Monday, July22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Michigan City, IN

Version 3.4
NOTICE
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:30AMSunset 8:17PM Monday July 22, 2019 5:25 PM CDT (22:25 UTC) Moonrise 11:32PMMoonset 10:52AM Illumination 67% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ046 Michigan City In To New Buffalo Mi- 345 Pm Edt Mon Jul 22 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Tonight..North wind 10 to 20 knots easing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Gusts up to 25 knots through midnight. Clear. Waves 4 to 7 feet occasionally to 9 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.
Tuesday..Northwest wind 5 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday night..North wind 5 to 15 knots. Clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..North wind 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 to 2 feet. The water temperature off michigan city is 51 degrees...and 48 degrees off st. Joseph.
LMZ046 Expires:201907230415;;471024 FZUS53 KIWX 221945 NSHIWX Nearshore Marine Forecast for Indiana National Weather Service Northern Indiana 345 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ046-230415-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Michigan City city, IN
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location: 41.72, -86.89     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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Fxus63 kiwx 221810
afdiwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
210 pm edt Mon jul 22 2019

Synopsis
Issued at 450 am edt Mon jul 22 2019
expect decreasing cloud cover today into tonight, with highs in the
70s and overnight lows in the 50s. Isolated rain showers are
possible through late morning. Otherwise, life-threatening
conditions are expected on lake michigan. High wave action will
cause dangerous currents, beach erosion, and lakeshore flooding. See
the latest statement for more information. There is a chance for
showers and thunderstorms Tuesday, but otherwise it will be dry
through Saturday. Highs will be in the upper 70s and low 80s through
Thursday, then we'll rise back into the mid to upper 80s and low 90s
Friday into Sunday.

Short term (this evening through Tuesday)
issued at 200 pm edt Mon jul 22 2019
latest surface analysis shows cold front along ohio river valley
with high pressure centered over the dakotas. Satellite radar
still indicating plenty of post-frontal cloud cover over much of
the area and a few lingering showers along southern CWA border.

Not much change in the short term as surface high to remain
displaced to the west of our area which will maintain cool dry
northwest flow. Amplified upper level pattern has ridge centered
over the four corners with axis extending through the southern
provinces of canada while upper low just east of hudson bay with
trof axis extending through the great lakes down to the oh tn
valley which will maintain NW flow aloft as well. Latest vis
satellite imagery showing clearing over far NW CWA and expected to
spread southeast through the remainder of the CWA this evening as
upper trof axis pivots through the area with ample subsidence and
drying behind it. Dewpoints will continue to fall reaching the
lower 50s overnight and bring low temps to a refreshing mid 50s.

Dry airmass and low level thermal trof shifting eastward should
result in just scattered diurnal CU on Tuesday. A weak disturbance
dropping down in NW flow will bring a non-zero precip chance to
ne CWA Tuesday afternoon but only an isolated shower or two at
best. Very comfortable temps for this time of year with highs in
the upper 70s to near 80f.

Long term (Tuesday night through Monday)
issued at 200 pm edt Mon jul 22 2019
quiet weather pattern to continue through much of the long term
period. Upper trof axis shifts further east but northwest flow
pattern maintains over the region with upper ridge centered over
the four corners. Surface high pressure builds into the region
maintaining sunny skies and low humidities through Thursday.

Northern extent of upper ridge will break down as pacific energy
comes onshore Tuesday night. This disturbance will track across
southern canada before dipping into the northern great lakes
region heading into the weekend. Surface high pressure will move
toward the eastern seaboard as well resulting in a developing
return flow ahead of this system which will bring an increase in
humidity and nudge highs back into the mid-upper 80s this weekend.

Forcing will be displaced well to the north of our area and
lacking deep moisture return from the gulf will have weekend
staying mainly dry with weak signal from ensemble mean and only a
couple individual members showing measurable precip in northern
cwa. Precip chances not expected until beginning of next week with
arrival of surface boundary.

Aviation (for the 18z tafs through 18z Tuesday afternoon)
issued at 114 pm edt Mon jul 22 2019
surface high pressure across the northern plains will build into
the ohio valley during the fcst period. As drier air infiltrates
the region clouds will push east with only high clouds during the
overnight period into Tue morning. Northerly winds will be about
10 to 15 kts this aftn then subsiding to less than 5 tonight.VFR
conditions will persist through the fcst period.

Iwx watches warnings advisories
In... Beach hazards statement through late tonight for inz003.

Lakeshore flood advisory until 5 am cdt Tuesday for inz003.

Mi... Beach hazards statement through late tonight for miz077.

Lakeshore flood advisory until 6 am edt Tuesday for miz077.

Oh... None.

Lm... Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Tuesday for lmz043-046.

Synopsis... Mcd
short term... Jal
long term... Jal
aviation... Mf
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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 1 mi35 min N 24 G 25 68°F 53°F
45170 5 mi25 min N 19 G 27 69°F 66°F9 ft55°F
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN 15 mi45 min N 12 G 14 69°F 1018.3 hPa
45026 - St. Joseph, MI 23 mi25 min SW 18 G 23 64°F 54°F7 ft1017.4 hPa (+0.3)52°F
CMTI2 - 9087044 - Calumet, IL 34 mi55 min N 12 G 17 71°F 1018 hPa53°F
SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI 34 mi85 min N 14 G 18 65°F 1017.9 hPa (-0.4)
JAKI2 36 mi145 min NNE 13 G 20 70°F
CHII2 - Chicago, IL 39 mi35 min N 20 G 22 70°F 52°F
CNII2 39 mi25 min N 8.9 G 16 72°F 53°F
45177 40 mi145 min 70°F1 ft
OKSI2 41 mi145 min ENE 12 G 16 71°F
FSTI2 44 mi145 min NNE 14 69°F

Wind History for Calumet Harbor, IL
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Last
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N6
G12
N9
G13
NW6
G9
NW5
G10
N7
G11
N7
G11
NW5
G8
NW5
NW9
G13
N9
G14
NW8
G12
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G15
N10
G14
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G17
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G20
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N14
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NW14
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N11
G20
1 day
ago
N14
G25
N10
G14
SE7
G10
SE5
G8
S6
S6
G9
SW1
G4
S1
NW6
NW8
G16
NW4
G9
NW4
G8
NW5
G8
NE5
G9
N4
N4
N5
N9
G13
NW10
G18
N10
G15
N9
G16
N9
G12
N3
G6
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G12
2 days
ago
SW9
G15
SW10
G16
SW15
G23
S14
G20
SW11
G15
SW12
G17
S12
G19
S12
G15
SW10
G16
SW6
G11
SW6
NE12
G15
NE13
G19
SE11
G17
SE11
G17
S10
G15
S13
G18
S10
G14
SW7
G13
S11
G14
S12
G17
S13
G19
SW11
G17
SW6
G13

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Michigan City Municipal Airport, IN4 mi30 minN 10 G 1910.00 miFair70°F32°F25%1018.3 hPa
Valparaiso Porter County Municipal Airport, IN20 mi89 minN 12 G 2510.00 miFair73°F53°F50%1017.4 hPa

Wind History from VPZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN8
G16
N9
G17
N5N4N5CalmN3N3N5N5N6N3N4N6NE9
G17
NE8
G19
N7N13
G24
N15
G25
N10
G21
N11
G22
N15
G25
N12
G25
N14
G26
1 day agoW10E10E8E3S5SE5CalmS3SW3N4CalmCalmN4NE4NE7E7SE64SE5N10
G15
N14
G23
N12
G18
CalmN6
2 days agoSW14
G23
SW11SW10S9S6S7SW9SW10SW8CalmNE5E12
G19
E9
G17
S10S11
G17
S10S10S8SW11
G18
SW11
G20
SW17
G24
SW16
G22
SW12SW9
G20

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Northern Indiana, IN (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northern Indiana, IN
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.