Kensington, CT Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Kensington, CT

April 14, 2024 11:11 PM EDT (03:11 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:09 AM   Sunset 7:32 PM
Moonrise 10:15 AM   Moonset 1:44 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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ANZ331 Long Island Sound East Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny To The Mouth Of The Connecticut River- 1049 Pm Edt Sun Apr 14 2024

Overnight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Chance of showers and tstms late this evening, then chance of showers and slight chance of tstms.

Mon - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Mon night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Tue - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.

Tue night - W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.

Wed - NE winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the afternoon.

Wed night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight. Showers likely.

Thu - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of showers.

Thu night - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.

Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.

Fri night - S winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.

ANZ300 1049 Pm Edt Sun Apr 14 2024

Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - Low pressure will pass to the north this evening and drag a cold front across the area overnight. High pressure builds in Monday through Monday night, moving over the area on Tuesday. A slow moving warm front then approaches from the southwest Wednesday night into Thursday, followed by a cold front late in the week as low pressure passes well to the northwest.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kensington, CT
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Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 150209 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 1009 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2024

SYNOPSIS
Showers end overnight, along with gradual clearing. Dry and seasonably mild Monday through Wednesday. Another unsettled pattern develops late this week, with near normal temperatures and a few chances for rain Thursday into next weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/
1005 PM Update:

Low pressure near the Poconos in northeast PA will continue to ride ENE along an elongated frontal boundary from its center northeastward into Southern New England through late tonight.
This should gradually shift the effective frontal boundary southward into the southern waters as time goes on tonight.
Though we had a few lightning strikes in CT a few hours ago, the bulk of convective activity has remained well to the southwest.
Radar showing a fractured line of scattered showers located just south of the Route 2 corridor, which will slowly progress southeast toward the southern coastal waters thru midnight.
That will likely be the extent of it though over much of the land with dry weather for the 2nd half of the overnight, however it is possible we could see a rogue, garden-variety TS develop over the southern waters (perhaps near MVY/ACK?) early overnight per the HRRR and 18z/14th NAM-3km guidance. Rain amts probably won't amount to much more than a tenth of an inch as showers should be passing and of generally light intensity.

Though the frontal boundary will be slowly sagging southward for the 2nd half of the night well into the waters, cloud cover could be a little slower to erode especially if the boundary slows down. Did bump cloud cover up somewhat across the southern half of Southern New England thru the pre-dawn hrs, essentially a slower erosion of cloud cover. Further inland though, most areas should trend mostly clear by overnight/pre-dawn period.

Previous Discussion...

A disorganized frontal wave will traverse over the Northeast this afternoon and evening with scattered showers and a perhaps a few thunderstorms. Latest SPC meso-analysis reveals no significant surface based CAPE over southern New England within the warm sector of the wave of low pressure moving through the region. However, steep mid-level lapse rates are contributing to elevated instability that could support a few rumbles of thunder across western MA/CT and possibly over some locations near the south coast this evening. Areas along and north of I-90 are forecast to be in the cool sector, thus not expecting any thunderstorm activity north of that mark. Any remaining showers and thunderstorms are forecast to clear to the south and east around or just before midnight. Thereafter we can expect gradual clearing with winds shifting to the west/northwest. Low temps bottom out in the low 40s across northwestern MA and mi to upper 40s elsewhere.

SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
Tomorrow

A dry surface cold front pushes through the region during the day tomorrow. This will support dry conditions and west/northwest winds throughout the day. Skies will be clear to start which will allow surface temps to warm to the upper 60s to near 70 in some locations by the mid-afternoon hours. After a sunny start, we will begin to see increasing diurnal cu during the afternoon thanks to steep low- level lapse rates from cooler air aloft. Overall a warm/dry afternoon. Warmest temps will be focused in the CT River Valley and over southeastern MA where downsloping from WNW winds should help temps over achieve.

Tomorrow Night

Very quiet tomorrow night. Clear skies and light west/northwest winds. There is some question as to whether or not the atmosphere decouples overnight. This will govern how far temperatures are able to fall with radiational cooling. Will have a better idea by tomorrow, but for now have leaned on a blend of CONSMOS and NBM for low temps in the low to mid 40s on Tuesday morning.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Highlights:

* Broad trough settled over the region for much of the upcoming week, with a brief period of mid level ridging in the Tuesday- Wednesday timeframe

* Near to above normal temperatures, with an unsettled pattern developing late this week

Based on the latest guidance suite, still have the greatest confidence in the forecast details into early Wednesday. After then, there is little consistency with the timing and amplitude of some synoptic features, leading to low confidence in the forecast details. Kept a broad period of unsettled weather from late Wednesday into Saturday, but not expecting this to be a total washout this entire time. Expecting it will be a couple more days before these details come into better focus. All that said, there has been a consistent signal for near to above normal temperatures through this portion of the forecast.

High pressure dominates our weather Tuesday into Wednesday.
Thinking we could get through most of Wednesday dry, especially across the eastern half of southern New England. Just a low risk for some showers during the afternoon farther west. More likely to see rainfall arrive some time Wednesday night into Thursday as a low pressure moves into the Great Lakes, with a secondary low pressure possibly developing toward the Mid Atlantic coast.
This should move offshore Friday, with a lingering cold front into Saturday. A large high pressure over the northern Plains states should become more of a factor in our weather some time Sunday.

Moisture is not particularly impressive, so not expecting a lot of rainfall during the second half of this week. This should be a good thing, by permitting area waterways a chance to drain further.

AVIATION /02Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Forecast Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High- greater than 60 percent.

Tonight...High Confidence.

VFR. Any remaining SHRA diminish after 03Z across most of the region. Some SHRA may linger near the south coast of RI/MA through about 08Z. This will be followed by some gradual clearing from west to east through 12Z. Southwest winds becoming northwest from 5 to 10 knots.

Tomorrow...High Confidence.

VFR. W/WNW winds around 10 knots. Some gusts up to 20 knots possible.

Tomorrow Night...High Confidence.

VFR. Steady WNW winds continue.

KBOS TAF...High confidence in TAF.

KBDL TAF...High confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Tuesday through Friday/...

Tuesday: VFR. Breezy.

Tuesday Night: VFR.

Wednesday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.

Wednesday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.

Thursday: VFR. Breezy. Chance SHRA.

Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA.

Friday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.

MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Tonight

Some showers and possible a rumble of thunder possible over the south coastal waters before midnight tonight. Otherwise, expect gusty southwest winds to diminish as winds shift to the west/northwest overnight. Sustained speeds fall to 5 to 10 knots by tomorrow morning with gusts less than 20 knots. Seas begin to subside but remain high enough to warrant Small Craft Advisory headlines for the outer marine zones.

Tomorrow and Tomorrow Night

Seas continue to subside to sub-Small Craft Advisory criteria by tomorrow evening. Otherwise, expect relatively quiet conditions over the coastal waters with modest 10-15 knot west/northwest winds.

Outlook /Tuesday through Friday/...

Tuesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Tuesday Night through Wednesday: Winds less than 25 kt.

Wednesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Slight chance of rain showers.

Thursday through Friday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft. Slight chance of rain showers.

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Monday for ANZ232>235-237- 250.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Monday for ANZ254>256.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 27 mi54 min S 2.9G4.1 54°F 49°F29.70
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 40 mi54 min SSE 2.9G2.9 53°F 29.64
NLHC3 40 mi54 min 53°F 55°F29.70


Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KHFD HARTFORDBRAINARD,CT 9 sm18 minN 0410 smMostly Cloudy52°F46°F82%29.70
KMMK MERIDEN MARKHAM MUNI,CT 10 sm18 minNNE 0310 smA Few Clouds52°F45°F76%29.71
KBDL BRADLEY INTL,CT 20 sm20 minNNW 0510 smOvercast52°F46°F82%29.72
KOXC WATERBURYOXFORD,CT 23 sm20 minE 0310 smA Few Clouds52°F45°F76%29.71
KSNC CHESTER,CT 23 sm16 minvar 0410 smClear54°F43°F67%29.70
Link to 5 minute data for KHFD


Wind History from HFD
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Rocky Hill, Connecticut
   
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Rocky Hill
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Sun -- 01:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 02:01 AM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:07 AM EDT     2.32 feet High Tide
Sun -- 10:14 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:58 PM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 07:54 PM EDT     1.68 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Rocky Hill, Connecticut, Tide feet
12
am
0.7
1
am
0.5
2
am
0.4
3
am
0.6
4
am
1.1
5
am
1.7
6
am
2.1
7
am
2.3
8
am
2.2
9
am
2
10
am
1.7
11
am
1.4
12
pm
1
1
pm
0.6
2
pm
0.3
3
pm
0.2
4
pm
0.4
5
pm
0.8
6
pm
1.3
7
pm
1.6
8
pm
1.7
9
pm
1.6
10
pm
1.4
11
pm
1.3



Tide / Current for Portland, Connecticut
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Portland
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Sun -- 12:45 AM EDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:42 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:14 AM EDT     2.52 feet High Tide
Sun -- 10:14 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:42 PM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:01 PM EDT     1.83 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Portland, Connecticut, Tide feet
12
am
0.5
1
am
0.4
2
am
0.7
3
am
1.3
4
am
1.9
5
am
2.3
6
am
2.5
7
am
2.5
8
am
2.2
9
am
1.9
10
am
1.5
11
am
1
12
pm
0.6
1
pm
0.3
2
pm
0.2
3
pm
0.5
4
pm
1
5
pm
1.4
6
pm
1.7
7
pm
1.8
8
pm
1.8
9
pm
1.6
10
pm
1.4
11
pm
1.1




Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Upton, NY,



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