Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Warwick, RI
October 3, 2023 5:23 PM EDT (21:23 UTC)
Sunrise 6:43AM Sunset 6:26PM Moonrise 8:49PM Moonset 11:47AM
ANZ236 Narragansett Bay- 401 Pm Edt Tue Oct 3 2023
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed..N winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 foot or less.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thu night and Fri..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri night..SE winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat and Sat night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw. Gusts up to 20 kt. A chance of showers.
Sun..W winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. A chance of showers.
Sun night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt.
seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed..N winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 foot or less.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thu night and Fri..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri night..SE winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat and Sat night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw. Gusts up to 20 kt. A chance of showers.
Sun..W winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. A chance of showers.
Sun night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt.
seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 401 Pm Edt Tue Oct 3 2023
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. High pressure continues to move overhead this evening into tomorrow, and then pushing further offshore Thursday. A cold front brings the next shot for rain showers this coming weekend.
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. High pressure continues to move overhead this evening into tomorrow, and then pushing further offshore Thursday. A cold front brings the next shot for rain showers this coming weekend.
Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 031919 AFDBOX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 319 PM EDT Tue Oct 3 2023
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will continue to provide dry and very pleasant fall weather through Thursday. Other than early morning fog each day, lots of sunshine is expected with the warmest temperatures on Wednesday, with another round of highs in the low 80s. Still unseasonably mild Thursday, with highs in the 70s. A strong frontal system then slowly moves into Southern New England Friday night and Saturday. While rain amounts are still uncertain, there is growing confidence on a widespread rain and perhaps heavy at times. Rain comes to an end either Saturday evening or overnight.
Then dry but brisk and cooler weather overspreads the region Sunday into early next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/
315 PM update...
Pleasant, warm Fall day in progress beneath a sprawling surface high pressure and mid level ridge covering much of the eastern U.S. this afternoon. Warm, moist advection tonight on WSW winds will bring increasing dewpoints this evening into tonight, rising into the low 60s for most. This will act to keep low temperatures from dropping as low as the last few nights, as well as increasing the likelihood of patchy dense fog.
SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
315 PM update...
Wednesday expect more of the same under the influence of the same high pressure ridge; we'll see temperatures well above average, especially in the interior where highs top out in the low 80s. For locations along the coast seabreezes will keep temperatures more comfortable in the mid 70s. Another mild night Wednesday night given elevated dewpoints, with lows dipping into the low to mid 50s.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
315 PM update...
Key Points:
* Dry and very pleasant weather with warmer than normal temperatures continuing Thursday
* Increasing chances for showers Fri, with a more widespread rain Friday night and Saturday. Rain may be heavy at times.
* Dry weather returns Sunday and continues into early next week, but noticeably cooler and brisk at times
Thursday...high amplitude closed anticyclone over the region provides another day of dry, very pleasant fall weather to SNE, with lots of sunshine given subsidence/very dry column via PWATs below normal. The anomalous warmth from Tue and Wed will be tempered Thu by low level southerly flow. Blyr mixing will be limited by subsidence inversion/1025 mb surface high. 925 mb temps around +18C, which should support highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Nonetheless, still about 10 degs warmer than normal and it will feel warm with dew pts in the low 60s.
Friday...high amplitude mid level trough comes barreling through the Great Lakes Friday. Not expecting a washout here Friday as deeper moisture holds off until Fri night/Sat, but can't rule out a few low top showers Friday. Not as mild Fri given onshore SE flow and more clouds than sun. Although still a few degs above normal with highs in the upper 60s and lower 70s. However, it will feel mild with dew pts in the low to mid 60s.
Fri night/Saturday...showers become more widespread Fri night and Sat with increasing cyclonic flow as approaching trough takes on a negative tilt and possibly evolves into a closed mid level low.
Strong jet dynamics with RRQ of upper level jet streak over SNE, coupled with tropical moisture from Philippe possibly being entrained into the trough, may result in periods of heavy rain and a flood threat. All three ensemble systems (ECENS, GEFS & CMC) have a few members with 2+ rainfall amounts, which is a pretty strong signal given the time range here. Seems plausible given amplitude of upper air pattern combined with tropical moisture. Obviously still uncertainty on location of heaviest rainfall. Something we will need to watch as the week progresses.
Sunday into early next week...cooler than normal with below normal heights over the Northeast/New England. Highs in the upper 50s and lower 60s, and widespread lows in the 40s with a few MU30s. Mainly dry but lots of diurnal clouds and possibly a brief afternoon shower early next week, especially high terrain.
AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Forecast Confidence Levels:
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
18Z TAF Update:
This afternoon: High confidence.
VFR. Winds generally W/WSW, less than 10kt.
Tonight...High Confidence.
VFR except for patchy IFR/LIFR at fog prone terminals like BAF, BDL, and BED prior to sunrise. Calm winds.
Wednesday...High Confidence.
VFR. Fog lifts by 15z. Winds NNW/N becoming E/NE less than 10kt.
Wednesday night...High confidence.
VFR. Fog once again possible. Light S winds.
KBOS Terminal...High confidence in TAF.
KBDL Terminal...High confidence in TAF.
Outlook /Thursday through Sunday/...
Thursday: VFR.
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible.
Friday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance SHRA.
Friday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Breezy. Chance SHRA, isolated TSRA.
Saturday: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Breezy. SHRA likely, slight chance TSRA.
Saturday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Breezy.
Chance SHRA, isolated TSRA.
Sunday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy. Chance SHRA.
MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:
Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
Quiet conditions with surface high pressure in control. Dry weather with light wind from the west/southwest this afternoon and then becoming east-southeast across the northern waters and more southerly over the southern waters for Wednesday. Wind speed and gust are well below advisory criteria, 10 to 15 knots and seas are generally less than 2 to 4 feet. Wednesday nights light winds turn out of the south.
Outlook /Thursday through Sunday/...
Thursday through Friday: Winds less than 25 kt.
Friday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain showers.
Saturday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Chance of rain showers, slight chance of thunderstorms.
Saturday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Rough seas up to 10 ft. Chance of rain showers.
Sunday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Rough seas up to 10 ft. Chance of rain showers.
CLIMATE
Record Daily High Temperatures for October 3rd
BOS 85 in 1922 BDL 85 in 1919 PVD 83 in 1919 and 1922 ORH 83 in 1898
Record Daily High Temperatures for October 4th
BOS 86 in 2007 BDL 86 in 2007 PVD 85 in 1941 and 1959 ORH 85 in 1898 and 1931
BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 319 PM EDT Tue Oct 3 2023
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will continue to provide dry and very pleasant fall weather through Thursday. Other than early morning fog each day, lots of sunshine is expected with the warmest temperatures on Wednesday, with another round of highs in the low 80s. Still unseasonably mild Thursday, with highs in the 70s. A strong frontal system then slowly moves into Southern New England Friday night and Saturday. While rain amounts are still uncertain, there is growing confidence on a widespread rain and perhaps heavy at times. Rain comes to an end either Saturday evening or overnight.
Then dry but brisk and cooler weather overspreads the region Sunday into early next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/
315 PM update...
Pleasant, warm Fall day in progress beneath a sprawling surface high pressure and mid level ridge covering much of the eastern U.S. this afternoon. Warm, moist advection tonight on WSW winds will bring increasing dewpoints this evening into tonight, rising into the low 60s for most. This will act to keep low temperatures from dropping as low as the last few nights, as well as increasing the likelihood of patchy dense fog.
SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
315 PM update...
Wednesday expect more of the same under the influence of the same high pressure ridge; we'll see temperatures well above average, especially in the interior where highs top out in the low 80s. For locations along the coast seabreezes will keep temperatures more comfortable in the mid 70s. Another mild night Wednesday night given elevated dewpoints, with lows dipping into the low to mid 50s.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
315 PM update...
Key Points:
* Dry and very pleasant weather with warmer than normal temperatures continuing Thursday
* Increasing chances for showers Fri, with a more widespread rain Friday night and Saturday. Rain may be heavy at times.
* Dry weather returns Sunday and continues into early next week, but noticeably cooler and brisk at times
Thursday...high amplitude closed anticyclone over the region provides another day of dry, very pleasant fall weather to SNE, with lots of sunshine given subsidence/very dry column via PWATs below normal. The anomalous warmth from Tue and Wed will be tempered Thu by low level southerly flow. Blyr mixing will be limited by subsidence inversion/1025 mb surface high. 925 mb temps around +18C, which should support highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Nonetheless, still about 10 degs warmer than normal and it will feel warm with dew pts in the low 60s.
Friday...high amplitude mid level trough comes barreling through the Great Lakes Friday. Not expecting a washout here Friday as deeper moisture holds off until Fri night/Sat, but can't rule out a few low top showers Friday. Not as mild Fri given onshore SE flow and more clouds than sun. Although still a few degs above normal with highs in the upper 60s and lower 70s. However, it will feel mild with dew pts in the low to mid 60s.
Fri night/Saturday...showers become more widespread Fri night and Sat with increasing cyclonic flow as approaching trough takes on a negative tilt and possibly evolves into a closed mid level low.
Strong jet dynamics with RRQ of upper level jet streak over SNE, coupled with tropical moisture from Philippe possibly being entrained into the trough, may result in periods of heavy rain and a flood threat. All three ensemble systems (ECENS, GEFS & CMC) have a few members with 2+ rainfall amounts, which is a pretty strong signal given the time range here. Seems plausible given amplitude of upper air pattern combined with tropical moisture. Obviously still uncertainty on location of heaviest rainfall. Something we will need to watch as the week progresses.
Sunday into early next week...cooler than normal with below normal heights over the Northeast/New England. Highs in the upper 50s and lower 60s, and widespread lows in the 40s with a few MU30s. Mainly dry but lots of diurnal clouds and possibly a brief afternoon shower early next week, especially high terrain.
AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Forecast Confidence Levels:
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
18Z TAF Update:
This afternoon: High confidence.
VFR. Winds generally W/WSW, less than 10kt.
Tonight...High Confidence.
VFR except for patchy IFR/LIFR at fog prone terminals like BAF, BDL, and BED prior to sunrise. Calm winds.
Wednesday...High Confidence.
VFR. Fog lifts by 15z. Winds NNW/N becoming E/NE less than 10kt.
Wednesday night...High confidence.
VFR. Fog once again possible. Light S winds.
KBOS Terminal...High confidence in TAF.
KBDL Terminal...High confidence in TAF.
Outlook /Thursday through Sunday/...
Thursday: VFR.
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible.
Friday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance SHRA.
Friday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Breezy. Chance SHRA, isolated TSRA.
Saturday: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Breezy. SHRA likely, slight chance TSRA.
Saturday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Breezy.
Chance SHRA, isolated TSRA.
Sunday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy. Chance SHRA.
MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:
Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
Quiet conditions with surface high pressure in control. Dry weather with light wind from the west/southwest this afternoon and then becoming east-southeast across the northern waters and more southerly over the southern waters for Wednesday. Wind speed and gust are well below advisory criteria, 10 to 15 knots and seas are generally less than 2 to 4 feet. Wednesday nights light winds turn out of the south.
Outlook /Thursday through Sunday/...
Thursday through Friday: Winds less than 25 kt.
Friday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain showers.
Saturday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Chance of rain showers, slight chance of thunderstorms.
Saturday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Rough seas up to 10 ft. Chance of rain showers.
Sunday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Rough seas up to 10 ft. Chance of rain showers.
CLIMATE
Record Daily High Temperatures for October 3rd
BOS 85 in 1922 BDL 85 in 1919 PVD 83 in 1919 and 1922 ORH 83 in 1898
Record Daily High Temperatures for October 4th
BOS 86 in 2007 BDL 86 in 2007 PVD 85 in 1941 and 1959 ORH 85 in 1898 and 1931
BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KPVD THEODORE FRANCIS GREEN STATE,RI | 5 sm | 32 min | SSE 07 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 75°F | 64°F | 69% | 30.09 | |
| KOQU QUONSET STATE,RI | 6 sm | 33 min | SW 11 | 10 sm | Clear | 75°F | 63°F | 65% | 30.09 | |
| KUUU NEWPORT STATE,RI | 10 sm | 30 min | SSW 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 70°F | 61°F | 73% | 30.09 | |
| KSFZ NORTH CENTRAL STATE,RI | 19 sm | 27 min | var 03 | Clear | 79°F | 64°F | 61% | 30.10 | ||
| KEWB NEW BEDFORD RGNL,MA | 21 sm | 30 min | SSW 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 73°F | 63°F | 69% | 30.08 | |
| KTAN TAUNTON MUNI KING FIELD,MA | 22 sm | 31 min | no data | 10 sm | Clear | 79°F | 63°F | 58% | 30.07 |
Wind History from OQU
(wind in knots)Tide / Current for Bristol Highlands, Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island
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Bristol Highlands
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:18 AM EDT -0.16 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:43 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:27 AM EDT 5.18 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:46 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:10 PM EDT 0.26 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:23 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:48 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 11:50 PM EDT 4.02 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:18 AM EDT -0.16 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:43 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:27 AM EDT 5.18 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:46 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:10 PM EDT 0.26 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:23 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:48 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 11:50 PM EDT 4.02 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Bristol Highlands, Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 4 |
| 1 am |
| 2.9 |
| 2 am |
| 1.5 |
| 3 am |
| 0.4 |
| 4 am |
| -0.1 |
| 5 am |
| -0 |
| 6 am |
| 0.5 |
| 7 am |
| 1.3 |
| 8 am |
| 2.3 |
| 9 am |
| 3.4 |
| 10 am |
| 4.5 |
| 11 am |
| 5.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 5.1 |
| 1 pm |
| 4.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.8 |
Westport River Entrance
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:19 AM EDT -2.70 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:16 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:42 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 09:49 AM EDT 2.16 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 11:44 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 12:08 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 02:39 PM EDT -2.67 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:23 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 06:31 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:48 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 10:17 PM EDT 2.32 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:19 AM EDT -2.70 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:16 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:42 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 09:49 AM EDT 2.16 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 11:44 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 12:08 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 02:39 PM EDT -2.67 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:23 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 06:31 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:48 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 10:17 PM EDT 2.32 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Westport River Entrance, Massachusetts Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -0.3 |
| 1 am |
| -1.9 |
| 2 am |
| -2.7 |
| 3 am |
| -2.5 |
| 4 am |
| -1.9 |
| 5 am |
| -1.1 |
| 6 am |
| -0.2 |
| 7 am |
| 0.6 |
| 8 am |
| 1.4 |
| 9 am |
| 2 |
| 10 am |
| 2.1 |
| 11 am |
| 1.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 1 pm |
| -1.4 |
| 2 pm |
| -2.5 |
| 3 pm |
| -2.6 |
| 4 pm |
| -2.1 |
| 5 pm |
| -1.3 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.1 |
Boston, MA,
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