Sunday, September15, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Poughkeepsie, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 7:07PM Sunday September 15, 2019 9:24 PM EDT (01:24 UTC) Moonrise 8:11PMMoonset 7:43AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 651 Pm Edt Sun Sep 15 2019
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..NE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Mon night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the evening.
Tue..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 651 Pm Edt Sun Sep 15 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure over the waters will eventually weaken tonight and give way to an approaching weak cold front. This front moves through late Monday into Monday evening. High pressure then returns thereafter and remains in control through the end of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Poughkeepsie, NY
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location: 41.7, -73.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 152338
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
738 pm edt Sun sep 15 2019

Synopsis
An upper level disturbance and a frontal boundary will
bring some scattered light rain showers to the region tonight into
Monday morning. High pressure will build in from the great lakes
region Monday afternoon with fair weather and slightly cooler than
normal temperatures. The surface high will bring lots of sunshine
and dry weather through the mid week.

Near term until 6 am Monday morning
As of 738 pm edt... An upper level disturbance which brought a
few showers to some spots north or albany earlier, is now moving
eastward into northern new england. An additional short wave
trough will approach from the great lakes overnight.

A weak sfc reflection of the short-wave trough will dip
southeast across pa and southern ny overnight into Monday
morning. The low-level convergence and fetch of moisture is
meager. A slight to low chance of showers was placed across the
region overnight, but again a lack of low-level moisture and
convergence coupled with upper level support will yield mainly
light pcpn amounts of a couple hundredths to a tenth or so
especially from around i-90 southward.

Lows will not be as cool as this morning, but still upper 40s to
around 50 over the southern adirondacks, lake george region and
southern vt, and mid to upper 50s elsewhere.

Short term 6 am Monday morning through Wednesday
Tomorrow... The disturbance will be passing south and east of the
i-90 corridor in the morning. Some isolated to scattered showers
will be possible in the morning from the capital region berkshires
south and east with clearing skies in the afternoon. Pcpn will
be light again where the showers occur. An increase to more sun
than clouds occurs by the afternoon. Weak cold advection occurs
in the wake of the the short-wave trough. Highs will be near or
slightly below normal with upper 60s to lower 70s in the
valleys, and 60s with a few upper 50s over the higher terrain.

Mon night... High pressure ridges in from the great lakes region
with clear mostly clear skies and light to calm winds. Ideal
radiational cooling will occur with temps falling into the 40s
with some upper 30s in the adirondack park and southern greens.

Patchy radiational mist will form over or near bodies of water.

Patches of frost may be possible too in the northern zones.

Tue to wed... High pressure will dominate with mostly sunny
conditions during the day and cool conditions are night. The sfc
anticyclone will become established over eastern canada and the
northeast. The h500 flow will amplify with north to northwest
flow aloft. Temps will trend from slightly below normal values
tue to near normal values Wed for mid september.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday
The period starts out Wednesday night into Thursday with an
anomalously strong ridge of high pressure aloft building across
the region. This ridge is expected to remain in place through
next weekend. The GEFS is forecasting 500 mb height anomalies of
+1 to +2 stdev through the entire long term period ending
Sunday.

This pattern will result in dry conditions, abundant sunshine,
and temperatures warming to above normal levels as the air mass
gradually warms. Initially temperatures will be seasonable
through Thursday. Then, guidance from both the GFS and ecmwf
indicating temperatures warming to as much as 10 degrees above
normal for daytime highs by the weekend.

Temperatures look to cool off at night, with lows mainly in the
40s and 50s through the period due to near normal pwats and
generally clear skies. Due to lengthening nights, areas of fog
will likely develop each night into the early morning hours
especially in favored locations near bodies of water.

Aviation 00z Monday through Friday
An upper level disturbance and a weak frontal boundary will
bring some light showers to parts of the region tonight into
Monday morning. Conditions are generally expected to remainVFR,
with mid level CIGS gradually lowering during this time. Widely
scattered showers expected at kalb kpsf, with mention of vcsh.

Due to later arrival, placed a prob30 at kpou from 12z-18z
Monday for scattered showers and possible brief MVFR conditions.

Skies will clear Monday afternoon, as high pressure builds in
from the north.

Outlook...

Monday night: no operational impact. Patchy fg.

Tuesday to Friday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Fire weather
A fast moving upper level disturbance and a frontal boundary
will bring some scattered light rain showers to the region
tonight into Monday morning. High pressure will build in from
the great lakes region Monday afternoon with fair weather and
slightly cooler than normal temperatures. The surface high will
bring lots of sunshine and dry weather through the mid week.

The rh values will increase to close to 100 percent Monday
morning, and lower to 50 to 75 percent during the afternoon, and
then increase 85 to 100 percent Tuesday morning with dew and fog
formation.

The winds will be west to northwest at 5 to 10 mph tonight, and
then be north to northwest at 5 to 15 mph Monday afternoon and
become light to calm Tuesday morning.

Hydrology
No hydro problems are expected in the albany hydro service area
hsa the next seven days.

There are some abnormally dry areas in the aly hsa based on the
most recent drought monitor... And their is a high probability of
dry weather the next several days.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Wasula
near term... Jpv wasula
short term... Wasula
long term... Jpv
aviation... Jpv
fire weather... Wasula
hydrology... Wasula


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPXN6 9 mi54 min ENE 1 69°F 1019 hPa64°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 22 mi54 min Calm 66°F 1018 hPa64°F
TKPN6 22 mi60 min SSW 1 G 1.9 67°F 71°F1018.1 hPa59°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 54 mi60 min NNW 2.9 G 5.1 73°F 71°F1017.6 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY5 mi91 minN 010.00 miFair68°F59°F73%1017.6 hPa
Newburgh / Stewart, NY16 mi39 minN 010.00 miClear66°F60°F83%1019 hPa
Montgomery, Orange County Airport, NY22 mi90 minW 410.00 miFair66°F59°F78%1018.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPOU

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmSW3CalmCalmNW3NE4CalmCalm3CalmW6W5W8W10W7CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoSE5SE34SE4CalmCalmCalmSE4CalmCalmW3S3S7S75CalmS4S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoE5N3NE3N4CalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE8
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SE74SE76
G15
SE9S5SE4SE4SE3

Tide / Current Tables for Poughkeepsie, Hudson River, New York
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Poughkeepsie
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:03 AM EDT     3.53 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:37 AM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:23 PM EDT     3.38 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:54 PM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.93.33.53.42.821.30.60.20.20.71.72.53.13.43.32.92.31.50.90.50.30.71.6

Tide / Current Tables for Hyde Park, Hudson River, New York
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Hyde Park
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:29 AM EDT     3.64 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 09:03 AM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:49 PM EDT     3.48 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 09:20 PM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.63.33.63.63.22.51.60.90.40.10.41.32.333.43.53.22.71.91.20.70.30.51.2

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.