Tuesday, June15, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Michigan City, IN

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:10AMSunset 8:25PM Monday June 14, 2021 11:51 PM CDT (04:51 UTC) Moonrise 8:47AMMoonset 11:56PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ046 Michigan City In To New Buffalo Mi- 1009 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021
Overnight..North wind 5 to 10 knots. Clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..North wind 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 2 feet building to 2 to 4 feet in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..North wind 10 to 20 knots veering northeast 5 to 15 knots after midnight. Clear. Waves 3 to 6 feet. A small craft advisory may be needed.
Wednesday..North wind 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet. The water temperature at st. Joseph is 50 degrees and at michigan city is 54 degrees.
LMZ046 Expires:202106151015;;282166 FZUS53 KIWX 150209 NSHIWX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Northern Indiana 1009 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ046-151015-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Michigan City city, IN
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location: 41.72, -86.89     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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FXUS63 KIWX 142309 AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 709 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

SYNOPSIS. Issued at 138 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

Showers and thunderstorms toward northwest Ohio will diminish after sunset. Cooler and much less humid conditions will settle in through mid week.

SHORT TERM. (Late This Afternoon through Tuesday) Issued at 230 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

Two compact shortwaves will translate south through the area on the backside of an amplifying eastern conus upper trough, one late this aftn/eve, and another late tomorrow aftn. Steep lapse rates and weak diurnal instability under the associated cold pockets aloft (5H temps to -17C) may be enough to generate a few showers in the vicinity of an area of subtle low level convergence across far ne IN/sc MI/nw OH each aftn/eve. Steep lapse rates, high sfc T-Td depressions, and modest background northerly flow may support some higher end wind gusts if any stronger showers develop, best chances late this aftn-early eve. Comfortable, dry canadian airmass in deep northerly flow will provide mainly clear skies and dry conditions otherwise into tonight and Tuesday.

LONG TERM. (Tuesday Night through Monday) Issued at 230 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

Canadian high pressure will build in for the middle of the week with light winds, mainly clear skies, large diurnal temp ranges and low humidity levels. Flow pattern does flatten out a bit by late in the week with models in good agreement on a more progressive northern stream trough breaking down a High Plains ridge. This will drive a warmer/more unstable airmass into the region with chances for convection along a cold front later Thursday night-Friday. Good mid level flow/shear on the northeast fringe of an EML plume continues to hint at a severe wind threat if/where convection organizes. Ensemble guidance does continue to differ a bit on timing and moisture return which will be key to thunder/severe chances. Held with mid chance PoPs as a result, and will continue to monitor trends over the coming days.

Front will likely settle south of the area in time for the weekend under broad troughing aloft with mainly dry/seasonable conditions anticipated. Chances for convection then return early next week as the next northern stream trough/front tracks through.

AVIATION. (For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday Evening) Issued at 704 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

Clouds may be on the increase at KFWA over the next few hours as an area of showers and storms drops in over northwest Ohio. The line is becoming outflow dominant, thus leading me to believe a dry TAF is ok. This will result in a northerly wind shift briefly.

Otherwise, at both KSBN and KFWA, breezy winds will diminish within a couple hours as will diurnal clouds. Look for winds to increase again late tomorrow with a few clouds sprouting up associated with a weak upper-level system sweeping in. There is a non-zero chance for rain, but coverage is expected to be sparse.

IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. IN . Beach Hazards Statement until 9 PM CDT this evening for INZ003.

MI . Beach Hazards Statement until 10 PM EDT this evening for MIZ077.

OH . NONE. LM . Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for LMZ043-046.



SYNOPSIS . Fisher/Brown SHORT TERM . Steinwedel LONG TERM . Steinwedel AVIATION . Brown

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 1 mi31 min WNW 1 G 1.9 65°F 1016.7 hPa61°F
45170 5 mi31 min 7.8 G 9.7 66°F 2 ft
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN 15 mi71 min NNW 5.1 G 5.1 67°F 1016.9 hPa
45026 - St. Joseph, MI 23 mi31 min N 5.8 G 7.8 65°F 66°F2 ft1016.7 hPa58°F
CMTI2 - 9087044 - Calumet, IL 34 mi51 min NNW 2.9 G 5.1 1016.4 hPa (+0.7)
SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI 34 mi51 min NNE 5.1 G 7 64°F 1017.3 hPa (+1.4)
JAKI2 36 mi111 min N 4.1 G 7 71°F
CHII2 - Chicago, IL 39 mi31 min NW 8 G 8 70°F 58°F
CNII2 39 mi36 min NNW 1.9 G 8 69°F 50°F
OKSI2 41 mi111 min NNE 2.9 G 5.1 72°F

Wind History for Calumet Harbor, IL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Michigan City Municipal Airport, IN4 mi56 minN 010.00 miFair57°F55°F94%1017.3 hPa
Valparaiso Porter County Municipal Airport, IN20 mi55 minN 010.00 miFair64°F55°F73%1016.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVPZ

Wind History from VPZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW5SW5SW7SW9SW10SW9W10W12NW12
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1 day ago3N4N5N5N5N4N7N55N8N9N11
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2 days agoNW3N4N5NE4CalmE3CalmE4CalmCalmCalmNW4CalmW5N9N7N55
G15
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G18
N7NE3N3NW4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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GEOS Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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