Tuesday, February18, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Highland, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 5:33PM Tuesday February 18, 2020 12:17 PM EST (17:17 UTC) Moonrise 4:28AMMoonset 1:50PM Illumination 25% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1044 Am Est Tue Feb 18 2020
Rest of today..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of light rain mainly this afternoon. Patchy fog late. Vsby locally 1 to 3 nm late.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of light rain this evening, with vsby 1 to 3 nm at times.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 1044 Am Est Tue Feb 18 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A warm front will lift northward toward the waters today and move into the area late this afternoon, followed by a cold frontal passage tonight. A large area of high pressure over the mid section of the country will then slowly build in through the upcoming weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Highland, NY
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location: 41.7, -73.95     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 181434 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 934 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2020

SYNOPSIS. Wintry type weather will overspread the area as a storm system approaches. Warmer air is forecast to arrive and allow for a changeover to rain for most areas into the afternoon hours. Exception will be across the Adirondacks where several inches of snow are expected. In the wake of this system, brisk and colder weather returns for the middle of the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Winter Weather Advisory has been expanded to include northern Saratoga and southeast Warren Counties .

Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for the southern Adirondacks to 5 pm Today .

As of 934 AM EST . Main change for this update was to expand the Winter Weather Advisory to include northern Saratoga county and southeast Warren county. Radar and observations indicating moderate to occasionally heavy snow falling in a west-east oriented band stretching from the southern Adirondacks and Mohawk Valley eastward across the Saratoga/Glens Falls area. Still expecting generally 2-5 inches, but up to 6 or 7 inches will be possible in the NW corner of Saratoga county where southerly upslope flow will be maximized. Snowfall rates approaching an inch per hour will result in snow covered roads and poor visibility. Otherwise, increased snow amounts slightly in southern Herkimer county to 2-5 inches.

This event is highly dependent on the increasing southerly flow interacting with the terrain. Favored south-facing upslope areas will receive the greatest snowfall. Low level winds will become more westerly by this evening, which will reduce the upslope component. Adjusted temps/pops as well, with a period of sleet possible along the transition zone from snow to rain, mainly for areas north and east of Albany. Temperatures are still expected to warm to above freezing across much of the area outside the mountains during the afternoon, but the warming has been slower than forecast. For this reason, we did not change the expiration time of the Advisory (5 PM).

Prev Disc . Overall forecast has not changed too much overnight as impressive overrunning warm advection and isentropic lift will increase quickly shortly after sunrise. Initial band of snow, extending nearly east-west, was approaching the Catskills. This is all likely assisting with moistening up the boundary layer as this initial shot of precipitation is likely virga due to high dewpoint depressions per regional metars. Eventually, light snow will overspread most of this region this morning. As warm air aloft begins to approach, a transition zone will commence with sleet and perhaps some freezing rain. Latest HREF FRAM suggests some freezing rain for portions of the Berks and southern Greens before the warmer air arrives later this afternoon. This too can be said for portions of the southern Dacks where a period of freezing rain or sleet is possible. Into the heart of the Dacks, where headlines are in effect, an accumulating snow event is expected as upslope conditions should aid in snowfall rates up to an inch per hour at times. The other issue is the magnitude of the low level jet where values over 50kts are expected per the near term mesoscale models. So a few gusts as well across the higher terrain are expected. Look for highs in the valley locations well into the 30s with lower 30s for the Dacks, higher Greens and portions of eastern Windham County, VT.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/. Tonight, Fropa as cold advection and isentropic descent will spread into the area from west to east, resulting in a continued decrease in the coverage of precipitation, holding on longest over the terrain. The cold advection won't be sharp, but lows are expected to fall below freezing, so there is potential for any lingering moisture to freeze up on surfaces. Lows will still be well above normal. Continually falling 850 mb temps may result in some light lake effect over the western Adirondacks, although inversion heights look shallow. Partial clearing is expected elsewhere, especially valley locations downwind of the Catskills and Dacks.

Cold advection continues Wednesday, with a renewed surge of cold air at 850 mb resulting in 850 mb temps falling to around -15C by the end of the day. Expect a blustery day with wind gusts of 20-30 kt likely and temps not rising much from morning lows. Flow trajectories favor the edge of a lake effect plume brushing the western Mohawk/Schoharie Valleys, especially as we head into Wednesday night when a multi-lake connection looks to develop. Current trajectories favor southern portions of Herkimer County into the Schoharie Valley with light QPF amounts. Will include chance PoPs with minor snow accumulation for this potential. Lows will be back near normal with the wind adding a chill to the air.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. Moderating temperatures and fair weather expected through the weekend as ridging dominates much of the CONUS. A large strong sprawling surface high over the Plains is expected to drift southeastward settling over the Southeastern United States over the weekend. The high is expected to gradually weaken as it does. While aloft a positively tilted trough is expected to move off the coast with ridging building in as we head into the weekend. Our region will be located on the northern periphery of the ridge with northern stream flow to our north. A low pressure system is expected to impact the region early next week however there differences in the guidance handling the system so have gone with low chance pops for rain/snow showers based on surface temperatures.

Cold Thursday night with readings running around 10 degrees below with lows forecast mainly below zero north of I-90, in the lower to mid teens in the mid Hudson Valley into northwestern Connecticut with single digits elsewhere. Highs over the weekend into early next week are expected to run 5 to 10 degrees above normal; mid to late March like.

AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. A quick moving low pressure system will move across the region today tracking north of the St Lawrence River Valley bringing snow transitioning to rain to the area.

Clouds will continue to lower this morning with MVFR-IFR conditions expected to develop with the onset of the precipitation around 14-15Z. IFR conditions are then expected through the day as the precipitation continues with an improvement to MVFR during the evening as the the precipitation ends. VFR conditions develop late at night.

A southeasterly flow will develop and increase this morning which should become gusty at KALB and KPSF. Flow will become southerly in the afternoon shifting to the southwest then west as the system passes with speeds picking up overnight.

Low-level wind shear will occur as a strong low level jet moves across the the region today. Initially flow will be southeasterly shifting to the south in the afternoon with speed of 35 to 45 knots expected. Do not have LLWS in the KALB TAF since the surface flow should be strong enough. This threat ends by late in day as the jet moves out of the area.

Outlook .

Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

HYDROLOGY. No widespread hydro issues are expected over the next 7 days through next weekend.

Snow is likely this morning, transitioning to rain in the afternoon for many areas. Heaviest QPF is likely to be over the higher terrain where the precip will be mostly snow, where 0.50 to <1.00 inch are possible. Valley locations could see as low as 0.20 inches. After todays event, little to no precipitation is expected for the remainder of the week into the weekend.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . Winter Weather Advisory until 5 PM EST this afternoon for NYZ032-033-041-042-082-083. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . BGM NEAR TERM . BGM/JPV SHORT TERM . BGM LONG TERM . IAA AVIATION . IAA HYDROLOGY . BGM/Thompson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPXN6 9 mi47 min NW 2.9 35°F 1025 hPa27°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 22 mi47 min WSW 1 34°F 1024 hPa26°F
TKPN6 22 mi47 min 34°F 33°F1024.7 hPa26°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 55 mi57 min ENE 12 G 16 39°F 2 ft37°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 55 mi53 min 39°F 39°F1025.1 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY6 mi24 minN 010.00 miOvercast39°F28°F67%1023.2 hPa
Newburgh / Stewart, NY15 mi32 minSSE 10 G 167.00 miOvercast39°F33°F81%1023.4 hPa
Montgomery, Orange County Airport, NY21 mi23 minNNW 310.00 miOvercast35°F26°F70%1023.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPOU

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr34NW7N8N6N6N6N4N3Calm--CalmCalmCalmN3N4N3SW3E35SE9
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1 day agoSW9SW5SW8SW6SW4SW5CalmSW3SW4SW5SW5E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE35
2 days agoW5CalmSW5S8S8S6S5S5SE5CalmS4SW6SE3CalmS3SE4CalmSE3S33SW7SW4SW75

Tide / Current Tables for Poughkeepsie, Hudson River, New York
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Poughkeepsie
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:36 AM EST     0.14 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:27 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:47 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:36 AM EST     3.12 feet High Tide
Tue -- 12:50 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 03:22 PM EST     0.09 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:32 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:10 PM EST     2.55 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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10.60.20.20.71.42.22.73.13.12.82.31.71.10.50.10.20.71.41.92.32.52.42.1

Tide / Current Tables for Hyde Park, Hudson River, New York
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Hyde Park
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:02 AM EST     0.14 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:28 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:47 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:02 AM EST     3.21 feet High Tide
Tue -- 12:49 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 03:48 PM EST     0.09 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:32 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:36 PM EST     2.62 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.20.80.40.10.41.11.92.633.232.621.40.80.30.10.51.11.72.22.62.62.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.