Friday, October18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Michigan City, IN

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:01AMSunset 6:03PM Friday October 18, 2019 7:33 PM CDT (00:33 UTC) Moonrise 9:15PMMoonset 11:39AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ046 Expires:201910190415;;907323 Fzus53 Kiwx 182000 Nshiwx Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Northern Indiana 400 Pm Edt Fri Oct 18 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore On Lake Michigan Lmz043-046-190415- New Buffalo Mi To St Joseph Mi-michigan City In To New Buffalo Mi- 400 Pm Edt Fri Oct 18 2019
Tonight..South wind 5 to 15 knots. Clear. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday..South wind 5 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Saturday night..South wind 5 to 10 knots veering west after midnight. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..Northeast wind 10 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less. The water temperature off michigan city is 53 degrees...and 55 degrees off st. Joseph.
LMZ046


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Michigan City city, IN
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location: 41.72, -86.89     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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Fxus63 kiwx 182328
afdiwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
728 pm edt Fri oct 18 2019

Synopsis
Issued at 125 pm edt Fri oct 18 2019
the weekend weather words... Warmer and dry. Other than a few high
clouds drifting over the region skies will remain mostly clear
through Sunday. After a clear and cold night tonight with
temperatures in the upper 30s... Abundant sunshine on Saturday will
warm temperatures into the mid to upper 60s. Warmer still on
Sunday as temperatures rise into the lower 70s. The next chance of
rain overspreads the area on Monday.

Short term (this evening through Saturday)
issued at 158 pm edt Fri oct 18 2019
latest surface analysis has high pressure centered over the area
this afternoon and will provide favorable conditions again for
good radiational cooling tonight with clear skies... Shallow
surface based inversion and light SE flow... But not quite as cold
with lows 35-40f... And with most of the area experiencing frost
with near below freezing temps last night will forgo any headlines
of possible frost tonight. Quiet weather continues through the
short term as surface high pressure slides east of the area
placing us in a milder pattern with developing return flow on the
backside Saturday with highs reaching the mid 60s.

Long term (Saturday night through Friday)
issued at 158 pm edt Fri oct 18 2019
forecast period to begin with dry frontal passage as lead wave
moves up into northern manitoba and gulf moisture tied up with
system moving up into the carolinas as front moves through our
area Saturday night. Further amplification of pattern expected
this weekend as strong 140kt jet dynamics west of the aleutians
comes onshore and result in deepening upper low that will eject
out of the plains and move up into the upper ms valley on Monday.

Deterministic models trending a little deeper with upper low
compared to ensemble means but still similar with timing of
sensible weather elements for our area with earlier arrival for
onset of precip Monday. Front pre-frontal trof will be aided by
good upper level support and stream of gulf moisture as low level
thetae axis extends up into the great lakes and pw values reach
around an inch from ensemble means. Brief quasi-zonal transition
on Wednesday before pattern re-amplifies as upper level energy
streams onshore in pacific NW above eastern pacific ridge
resulting in deepening of upper trof over the central us. This has
potential for unsettled pattern toward the end of the forecast
period and into next weekend for areas from plains eastward and
bears monitoring for impacts to our forecast area.

Aviation (for the 00z tafs through 00z Saturday evening)
issued at 728 pm edt Fri oct 18 2019
vfr conditions to persist through the forecast period with a dry
subsident airmass persisting. Expect a gradual increase in south-
southeast flow as surface ridge slides well east of area.

Iwx watches warnings advisories
In... None.

Mi... None.

Oh... None.

Lm... None.

Synopsis... Lewis
short term... Jal
long term... Jal
aviation... Murphy
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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 1 mi33 min ESE 4.1 G 5.1 54°F 40°F
45170 5 mi23 min ESE 5.8 G 7.8 54°F 53°F1 ft46°F
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN 15 mi53 min SSE 4.1 G 6 57°F 1014.6 hPa
45026 - St. Joseph, MI 23 mi23 min SSE 7.8 G 9.7 55°F 58°F1 ft1015 hPa42°F
CMTI2 - 9087044 - Calumet, IL 34 mi45 min SE 4.1 G 6 56°F 1013.3 hPa41°F
SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI 34 mi33 min Calm G 1.9 50°F 1014.9 hPa (-1.4)
CHII2 - Chicago, IL 39 mi33 min SSE 8 G 8.9 55°F 50°F
CNII2 39 mi18 min SSE 4.1 G 6 53°F 44°F

Wind History for Calumet Harbor, IL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Michigan City Municipal Airport, IN4 mi38 minN 010.00 miFair46°F44°F93%1014.9 hPa
Valparaiso Porter County Municipal Airport, IN20 mi97 minSSE 510.00 miFair57°F37°F49%1014.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVPZ

Wind History from VPZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3E3SE4SE6SE8S75S7S7S6S9SE5SE5
1 day agoW4W6W6W3W5W6W7NW5W4W4W4W4W45NW12
G18
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NW10N64N3Calm
2 days agoSW10NW15
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NW7W6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Northern Indiana, IN (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northern Indiana, IN
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.