Friday, August23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kelleys Island, OH

Version 3.4
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7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 8:20PM Friday August 23, 2019 8:00 PM EDT (00:00 UTC) Moonrise 11:39PMMoonset 1:29PM Illumination 41% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ164 Expires:201908240215;;097185 Fzus61 Kcle 231944 Glfle Open Lake Forecast For Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 344 Pm Edt Fri Aug 23 2019 For Waters Beyond Five Nautical Miles Of Shore On Lake Erie Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum.
Synopsis..High pressure, 30.30 inches, over ontario will move east across quebec to the canadian maritimes tonight through Sunday as it builds south across the great lakes. Monday night, low pressure will strengthen to 29.30 inches over western ontario forcing a warm front north across lake erie Monday night. A cold front will follow from the west on Tuesday. Wednesday high pressure 30.00 inches will start to build in from the west. Lez163>167-240215- lake erie open waters from reno beach to the islands oh- lake erie open waters from the islands to vermilion oh- lake erie open waters from vermilion to avon point oh- lake erie open waters from avon point to willowick oh- lake erie open waters from willowick to geneva-on-the-lake oh- 344 pm edt Fri aug 23 2019
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of waterspouts from late evening on. A chance of showers late. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Saturday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers in the morning. A chance of waterspouts. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet, then subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms Monday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Tuesday..South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers Tuesday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ164


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kelleys Island, OH
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location: 41.74, -82.47     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 231939
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
339 pm edt Fri aug 23 2019

Synopsis
High pressure centered near lake superior will drift eastward across
ontario through Saturday reaching northern new england by Sunday.

A cold front will approach the region Monday night into Tuesday.

Near term through Saturday night
High pressure centered near lake superior will drift eastward
across ontario on Saturday reaching northern new england by
early Sunday morning. So drier air will persist over the region
into Saturday night. However we will need to get an upper level
trough to cross the region overnight with cold advection in its
wake. The cooler air aloft combined with the warm waters of lake
erie should at least produce some lake enhanced cloud cover.

Uncertainty at this time is the coverage of the showers sprinkles
that should develop. Since we have a northeast flow these
showers sprinkles should be located from the NE ohio lakeshore
to near cleveland and could reach findlay. There will also be a
chance of waterspouts later tonight through mid afternoon
Saturday. Highs Saturday afternoon should range from the upper
60s to mid 70s depending on the cloud cover.

As the high moves eastward into Saturday night winds shift to a
more easterly downsloping flow. Much of the cloud cover off the
lake should shift more into michigan. This should allow for a
cool night with lows away from the lake in the 50s.

Short term Sunday through Tuesday
The short term begins Sunday with models continuing to show
high pressure extending into the area from quebec and the
maritimes. With the high to our northeast winds will transition
to a southerly return flow bringing low and mid level moisture
back to the region. Models however differ significantly on how
fast moisture makes it back with the GFS most aggressive. Will
trend forecast toward the slower nam ECMWF blend keeping Sunday
night dry. Monday will bring chance pops into the
west southwest, mainly for the afternoon as the ECMWF and nam
increase moisture ahead of an approaching upper trough. Monday
night and Tuesday looking wet as upper trough moves through and
Tuesday a cold front moves in from the west. Highs upper 70s to
near 80.

Long term Tuesday night through Friday
Tuesday night a cold front will exit the area to the east. Will have
a chance of showers east. Wednesday the front should be to our east
and aside from a leftover shower east in the morning, the day should
be dry. High pressure will continue in control through Friday so
will keep forecast dry. Highs upper 70s to near 80.

Aviation 18z Friday through Wednesday
Low endVFR ceilings will persist into the afternoon then
slowly dissipate into the evening. High pressure to the
northwest of the area will keep a northeast wind going off the
lake with some patchy MVFR ceilings possible from near kcle to
around kfdy. Definitely will see some low endVFR ceilings and
maybe a few showers sprinkles in this area.

Any air travel over the lake need to keep in mind that
waterspouts will be possible from after sunset though early
afternoon on Saturday.

Outlook... NonVFR possible with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms on Monday afternoon and Tuesday.

Marine
High pressure over ontario will drift east across quebec to the
maritimes tonight through Sunday. Winds will increase this evening
and overnight from the north-northeast in neutral to cold advection
reaching around 15 knots with higher gusts. Current wave forecasts
suggest waves 3.5 to 4 feet through the overnight before diminishing
slowly on Saturday. Winds pick up again Saturday evening as flow
veers to easterly. Will have a small craft advisory starting this
evening ending Saturday morning however Saturday afternoon and
evening should still be quite choppy across the central basin. East
flow diminishes to around 10 knots Saturday night and Sunday. Sunday
night and Monday winds will veer to southeast between high pressure
to our east and low pressure in the central plains. Wind speeds
should reach 15 to 20 knots although with highest waves further
offshore may not need a small craft headline. Monday night winds
turn out of the south at 15 to 20 knots. Expect southwest flow 10 to
15 knots Tuesday behind a warm front and just ahead of an
approaching cold front.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... Beach hazards statement from 10 pm edt this evening through
Saturday morning for ohz007-009>012.

Pa... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 10 pm this evening to 10 am edt
Saturday for lez143>147.

Synopsis... Mm
near term... Mm
short term... Tk
long term... Tk
aviation... Mm
marine... Tk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 6 mi31 min N 3.9 G 5.8 70°F 1021.5 hPa54°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 19 mi49 min NNE 6 G 7 71°F 77°F1021 hPa53°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 21 mi61 min NE 6 G 8 71°F 1021.2 hPa (-0.0)
LORO1 23 mi31 min N 8 G 8.9 70°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 24 mi61 min NNE 4.1 G 8 70°F 1020 hPa (-0.3)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 25 mi76 min N 1.9 71°F 1021 hPa55°F
45169 35 mi51 min NNE 7.8 G 12 71°F 76°F2 ft
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 39 mi41 min NNE 17 G 19 71°F
45176 40 mi31 min NNW 7.8 G 12 71°F 77°F2 ft
45164 41 mi61 min 76°F1 ft
45165 42 mi31 min NE 3.9 G 5.8 72°F 77°F1 ft50°F
TWCO1 42 mi31 min E 2.9 G 6 76°F
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 46 mi49 min NNE 8 G 11 69°F 76°F1020.8 hPa51°F
45147 - Lake St Clair 49 mi61 min Calm 69°F 74°F2 ft1021.1 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH31 mi2.1 hrsNE 1010.00 miFair70°F46°F44%1021 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLPR

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE3CalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3N3NE3CalmNE5E6NE6NE8NE14NE8NE12
G17
NE11N9NE10NE8N5
1 day agoW3SW4SW5W7SW6N7
G18
SW7W6W8NW5NE6NE3CalmCalmE3E9NE6E6E7E8NE8NE9E6NE4
2 days agoS3E4SE6CalmS4CalmSW5SW5SW6NW3W5SW3W8SW6W8SW66SW6W7W11W9W10W11W6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.