Saturday, September21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Highland, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:40AMSunset 6:56PM Saturday September 21, 2019 6:21 PM EDT (22:21 UTC) Moonrise 11:26PMMoonset 1:50PM Illumination 47% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 434 Pm Edt Sat Sep 21 2019
Tonight..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Mon night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Showers and tstms likely in the evening. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..W winds around 10 kt. Seas around 1 ft.
Tue night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Thu night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to around 5 kt after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 434 Pm Edt Sat Sep 21 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A large area of high pressure along the east coast will be slow to work east this weekend. A cold front will eventually approach on Monday and pass through Monday night, followed again by high pressure from Tuesday into Wednesday night. Another weak cold front will approach and pass through on Thursday. Meanwhile, swells from tropical storm jerry will also begin to arrive early next week. Please refer to national hurricane center products for further details on jerry.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Highland, NY
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location: 41.7, -73.95     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 212005
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
405 pm edt Sat sep 21 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will be near the mid atlantic region
tonight with mostly clear and cool conditions. The surface high
will move eastward away from the coast with continued sunny and warm
conditions with temperatures well above normal to close the weekend.

A cold front and an upper level disturbance will bring scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms Monday into early Tuesday before
dry and seasonable conditions return.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
As of 405 pm edt... A beautiful day will be followed by a lovely
night, as high pressure near the mid atlantic states will
slowly drift eastward over the western atlantic. Mostly
clear clear skies with light to calm winds should promote near
ideal radiational cooling conditions again. A light southerly
breeze may start to increase in the capital region after
midnight. Lows will be in the 50s with some upper 40s across
southern vt, the southern adirondacks, and the lake george glens
falls area. Some patchy fog may form near the hudson river
valley, lake george, ct river valley near southeast vt, and the
mohawk river valley.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through Tuesday
Tomorrow... Warmth and humidity increases as the retreating sfc
anticyclone pumps northward higher dewpts and temps. H850 temps
increase to +1 to +2 stdevs above normal based on the 12z gefs.

The actual values will be around +15c to +16c. The nam GFS are
indicating a weak prefrontal sfc trough or lake breeze
disturbance may trigger a few showers isold thunderstorms over
west central ny. A few of these showers may reach the western
periphery of the forecast area western adirondacks... West-
central mohawk valley... And the northern catskills . We placed a
slight chance in for the late pm. Overall, warm hot conditions
will prevail with dewpoints rising into the upper 50s to mid
60s. Highs will be in the lower to mid 80s in the valleys, and
70s to around 80f over the hills and mtns. It will become
breezier during the afternoon.

Sunday night... A mild and muggy night, as we countdown the
beginning of fall autumn, as it begins at 350 am edt. It will
feel like summer, as low temps will be in the mid upper 60s in
the valleys, and upper 50s to lower 60s over the higher terrain.

A few prefrontal showers may graze the western adirondacks
before sunrise.

Monday... A cold front and its associated upper trough approach
the forecast area with the best chance for widespread showers in
over a week. The timing of the front and short-wave varies a
bit on the guidance, but there is a decent consensus to go with
likely and high chc pops in the afternoon. Pwats surge above
normal, which is typical with frontal passages. Some splashes of
rain may occur with any isolated convection that pops up due to
frontal convergence, negative showalter values and weak
instability in general. The low-level lapse rates due steepen so
will have to watch for some gusty winds from any thunderstorms,
but the severe threat looks very low at this time. Tall
updrafts will be tough to achieve with weak instability despite
favorable dynamics. A slight chance of thunder was placed over
the entire area. Highs will be 10 to 15 degrees above normal
again with upper 70s to mid 80s in the valley areas, and upper
60s to upper 70s over the mtns.

Monday night into Tuesday... Any isolated thunderstorms should
diminish early Monday night. The cyclonic vorticity advection
with the upper trough will keep isolated to scattered showers
going most of the night. The cold pool and upper low will focus
some instability showers over the higher terrain over the
northern half of the forecast area on Tuesday, and it will be
much cooler. Lows Mon night will drop back into the upper 40s to
50s with highs Tue in the upper 50s to upper 60s with a few 70s
sprinkled in the mid hudson valley and NW ct.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
The period begins as an upper low pulls away from the region. This
will lead to a period of dry and near seasonable weather on
Wednesday. Lows Tuesday night will be on the cooler side, in the
lower 40s to lower 50s. Afternoon highs on Wednesday should reach
the mid 60s to lower 70s.

An upper level trough and surface cold front approach the region
Wednesday night into the day on Thursday. Showers will be possible
as the cold front passes through the region on Thursday but there
are some timing differences between global models. The GFS is the
quicker solution and also brings the upper trough further south into
new york which could add additional shower chances. Whereas the
ecmwf is slower with the frontal passage and keeps most of the upper
energy north of the forecast area. Both of these solutions would
lead to the best chances for showers across the northern half of the
forecast area. So for now, have stayed with a blended approach and
chance pops until models come into better agreement.

The front should exit the region by Thursday night, as high pressure
builds in from the west. This will result in a dry start to the
weekend with slightly above normal temperatures. Highs Friday and
Saturday will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s, with overnight lows
generally in the lower 50s.

Aviation 20z Saturday through Thursday
Vfr conditions are expected through much of the TAF forecast
period as high pressure holds its influence on the region. We
can therefore expect generally clear skies throughout the
period, with perhaps some passing high level clouds. Under clear
skies with light winds, patchy fog will once again form
overnight and will mainly impact kgfl kpsf. Ifr lifr visbys are
possible with any fog.

Winds will remain light and variable through the overnight
period then begin increasing from the southwest between 5 and
10 kts towards 18z sun.

Outlook...

Sunday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Monday: moderate operational impact. Breezy chance of shra... Tsra.

Monday night: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra.

Tuesday: low operational impact. Slight chance of shra.

Tuesday to Wednesday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Thursday: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra.

Fire weather
High pressure will be near the mid atlantic region
tonight with mostly clear and cool conditions. The surface high
will move eastward away from the coast with above normal
temperatures. A cold front and an upper level disturbance will
bring scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms Monday into
early Tuesday.

The rh values will rise to 80 to 100 percent tonight with dew
formation and patchy fog. The minimum rh values tomorrow
afternoon will be in the 45 to 65 percent range, and then rise
to 85 to 100 percent Monday morning.

The winds will become light to calm tonight. They will become
southerly at 5 to 15 mph Sunday into Sunday night.

Hydrology
Problems are not foreseen on the albany hsa waterways the next 7
days.

Much of the hsa has been very dry the past few weeks. A cold
front and upper level disturbance will bring a tenth to a third
of an inch to portions of the hsa Monday into Tuesday. Isolated
thunderstorm may yield locally higher amounts.

Overall, rivers and streams may rise a few inches, but then
quickly recede Tuesday into the mid week as dry weather returns.

Flows continue at normal to below normal levels for late
september.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Wasula
near term... Wasula
short term... Wasula
long term... Jlv
aviation... Jlv
fire weather... Wasula
hydrology... Wasula


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPXN6 9 mi51 min NW 1.9 77°F 1022 hPa55°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 22 mi51 min Calm 74°F 1021 hPa59°F
TKPN6 22 mi51 min Calm G 1 74°F 71°F1021 hPa53°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 55 mi57 min S 4.1 G 5.1 77°F 70°F1020.4 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY6 mi28 minN 010.00 miFair80°F54°F41%1020.2 hPa
Newburgh / Stewart, NY15 mi36 minN 020.00 miClear81°F50°F34%1021.7 hPa
Montgomery, Orange County Airport, NY21 mi27 minN 010.00 miFair77°F52°F42%1021.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPOU

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3W5Calm3CalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmNW3W6SW4Calm
2 days agoN4E5E4CalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Poughkeepsie, Hudson River, New York
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Poughkeepsie
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Sat -- 12:16 AM EDT     0.81 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:00 AM EDT     2.77 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:55 AM EDT     0.72 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:50 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:06 PM EDT     3.32 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:43 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sat -- 11:25 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.91.21.82.42.72.82.72.41.81.20.80.70.81.21.92.63.13.33.232.41.81.3

Tide / Current Tables for Hyde Park, Hudson River, New York
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Hyde Park
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Sat -- 12:42 AM EDT     0.81 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:26 AM EDT     2.85 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:21 PM EDT     0.72 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:50 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:32 PM EDT     3.42 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:43 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sat -- 11:25 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.811.52.22.62.82.82.62.21.510.70.811.62.43.13.43.43.22.82.11.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.