs Monday afternoon should reach into the lower to middle 50s. Winds will be gusty through the afternoon but should remain below advisory levels.

The gusty winds continue into the night but believe the periods of rain will keep the region from mixing too deep. However it will be something for later shift to monitor. Otherwise expect to see the showers decrease from west to east after midnight. Cant rule out a mix with some snow as the precipitation ends, but now accumulations expected. The cold front will cross the area overnight with lows falling into the 30s.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. Minor forecast changes with the short term period, with a slight downward trend in lake effect pops through the period. A cold front will be east of the forecast area at the onset of the period, as low pressure deepens northward through Quebec. The flow behind this front will be west to southwest Tuesday into Wednesday, with limited synoptic moisture outside of the 850mb layer. Instability looks to be marginal in this period as well, so backed down to low likely pops confined to northern Erie county. A secondary front will veer winds more northwest late Wednesday through Wednesday night, but very dry 850 mb air will quickly move southeast across the Great Lakes, which should curtail any appreciable accums across the local area. Ridging will build northeast into the region overnight, which will slowly bring an end to lake effect pops. Temperatures Tuesday will remain steady or fall behind the front, with low 30s by the afternoon. Highs on Wednesday will be in the upper 20s, with the current forecast colder than guidance. Lows Wednesday night will fall into the teens.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. High pressure will build east of the region Thursday, with a period of prolonged Gulf return/WAA into the weekend. Moisture return increases Saturday/Sunday, with a southern stream wave lifting across the northeast CONUS and a northern stream wave moving into the Great Lakes bringing increase pop chances, although synoptic details lead to lower confidence at this point. Highs in the low 30s Thursday will warm into the 40s for the weekend.

AVIATION /00Z Monday THROUGH Friday/. Ceilings will be lowering through the night as moisture begins to stream northeast toward the area. Expecting IFR and LIFR conditions with possible moderate rain tomorrow in the rain showers. Winds have struggled to increase this evening in some locations and will keep them around 10 knots in the lighter wind areas. Other areas between 10 to 25 knots. Warm air advection will continue across the area overnight into tomorrow ahead of a cold front that arrives Monday night.

OUTLOOK. Non-VFR possible into Tuesday in rain. Non-VFR lingering across northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania Tuesday night through Thursday with lake effect snow.

MARINE. Small Craft Advisory continues offshore of Erie PA with south winds around 20 kts becoming more southwesterly into the evening. The advisory may need to be cancelled early if trend continue, but will leave it as is for now. Winds will generally stay out of the south to southwest through Monday around 15-20 kts. A cold front crossing the lake Monday night into Tuesday will likely prompt another Small Craft Advisory as winds become westerly 20-25 kts. Winds decrease slightly Tuesday night but ramp up again Wednesday into Wednesday night, as another front crosses the lake. Winds become northwest behind this front into Thursday, with a brief period of 25-30 kts possible Wednesday night. Winds subside Thursday into Friday with high pressure building across the lake.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for LEZ149.

SYNOPSIS . MM NEAR TERM . Lombardy/MM SHORT TERM . Greenawalt LONG TERM . Greenawalt AVIATION . Lombardy MARINE . Greenawalt

---

Weather Reporting Stations

   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Wind History for Toledo, OH

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

9 PM

10 PM

11 PM

12 AM

1 AM

2 AM

3 AM

4 AM

5 AM

6 AM

7 AM

8 AM

9 AM

10 AM

11 AM

12 PM

1 PM

2 PM

3 PM

4 PM

5 PM

6 PM

7 PM

8 PM

Last 24hr

SE6

S5 G9

S6

S5

S7

S6

S6

S5 G8

S8

S9 G13

S7 G12

S8 G12

S10 G14

SW11 G16

SW7 G11

S10 G14

SW10 G16

SW10 G17

SW9 G14

SW13 G20

SW15 G23

S10 G14

S17 G22

S13 G23

1 day ago

NW4 G7

NW5 G8

NW5 G8

NW6 G9

NW6 G9

N4 G8

N2

NW3

N3

NW4

NW4

NW3

N2

--

S4

S6

S4 G7

SW5

S7

S5 G8

S7

SE4

SE5

SE7

2 days ago

S5 G8

S5

SW8 G11

SW8 G11

SW9 G12

SW5 G12

SW7 G11

SW7 G11

SW9 G13

SW7 G13

W8 G12

W7 G11

NW9 G13

NW13 G19

NW11 G18

N11 G19

N12 G18

NW13 G18

NW4 G10

NW10 G14

NW8 G12

NW7 G12

NW7 G11

NW7 G12

---

Airport Reports

    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.

Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH	6 mi	52 min	S 12	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	49°F	41°F	74%	1014.3 hPa
Lambertville, Toledo Suburban Airport, MI	11 mi	50 min	S 10 G 19	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	49°F	40°F	73%	1013.2 hPa
Toledo - Toledo Express Airport, OH	16 mi	53 min	S 11 G 19	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	50°F	39°F	68%	1013.8 hPa
Monroe, Custer Airport, MI	21 mi	50 min	SSW 13 G 19	10.00 mi	Overcast	49°F	40°F	71%	1012.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTDZ

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)

9 PM

10 PM

11 PM

12 AM

1 AM

2 AM

3 AM

4 AM

5 AM

6 AM

7 AM

8 AM

9 AM

10 AM

11 AM

12 PM

1 PM

2 PM

3 PM

4 PM

5 PM

6 PM

7 PM

8 PM

Last 24hr

SE4

SE4

SE6

SE5

Calm

S7

S8

S3

S5

S6

S8

S10

S8

S13

SW13

S11

SW13 G17

SW14

SW14

SW13

S15 G21

S14

S14

S12

1 day ago

NW9

N5

NW7

N5

N6

N5

Calm

Calm

Calm

W4

NW3

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

S7

S5

3

S8

S7

S5

SE4

SE5

SE5

2 days ago

S6

S6

S6

S7

S7

SW8

SW6

SW6

SW7

SW9

SW7

W6

W8

NW12 G21

NW16

NW15

NW9

NW14

NW10

NW11

NW9

NW12

NW8

NW6

---

Tide / Current Tables for

   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help

---

Tide / Current Tables for

   EDIT      (on/off)   Help

---

Weather Map

       (on/off)   Help Weather Map

---

GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

---

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (20,4,5,8)

      (on/off)   Help

---

Ground Weather Radar Station Detroit, MI

   (on/off)   Help

---

Cookie Policy: This webiste uses cookies to save your settings. No personal information is saved. You can disable cookies in your browser if you like but it is not recommended for this site. I do not sell cookies. Go to a bakery for that. In fact I do not sell anything. To disable cookies from L-36.com, please refer to the Help button in your browser. Privacy Policy: I do not sell or share any user data or anything else for that matter. I do not keep site logs longer than I need to to keep bad actors off the site. Basically, I delete them after looking at them. If you are subject to CCPA, Google ads on this site will not be based on your past behavior so you will likely not see an ad for a lawn mower just because you looked for one at a big box website. I do not believe this site is subject to CCPA but I am doing what I can to follow the guidelines anyway. Disclaimer: The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.