Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Northwood, OH

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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH

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FXUS61 KCLE 022350 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 650 PM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will continue to move east through this evening. A low pressure system will move southeast across Ontario Tuesday night into Wednesday, extending a cold front south across the area late Wednesday. A weak trough will linger over the eastern Great Lakes into Thursday morning before high pressure returns Thursday night into Saturday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. No changes made with this update. Forecast is still on track.

Original Discussion . Quiet near term period with sunny skies expected through sunset and clear skies overnight. A weak cold front will move south across the area Wednesday afternoon and evening.

As high pressure begins to move east through the rest of today, the pressure gradient will tighten between the departing high and an approaching low pressure system across Ontario, allowing winds to increase to around 15 to 20 mph this evening through tomorrow morning. This should prevent efficient radiative cooling as the boundary layer remains mixed and have kept temperatures overnight slightly warmer as a result.

As mentioned above, a low pressure system will move southeast across Ontario on Wednesday, extending a weak cold front south across the area by Wednesday afternoon and evening. Any precipitation that reaches the ground should start out as a rain/snow mix, becoming all snow by Wednesday night. The best chance for precipitation to reach the ground appears to be in NW PA where low-level moisture is slightly better. Any snow that falls will be very light given a lack of moisture within the DGZ. High temperatures on Wednesday will be early in the afternoon before the cold front moves through. Looking at upper 40s to 50 across much of the area with perhaps some lower 50s along and south of US-30.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. The region will be in a northwest flow aloft with an upper level trough to the east of the Great Lakes on Thursday. High pressure will be building down from Ontario across the Great Lakes with a northerly surface flow and cold air advection. There will be considerable lake effect clouds on Thursday with slow clearing by late in the afternoon as drier air filters in. Model guidance indicate there could be a few scattered lake effect snow showers or flurries for the Snowbelt region early on Thursday before tapering off. Clearing skies Thursday night into Friday morning will allow temperatures to fall down into the upper teens to lower 20s across the area. Temperatures both Thursday and Friday will be below average with highs only in the 30s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. The deep northwesterly to northerly flow aloft will continue into weekend with high pressure near the Midwest. This low level flow will continue cold air advection for the weekend. We will see another shortwave in the upper level flow move across the eastern Great Lakes on Saturday which may bring additional lake effect clouds. It will continue to remain chilly with highs only in the 30s to lower 40s. Upper level ridging and height rises begin to increase late Sunday into Monday along with a southerly flow on the backside of high pressure. Temperatures will climb slowly early next week, eventually seeing highs in the 50s or slightly higher. Mostly dry weather is expected this weekend into early next week.

AVIATION /00Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/. VFR is being observed across the TAF sites this evening with clear skies. VFR conditions are expected to continue through early Wednesday afternoon. A weak cold front will move south across Lake Erie Wednesday evening, resulting in some MVFR ceilings across TAF sites such as KERI and KCLE.

South to southwest winds of around 10 knots with gusts of 15 to 20 knots possible through the overnight period and into Wednesday morning. Winds will become northwest by Wednesday afternoon/evening.

Outlook . Periods of non-VFR possible with snow showers Wednesday night through Thursday for Northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

MARINE. High pressure will move off the Mid-Atlantic region tonight with southwest winds increasing over the lake 15 to 20 knots. A cold front will cross the lake late on Wednesday with a wind shift from a northwesterly wind 10 to 15 knots by Wednesday night. Northerly winds up to 15 knots will continue on Thursday with a gradual shift from northwesterly by Friday and Saturday. High pressure will be near the lake on Sunday with light and variable winds.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . Kahn NEAR TERM . Kahn/Saunders SHORT TERM . Griffin LONG TERM . Griffin AVIATION . Saunders MARINE . Griffin

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Wind History for Toledo, OH

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Last 24hr

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH	6 mi	51 min	S 9	10.00 mi	Fair	33°F	21°F	61%	1019.2 hPa
Lambertville, Toledo Suburban Airport, MI	11 mi	49 min	SSW 6	10.00 mi	Fair	34°F	19°F	53%	1017.9 hPa
Toledo - Toledo Express Airport, OH	16 mi	52 min	SSW 7	10.00 mi	Fair	35°F	17°F	48%	1018.8 hPa
Monroe, Custer Airport, MI	21 mi	49 min	SSW 6	10.00 mi	Fair	32°F	15°F	50%	1017.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTDZ

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)

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