Kelleys Island, OH Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Kelleys Island, OH

June 21, 2024 11:14 PM EDT (03:14 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:53 AM   Sunset 9:11 PM
Moonrise 8:29 PM   Moonset 4:00 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LEZ164 Expires:202406220830;;439748 Fzus61 Kcle 220157 Glfle
open lake forecast for lake erie national weather service cleveland oh 957 pm edt Fri jun 21 2024
for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake erie
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

Synopsis - A ridge averaging 30.20 inches persists over the region before a reinforcing warm front sweeps northward across lake erie on Saturday as low pressure of 29.70 inches moves northeastward through the western great lakes. On Sunday, the low is expected to move east-northeastward toward northern new england, deepen to 29.50 inches, and allow the trailing cold front to sweep eastward across lake erie. Behind the cold front, high pressure of 29.90 inches builds from the western great lakes on Monday. A warm front is forecast to sweep northward across lake erie on Tuesday as the ridge exits eastward. A strong cold front should then sweep eastward across the lake on Wednesday.
lez162>164-220830- detroit river lt. To maumee bay oh to reno beach oh beyond 5nm offshoreline to us-canadian border- reno beach to the islands oh beyond 5nm off shoreline to us- canadian border- the islands to vermilion oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us- canadian border- 957 pm edt Fri jun 21 2024

Overnight - East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. Waves 1 foot or less.

Saturday - South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Waves 1 foot or less.

Saturday night - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Sunday - Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.

Sunday night - Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Monday - Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. Waves 2 feet or less.

Tuesday - South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms Tuesday night. Waves 2 feet or less.

Wednesday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms during the day. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

LEZ100
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kelleys Island, OH
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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 220142 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 942 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

SYNOPSIS
Broad high pressure influences the region through Saturday. A low pressure system and associated cold front will move east across the Great Lakes region on Sunday. High pressure will build back into the region Sunday night through Monday night.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
9:30 PM Update...
No changes with this update.

Previous Discussion...
Afternoon convection has developed along a lake breeze across Northern Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania. Slightly lower temperatures and dew points this afternoon have kept MLCAPE values generally around 1000-1500 J/kg and storms fairly isolated. As with the past week, any convection will diminish with sunset as we lose daytime heating. Overnight lows tonight settle into the upper 60s to lower 70s with patchy fog possible once again tonight in areas that receive storms this afternoon and evening.

Surface boundary lifts north over Lake Erie tonight as upper level ridging builds southwest ahead of low pressure currently centered over the Upper Midwest. As we become sandwiched between these two systems, southwest flow will increase while also transporting warmer air into the region. Much warmer and unpleasant tomorrow with high temperatures in the mid to upper 90s and heat indices approaching 100 degrees. Made no changes to our heat headlines with a Heat Advisory still in effect areawide through 8 PM tomorrow. We should remain fairly dry for much of the day tomorrow before the aforementioned low pressure drags a cold front toward western zones late Saturday night. Most of the impacts along and ahead of the front will occur on Sunday. More information can be found in the short term discussion below...

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
Low pressure tracks across Upper Michigan towards southern Quebec on Sunday. A ribbon of high theta-e air will slide northeast ahead of the cold front which is likely to produce expanding coverage of showers through the morning and into the afternoon. PW values will be near 2 inches and expect to see an uptick in thunderstorm activity as the front pushes south into higher instability air during the afternoon, especially south of a line from Findlay to Mansfield to Youngstown. The Storm Prediction Center does have a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms across much of the forecast area and expect heavy rain to also be a concern, especially if any training of storms occurs with uni-directional southwesterly flow ahead of the front. Much drier air does arrives from west to east through the afternoon and should bring an end to precipitation.
Sunday will be another hot and muggy day although with high temperatures peaking in the 80s. Heat index values are still likely to surpass 90 degrees generally along and west of I-77.

A much welcomed break from the humidity will come on Monday as high pressure builds over the Great Lakes Region and dewpoints drop back into the upper 50s/near 60. High temperatures will be within a few degrees of normal seasonal values but the lower humidity will be noticeable. Overnight low temperatures will also range from 55-65 which will be more pleasant.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
The upper trough quickly moves east on Tuesday with a broad but somewhat flat ridge across the Plains and retrograding westward towards the Intermountain West region. This results in some uncertainty as we transition to more of a northwest flow pattern by late next week. Temperatures warm again on Tuesday but dewpoints remain low enough that we are only expecting a chance of showers and thunderstorms in NW Ohio. Heat index values could surpass 95 degrees again in portions of Northwest Ohio. By Wednesday with see better moisture return ahead of a stronger cold front with higher chances of showers and thunderstorms across the whole area. This front is expected to bring cooler temperatures by Thursday, especially from north central Ohio to Northwest Pennsylvania where some area may have a day with high temperatures in the 70s.

AVIATION /00Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/
Clear skies and light/variable winds could result in patchy fog for parts of Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania late tonight into early tomorrow morning. Otherwise, VFR is expected.
An isolated showers or thunderstorm is possible mainly in Northwest Pennsylvania along the lake breeze Saturday afternoon.

Light and variable conditions tonight become 8-12 knots out of the southwest late Saturday morning through Saturday evening. A lake breeze develops east of Cleveland but makes little inland progress.

Outlook...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage Sunday afternoon with non-VFR conditions possible.

MARINE
Good marine conditions continue on Saturday on Lake Erie with lake breezes on the eastern half of the lake during the afternoon.
Southwest winds increase Saturday night into Sunday to 15 to 20 knots as a cold front approaches from Michigan. Winds will veer to westerly and eventually northwesterly behind the front Sunday into Sunday night. Some models are starting to indicate a little stronger winds behind the front but consensus is not very strong yet.
Conditions look to approach Small Craft criteria but appear to remain just below for now. Shower and thunderstorms may also impact Lake Erie through early afternoon before the front pushes south.

High pressure builds over the Great Lakes on Monday with northwest winds decreasing. Another cold front is forecast to cross Lake Erie on Wednesday.

CLIMATE
The records for Saturday, June 22 are listed below for our official climate sites.

Date Toledo Mansfield Cleveland Akron Youngstown Erie 06-22 99(1988) 95(1988) 98(1988) 97(1988) 97(1933) 94(1988)

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Saturday for OHZ003-006>014- 017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089.
PA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Saturday for PAZ001>003.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 6 mi44 minE 3.9G5.8 78°F 77°F30.0974°F
45201 19 mi34 min1.9G3.9 79°F 79°F0 ft30.1375°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 19 mi56 minSSE 1G1.9 80°F 76°F30.0767°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 21 mi74 minE 6G7 80°F 30.08
LORO1 23 mi44 minENE 5.1G6 78°F
45203 24 mi34 min0G1.9 77°F 76°F0 ft76°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 24 mi74 min0G2.9 79°F 30.06
45204 25 mi34 minENE 3.9G5.8 76°F0 ft
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 25 mi89 min0 75°F 30.0971°F
45202 29 mi34 min3.9G3.9 83°F 81°F0 ft30.0973°F
CMPO1 32 mi104 minSE 4.1G6 82°F
OWMO1 34 mi74 minS 1.9 81°F 72°F
45196 35 mi54 minENE 1.9G1.9 78°F 78°F0 ft30.0775°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 39 mi74 minENE 5.1G7 79°F 30.0875°F
45176 40 mi44 min0G0 79°F 78°F1 ft30.0774°F
45164 41 mi74 min1.9G3.9 78°F 75°F
45165 42 mi34 minE 3.9G5.8 81°F 81°F0 ft
45205 42 mi34 min1.9G1.9 79°F 79°F0 ft30.0473°F
TWCO1 42 mi35 min6G7 80°F 79°F77°F
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 46 mi56 min0G1 77°F 70°F30.06
45200 48 mi44 min1.9G3.9 80°F 80°F30.0976°F
45206 48 mi34 minNW 1.9G1.9 79°F 76°F0 ft30.0373°F


Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Cleveland, OH,




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